Commodity Trade Mantra

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The Limited Impact that Dollar Strength has on Gold Speaks Volumes

The dollar has hit a six-week high against the euro. The wider forex market, however, tells us that this latest move is mostly euro weakness over French election concerns rather than dollar strength. Into this uncertainty we are continuing to see a pick-up in demand for alternative investments such as gold and silver. We see a bigger upside to gold in the short term.

Are Rate Hike Cycles Good for the US Dollar & Bad for Gold?

Gold does not necessarily rise and fall with interest rates, jewelry demand in India, or any other widely believed nonsense. Rather, gold has moved in conjunction with perceptions as to whether or not the Fed and central banks have everything under control. If you believe as I do, that everything is not under control, or if you want some insurance, then take a position in gold.

Is Gold still a Buy? - 5 Reasons You Should Increase Allocation to Gold

Gold is up almost 8% since the beginning of the year & the outlook for 2017 is bright. Net bets on higher future prices have almost doubled since January. Assets held by gold ETFs are up 34% from their Dec lows. Given its recent surge, is gold still a “buy?” Here are 5 compelling Reasons. Given the uncertain outlook & improving fundamentals for gold, now is a great time to add gold to your portfolio.

Gold and Silver Markets have Entered a New Phase

Even the most optimistic Trump supporters should be planning for a bumpy ride on the way to reform. The bull run in the S&P 500 has lasted almost 8 years. Do Trump’s plans for economic revitalization mean the run can persist for years longer? For those not supremely confident in Trump’s ability to shepherd the tax cuts & a big infrastructure program through congress, gold and silver is the better bet.

A Gold Standard would've Prevented U.S. from this Extreme Indebtedness

Even Greenspan admits this is the case with debt: “We would never have reached this position of extreme indebtedness were we on the gold standard, because the gold standard is a way of ensuring that fiscal policy never gets out of line.” Certainly, debt loads have taken off since Nixon closed the gold window in 1971, breaking the last link with gold.

Markets Nearing an End to the Glory Days - Better Buy Gold

Despite the ongoing strength in stocks — the resilience of investors’ appetite for risk — gold investors fear that the happy times are about to change. The S&P 500 has another 7% or so to rise, from current levels, until this bull market tops out. But if gold investors have a beat on what’s going on behind the scenes of this stock-market rally … then a stock-market correction is in order soon.

Gold Prices Setting Bullish Chart Pattern - Gold Stocks Set To Soar in 2017

If you look at gold prices from a technical analysis perspective, it’s projecting a bullish outlook. Also from a fundamental perspective; there are bullish developments that shouldn’t go unnoticed. As it stands, odds are in favor of higher gold prices ahead. As the precious metal soars in price, gold stocks could skyrocket and provide leveraged returns.

China, Price Inflation & Weak US Dollar - A Perfect Storm for Higher Gold Prices

We can see two roads higher for gold prices from here, the first would be a return of significant price inflation and weakness in the U.S. dollar. The second route to higher gold prices would be the return of safe haven buying, driven by serious geopolitical turmoil, China obviously would be at the forefront of that, and perhaps a shock to the global financial system.

Gold Investment is now Insurance for Long-Term Protection against Inflation

Inflation just got another jolt, rising as much as 2.5% YoY in Jan. Significant increases in inflation will ultimately increase the price of gold. Investment in gold now is insurance for long-term protection. Major stock indices continued to hit fresh all-time highs & it’s important to temper the exuberance with a little prudence, making gold’s investment case even more attractive.

Gold Fundamentals Strengthen With Inflation Running Hot

With negative real interest rates in place and the gold stocks trading well above their rising 400-day moving averages while showing relative strength against Gold, it is quite clear the gold stocks are in the early stages of a new bull market. The technical setup is potentially in place for the sector to make an explosive move higher over the next 9 to 18 months.

British Assets play second Fiddle to Gold on Geopolitical Fears

The British bank’s investor sentiment index climbed to 6.1% in Feb, its highest level since April 2016, as UK investors continued to ride the sentiment wave. However, of all the assets, gold proved the most popular, rising 5.59% between Jan & Feb to a 46.37% approval rating. This is further evidence that “investor optimism is tempered by the need to shield against persistent geopolitical uncertainty.

China will soon own the Largest Gold Reserves in the World

The US remains the world’s largest gold owner. But for how much longer? There are changes afoot. China is now the world’s largest gold producer. It has held this title since 2007. Not only that, but China is the world’s biggest importer too. Since 2011, China has imported more than 5,000 tonnes. Another 3 years at a similar rate & China will have imported more gold than there is at Fort Knox.

Gold Preparing for a Healthy Rally into Higher Territory

Hedge funds and institutional speculators have been calling the tune for gold, trading the recent range, buying on dips, selling on rallies, and gradually adding to their physical holdings – a behavioral pattern we expect will continue within a rising trading range – at least until a price above the $1300 an ounce level is well established.

Is Conventional Wisdom Right about Gold and Deflation?

Conventional wisdom says gold thrives under inflation and wilts under deflation. The case for gold under inflation is easy enough. Gold rises as the dollar falls. It’s the opposite under deflation. But is conventional wisdom right about gold and deflation? Is it time to consider a different metric — not the nominal gold price — but gold’s purchasing power relative to consumer prices?

Investment Secret of the Century: Incremental Returns by Investing in Gold and Silver

For investors who hold physical gold and silver, 2017 should be a very interesting year. And for the ones who don’t, $1,200 gold and silver at $17 is an absolute bargain compared to what we will see in the next few years. But the most important reason for holding physical gold and silver is not the potential capital appreciation but as a hedge against a bankrupt financial system.

Reasons Why Debt-Based Paper Currency Is Not Money

All paper currencies are debt. They are neither redeemable for anything by their issuer, nor is there a limit on how many can be created. In today’s world, not only do people around the world take it for granted that paper is money, but that it should be so. After the current system collapses, as in the past has, some form of money will have to replace it, and it’s almost certainly going to be gold.

Is Trump Bad News for Gold? The Prospects for Gold under President Trump

Trump or not, the fundamental problems remain deep seeded in the US economy. “Draining the swamp” and “making America great again”, are easier said than done. This is why a serious investment into gold is for the long haul. Look beyond the short-term speculations & projections. Its clear that conditions will not be favorable either way & things appear increasingly dismal.

Gold and Silver Are Still Outperforming Stocks So Far in 2017

Gold and silver are still outperforming stocks so far in 2017, and over the last 15 years. Although HSBC expects a near-term correction, “the rally appears intact…and we expect gold to resume the upside after a pause.” Bottom line, long-term gold investors should hold through corrections, or buy more, not sell into a panic.

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