Commodity Trade Mantra

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Why Cryptocurrencies Can Never Replace Physical Gold

Gold is rare enough to be a true store of value. There’s no danger of it becoming ubiquitous, even if a dozen super-high-grade deposits were discovered tomorrow. If ever the lights go out, due to an electromagnetic pulse, either as an act of war or through a strong solar flare, Bitcoin will vanish instantly. Physical gold, on the other hand, will still be there and ready to use as needed.

Dollar nowhere near Bottoming out, Gold nowhere near Topping out

Despite two rate hikes & impending balance sheet reduction, the 10-year yield has moved 15% lower since early March while USD has been weakening, both contrary to many forecasts. While USD has been falling, Gold has rallied over $200 since December 2015 to its current mark at 1,276.70. Now there are many potential catalysts to move make the 20%+ seen in Gold look small.

Supremacy of US Dollar as Global Reserve Currency is Doomed

A relief rally is likely in the US dollar, although that doesn’t mean the rally will get very far, nor that the dollar’s downtrend is done. While several indicators are suggesting that it will take at least a breather here, if it does break down the consequences for the dollar are likely to be dire—and this could be the message of the super bullish gold and silver.

Gold or Bitcoin - What's more likely to be Valuable a Hundred Years from now?

If you were to ask me which I think is more likely to be around a hundred years from now, it’s gold… every time. Nothing has usurped it for millennia as a globally-accepted medium of exchange or store of value, and I don’t think bitcoin will do so either. Gold can’t be altered. Bitcoin runs on a protocol that can be changed. Gold has stood the test of time of thousands of years. Bitcoin is just beginning.

Stock Market Meltdown - Real Test for Gold & Cryptocurrencies

The real test for gold and the cryptocurrencies is going to come when the stock market enters bear-market territory. Gold provided a solid safe-haven during earlier financial crisis & will likely do so again. Bitcoin and Ethereum have the potential to do so, but they are unproven and carry additional risks. It all comes down to your risk tolerance. Do you want to shoot for the moon or want stability?

Dollar's Long-term Downtrend will have Positive Impact on Gold Prices

The charts for the dollar index continue to look grim. On the 8-month chart we can see it dropping away beneath a parabolic downtrend that is accelerating to the downside. If this parabolic downtrend continues to force the dollar lower it should have a positive impact on the gold price, although it hasn’t thus far. Further significant weakness in the dollar should of course be bullish for gold and silver.

Why Currencies Unbacked by Gold - the Sound Money are Doomed to Collapse

Money is the anchor in a transaction, and contrasts with the subjective value placed on goods. This article explains the money side of prices, and why government currencies, unbacked by gold, are doomed to collapse. And why gold, which is the sound money chosen by markets throughout history, will retain or increase its purchasing power measured in the goods it buys over the coming years.

GOLD, SILVER or BITCOIN - Where Would You Prefer Investing?

Most investors who have been concerned about the massively inflated Bubble Markets and the Greatest Financial Ponzi Scheme in history, have been investing in gold and silver. However, a new kid on the block, called Bitcoin and the other crypto-currencies, have gained a lot of attention due to the huge increase in their prices over the past few months. So which would you choose to invest in?

Is There a Relationship Between the Malaysian Ringgit & Crude Oil Prices?

The fortunes of the Malaysian Ringgit (MYR) have reversed in line with crude oil prices since the beginning of 2017, as OPEC’s production caps continue to drive incremental hikes. This highlights the direct correlation between crude oil prices & the Malaysian currency, with the former dictating the performance of the latter & driving clearly visible trends in growth & depreciation.

China-Saudi deal "Yuan for Oil," Another step to the Grave for the Dollar

As China imports more & more oil, the idea of paying for oil in yuan instead of the US dollar becomes more critical. China is working on a deal to pay for Saudi oil using Chinese yuan. This effort poses a direct threat to the security of the dollar. If this China-Saudi deal happens — yuan for oil — it’s another step closer to the grave for the petrodollar, which has dominated global finance since 1974.

Report on Currency Manipulation Expected to be Bullish for Gold Prices

The US Treasury report on currency manipulation was ordered by Donald Trump to address the issue of countries manipulating their currencies. The report is expected to have a strong impact on the currency markets. The most bullish outcome for gold prices would be if the report actually named a big country a currency manipulator, as it could trigger risk-off trading which would benefit bullion.

US Dollar Headed Significantly Lower with Lower Highs & Lower Lows

Lower highs and lower lows mean one thing — a downtrend. That’s what the US dollar is in now. This downtrend is happening despite anticipated rate hikes. So maybe ask yourself, what if the Fed doesn’t hike rates? What will the US dollar do then? We’ve had some good news on consumer confidence and manufacturing. But that’s the icing on a pretty disappointing economic cake.

Stronger Demand & Weaker US Dollar To Push Gold Prices Higher

The peaking of US real yields and the downward pressure building on the US dollar are positives for gold prices. Meanwhile, we expect global jewellery demand & investor demand to pick up in line with the overall improvement in the global economy and in gold demand centres in particular. It would be the first time in five years that demand will be higher than supply.

While the World Binges on US Dollar, Gold Awaits the Purge

The best thing to do is continue carrying a piece of your assets in Gold and Silver to hedge when (not if) the USD falls. Gold will be easily north of $2,000 soon after the world is done converting its currency risk into USD. Then they will be left holding the bag as our Fed pulls the plug. and then you will be buying dips at $1800 and selling rallies at $2500.

Why Digital Safe Havens won’t ever Kill the real ones - Gold and Silver

Gold and silver are real & tangible assets, similar to currencies but unlike stocks & government bonds. Gold and silver are also durable with an effectively infinite longevity & thus completely different to any other assets & this gives them a prominent position as safe havens, and they are precisely what the likes of Bitcoin lack. Can the intangible assets really replace the tangible?

The Correlation between US Dollar & Commodities is now Broken

Commodity prices have traded in a strong inverse relationship with the US dollar over the past decade or so, but this relationship broke down in late 2016 and the breakdown looks here to stay. Commodities generated strong returns in the Q4 of 2016 with the Goldman Sachs Commodity Index moving 9% higher despite a stronger dollar which gained about 7% against major currencies.

Inflation, US Dollar, Gold & the Interest Rate Action by the Fed

The evidence of inflation is starting to emerge. When will the markets begin to see that the Fed is not serious about nipping inflation in the bud? We don’t know the answer but any rate increase could be the one that looks too timid and too late compared to the inflation data. As the markets begin to take note, the dollar will weaken and gold will once again behave like an inflation hedge.

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