Commodity Trade Mantra

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Gold, the SDR and BRICS
Emerging Markets | Gold Trading | April 24, 2015

There are difficulties when it comes to including gold in the SDR basket as none of its paper constituents are convertible into gold. It also cannot last long as major central banks insist on printing money as an economic cure-all. But China’s position with respect to gold & her own currency could be a different matter.

China's Massive Debt Problem Is About Get Much Massiver
China | Debt Crisis | Zerohedge | April 23, 2015

PBOC has announced that regulatory approval will no longer be required to issue ABS. Market players now expect ABS issuance to more than triple to 1 trillion yuan ($161 billion) this year. This means China’s massive debt burden is about to get massiv-er, as banks use ABS issuance as a pressure valve to free up lending capacity.

The Coming May Oil "Buy Signal”
Crude Oil Trading | April 22, 2015

According to a U.S. EIA report, the huge surge of growth for the past five years in America’s shale patch is coming to an end. This is a watershed moment for the U.S. shale boom — and a vitally important moment for investors, too. So what does this mean for the price of oil? And what does this mean for shale producers?

China’s Stealth Gold Reserves To Quadruple as IMF Seek Answers
Gold Trading | Goldcore | April 22, 2015

Bloomberg speculates that PBOC may have increased its gold reserves 3 fold since 2009 to over 3,000 tonnes. China would therefore have the 3rd largest gold reserves in the world, second only to U.S. & Germany. China’s ambition to make the yuan a dominant, if not the dominant reserve currency is now beyond dispute.

What Is Really Driving Gold?
Gold Trading | April 22, 2015

Electronic trading should not be underestimated. Its driving markets more than ever before & the gold market is no exception. That is not to say we like it; its simply the way things are nowadays. COMEX helped fuel the gold rally, but it is doubtful whether it was the ‘driver’. The clearest driver has been inflation expectation.

Do We Want High Prices or Low Prices?
Economy | April 21, 2015

Prices have a fundamental role to play in the market. Prices are an indicator of the relative scarcity of a good with respect to its uses. What happens if prices are tampered with through price controls or other coercive government controls? The biggest problem is that disrupting the price system jams the price signal system.

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