Commodity Trade Mantra

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Why It’s High Time to Consider Emerging Market Stocks

According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), emerging markets grew 4.1% last year. For perspective, the U.S. economy grew 1.6%. For 2018 the EMs will grow 4.8%, compared to 2% U.S. economy growth. Commodity prices have taken off. Higher commodity prices could be the catalyst that emerging market stocks have been waiting for.

British Assets play second Fiddle to Gold on Geopolitical Fears

The British bank’s investor sentiment index climbed to 6.1% in Feb, its highest level since April 2016, as UK investors continued to ride the sentiment wave. However, of all the assets, gold proved the most popular, rising 5.59% between Jan & Feb to a 46.37% approval rating. This is further evidence that “investor optimism is tempered by the need to shield against persistent geopolitical uncertainty.

China will soon own the Largest Gold Reserves in the World

The US remains the world’s largest gold owner. But for how much longer? There are changes afoot. China is now the world’s largest gold producer. It has held this title since 2007. Not only that, but China is the world’s biggest importer too. Since 2011, China has imported more than 5,000 tonnes. Another 3 years at a similar rate & China will have imported more gold than there is at Fort Knox.

Gold Preparing for a Healthy Rally into Higher Territory

Hedge funds and institutional speculators have been calling the tune for gold, trading the recent range, buying on dips, selling on rallies, and gradually adding to their physical holdings – a behavioral pattern we expect will continue within a rising trading range – at least until a price above the $1300 an ounce level is well established.

What Makes Goldman Sachs Majorly Bullish On Commodities

Commodities ended positively in 2016 for the first time in six years, so there should be further room to run. When business optimism goes up, capital expenditure also goes up & when capex goes up, commodities follow. Goldman has been neutral on commodities, recommending an overweight position only 4 times in the last 20 years. So now when it is become bullish, investors should pay attention.

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Is Conventional Wisdom Right about Gold and Deflation?

Conventional wisdom says gold thrives under inflation and wilts under deflation. The case for gold under inflation is easy enough. Gold rises as the dollar falls. It’s the opposite under deflation. But is conventional wisdom right about gold and deflation? Is it time to consider a different metric — not the nominal gold price — but gold’s purchasing power relative to consumer prices?

Copper Flashing the Hottest Chart on the Market Right Now

Copper has endured a painful downtrend for six years. Copper has exploded out of its long-term downtrend after building a solid base last year. It’s time to get ready for some huge gains. We saw the rumblings of a potential breakout back in October. Fast forward to this year & copper is ditching its downtrend for gains. Hop on the next leg of the base metals rally while you can.

Investment Secret of the Century: Incremental Returns by Investing in Gold and Silver

For investors who hold physical gold and silver, 2017 should be a very interesting year. And for the ones who don’t, $1,200 gold and silver at $17 is an absolute bargain compared to what we will see in the next few years. But the most important reason for holding physical gold and silver is not the potential capital appreciation but as a hedge against a bankrupt financial system.

The Real US Economy - A Full-Fledged Credit Crisis Is Inevitable

Americans are filing bankruptcy at the fastest rate in years… A growing number of U.S. businesses are going bust… The value of U.S. auto loans topped $1 trillion for the first time ever. Outstanding credit card debt has also surged to record highs. The value of student loans has doubled since 2009. All this wouldn’t be such a big problem if the economy were doing well… But it’s not.

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