Commodity Trade Mantra

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China’s Gold Strategy
Gold Trading | October 31, 2014

The fact that the Chinese authorities permitted private ownership of gold between 1983 and 2002, suggests that they had by then acquired sufficient gold for monetary and strategic purposes. This raises the question as to how much gold China might have secretly accumulated by the end of 2002 for this to be the case.

The Most Important Factor of the Swiss Gold Initiative
Gold Trading | October 31, 2014

In order to meet the regulations should the Gold Initiative pass, the SNB will need to buy 1,700 tons of gold at the market. That equates to roughly $70 billion or CHF 67 billion. And we are talking physical gold. Not futures contracts but the metal itself. Put another way, 1,700 tons of gold is roughly 70% of total annual gold production.

Why a Strong Dollar is the Mortal Enemy of Gold and Oil
Crude Oil Trading | Gold Trading | US Dollar | October 31, 2014

The strong dollar pushed bullion prices down 6% in Sept, historically gold’s strongest month. This move is unusual also because gold has had a monthly standard deviation of ±5.5% based on the last 10 years’ worth of data. Oil’s slump is a little more complicated to explain. In a way, American shale oil has become a victim of its own success.

Does This Look Like A Housing Recovery To You?
Economy | Housing and Mortgage | Michael Snyder | October 29, 2014

The chart that you are about to view is clear evidence that we are in the midst of a long-term economic decline. It shows what has happened to the homeownership rate in the U.S. since the year 2000, and as you can see it has been collapsing since the peak of the housing market back in 2007. Does this look like a housing recovery to you?

Price of Gold Will Rise - Greenspan
Gold Trading | October 29, 2014

It’s not because former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan said he thinks the price of gold will rise – I don’t need his investment advice; it’s that he shed light on how the Fed works in ways no other former Fed Chair has ever dared to articulate. All investors should pay attention to this.

As the Eurozone Stalls, China Cuts the Red Tape
China | Eurozone | October 29, 2014

Compared to many Eurozone nations, China is relatively young. There’s huge growth potential in this region, especially now that Premier Li has resolved to cut red tape & balance monetary and fiscal policy. In 10 years’ time, the 35-to-45 cohort, a well-educated group with good salaries & credit, will expand dramatically.

Total War over the Petrodollar
Casey Research | US Dollar | US Economy | October 29, 2014

The CEO of Total, before his death & his CFO were both strong supporters of Total raising the $27 billion in non US dollars & moving the project forward with the Russians. If Total doesn’t close the $27 billion financing it needs to move forward with the Yamal LNG project then we’ll know someone stepped in to prevent an attack on the petrodollar.

Peak Gold Is Here to Stay - Oliver Gross
Gold Trading | October 29, 2014

The wave of zero-interest liquidity washing over the financial world could result in a short-term gold bottom of $1,000. I like to invest when there is blood in the streets & that is certainly happening with precious metal equities. Today, investors can buy gold and silver stocks at decade-low valuations & historically low bullion-to-equity valuations.

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