Commodity Trade Mantra

All posts under ‘Gold Trading’

Get Ready For The New Year Rally In Gold And Silver

Many folks have written about how the current selloff in gold and silver was predictable. Whether it was expected due to tax-loss selling, seasonality, CoT-washing or the expected FOMC rate hike, the majority of analysts were expecting price weakness. But if this was so predictable, then why can’t the coming rally to begin the year (seen in the start of each of the last 3 years) be just as certain?

Could Central Banks Dump Gold in Favor of Bitcoin?

If gold continues losing value, could central banks dump their gold in favor of cryptocurrencies? Yes, I realize this is anathema to those who anticipate a gold-backed currency becoming the dominant form of centrally issued currency, but the idea of governments that have debauched their currencies building reserves of decentralized and limited-in-issuance cryptocurrencies may not farfetched.

Outlook for Gold and Silver Stronger "NOW" than has been for Several Months

The coming days will go a long way in determining if we were right & the bear market is over, or the gold and silver rally was just another selling opportunity. Analysts see the US Dollar losing further ground & stock markets due for corrections. Also inflation seems firming up after a lengthy bout of weakness. The outlook for gold and silver seems stronger NOW, than it has been for several months.

Banks Reduced Short Positions Significantly - Time to Buy Gold, Silver

Last Friday’s Commitment of Traders (COT) report signaled we are close to bottoming & suggest that both gold and silver should have a positive January and Q1, 2018. Speculators are finally beginning to cut back on long bets whilst commercials & large bullion, the “smart money” & the “inside money” have reduced their shorts dramatically. This simply means – Time to buy gold, silver.

Will Bitcoin make things Worse for Gold before they get Better?

While new, smaller cryptocurrencies and “initial coin offerings” continue to gain attention, the market’s more speculative gold mining stocks are taking a beating. Bitcoin is killing gold right now. We have no idea how long crypto-mania will last. But if the excitement surrounding bitcoin continues through the holiday season, we suspect things will get worse for gold before they get better.

Physical Gold - The Only Antidote to the Poison created by Central Bankers

True physical gold demand is the only antidote to the poison created by the Central Bankers & the Bullion Banks. Sadly, 2018 promises another surge in war, debt, negative interest rates & de-dollarization. Will these events finally prompt enough physical demand to break The Banks? Given all the uncertainty that lies ahead for 2018, prices for gold and silver are headed higher not lower.

Intensifying War on Gold Betrays The Elitists’ Panic & Coming Defeat

In recent weeks, the War on Gold has sharply intensified, with massive, multi-billion dollar naked short price raids now being launched on a weekly and even daily basis by the criminal, state-sponsored price manipulators. The fact that the elitists are stopping at nothing to discourage you from buying physical gold, proves the center is losing hold & is also the precise reason why you should buy it.

How Gold Prices Perform During Interest Rate Hikes

The prevailing view is that rate hikes are the natural enemy for gold prices. Analyzing rate cycles & gold prices from 1971, we find gold tends to do better in hiking-cycles than cutting-cycles. The positive performance during hiking-cycles can be explained with the 3 drivers identified in our gold price framework. Given the outlook for these drivers, gold will likely do well even as the Fed keeps raising rates.

Gold Market Heading Towards A Big Fundamental Change

The gold market is heading towards a big fundamental change that few are prepared. While many analysts in the alternative media community suggest that the gold price is manipulated due to Fed & Central bank intervention, there is another more obscure rationale that is the likely culprit: “The Blind Conspiracy” Most investors are entirely in the dark about the dire energy predicament we are facing.

Global Gold Supply Artery Heading for a Cardiac Arrest

Metaphorically-speaking, available data strongly suggests (with evidence mounting sharply since 2015), that over the next few years an ongoing narrowing of the global gold supply veins and arteries is leading to a series of demand seizures, climaxing in a systemic “heart attack”. Establish and keep adding to your gold “stash” now while the price is favorable.

Gold Prices Struggle to Breakout from the Tightest Range in a Decade

Gold prices continue to oscillate in a remarkably tight trading range. In fact, with a span of little more than $33 over the last 25 days of trading, we are looking at the most complacent period of trade for the precious metal since 2007. But I expect this precious metal to be shaken out of its dormancy by any number of fundamental cues over the very near future.

Seems like 2018 will be a Major Turning Point for Gold and Silver

Any hiccup, crash, disturbance within the crypto space that causes this up-trend to reverse is going to cause a massive amount of funds to move back into the precious metals space, as people take a portion of their phenomenal gains & park it in an asset class that they believe to be a safe space, i.e. gold and silver. The potential for gold and silver to sharply increase throughout 2018 is incredibly high.

A Closer Look at Gold & the US Dollar - Do They Tell us Something?

Commodities are priced in dollars. Global trade is done in dollars. And the majority of international funding is in USD. The dollar is important. Dollar trends impact markets and assets around the world in various ways. Hence why the dollar is the fulcrum. But if the dollar is the fulcrum then gold is the foundation on which that fulcrum sits. Now let’s take a closer look & see if they tell us anything.

Exiting Bitcoin to Enter Gold and Silver - Right? Why would You go the Other Way Around?

Sound money advocates who love the concept of cryptocurrencies but don’t want to abandon precious metals have been trying to clarify their thoughts of late. Selling out precious metals might be unwise if we consider that gold and silver prices are closer to their lows, and Bitcoin and the cryptos are reaching new highs. Analyse whether or not Bitcoin, the US Dollar or physical gold will remain money.

Gold Prices Building a Strong Foundation for a Sharp Rebound Leap Ahead

A combination of resilient longs and hesitant shorts has helped gold prices form a decent base and enabled prices to climb above some support levels, improving the overall technical picture. Gold’s performance of late & prospects for seasonal demand to kick in – albeit with unexceptional volumes –should put gold prices in a reasonably healthy position for a rebound leap towards the year-end.

A Weak Dollar = Higher Inflation & Higher Gold Prices - So What does the Fed Want?

A weak dollar is the Fed’s only chance for more inflation. The way to get a weak dollar is to delay rate hikes indefinitely, and that’s what I believe the Fed will do. And a weak dollar means higher gold prices. Central banks are determined to get more inflation and will flip to easing policies if that’s what it takes. Get ready for an explosion to the upside in the dollar price of gold.

A Buy Position in Gold - Heads I Win, Tails I don’t Lose

Markets have now priced in a 100% chance of a Fed rate hike in December. Gold is just waiting for confirmation from the Fed in a few weeks. We have a “Heads I win, tails I don’t lose” situation. If you take a long position in gold today & the Fed raises rates, nothing happens to the price because the rate hike is already priced in. But if the Fed does not raise rates, gold prices will spike suddenly & dramatically.

When an Insatiable Appetite for Gold gets Diverted to Silver

India in the past has had a history of being the largest importer of gold, which it has only recently been dethroned from, due to India’s war on gold. Their appetite for gold is insatiable and therefore it was only logical to assume that a large percentage of the funds intended to flow into gold, were going to go to the next best thing – SILVER. This has and continues to prove to be the case.

The Big Question now is - Where does Gold go from Here?

Gold has held its own despite higher interest rates and threats of more. That tells me we’re seeing a flight to quality, meaning people are losing confidence in central banks all over the world. They realize the banks are out of bullets. So gold has been moving up in what I would consider a challenging environment of higher rates. The question now is, where does gold go from here?

Gold Remains Preferred - Wild Volatility & Internet Dependency Weigh Against Bitcoin

Internet shutdowns and cybersecurity attacks compromise our democratic freedoms. When our democratic freedoms are threatened it means our financial ones are also at risk. So many investors spread the risk & hedge their bets against such events. However it can be rendered pointless if your management of your assets is reliant on internet access. Gold is as relevant here as it always has been.

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