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Global Economy Poised on a Knife-Edge Between Inflation & Deflation

The global economy is poised on a knife-edge between inflation and deflation. The inflationary vector could dominate quickly, based on a combination of Trump deficits & Fed accommodation. Conversely, the deflationary vector could dominate based on fundamental factors such as a strong dollar, deleveraging, demographics & technology combined with premature Fed tightening.

When the Bond-fire has finally run its course, Gold and Silver will Emerge Victorious

Today’s rising interest rates & trillion-dollar losses in global bond markets are prelude to what is to come,- Rising inflation with higher interest rates ending in the bursting of global government bond bubble & long awaited breakout in gold. The battle between capital & free markets is almost over; & when the bondfire has finally run its course, gold and silver will be victors.

Silver Prices to Explode on Exponentially Increasing National Debt

The U.S. National Debt is a “train-wreck.” Silver and gold prices erratically increase along with debt. Given that silver prices are near the low end of their 20 year “megaphone” pattern, expect much higher silver prices. Further, the cost of production is increasing rapidly and the ore quality is declining. Expect prices to increase based on limited supply.

"Too Many Promises That Can't be Kept" - The Fed Can't Raise Rates: Paul Volcker

One can’t really blame the government for continuing its debt-funded spending spree – despite protests to the contrary – after all rates are so low, it would be irrational not to take advantage and add on more debt. However, it is here that the punchline from the Volcker op-ed kicks in, and explains why the Fed is stuck and will find it next to impossible to hike rates.

The Fed's Measure of Inflation is Furthest from American Reality

Ben Bernanke first set an official inflation target in January 2012, aiming at 2%. Has it been achieved? Well, it depends on how you measure inflation. There are many to choose from. The Fed has chosen the one that is most suppressed and furthest from the experience of most American households. So the Fed can pretend that inflation is “too low,” whatever that means.

Price of Gold Could Rise a Lot Higher - In Fact Double

There’s a difference between the narrative, which is what you’re being told, versus the reality of the economic data. It’s in no one’s interest ahead of the election to say the U.S. economy is a mess. If the flood of bad economic data continues, the Fed will almost certainly print more money or cut interest rates. And that could easily send the price of gold through the roof.

Global Gold and Silver Produced in 3 Years = Only the Interest on US Debt

The financial disaster taking place at the US costs one heck of a lot of gold and silver. In 2015, the US Federal Government paid $402 billion just to service the interest on its debt. The total value of global gold production in 2015 was $122 billion while that of silver was $14 billion. So the US could purchase 3 times the global gold and silver production in 2015, just by the interest on its debt.

Why The US Consumer Will Cause The Next Crisis

The market is materially mispricing the strength of the US consumer whose weakness will lead the US economy into a recession in Q117. The divergence is a result of the top 40% of earners who have accrued 84% of all new income and only 34% of new debt since 2013. This strength has driven headline sales figures and accounted for nearly all deleveraging since the financial crisis.

Why the Coming Wave of Defaults Will Be Devastating

In an economy based on borrowing, loan defaults & deleveraging matter. Defaults mean loans & bonds won’t be paid back. The owners of the bonds & debt (mortgages, auto loans, etc.) will have to absorb massive losses. Having unleashed tens of trillions of dollars in new credit since 2008, the central banks have simply increased the likelihood & scale of the coming default conflagration.

If the Fed does What it Wants to, the Result will be the Opposite of What it Wants

The US economy is slowing perceptively. What should the Fed be doing? They might want to cut interest rates. Problem. Another tool in the arsenal – cheapen the US dollar. Again there is a problem. Whether that works & what is a good idea are separate issues. Certainly a rate hike would take the stock market down 20%. It’s going to be just the opposite of what the Fed wants.

Negative Interest Rates: The Tax On Capital

Negative interest rates remove the positive “interest” paid to savers which is supposed to (partially) protect us from the rapacious “real inflation” running at 10+% per year. They go well beyond even this level of economic theft & criminality. Negative interest rates tax capital. How do you “stimulate” an economy by taxing capital? The inevitable result can only be the complete economic destruction.

Exposing The Link Between Monetary Policy And Social Inequality

Our monetary policy direction has been prolonging the slowdown since 2008. The longer we wait, the worse the hit we will take. We are going from one bubble to another and are just postponing the inevitable. Under our current system, which has stripped the working class from their savings, they are exposed to greater risks than ever before.

Gold Wins in 3 out of 4 Scenarios - None Bode Well for the Economy

If you think of gold, the only way gold loses is if normal business and private sector cycles come back. If that is the case, gold goes back 100 dollars per ounce. The other outcomes, deflation, stagflation, hyperinflation are good for gold. So gold wins in three out of four scenarios, but none of the three are particularly appealing. Here is why.

A Gold Standard & Debt Jubilee for an Honest Money Monetary System

A gold standard handcuffs corrupt governments, forcing them to operate somewhere near a balanced budget, at all times. It handcuffs criminal central banks, restraining the speed with which they steal-by-inflation to a near-zero rate. Only alternative to Debt Slavery: Debt Jubilee – the complete renunciation of all debts. We absolutely require a gold standard but cannot till we don’t have a debt jubilee.

Gold Sparkles Most when Dark Clouds Loom over the Economy

After disappointing US economic growth data was released, gold jumped 1.2%. Weak data is good for gold because it decreases the chances of a rate hike soon. If US economy continues to struggle, the Fed could delay its next rate hike. If the dollar index breaks below 93, it could be a strong indication that a new downtrend in the dollar has started. And this could give a big boost to gold prices.

Latest Jobs Data Confirms This Is The Worst Expansion in 30 Years

To get a better sense of the jobs situation in context, though, we need to look beyond the headline data & delve more deeply into what the BLS is reporting. When we take discouraged workers & involuntary part timers into account, we’re still experiencing some of the highest unemployment numbers in 20 years. And this is taking changes in the overall labor force size into account.

Helicopter Money Tested And Failed Spectacularly, Surprising Only Economists

Imagine waking one morning to find extra cash in your account, a gift from your country’s central bank. That might sound outlandish. But the concept of so-called helicopter money is being seriously debated by economists. Helicopter money handed directly to consumers, the theory goes, would send us scurrying to the shops to spend our windfalls, boosting confidence in the economy.

End of an Era: The Rise and Fall of the Petrodollar System

Similar to the paradigm shift – the transition to the petrodollar system that followed with the collapse of the Bretton Woods system, there is another major shift underway today. We will know its consequences in full, the day oil-producing countries demand gold for their oil, instead of dollars. The Gulf states are seeking measures to reduce their dependence & exposure to the US dollar.

Giant Financial Bubbles created by Central Banks are Fracturing

Nearly everywhere on the planet the giant financial bubbles created by the central banks during the last two decades are fracturing. The latest examples are the crashing bank stocks in Italy & elsewhere in Europe & the sudden trading suspensions by three UK commercial property funds. It’s beginning to feel like August 2007 all over again. Of course, central banks have nothing to do with it at all!

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