Commodity Trade Mantra

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No Arguments - Every Investor Should Own Physical Gold

The main arguments mainstream economists make against gold are simply nonsense. I believe the primary way every investor should play the rise in gold is to own the physical metal directly. At least 10% of your investment portfolio should be devoted to physical gold — bars, coins and the like. But you can also up the risk to potentially profit from gold too.

Hold Physical Gold and Silver - Unprecedented Risks the World faces, calls for Desperate Measures

Gold and silver are held as insurance for wealth preservation purposes. The economic, financial and geopolitical risks in the world today are unprecedented in history. We are facing the dual risk of a financial crisis with a failing banking system, as well as insolvent sovereign states, leading to all currencies being debased to zero. Investors must hold an important amount of physical gold and silver.

Gold Investment Demand Surge without a Real Stock-selloff Highlights it's Huge Potential

American stock investors are starting to return to gold despite the stock markets remaining near or at all-time record highs. These lofty Fed-goosed stock markets are long overdue for a major correction or more likely a new bear market. Whenever that fateful event inevitably arrives, gold investment demand is going to explode & will once again almost certainly propel gold prices dramatically higher.

The Stealth Bull Market in Gold Can Generate Triple-Digit Gains

Today, gold is on the verge of outperforming stocks for the first time in six years. The last time we saw a similar losing streak end was the early 2000s… And that happened before a massive bull market started in gold. Since bottoming last December, gold prices have moved consistently higher. This could be a major turning point for gold. We could see dramatically higher gold prices soon.

Cracks Forming in Stock Markets Suggest of Looming High Powered Volatility

Cracks are forming in an equity bull market that’s been devoid of major price swings for months – and you might miss them if you don’t know where to look. Don’t be lulled to sleep by near-record low stock market price swings. Before you know it, shares will be getting whipsawed around, just like the good ol’ days. At least that’s what official measures of volatility are suggesting.

The GOLD Investment Thesis rests on the Gross Over-Issuance of DEBT

Every measure of domestic & global debt is significantly worse today than at its financial-crisis peak. Our gold investment thesis rests on the gross over-issuance of paper claims (debt) against comparatively modest levels of productive output (GDP). The US dollar’s extended decline & gold’s breakout signal growing market skepticism that the era of central bank stimulus is coming to a close.

This Explains the Current Manipulated take-down in the Price of Gold

This explains the current manipulated take-down in the price of gold despite rising seasonal demand from India & China. There is a direct correlation between this sudden leap in the amount of gold swaps conducted by the BIS between July and August and the price attack on gold. The outstanding balance is now higher than it was in 2011, leading to the violent take-down of the price of gold then.

Despite High Global Uncertainty, U.S. Citizens Remain Under Invested in Gold

Gold remains extremely under-owned by investors despite having a solid track record as a currency of last resort in times of uncertainty, and despite the current global environment being arguably more uncertain than any point since the second world war. Gold ETFs as a percentage of all ETF assets are now closer to 2%, despite an increasing risk of inflation and therefore negative real rates.

World's Biggest Hedge Fund Manager: Bitcoin Is A Bubble, Gold Is Money

There are two things that are required for a currency. The first thing is that you can transact in it, it’s a medium of exchange. The second thing is it’s a store of value. Bitcoin today…you can’t spend it very easily. Unlike gold, let’s say, which reflects the value of money, its more stable than the value of money, bitcoin is a highly speculative market. – Ray Dalio.

Inflation in 15 Minutes & Solution to Debt Crisis - Raise the Dollar Price of Gold

A massive inflation in 15 minutes: the time it takes to vote on the new policy. Don’t think this is possible? It’s happened in the U.S. twice in the past 80 years. Raising the dollar price of gold is the quickest way to cause inflation. If the markets don’t do it, the government can. It works every time. Gold can be used to work around a debt ceiling crisis if an agreement isn’t reached in the months ahead.

Are You Still Worried if Gold is in a Real Bull Market or Not? Let Me Show You

Gold and silver appear to be in the early innings of a cyclical bull market and the analogs suggest there is plenty of room to run to the upside. For those of you who missed the last bull market in its early stages, here is your second chance. It is 2002 all over again. Are you going to be the early bird who catches the worm, or wait till it is too late? Let me explain what this means to you as an investor.

Global Oil Market Equation looks Bullish for Oil Prices

The oil market appears to be handling the outages without too much trouble, certainly aided by the fact that inventories have been “comfortable.” That doesn’t mean that there aren’t significant atypical market conditions. IEA just published one of its more bullish oil market reports in quite a while. Supply fell, demand is at its strongest in two years & inventories are drawing down at a good pace.

While Gold builds Momentum after Breakout, Silver Indicates End of Bear Market

The long-term outlook for gold couldn’t be better with it looking destined to break out from a giant 4-year long base pattern to enter a bull market that promises to dwarf the last one. Since silver is in the late stages of forming the Right Shoulder of its H&S bottom it is at a good point to accumulate, although this is likely to be the last chance to buy silver anywhere near to its bottom.

Banks May Yet Try Stemming the Gold and Silver Rally

Following the latest events, it seems wise to take an in-depth look at the gold and silver charts in order to discern what moves The Banks may take next in the hope of stemming this rally and reversing the trends. The Banks are still in charge and nothing in their behavior suggests that they are “on the run” or “losing control”. Therefore, plan and trade accordingly.

Unwise to be Short on Gold or Silver as Dollar & Stock Market Crash Loom Large

Gold is already up by almost 15% so far in 2017, fueled by the falling dollar. A weak dollar, coupled with a technical breakout, should continue to push gold prices higher, possibly toward $1,600. A major international banking crisis is inevitable & likely to occur fairly soon. A stock market crash is likely to push many banks to that point of failure. So it would be very unwise to be short gold or silver now.

Silver Stocks - The Biggest Beneficiaries of Rally in Gold Prices

While rising gold prices should be good news for gold stocks, it may be even better news for silver stocks. Most silver stocks have diversified their production portfolios in recent years as a result of spot silver’s volatility & that led many to reduce their exposure to silver & increase their exposure to gold. Also at 75-to-1 right now, the ratio suggests that silver may have a chance to outperform gold.

With Gold Prices Poised to Rally Higher, Upside Potential in Gold Stocks is Huge

Despite their big gains since early 2016, the gold stocks remain very low and their young bull is still little in secular context. So it’s not too late to get deployed. With gold prices likely to rally far higher as these lofty stock markets roll over, gold stocks’ upside potential is huge. As gold is bid higher on weaker stocks, gold stocks will soar.

Silver - The Market's Stepchild will have a Major Move before the Month is Out

Right now we have the absolute PERFECT STORM lying right in front of us as investors. With stock valuations now higher than any time other than 2007 & 2001, bonds in a bubble, cryptocurrencies in nosebleed zones, and with silver depressed, the big investment pools have few places to go other than “value plays.” Silver is, in my opinion, just that & will have a major move before the month is out.

Copper Price Movements - A Source of Good Cheer for Silver Bugs

A source of good cheer for silver bugs is the copper chart. Copper tends to lead the metals and its recent breakout from a Head-and-Shoulders bottom on strong volume certainly augurs well for gold and especially silver, which is also an industrial metal. Silver has the dual virtue and being both a precious metal and a vital industrial metal. Just watch what happens around soon enough.

Buy the Dips - A Major Gold Bull Market Expected to begin in Earnest

Price and volume action in gold in recent weeks has been very bullish indeed. Gold charts suggest that the dollar is destined for a serious breakdown. Even if the dollar does bounce up a bit, gold would pull back, but not by much, to provide what will be probably turn out to be the last chance to accumulate the sector at favorable prices before the expected major bull market begins in earnest.

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