Commodity Trade Mantra

All posts under ‘Equity Trading’

When will Equities and Gold Begin to Change Places?

In our view, Bullard has signaled the approaching demise of the Trump inflation trade. The equity markets have not yet got the memo. In the midst of a manic bubble, all news is still good news. The prop under the run up in stocks and the narrative behind the correction in gold are fading. We think equities and gold will soon begin to change places.

Commodities Firms Gain Most as FTSE 100 Keeps Going Strong

It is clear that commodities prices have had a really big impact on the stock market in this period, and that this has been far greater than even the impact of the general election. With the pound not doing anything especially interesting at the time (it rose slightly against the dollar but was down against the euro), oil prices have certainly been one of the most important drivers on the market.

Warnings of a Stock Market Bubble from Major Investors

Many money & hedge fund managers are privately telling investors: Stocks have risen to unsustainable levels & a stock market crash may well be imminent. Geopolitical tensions continue to rise with the ongoing conflict in the Middle East threatening to explode & the US & North Korea are seemingly determined to maintain a collision course. In short – there are a lot of pins to pop a bubble.

The Fake Paper Markets & the Real Gold and Silver

Just like the artificial paper markets in New York and London that are used to keep the price of gold and silver from rising, the western stock markets are prevented from falling by a web synthetic derivative securities and fraudulent financial reporting applications. Never before in history have stock market valuations been more disconnected from the underlying fundamental economic reality.

Trump’s Stock Market Report Card Says - Buy Gold

Judging by the huge post-election rally we’ve witnessed, it’s no surprise the Trump administration is patting itself on the back. But if early morning market action is any indication, the streak ends today. It’s safe to say investors are feeling giddy as the stock market blasts into uncharted territory. As the stock rally loses steam to finish the trading week, gold looks stronger than ever.

The Next Market Correction Will Trigger Record Gold ETF Demand

Once the Great Hyped Trump Rally runs its course and the lousy fundamentals are allowed to kick in, the broader stock markets are going to experience one hell of a correction. And with that correction, we will experience another big surge in Retail Gold ETF demand. Even though Gold ETF demand is paper driven market, it is instrumental in pushing the gold price considerably higher.

The Stock Market Crash Will Be Violent - Its Only a Matter of Time

Coming soon, is the mother of all debt ceiling crises that will finally demolish the notion that Trump is good for the economy & the stock market. Fed has destroyed honest price discovery, & so the stock market has no braking or correction mechanism & will drift higher on buy-the-dips momentum until it hits a sharp object – the most dangerous market mutation to have been confected by state policy.

Rising Gold and Silver Prices Indicate a Wall Street Correction

The recent upsurge in gold and silver does point to a possible correction on Wall Street. Share prices have been hitting new all-time highs repeatedly in recent times without any further fundamental support. With US stock indices near record high levels, we are hesitant to turn bearish yet & its impossible to predict the timing of the upcoming crash. But the stage looks set, so be prepared.

Gold Investment Demand to rise on Inflation & Pent-up Selling in Red-Hot Stocks & US Dollar

Stock investors owning essentially-zero gold exposure, have vast room to buy again when the wildly-overvalued stock markets inevitably roll over. Gold investment demand was triggered in 2016 by post-Fed-rate-hike stock selling delayed until January for tax reasons. Incentives to hold until January are far greater this year than most, since 2017 may see lower tax rates thanks to Trump.

History Says Markets Could Crash in the Cruelest Month - September

What month is the great menace for markets? September… What could possibly go wrong? Turns out the 30 days ahead are peppered with land mines that could go off with…detonative effects on the market. One of them is Sept. 21. The markets have most definitely not “priced in” a rate hike. It will sell off violently if the Fed goes ahead and raises rates.

The Unique Factor that could Drive Gold & the Stock Market to New Highs

It’s not often we see a strong correlation between gold and the stock market, as the historical data tends to suggest indifference, but the recipe is there for both to soar to new heights. An increase in the spot price of gold will have an immediately positive impact on the margins of both Royal Gold and Silver Wheaton, and as such could push the valuations of both companies substantially higher.

How will the US Elections Affect Equities and Gold?

The experience of losing money is common in investing. But where is the certitude of loss even before your check clears? That’s the situation with sovereign debt right now. Gold is money and money is sterile. It does not pay dividends or earn income. I don’t suggest that it is the only thing that people should have their money in. But to me, gold is a very timely way to invest in monetary disorder.

Marc Faber Predicts a 50% Correction in Stocks - Rings Alarm Bells

Marc Faber is just one more expert who is ringing the alarm bells in stocks. Sadly, the mainstream media continue to dismiss the experts who are trying to warn the masses, stating that we are conspiracy theorist and nothing more. Even though we have been proven right in our predictions time and time again, causing the trash can to nearly overflow with tin foil hats.

A Stock Market Shock Is the Only Way Out: Deutsche Bank Analyst

The US stock market continues to hit new highs to the puzzlement of many. This run to new highs in the US stock market is bizarre seeing as the profit picture remains as muddled as ever. This is definitely not an earnings-based rally. Ironically the shock that is needed would require a collapse in risk assets for policymakers to then really panic and attempt dramatic fiscal stimulus.

August Watchout! Stocks Will Slump While Silver Will Soar

Historically, August has been a rough month for stock investors. The fall in the dollar will reflect in the rise of silver. I believe that silver is on the cusp of a rally. The silver bulls have seen a stupendous run from the lows of around $13.73 during the start of the year to the highs of $21.2 in early July 2016. However, I believe that the bull run in silver will continue after a small consolidation.

At Record Valuations - The Market is Now Too Big To Fail

When large concentration of total asset value is dependent on the market, it becomes necessary to maintain the market at all costs. The market has become too systemically important to allow it to fail. And that means policymakers have changed the function of the market. Today, the market is being used as a (false) portrayal of the underlying economy.

Gold and Silver Strong – Banks and Stocks Scary

European Banks are worth watching. The failure of even one modest-sized European bank will send ripples through the world financial system & would likely drive significant safe-haven buying in gold and silver. Valuations are widely acknowledged to be at nosebleed levels versus historical norms & individual investors are fleeing equity markets. Gold and silver benefit during a selloff in stocks.

Last 2 Times Equity Valuations Were This High, Result Was A Historic Crash

The current P/E expansion cycle is now one of the largest in history. Although equity valuations are typically highest during periods of low interest rates, the current 18x P/E stands at the upper end of the historical valuation range. During the last 40 years the only instance in which S&P 500 forward P/E exceeded 20x was the Tech Bubble (peak of 24x in December 1999).

Any Eruption of Reality will Reveal this Stock Market Rally as a Head-Fake

All the technical “buy” signals are precisely what you’d expect in a rigged rally. If there’s nothing supporting this rally but euphoric sentiment arising from orchestrated buying, any eruption of reality will reveal the stock market rally as a head-fake. Having exterminated short-sellers, there won’t be many who will benefit should the rally be transformed into a rout by reality.

The Greatest One Day Global Stock Market Loss In World History

Worldwide markets haemorrhaged more than $2 trillion in paper wealth on Friday, according to data from S&P Global, the worst on record. For context, that figure eclipsed the whipsaw trading sessions of the 2008 financial crisis. This could be the tipping point that turns the existing global slowdown of 2016 into a global recession. Friday may turn out to be just the tip of the iceberg.

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