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"Too Many Promises That Can't be Kept" - The Fed Can't Raise Rates: Paul Volcker

One can’t really blame the government for continuing its debt-funded spending spree – despite protests to the contrary – after all rates are so low, it would be irrational not to take advantage and add on more debt. However, it is here that the punchline from the Volcker op-ed kicks in, and explains why the Fed is stuck and will find it next to impossible to hike rates.

The Fed's Measure of Inflation is Furthest from American Reality

Ben Bernanke first set an official inflation target in January 2012, aiming at 2%. Has it been achieved? Well, it depends on how you measure inflation. There are many to choose from. The Fed has chosen the one that is most suppressed and furthest from the experience of most American households. So the Fed can pretend that inflation is “too low,” whatever that means.

Price of Gold Could Rise a Lot Higher - In Fact Double

There’s a difference between the narrative, which is what you’re being told, versus the reality of the economic data. It’s in no one’s interest ahead of the election to say the U.S. economy is a mess. If the flood of bad economic data continues, the Fed will almost certainly print more money or cut interest rates. And that could easily send the price of gold through the roof.

Global Gold and Silver Produced in 3 Years = Only the Interest on US Debt

The financial disaster taking place at the US costs one heck of a lot of gold and silver. In 2015, the US Federal Government paid $402 billion just to service the interest on its debt. The total value of global gold production in 2015 was $122 billion while that of silver was $14 billion. So the US could purchase 3 times the global gold and silver production in 2015, just by the interest on its debt.

Why The US Consumer Will Cause The Next Crisis

The market is materially mispricing the strength of the US consumer whose weakness will lead the US economy into a recession in Q117. The divergence is a result of the top 40% of earners who have accrued 84% of all new income and only 34% of new debt since 2013. This strength has driven headline sales figures and accounted for nearly all deleveraging since the financial crisis.

If the Fed does What it Wants to, the Result will be the Opposite of What it Wants

The US economy is slowing perceptively. What should the Fed be doing? They might want to cut interest rates. Problem. Another tool in the arsenal – cheapen the US dollar. Again there is a problem. Whether that works & what is a good idea are separate issues. Certainly a rate hike would take the stock market down 20%. It’s going to be just the opposite of what the Fed wants.

End of an Era: The Rise and Fall of the Petrodollar System

Similar to the paradigm shift – the transition to the petrodollar system that followed with the collapse of the Bretton Woods system, there is another major shift underway today. We will know its consequences in full, the day oil-producing countries demand gold for their oil, instead of dollars. The Gulf states are seeking measures to reduce their dependence & exposure to the US dollar.

Will Gold Prices Crash With The Dow And Again Soar On Inflation?

Are we headed for a crash in the stock market? Yes, and a more severe one than in 2008. As the crash unfolds, gold will be sold even though holders may be confident about gold, as the goal will be to cover immediate losses. Inflation will then ramp up dramatically as governments increase money supply, eventually causing collapses in currencies. Currency collapse will again push up gold prices.

Gold Warns of Impending Monetary System Collapse

The U.S. monetary system is the most debased it has ever been. Furthermore, the monetary system is at an all-time high stress-point & also at the worst possible time relative to other key conditions. The Dow is near all-time highs & is about to crash. This is the first time that point 4 on the Gold / Monetary Base chart will basically coincide with a Dow top/crash. This warning should not be ignored.

National Debt: US Economy Priced in Gold - Cause For Alarm

National debt has increased exponentially for the past 50 years. The 35-year graph shows on average the national debt has increased rapidly, even when priced in gold. Debt is increasing far too rapidly & gold is underpriced. The current national debt is equal to about 100 times the total value, at current gold prices, of the gold “officially” stored in Fort Knox. This should be cause for alarm.

America’s Hidden Jobless Rate is a Product of This Conspiracy

The jobless numbers are actually part of a much larger mainstream “conspiracy” that goes the heart of the way economies work in 21st century America. There are something like 100 million Americans not working, including older people and young people. That’s a fairly well accepted statistic. These people are not counted in the jobless figures though in fact they may want to work.

This Always Happens Right Before The Official Start Of A Recession

The exact same patterns that we witnessed just prior to the last major economic crisis are playing out once again right in front of our eyes. If you are waiting for some type of big announcement from the government that a recession has started, you are likely going to be waiting for quite a while. Those that are wise have already been getting prepared for a new recession.

Worldwide Defaults are Imminent - Would You Prefer Bonds or Gold?

The US owes something like $200 TRILLION if one includes Social Security & other outflows going forward. Some 100 million individuals including young people & seniors are not working in mainstream jobs or not working at all. When the entire world’s financial infrastructure is threatening to implode due to unmanageable debt, what would you rather be holding – gold or bonds?

Gold Prices Decline as Fed Bluffs on Right Direction of the U.S. Economy

Minutes of the Fed’s April meeting released last week showed Fed officials believed the U.S. economy could be ready for another interest rate increase in June. Will the Fed actually follow through? Sometimes, the speculation alone accomplishes the purposes that Fed has in mind. For instance, the gold price against the dollar immediately suffered from rate-hike speculation.

Obama’s Grand Jobs Recovery: Part-Time Work for Everyone!

The mainstream media talks constantly about a “strengthening economy” & a certain interest rate hike next month. But every once in a while, it pulls back the curtain. CNN Money reported the truth on the actual condition of the US jobs market. It revealed the “job growth” Obama keeps crooning about as a sham. In fact, there are more jobs, but they are part-time jobs.

Watch How The Petrodollar Di(v)es As US - Saudi Relations Crack

U.S.-Saudi interests are diverging in many ways. Saudi Arabia’s 40-year pact with the United States is on the verge of ending. What happens next will have ramifications for the dollar for decades to come. We could be nearing the end of the petrodollar & I would not want to be holding U.S. Treasuries. With current interest rates I don’t want to hold them anyway.

Inflation - The Fed's Nightmare Scenario Is Becoming Reality

Higher inflation is not a dream come true. It is the Fed’s worst possible nightmare. It will expose the error of their 8-year stimulus experiment & the Fed’s impotence in restoring health to an economy that it has turned into a walking zombie addicted to cheap money. If inflation catches fire now, with growth close to zero, the Fed will be completely incapable of controlling it.

Negative Rates In The U.S. Are Next: Here's Why In One Chart

The Fed will follow the footsteps of negative rates in Sweden, Denmark, Europe, Switzerland & now Japan. Will this crush money markets as we know them & unleash even more volatility & havoc around the world? Absolutely. But at this point, when every other central bank has lost credibility “what differnce will it make” if the Fed joins the party on the central bank Titanic?

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