Commodity Trade Mantra

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Gold and Silver Rally to Resume from Around 26th Sept - Expect Volatility Till Then

I believe that the bull run in gold and silver, that paused in its tracks in July, will continue swinging both ways with a high degree of volatility till Sept end, but will be back in a more vigorous and ferocious form soon after. I strongly believe that this bull-run-on-steroids phase in gold and silver will take off around 26th September 2016. Secure your tomorrow ….today.

Forget About Yields & Interest Rates - Gold In Direct Competition With Equities

Gold prices have registered just about the best performance across virtually all investment classes over the past six or seven months. Gold stands to gain much when Wall Street tumbles, an outcome that seems increasingly likely as world stock markets edge higher despite widespread expectations of slow economic growth and disappointing corporate earnings.

Record Swiss Gold Flows Into US. Are Americans finally Acquiring a lot of Gold?

While Switzerland has been a major source of U.S. gold exports for many years, the tables turned in May as the United States imported a record amount of Swiss gold – 50 times more than their monthly average. Why the big change? Could this have had something to do with the huge gold price since the beginning of 2016? Are wealthy Americans finally acquiring a lot more gold?

Gold and Silver Strong – Banks and Stocks Scary

European Banks are worth watching. The failure of even one modest-sized European bank will send ripples through the world financial system & would likely drive significant safe-haven buying in gold and silver. Valuations are widely acknowledged to be at nosebleed levels versus historical norms & individual investors are fleeing equity markets. Gold and silver benefit during a selloff in stocks.

Gold Demand Remains Stable During Sector Weakness

Gold demand peaked in the middle of 2010 & went sideways for a few years before succumbing to the bear market. That lack of strong demand in 2011 while Gold surged, was a warning sign. The amount of Gold in GLD can be a sort of an indicator for the sector. While Gold & gold shares are correcting now, the real time data coming from GLD suggests Gold demand is & should remain firm.

Debt Addiction Will Drive Gold And Silver Prices Higher - Guaranteed!

Gold and silver are finite. Fiat is infinite. When the infinite begins to chase the finite in more earnest, it is anyone’s guess as to how the valuing of gold and silver will unfold. Those who have placed their trust in the natural order of supply and demand will amply be rewarded once the unnatural forces of fiat evil lose their incestuous grip of faux, yet real, power.

The 7 Signs That the Gold Market Remains Resilient

It is possible that gold and silver prices continue slipping, especially with futures expiration close-by. But the mildness of the pullbacks witnessed so far in 2016 are a testament to just how resilient gold has been. Buyers are stepping up to buy the dips rather than panic out of their positions. There’s a strong conviction in gold investors for the first time in 5 years, that gold’s new bull cycle has just started.

Timeline For Gold Price Movements & The Next Gold Price Rally

It’s possible that gold could trade as low as $1285 and back near its 50-day moving average before bottoming. This area has proven as support all year. Expect a renewed rally in August back to near, but likely not exceeding much, the highs of late June & early July. Something between $1370 – $1390. Another tumble in mid-late Sept & finally, a breakout to new 2016 highs in Oct and Nov.

Helicopter Money Will Boost Gold Market to New Highs

The idea of helicopter money would be to circumvent banks & to directly inject money into the bank accounts of people who then spend it & create higher inflation & growth. Of course, if you know history you will know that this is a measure that cannot heal anything—it just buys time. On the other hand, for gold it would be the time to shine if helicopter money would be implemented.

Are You Prepared for the Hyperinflation Shock? Get on the Gold Wagon Now!

The problem is that no one is prepared for the coming shock. All of this printing will result in global hyperinflation of at least similar proportions to the Weimar republic or Zimbabwe. The final decline of the currencies will be reflected in the gold and silver prices. Gold at $1,330 and silver at $19 is a bargain, but with hyperinflation, we could add quite a few zeros to their prices.

Gold Prices Will Continue to Rise Amid Economic & Political Uncertainty

Sporadic activity in international stocks, the proliferation of negative interest rates & the Brexit anxiety have all helped catapult gold to a June intraday high of $1,375. A technical pattern in gold’s upward movement is a verification of the political uncertainty now driving the shiny metal. The next few weeks, as the political debate heats up in the U.S., the support for gold is going to increase.

Gold is in a Major Bull Market: Simple. Nothing Else Matters

If gold, currently at $1,320 an ounce, can meander around here for a while, that would be constructive. It might even need to fall a bit – perhaps as low as the $1,250s or $1,260s. Such action, if it occurs, could actually be positive in the grander scheme of things. Gold prices could just also keep on pushing higher. It’s a bull market & that’s what bull markets do sometimes, particularly golden ones.

The Significance of the Massive Change in the Gold Market

The significance of the change in the gold market can be better seen by the average annual increase in total gold holdings during the 2009-2012 period which was 15 Moz compared to 25 Moz for the first half of 2016. If demand for gold continues as strong in the second part of the year, we could see upwards of 50 Moz move into these total gold holdings versus 45 Moz for the 2009-2012 period.

Brits Pouring Over Half Their Net-Worth Into Gold Post-Brexit

The speed at which the British people are buying gold is unprecedented. We are seeing people convert as much as 40 to 50% of their net worth into physical gold, (compared to) 5 to 10% in the past. The sudden surge in gold sales is more remarkable considering the British historically haven’t shown as much interest in the yellow metal as residents of many other countries.

Gold and Silver Bulls Need to Climb The Great Wall of Worry

Confidence is slippery, even when you are a metals investor sitting atop the best performing assets of 2016. It doesn’t help when 4 years of a miserable bear market remains fresh in our memories. Any weakness in gold and silver prices & it can feel like they are ready to plunge. World events are unpredictable. In bull markets some of the biggest moves happen suddenly, when people least expect it.

Gold Prices Are Attempting to Carve Out Higher-Low Support

We’ve seen multiple instances of buyers coming in to further support gold prices above the fresh near-term low on Thursday of last week at $1,320 level, producing a series of short-term higher-lows on the 4-hour chart. Traders looking to treat the Gold setup aggressively could look at this attempt to carve-out higher-low support as a potential top-side entry.

Unwinding of Excessive Gold Futures Longs - One of the Best Buying Opportunities

Gold sees major interim tops in bulls and bears alike whenever speculators’ long positions surge up to relatively-high levels. While these elite traders don’t control gold’s long-term trends driven by fundamentals, their collective trading can sure bully gold over the short term. The unwinding of speculators’ excessive gold futures longs offers some of the best mid-bull buying opportunities.

Gold and Silver - Not Just Wealth Preservers, In all Likelihood also Life Preservers

The craziness of the world goes on, nonstop. Gold and silver are more than just a wealth preserver, they are, in all likelihood also life-preserving, for without them, there is no means of defending against the globalists & their drive for a cashless society. What else does one have without gold and silver? Paper holdings? What is the intrinsic value of any paper asset, except as transitory in perceived “value.”

The Worst Gold Bear is now the Most Convinced Bull

Less than one year ago, Dutch bank ABN AMRO has put itself on the map by being more bearish on gold than Goldman Sachs. ABN Amro has now released an update report & is now expecting the gold price to end 2017 at $1450/oz. That’s a 75% increase in target price. The downward spiral of the gold price has been broken, and the only way seems to be up.

Is This The Critical Threshold For The Gold Rally To Continue?

10-year TIPS yield briefly went negative last week & the current yield is just 3 bps. TIPS yields have fallen around 75 basis points since the beginning of the year. This decline in yield has been accompanied by a gold rally from $1060 to $1342. This negative correlation between TIPS yields and gold prices has been persistent since 2003. TIPS yields will probably be negative if gold rallies above $1400.

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