Commodity Trade Mantra

Economic Forecast 2012.

Economic Update - Commodity Trade Mantra

Economic Forecast 2012

From 2012 onwards – The Technology boom seen in the past 15 years will see the pace slowing down. Technology, banking, realty, metals, electronics & FMCG sectors expected to decline & will sharply slowdown. The new sectors which will emerge as winners for the next 15 years will be from the Water related Industries, Pharmacy, Health – care, Power, Education, Entertainment (Films, Music & Arts included), Telecom, Agriculture & Alternate Fuel Industry.

Surprising and contrary to many, Gold and Silver inflows may increase from 2012-13 onward, thereby reducing the demand. Huge corrections in these can be expected 2012 onwards. Gold may finally end its Bull Run of the past 8-10 years, from 2012-13 onward for sometime giving a golden opportunity to very long-term investors. This process will take place in stages. The U.S.$ will also witness an extremely Massive downfall, contradictory to the extraordinary rise seen in the same in the last few months of 2011.

The sensitivity of nations to FOOD Shortages will be one of the major sources of unrest in the developing world in the coming period. Large scale revolutions will surely be seen in almost all parts of the world but especially in the so-called developed nations.

These developments could prove to be a fatal Red alert for any further economic growth in the developed nations and also for India, China, Russia and Brazil. 2012 onwards can also bring fears of Epidemics, but in the long run this influence is sure to bring wonderful advances in medicine.

Putting food on the table will be a more pressing concern than buying luxuries or gifts. Inflation & scarcity of food will be severely felt.

2013 is the year when the pain really kicks in. The need for a transformation of existing state, business and banking structures will be strong, but nobody is going to use democratic methods to ask anybody for their point of view. This is emergency surgery, performed by powerful rulers through secretive and autocratic methods. Taxes will be ruthlessly imposed with a view to alleviate the social disasters of the time leading to the further lowering of living standards, a lot of homeless people and huge areas of vacant real estate. The impositions of more and more taxes will finally trigger large & violent revolutions. There will also be large waves of crimes triggered by the hard times.

There will be corruption and the rooting out of corruption. Industry barons will do all within their power to maintain their advantages at this time through strong links to government. The awareness of the suffering of the underprivileged has scarcely begun. What we will see over the next few years is the extreme polarization of right-wing solutions. Finally by 2024, there will be little that remains of the autocratic structures that are currently being put in place to safeguard the banks and corporations whose survival is currently threatened.

Fiscal issues that instilled large fear in the developed nations, especially U.S.A., in 2008, will come back to haunt in a more fearsome Avatar. Emergency surgery (Bail outs) methods for immediate relief will prove to be the undoing for many governments.

Among these complications, the most dreaded would be of spiraling debt through credit cards which would seem to keep on piling up on the now jobless, homeless and fate-fully also could be hit by epidemics. Who all and how do we bail out now?

The million $ question thus answered now: Do you now invest in Gold or in Food due to the expected shortages & inflation? Can Gold rise further when there will be so little to invest in terms of money and also in terms of interest when so much of negativity is going around. Gold will actually be sold to overcome fiscal burdens & also for immediate liquidity to support life. And so the mention above that, Gold and Silver inflows may increase from 2012 onwards…..

In response to shortages, harvesting the sea will also be undertaken on a vast scale in this period, and with mass production of factory fish, a much greater awareness of the ecological downsides of the process will dawn, leading to more humane standards for fish. Extraction of oil from the ocean will play an even greater role, and as a shortage of oil begins to threaten the smooth functioning of industry, vast undersea reserves will be exploited in previously pristine environments around Greenland and in the Arctic.

People will withdraw from the small comfort of a Facebook universe – and seek privacy and seclusion. Suffering will be too real for dabblers in spirituality, and true solidarity will be found in helping people who are in situations where – but for the grace of God – you could find yourself.

The era from 2012 onwards will see the beginning of the ascendancy of Africa. It is likely that the growing worldwide food shortages can be alleviated by more effective farming in Africa, which currently is very inefficiently cultivated, and the riches found in agricultural, mineral and oil reserves will finally bring prosperity. India can also be benefited to a large extent by the same, but only if corrective measures are implemented in time.

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