Commodity Trade Mantra

All posts under ‘Inflation’

An Austrian take on Inflation

Success of monetary policy in achieving its inflation target will itself trigger a crisis. The dynamics of the situation suggest that as soon as the consensus view moves away from expectations of deflation, progression to the collapse of affected currencies could be rapid & the rise in the currency price of gold will be sudden & spectacular.

The Fed Waited Too Long: Here Comes Inflation

This inflation surge is going to be led by wage inflation. By the time the Fed realize that the labor market is so tight that employers are voluntarily raising wages across the board it is far too late, you are officially behind the curve as the surge in wage inflation is signaling loud and clear. The Fed will have no choice but to raise rates fast.

2% Inflation, Gold and The Fed's Current Mandate

Many modifications of policy mandates occurred between 1913 and 1971, and the Fed continues today in a desperate effort to prevent the total unwinding and collapse of a monetary system built on sand. A storm is brewing and when it hits, it will reveal the fragility of the entire world financial system.

Same Currency War, New Battle Phase

What is a currency war? They happen when there’s not enough growth in the world to go around for all the debt obligations. In other words, when growth is too low relative to debt burdens. They do this basically by cutting interest rates or intervening in markets. It is as an effort to cheapen the currency, get inflation & to display growth.

Central Banks Have Failed Because They Can't Push Wages Higher

Lowering interest rates to zero and issuing unlimited free money for financiers to generate asset bubbles has had a negative effect on wages and household income. This is not accidental or bad luck – Central bank money-printing cannot possibly have any positive impact on wages. “Bad” inflation is prices rising while wages stagnate.

Central Banks Create Deflation, Not Inflation

The Federal Reserve and other central banks desperately want inflation, even though it destroys the purchasing power of paychecks and savings, for one reason:in a system based on phantom collateral supporting ever-increasing mountains of debt, the Prime Directive of central banks is to make it ever easier to service yesterday’s debt.

Why You Should Be Prepared for Both Inflation and Deflation

Today’s investment climate is the most challenging one you have ever faced, because inflation and deflation are both possibilities in the near term. Most investors can prepare for one or the other, but preparing for both at the same time is far more difficult. What should you do? The answer is prepare for both, watch carefully and stay nimble.

Beware the Money Illusion Coming to Destroy Your Wealth

The money illusion is a tendency of individuals to confuse real and nominal prices. The impact of money illusion is not limited to wages and prices. Central bankers use money illusion to transfer wealth from you — a saver and investor — to debtors. They do this when the economy isn’t growing because there’s too much debt.

Governments Need Inflation, Economies Don't

The only thing that inflation can do is to help governments spend & remain viable. It’s a drug they can’t do without. Economies do just fine with low inflation. The idea that governments can hold inflation to just 2% per annum is preposterous. Once it breaches that level, governments will be powerless to contain it. Endgame will be hyperinflation.

Inflation's Not the Only Way Easy Money Destroys Wealth

One of the major negative factors that undermine the real wealth generation is loose monetary policy of the central bank, which boosts demand without the prior production of wealth. The longer the Fed’s loose policy stays in force the harder it is for wealth generators to generate real wealth & prevent the pool of real wealth from shrinking.

Doubling Down on Inflation

The benefits of inflation are supposed to be compounded by rising stock & real estate prices, creating a wealth effect for the owners of those assets which subsequently trickles down to the rest of the economy. In other words, seed the economy with money & inflation & watch it grow. But why has growth yet been a no show?

A Win-Win Scenario for Gold Investors

It is unclear if the world will tip into inflation or deflation, but one or the other is almost certain. The good news for gold investors is that gold goes up in either case as shown in the 1930s period of extreme deflation and extreme inflation in 1970s. Investors can meanwhile use setbacks to acquire gold at more attractive prices.

Ten Reasons to Condemn Inflation

An un-backed expansion of the money supply causes the prices of goods and services to rise – Inflation. It allows the state to go into debt more easily and at lower interest rates than would be the case without monetary expansion. Inflation reduces the purchasing power while the price of raw materials tends to rise.

Sum of Unemployment and Inflation: The New Misery Index

The Status Quo is desperate to mask the declining fortunes of those who earn income from work and so figured out how to game unemployment and inflation to the point that these metrics are meaningless. The Misery Index 2.0 strips away the phony facade of bogus unemployment and inflation numbers.

Six Myths About Money and Inflation

Its a myth that increasing aggregate demand through increasing the money supply will lead to more spending, higher employment, increased production & a higher overall standard of living. Here are 6 of the most prevalent economic myths about money & inflation that appear time and again in the mainstream media.

The Safest Investments in a Dangerous World Market

You need both the wood & the spark to have the fire of inflation. US Fed & other central banks have printed trillions of dollars of money in the past four years. So far, inflation has been relatively tame. The printed money is only the wood; a spark is still required. Events in the Middle East, Ukraine and China today may provide the spark.

Inflation Watch: The Incredible Shrinking Coke Can

U.S. soft drink companies are increasingly shifting to “mini-cans” in an apparent strategy to help the poor obese people of the world manage caloric intake better. Of course, the reality is – consumers are drinking the same amount (more small cans) at a higher price… Nope, no inflation here…

If This Continues, You May Need Armed Guards On Food Trucks

There are now 49 million Americans dealing with food insecurity & this will only get worse as food prices go even higher. It is now not too hard to imagine desperate people holding up food trucks & robbing grocery stores in order to feed themselves and their families. We may see soon armed guards on food trucks, if this continues.

Which way is Inflation Blowing? Watch Commodities

Rapid growth of the money supply usually fuels higher rates of inflation. It’s the narrative about low inflation & weak Gold prices that enables the endless printing of money by central banks. Bubbles in the European and US bond & stock markets can be sustained in the stratosphere, only as long as inflation is “SAID” to be running near-zero.

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