Commodity Trade Mantra

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A Government Shutdown Could Change The Picture For Gold

Near-term catalysts for a push lower in gold prices includes higher US interest rates, among a few others. But, if the US fails to reach a settlement on a government shutdown, gold could take flight and stocks might find gravity. The initial deadline is this Friday, and Goldman estimates only a one in four chance of a government shutdown occurring.

Gold Prices Could Hit $1,500 in 2017 Amid Imbalances & Weak Supply

Gold and silver are off to a good start in 2017. We’ve talked earlier about negative real rates supporting prices, and some other potential market movers that could drive demand for the yellow metal specifically. Here’s Frank Holmes on more in terms of potential catalysts that may drive things for the rest of the year & about the more upside in the precious metals.

Gold Prices Just 1% Shy of Ripping Higher - All Upside Indicators Intact

We have both of the strongest indicators of rising precious metal prices intact. Silver has already broken out and trades above its 200-day moving average and long-term resistance levels, and gold is about 1% away from cracking its own price wall of $1,300. The coming weeks (or even months) could be exactly what you’ve been preparing for.

Gold Prices Likely to Stay Elevated on Safe Haven Demand

According to the Bloomberg Intelligence team, the Fed could be “one and done” in 2017 when it comes to rate hikes. Gold’s top forecaster for the last quarter, Intesa Sanpaola SpA, says that the metal’s price could hit $1,350 by year end, citing faster inflation and geopolitical tensions. “Gold will likely stay elevated given safe haven demand,” Barnabas Gan, economist at OCBC, said.

Gold is Good as an Inflation Hedge, but Better as a Crisis Hedge

Whether there is hyperinflation or a banking collapse, Gold has historically been the asset to own in times of turmoil. Given its intrinsic value and safe-haven status, there is no doubt that Gold will remain a wealth preservation tool during financial crises. Crises do not come along often, but when they do, it is better to be safe than sorry. Gold is the perfect crisis insurance.

Gold and Silver at Never-to-be-seen-Again Prices vs Financial Assets

The world is now entering the most dangerous period since the end of WWII. Real assets are at historical low against financial assets. Real assets such as commodities (including gold and silver) are even more oversold. Investors still have a unique opportunity to acquire physical gold and silver at prices which will not be seen for a very, very long time, if ever.

Higher Gold Prices shift Sentiment back to Self-feeding Bullish Mode Again

The faster gold rallies, the more investors & speculators alike will want to buy it. While these lofty Trumphoria-distorted stock markets continue to retard gold investment demand, the big 200dma breakout is starting to overcome that. The nearing golden cross will further cement the shift back to bullish sentiment. This upleg in gold prices is set to accelerate considerably in the coming months!

Gold also in Demand for Environmental Cleaning & Energy Production

Research has shown that a stable and effective formulation can be obtained using a combination of gold, palladium, and platinum. Cleaning up auto emissions is just one of several new ways the yellow metal is helping clean up the environment. Gold is an important component in the development of renewable energy sources. This demonstrates the multi-faceted value of gold.

Will Gold Trump Politics In 2017? Prospects for Gold Investors in a Trump Economy

What is Trumponomics? And do you think it’ll be bullish or bearish for gold? If Trump thinks China is keeping its currency too cheap & he’s going to do something about it, that means the dollar is going to get cheaper which is usually a tailwind for gold. The dollar price of gold is simply the inverse of the strength of the dollar, So, weak dollar usually means a higher dollar price for gold.

Can Base Metals like Lead be Turned into Gold? Well! Actually YES

Can base metals such as lead actually be transmuted into gold? Surprisingly the answer is yes. Does this have any impact in the market price for gold? While gold can be created by artificial transmutation, precious metal owners have no need to fear. The price of precious metals has not and will not be affected by alchemy in the foreseeable future. Science still has a long way to go.

The Events That Could Spark The Next Gold Bull Market

If the events mentioned here come to fruition, it will likely create uncertainty and panic… and that’s good for gold. Therefore, now could be an excellent time to add some bullion to your portfolio. As gold is known as crisis insurance, doing so buys you protection from the fallout of these events. Along with serving as insurance, it could be an excellent investment given today’s low prices.

Opportunities to Buy Gold Cheap Dwindling - Watch-Out for this Indicator

The trend seems to be reversing: gold is up over 20% since its December 2015 low of $1,050/oz. and over 10% since the beginning of 2017. That means opportunities to get gold “on the cheap” may be dwindling, as the most recent price hike to $1,275/oz. this week indicates. One technical indicator has proved extraordinarily reliable in forecasting larger trend changes. Here it is.

Rising Gold Prices & Gold Demand in India - A Major Cause for Optimism

India’s citizens are reportedly turning to gold as a safe haven amid doubts about paper money. It’s actually unusual to see India’s demand growing when gold prices are going up. The fact that prices and demand are rising in tandem could signal an important and positive shift in fundamentals — watch for April import figures in a few weeks to see if the trend continues.

Analysis - The Macroeconomic Drivers of the Gold Price

There are essentially two types of gold price drivers worth discussing: measurable ones and those that cannot be measured. Most of the “measurable” macroeconomic fundamentals that are considered important drivers of the gold price are either mixed/neutral or bearish at the moment. However, there are good reasons to believe that several of them will turn gold-bullish.

Watch Out for Gold and Silver Amid Talk of War & Nuclear Conflict

Whenever the world starts going crazy, investors instinctively begin flocking to gold and silver. Investors that can see the writing on the wall are already getting out of stocks and into gold and silver while there is still time to do so. A direct military conflict with Russia & Iran in Syria or an attack on North Korea will crash financial markets while gold and silver will soar into the stratosphere.

Report on Currency Manipulation Expected to be Bullish for Gold Prices

The US Treasury report on currency manipulation was ordered by Donald Trump to address the issue of countries manipulating their currencies. The report is expected to have a strong impact on the currency markets. The most bullish outcome for gold prices would be if the report actually named a big country a currency manipulator, as it could trigger risk-off trading which would benefit bullion.

Definitely No Dearth of Catalysts for Gold & Gold ETFs

Friday’s rally in gold brought the ETFs close to their 200-day moving averages & year-to-date gains of just under 9%. Political risk is seen as a potential catalyst for gold & gold ETFs. Gold prices could move modestly higher with some help from emerging markets, namely China and India. However, the dollar has recently retreated in noticeable fashion, helping aid gold’s ascent along the way.

Gold Price Drivers will turn Unequivocally Bullish on This

Once central banks try to arrest a decline in asset prices and a contraction in aggregate economic activity, a great many of the fundamental drivers of the gold price that look neutral or even bearish at the moment will turn unequivocally bullish. Some market participants are busy accumulating physical gold in spite of the fact that the macro-economic fundamentals are not yet bullishly aligned.

Investors Bullish on Gold are Back - Buy Before the Mania Sets In

With inflation picking up and the focus on political risk increasing, gold bugs (investors who are bullish on gold) are back. Inflation expectations are now relatively well-established and whilst there are various factors to unravel over the course of 2017, we expect it to remain an important part of our portfolios in what could prove to be a tricky year.

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