Commodity Trade Mantra

All posts under ‘Bond Market’

Can Bond & Stock Market Bubbles outlive Reversal of Monetary Stimulus that Created them?

The Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank have been two of the biggest liquidity creators and both have stated they intend to reverse their policies. With the ECB set to taper its purchases, what will happen to yields? And where will the liquidity come from to hold bond and equity prices aloft? Are central banks about to pop the bond & stock market bubbles they have created?

Gold Price Holds While US Treasuries Dumped In Record Volumes

Central bankers the world over are beginning to shed treasuries & refrain from debt market participation because they are not convinced that the rhetoric supporting the viability of the fiat currency regime now underlying the world monetary system is sustainable. And if you’re one of the throwback gold enthusiasts, you’re likely enjoying the apparent strength in the gold price currently evident.

What Are Gold Prices and Bond Yields Telling Us?

A positive relationship between gold and the dollar has reemerged over the last few trading sessions & needs to be watched carefully. That is doubly true right now, while bonds are rising and bond yields are falling. If bonds continue to rise with gold and the dollar, it would indicate that investors are becoming more risk-averse and seeking so-called “safety assets.”

When the Bond-fire has finally run its course, Gold and Silver will Emerge Victorious

Today’s rising interest rates & trillion-dollar losses in global bond markets are prelude to what is to come,- Rising inflation with higher interest rates ending in the bursting of global government bond bubble & long awaited breakout in gold. The battle between capital & free markets is almost over; & when the bondfire has finally run its course, gold and silver will be victors.

The Next Financial Disaster Starts Here - Junk Bonds

Investors looking for income have turned to junk bonds. Junk bonds didn’t grow much from 2002 to 2008. But when the Fed cut rates to zero in 2008, junk bond issuance began to take off & the number of junk bond issues soared 483% between 2008 and 2014. Today, some of the savviest investors are starting to place bets against junk bonds. Exit junk bonds today.

Silver Price Lows and Bubble Bond Markets

T bonds & S&P look dangerous, while silver has been crushed during the past 4 years. Which of those three asset classes is likely to perform better between now & Election Day 2016? Which of those assets has no counter-party risk? Two of those assets currently trade near all-time highs, while one is quite inexpensive.

What Do Negative Bond Yields Mean for the Gold Price?

Bonds are no longer trading like bonds. They now trade like commodities. Given that investors often buy gold and other precious metals as a hedge against risk — for instance, when the economy is doing poorly — it will be interesting to see whether this new way bonds are being traded has any impact on interest in such metals.

Fed's Bullard Urges Investors To Sell Bonds (But Not Stocks)

Given the market’s rapid surge to dismissing The Fed’s stock-selling recommendations, we are stunned by the silence of “market defenders” as once again the Fed takes to the airwaves to demand investors sell their bonds. The Fed is desperate for investors to sell their bonds as they are in full panic mode over the broken repo markets.

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