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All posts under ‘Chinese Yuan’

Will the US Dollar Die as "New World Money" Goes Live Today? Should I Buy Gold?

Today, Sept. 30, is when the IMF officially adds the Chinese yuan to its basket of currencies comprising its special drawing right (SDR). It has enormous long-term implications for the dollar. Does that mean the dollar becomes worthless overnight? Of course not. This is a development with long-term implications, and that’s the point — the dollar will die — but with a whimper, not a bang.

China’s Monetary Ascension Is Paved with Gold

When the Chinese yuan becomes an SDR currency, that could be the inflection point for a new multi-polar currency regime that sees the US dollar decline in stature. Could gold also begin to emerge as a leading currency in world trade? Over time, it certainly could. But the more immediate implications for gold’s monetary role center on its increasing accumulation by central banks such as China’s.

China's Increasing Presence in Gold Market - An Obsession to Prop up Yuan

No doubt that Chinese officials see gold as an important asset for the future. Is China’s quest to put the yuan on the world stage closely related to this involvement in gold? Will China actually come up with some kind of a gold-backed currency? Actually, China’s fixation on gold is a story of diversification that can lessen the devastation of central planning gone wrong.

Can the US Dollar Face Down the Chinese Yuan?

The decision to include the Chinese yuan in the SDR is a political decision, not an economic one. Including the Chinese yuan is a “seal of approval” by the world’s major financial powers, led by the United States. It means China is a financial superpower and deserves a seat at the table when the international monetary system is reset.

Why Devaluing the Yuan Won't Help China's Economy

The slowdown in China’s economy was set in motion when the yearly rate of growth of the money supply fell from 39.3% in Jan 2010 to 1.8% by Apr 2012. The effect of this massive decline in the growth momentum of money puts severe pressure on bubble activities. Any tampering with the currency rate of exchange can only make things much worse as far as allocation of scarce resources is concerned.

Is China Quietly Targeting A 20% Yuan Devaluation?

Some Chinese agencies involved in economic affairs are assuming a much weaker yuan both over the near- and medium-term. Those projections, which suggest a depreciation of over 8% by Dec. 31 & about 20% by end of 2016, were adopted after the currency was devalued this month & compare with analysts’ forecasts for the yuan to reach 6.5 to the dollar by the end of this year.

The Key to Understanding China's Devaluation Against the Dollar

By decoupling from the dollar now, China is sending a message that it may be prepared to let it fall later. This means that when the dollar starts to fall in earnest, China may not be there to catch it. This will also mean that the biggest foreign buyer of Treasury bonds will likely be unwilling to provide help when the U.S. needs China’s help the most.

China Destroys the “August is a Quiet Month Myth”

After a long period of pegging the Chinese yuan to the US dollar at about 6.1-to-1, China devalued the yuan in a sneak attack on August 11, devalued again Wednesday & Thursday. The total devaluation is almost 5%, the biggest devaluation in over 20 years. Normal daily volatility in foreign exchange markets is measured in 5 decimal places. 0.05% is a choppy day. 5.0% is an earthquake.

What China's Devaluation Means For The Future Of The Dollar

Nearly every government, commercial bank & central bank in the world holds US dollars in reserve as they are used as the primary currency in global trade. But this status is by no means written in stone. The US dollar is not the first global reserve currency, and it won’t be the last. It’s foolish to expect a reserve currency with such pitiful fundamentals as the US dollar to last forever.

Chinese Devaluation Extends To 3rd Day - Yuan Hits 4 Year Low

Having devalued the Yuan fix by 3.5% in the last 2 days, China did it again, shifting Yuan to 4 year lows. While confusion reigns over why PBOC would intervene at the close to strengthen the Yuan last night, the reality is the commitment isn’t to a devaluation for China’s exports, but its actions are directed toward trying to keep the wholesale finance interfaces somewhat orderly.

After The Chinese Currency Devaluation, Who's Next?

On a broader level, the currency devaluation signals PBOC’s eagerness to join the global currency wars. With the competitive currency devaluation by various central banks gaining momentum but global trade slowing, the latest CNY devaluation could be seen as likely to force other central banks to consider similar measures before long.

Gold Soars After Chinese Currency Devaluation

Over one billion Chinese will soon be scrambling into gold to preserve their purchasing power after the PBOC’s dramatic devaluation announcement. Any day now the PBOC will update its revised foreign reserve and gold holdings. And so the next big leg up in gold will take place when it is revealed that the PBOC had only exposed a portion of its “new” total gold inventory.

Currency Devaluation Coming Soon To China

Keep your eye on the market & listen. The global trend in stock prices is still bullish. The market doesn’t yet see any reason to panic over these big picture forces that are playing out under the surface. We’re going through a mild correction but not enough to turn the market bearish. A Chinese currency devaluation might change that but it could still be a year or so away.

China Plans To Launch Renminbi Gold Fix By End of 2015

If the renminbi / yuan gold fix takes off, China could compel local buyers & foreign suppliers to pay the domestic renminbi price, making the London gold fix less relevant in the world’s biggest bullion market. China feels it is entitled to be a price-setter for bullion at a time when the global benchmark, the London fix, is under scrutiny for alleged price-manipulation.

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