Commodity Trade Mantra

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Beware: Fracking Is Where Money Goes to Die
Crude Oil Trading | Natural Gas Trading | March 30, 2015

The fracking boom has been cash-flow negative for oil and gas drillers from the very beginning. The steep decline rates of fracked wells force producers to drill more wells just to keep production and revenues flat. They fund this drilling with debt. To support that growing debt, they have to produce more & take on even more debt.

$20 Oil Looms As Iran-Nuclear Deal Nears Deadline
Crude Oil Trading | March 30, 2015

Iran is a sleeping oil giant holding 9% of the world’s proven oil reserves & with an estimated 2m barrels per day of excess supply already sloshing around international markets, any increase in Iranian output could easily trigger a further rout in oil prices. OPEC may clamp down on this in June, but by then oil may already be selling for $20.

OPEC Pressure on Global Oil Market Continues
Crude Oil Trading | Sprott Group | March 30, 2015

The rig count in the Middle East continues to climb, hitting a new record in Feb. This is a clear indication that OPEC has NO intentions of easing up on their overproduction of oil anytime soon. OPEC has two targets in this campaign & the effectiveness of its strategy cannot be denied. WTI Crude is once again below the $50 mark.

Gold to Fuel Silver Upleg
Gold Trading | Silver Trading | March 30, 2015

Silver is a fascinating market. Almost without exception, all of silver’s biggest and strongest spikes, uplegs, and bull markets in modern history have been fueled by parallel gold rallies. From an investment perspective, silver is ultimately just a leveraged play on gold. Silver investment demand is almost totally dependent on gold’s fortunes.

Oil Slides As Inventories Trump Iran-Yemen Push-Pull
Crude Oil Trading | Zerohedge | March 27, 2015

The crude oil rally due to airstrikes on Yemen, reversed the sell-off that occurred in part on the rising odds of a deal with Iran being reached. Both events may have negligible near-term supply impacts, with the build in crude inventories set to continue in 2Q15. It appears today’s weakness indicates a dawning realization that there’s still too much.

Top Gold Experts Share Secrets for Making Money in Any Market
Gold Trading | March 25, 2015

Bear markets are the authors of bull markets. A market that has declined by 83% in nominal terms and 90% in real terms is 90% cheaper and 90% less risky than it was during a bull market. Bull markets follow bear markets, and you make money in markets by buying low and selling high. This is the opportunity to buy low. Buy Gold.

Is the tide turning for Gold and Silver?
Gold Trading | Silver Trading | March 25, 2015

After the failure of the Swiss referendum when the SNB de-pegged the franc from the euro, investors received a flurry of news regarding worldwide demand for both silver and gold. This news continues to pore in, that multiple factions that are unsure of the longevity of the U.S. dollar continue to buy precious metals.

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