Commodity Trade Mantra

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If the Fed does What it Wants to, the Result will be the Opposite of What it Wants

The US economy is slowing perceptively. What should the Fed be doing? They might want to cut interest rates. Problem. Another tool in the arsenal – cheapen the US dollar. Again there is a problem. Whether that works & what is a good idea are separate issues. Certainly a rate hike would take the stock market down 20%. It’s going to be just the opposite of what the Fed wants.

Global Oil could be a True Body Blow to the US Dollar

What happens when more parties reject the Brent quote as an accurate daily price quote for oil? President Putin has stated many times that he wants to move away from the US dollar in trade. Global oil buyers would soon fall into line & begin paying that basket price. If the Brent oil quote falls apart in Europe — replaced by Urals blend quote — It would be a true body blow to the US dollar.

Gold And Silver Will Have to Struggle to Rise - Says the Fiat Dollar

It appears that gold and silver prices will continue to be kept low. Our take on the precious metals charts strongly suggests that gold and silver may work higher, over time, but it will be labored and not without intense effort to overcome the unlimited ability of the Federal Reserve [controlled entirely by the elites] to create an infinite supply of debt that poses as “money.”

China’s Monetary Ascension Is Paved with Gold

When the Chinese yuan becomes an SDR currency, that could be the inflection point for a new multi-polar currency regime that sees the US dollar decline in stature. Could gold also begin to emerge as a leading currency in world trade? Over time, it certainly could. But the more immediate implications for gold’s monetary role center on its increasing accumulation by central banks such as China’s.

The US Dollar Strength Takes Its Toll On Oil Prices Again

As we exit summer driving season, and as refinery maintenance ramps up, demand eases, and typically… oil prices come under pressure. The return of oversupply fears are clobbering the crude oil complex lower, with gasoline leading the charge. With Nonfarm Friday on deck, bringing the prospect of a stronger dollar, here are five things to consider in oil markets today.

The SDR Is Designed As A Rescue Operation For The US Dollar

The IMF created the SDR Substitution Account in 1969. T he core idea is that the SDR Substitution Account Central Banks allows to diversify their existing US dollar reserves in a one-time conversion away from the dollar into IMF’s SDR, comprised of the US dollar, European euro, Japanese yen and British pound, in an off-market transaction, so as not to depress the dollar’s exchange rate.

Here Is Why The US Dollar Collapse Is Imminent

The list of reasons why the US dollar could collapse is getting bigger daily. Here are some factors – Reckless monetary policies by the Federal Reserve. U.S. national debt continues to increase. Other currencies like the Chinese yuan are gaining a significant amount of attention on a global level. Central banks are starting to lose trust in the US dollar as well. Read more…

Strength of Gold Against Foreign Currencies Confirms Bull Market Status

If Gold is going up only because of a falling US$, that is a US$ bear market, not a Gold bull market. A Gold bull market is Gold rising against the majority of currencies. Gold’s strength in foreign currencies confirms its global bull market status and provides a hint that more gains for Gold in US$ terms are likely ahead. We view any weakness in the weeks ahead as a buying opportunity.

End of an Era: The Rise and Fall of the Petrodollar System

Similar to the paradigm shift – the transition to the petrodollar system that followed with the collapse of the Bretton Woods system, there is another major shift underway today. We will know its consequences in full, the day oil-producing countries demand gold for their oil, instead of dollars. The Gulf states are seeking measures to reduce their dependence & exposure to the US dollar.

Future Prospects for Fiat Currency Money & it's Purchasing Power

The faith and credit-standing of issuers of paper money, and not the known and suspected inadequacies of commercial finance, is the last rotten pit-prop supporting the system. We can easily see how a new round of monetary expansion designed to save the global banking system from its nemesis will lead, not to a Lehman-style outcome, but to a collapse of paper currencies.

A Rush to Gold and Silver Simply Indicates the Falling Influence of US Dollar

While the DOW and S&P languished in the agony of three crashes from March of 2000 through 2009, gold and silver got no respect from Wall Street or financial media. That’s despite gold doubling in paper money terms 2.8 times from 2001 to 2011. But no market goes up or down forever. After years of massive money printing & price manipulation, the gold and silver bull is back.

Will Fed Kill The Dollar To Save Markets - Or Sacrifice Markets To Save Dollar?

A strong dollar makes exported US military hardware too expensive for foreign purchases & a weak dollar can cause a lack of confidence in the dollar & can cause inflation because the US relies heavily on imports. If an interest rate hike causes the equity markets to crash, demand for US Treasuries will spike, thus furthering the Fed’s objectives of keeping demand high for US Treasury bonds.

Currency Manipulation by the United States Is Alive and Well

Although further currency manipulation is far from ideal, the US is in no place to criticize Japan for it. Historically, the US has been the world’s leading cheerleader for currency manipulation. If the United States government wants to continue dishing out anti-currency manipulation rhetoric, it best explain why it’s had its own hands in the foreign exchange market.

Gold Prices will rise on Weaker Dollar - Thanks to Fed's Monetary Policies

Change happens for a reason. Yellen may not be “missing” the risks of stagflation. More likely, she is heading there on purpose – as terrible as that sounds to say. How will gold react? That’s still not clear. But in our view, the longer term trends involve price inflation and economic stagflation. These will weigh down the dollar and drive gold prices higher against it.

China's Increasing Presence in Gold Market - An Obsession to Prop up Yuan

No doubt that Chinese officials see gold as an important asset for the future. Is China’s quest to put the yuan on the world stage closely related to this involvement in gold? Will China actually come up with some kind of a gold-backed currency? Actually, China’s fixation on gold is a story of diversification that can lessen the devastation of central planning gone wrong.

The Fed is Data Dependant - Gold Price is Dollar Dependant

Rising gold holdings have been the one bright spot for the gold price that has held steady even in the face of weakness on the gold chart. The big question the market is going to be asking is can the Fed indeed hike rates at a pace that would send the US Dollar higher with all the negative side effects from that. Much depends on what the Forex markets do with the US Dollar.

Foreign Central Banks Dumping US Debt & Buying Gold at Alarming Pace

Central banks around the world sold off a net $17 billion in US Treasury bonds in March. Sales set a record in January, hitting $57 billion. Between December and February, China’s central bank sold off an alarming $236 billion. By selling US debt, central banks can get hard cash to buy up their local currency. But many of them aren’t just purchasing local currency. They are buying gold.

Eurozone in Danger on Falling Purchasing Power of Dollar, Not Rising Commodity Prices

All financial prices in the Eurozone are badly skewed. So far, the price inflation environment has been benign, but this year, things have been changing. Higher levels of debt will never allow the ECB to run interest rates up sufficiently to kill price inflation. More likely, positive rates of only one or two per cent would be enough to destabilise the Eurozone’s financial system.

A Technical Correction in Dollar can put some Pressure on Gold Prices

Given the relatively small amount of deliverable gold in the market at any one time, the gold price has the potential to be extremely volatile with this level of off-market speculation hanging over it. The wider public is slowly waking up to the horrors of negative interest rates & withdrawal of high-denomination bank notes, both which will almost certainly increase demand for physical gold.

There will be a Panic Into Gold after the Panic Out of Paper Currencies

I think there’s going be a panic into gold and out of paper currencies. So this small up-move that we’ve gotten here since the beginning of the year, that’s just a harbinger. I think this time around, we’re looking at $2,000, $3,000 an ounce. I think it’s going be incredible. The question is why? Here’s the reason for a bullish outlook on gold, & how silver could hit $100 /oz.

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