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All posts under ‘Economy’

Gold Prices Decline as Fed Bluffs on Right Direction of the U.S. Economy

Minutes of the Fed’s April meeting released last week showed Fed officials believed the U.S. economy could be ready for another interest rate increase in June. Will the Fed actually follow through? Sometimes, the speculation alone accomplishes the purposes that Fed has in mind. For instance, the gold price against the dollar immediately suffered from rate-hike speculation.

Obama’s Grand Jobs Recovery: Part-Time Work for Everyone!

The mainstream media talks constantly about a “strengthening economy” & a certain interest rate hike next month. But every once in a while, it pulls back the curtain. CNN Money reported the truth on the actual condition of the US jobs market. It revealed the “job growth” Obama keeps crooning about as a sham. In fact, there are more jobs, but they are part-time jobs.

Watch How The Petrodollar Di(v)es As US - Saudi Relations Crack

U.S.-Saudi interests are diverging in many ways. Saudi Arabia’s 40-year pact with the United States is on the verge of ending. What happens next will have ramifications for the dollar for decades to come. We could be nearing the end of the petrodollar & I would not want to be holding U.S. Treasuries. With current interest rates I don’t want to hold them anyway.

Central banks may do more harm than good, says RBI's Rajan

Raghuram Rajan, governor of the RBI, has been leery of the unconventional monetary policy tools used by central banks since the financial crisis. At some point, he said, pushing interest rates low seems to have the perverse effect of making people save rather than spend. The asset-price boost that comes with QE may disappear if these assets can’t grow into their valuation.

We’re Near a Major Turning Point in the Currency Wars

In the currency wars, it looks like a recent quiet period is over and war is entering a new major battle. The US dollar went from an all-time low in August 2011 to a 10-year high in mid-2015. But the strong dollar finally caught up with the US economy, which has been slowing down precipitously. There are critical turning points where a long-term directional trend is set to reverse.

Negative Interest Rates: Causes, Consequences and Ramifications

Negative interest rates are unprecedented and show how far we have gone off course in terms of policy related to money and credit markets. They are already having a tremendous effect in several European countries and Japan, and they may eventually be coming to the US. Negative rates hold significant future implications for gold as well.

Why the Fall in Oil Prices is a Problem for Everyone

The increase of oil prices during the ‘70s caused inflation and recession in Europe & the US while oil producers were building a trade surplus & currency reserves. On the other end, in the late ‘80s & all of the ‘90s, the collapse of commodity prices contributed to a long period of economic growth in industrialized countries & caused serious problems for some oil producers.

Physical Gold, the Misery Index and Monetary Insanity

The official national debt of $19 trillion, measured in gold, is about 15 billion ounces – around 100 times the quantity of gold supposedly stored in Fort Knox. Given the insanity of endless borrow & spend programs, ever increasing debt, overpriced stocks & bonds, desperation & delusions, and more … have you stacked physical gold in preparation for the inevitable consequences?

Why is the Whole Pie Shrinking? Well - It's Recession Time

We are picking up signals from a source even more powerful than central banks. This source is the specter of global recession. One of the other signals is the shrinkage in world trade. You can have a reduced trade deficit but still find that exports and imports are both shrinking. It means the global trading economy is shrinking: a sure sign of recession.

Negative Rates Confirm The Failure Of Globalization: Deutsche Bank

Negative interest rates may or may not be a thing of the past, but the confusion about their significance remains. Here is Deutsche Bank’s Dominic Konstam explaining how, among many other things including why Europe will need to “tax” cash before this final Keynesian experiment is finally over, negative rates are merely the logical failure of globalization.

Oil Bust Spreads: Credit Downgraded Of 11 Texas Towns

The Moody’s ratings have little forward-looking value, and are more a reflection of what the market already knows—that times are tough, and lending in this industry—or within the geographical boundaries of oil-dependent locations—comes at a risk. Moody’s will consider the oil downturn and the ability of each government to adapt in this difficult environment.

Slow Economic Growth? Look to Gold, Treasuries as Safe Haven Investments

Gold, treasuries & other bonds tend to be so-called haven investments, where investors often park cash until equities recover. Gold futures have jumped as money managers flee equities. The rate on 10-year Treasury bonds has declined by almost a fourth as people rush to invest in the low-yield, low-risk investment. Dumping money into both is a trend that’s expected to continue.

Relying on a Pension to Retire? Food Stamps May Be Your Future

Public pension funds are going broke. Certain state pensions are laughably short the money needed to pay retirees. The Central States Pension Fund – a giant private pension fund, recently decided to cut benefit payments by as much as 61%. Retirees currently getting monthly checks for $3,000 will only get $1,180 now. The cuts will affect hundreds of thousands of people.

Inflation - The Fed's Nightmare Scenario Is Becoming Reality

Higher inflation is not a dream come true. It is the Fed’s worst possible nightmare. It will expose the error of their 8-year stimulus experiment & the Fed’s impotence in restoring health to an economy that it has turned into a walking zombie addicted to cheap money. If inflation catches fire now, with growth close to zero, the Fed will be completely incapable of controlling it.

The $100 Bill Could Be the Next Victim in the War on Cash

When banks implement negative rates, they literally charge customers to hold their money. You’re not likely to save money in the bank if it’s costing you to do so. Central planners believe this will motivate you to spend, thus stimulating the economy. But in order for this scheme to work, it has to be impossible for you to hide currency. That’s what the war on cash is really all about.

Helicopter Money - The Recipe For Inflation Gathers Momentum

Where will inflation come from? With helicopter money, Congress spends the money. It covers its deficit with more borrowing & the Fed prints the money to cover the borrowing. It’s essentially monetizing the debt. The difference is that in the case of QE, there’s no extra spending. In the case of helicopter money, there is because Congress spends all the money. – Your recipe for inflation.

Where Is Negative Interest Rate Policy Leading Us To?

Negative interest rate policy by the world’s central banks is getting out of control. The Riksbank has joined the European Central Bank, the Swiss National Bank and the Bank of Japan in this negative interest rate madness. They want inflation, but negative rates feed deflationary expectations. This causes consumers to hold onto cash in the expectation that goods will get even cheaper.

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