Commodity Trade Mantra

Market Insights

A Massive New Rally in Silver Prices could take the Gold

The S&P 500 is up 5.77%, riding a wave of Trump-mentum. Gold is doing better, with an 8.47% gain. But silver is sprinting, with a 13.5% gain. If silver prices keep up this pace, that would work out to a 65% gain for the year. Silver is ready to run — the starter pistol is cocked. The race is beginning, and silver prices could take the gold. Investors should get out of the way, or ride this rally for all it’s worth.

Secure Wealth with Gold as Brexit moves from a Concept to a Reality

The Brexit process may now be irreversible, but the actual terms of the withdrawal & of any trade agreements that follow are not yet known. They will determine the impact on stocks in the U.K. & elsewhere. There is one market that could benefit as negotiations get underway & that is gold. The focus will also turn from Brexit to a potential Frexit with upcoming French elections in April.

Gold Bullion Investment will keep Rising on Political & Economic Factors

In the near- to medium- term as it is becoming clearer to investors that, while there may not be a collapse in the financial system, clearly the present interest rate environment, global economic growth profile, levels of unemployment and underemployment, and political turmoil globally are all factors that warrant owning at least some gold bullion as a portfolio diversifier.

Trump & the Monumental Magnitude of the US Debt Trap

What lies directly ahead, therefore, is another bumbling attempt by the White House and Congressional Republicans to hammer out an FY 2018 budget resolution and what amounts to a 10-year fiscal plan. So there flat-out must be big-time deficit offsets or there will not be close to 218 votes for what would otherwise be upwards of $15 trillion in added public debt over the coming decade.

The Fake Paper Markets & the Real Gold and Silver

Just like the artificial paper markets in New York and London that are used to keep the price of gold and silver from rising, the western stock markets are prevented from falling by a web synthetic derivative securities and fraudulent financial reporting applications. Never before in history have stock market valuations been more disconnected from the underlying fundamental economic reality.

What Role May Trumps' Policies Play in Creating Inflation

Among the main drivers of higher inflation expectations, one is the idea that a larger fiscal deficit will inevitably lead to higher inflation. The Trump program calls for higher defense expenditures and increased infrastructure spending. The perception in the financial markets is that fiscal spending and tax cuts add up to higher deficits, which would almost certainly imply higher inflation.

How Do a Nation’s Gold Reserves Affect its Economy?

Gold reserves is a wide topic and there are many subjects to be discussed. For instance, there must be connection among gold trade, gold reserves and gold prices. What are the effects of gold prices on governments reserved gold? and the most important question, what will be the impact after the end of raw gold? In general, I would like to sum up the main ideas of that topic.

Impossible to Fully Comprehend the Looming Upside Shock in Silver Prices

There are several forces that seal the fate of the seven big COMEX silver shorts. None of us will be able to fully comprehend the upcoming shock to the upside in silver prices. This has little to do with price per se, just the mechanics of the market; but it will be seen most vividly in price. When the big shorts start to buy back their shorts to the upside, the world of silver will have changed.

Precious Metals Demand Plummets In West, Surges In East

The Trump market euphoria has taken the wind out of precious metals investors recently. Sales of gold and silver have plummeted in the West (especially USA), but surged in the East. I am completely dumbfounded by recent decline in precious metals demand & sentiment in the West. It only indicates that most Americans are completely insane when it comes to sound fundamental investing.

Don’t Worry about Oil Prices, Here’s How You Can Profit

I’m keeping a close eye on the oil market, and on the moves that Saudi Arabia is making to manipulate oil prices. Over time, Saudi Arabia will be unable to affect oil prices as much as they have been able to in the past. Prices for oil trade around $50 a barrel and recently set lows for the year, but I am actually more bullish on oil prices than was ever before. Here’s why.

Are Gold ETFs Gearing Up for a Rally on the New-found Optimism?

The inflationary outlook is finally looking up in the developed economies. Political risks in Europe including Brexit worries, French elections and talks of Scotland’s independence vote have brightened the prospects for higher gold prices. So, investors intending to profit out of the new-found optimism in the gold space may consider gold ETFs like SPDR Gold Shares GLD, etc.

Falling Mine Supply will Trigger Panicked Gold Buying & Higher Gold Prices

Once the price of physical gold starts to move up on basic supply and demand fundamentals & imbalances in the paper gold market, the stage is set for corresponding increases in paper gold prices. As more & more paper gold holders turn from the paper market to obtain physical gold, which is already in short supply in the physical market, we’ll see the beginning of a price super-spike.

As Inflation Expectations rise, Gold looks more Attractive to Investors

It just might be that inflation expectations are suddenly on the rise, as financial markets get a grip on the Trump administration’s economic and trade policies. As inflation expectations rise, the real rate of interest moves lower and lower – making gold look increasingly more attractive. And this, along with technical factors and market psychology, is pushing gold prices higher.

Stronger Demand & Weaker US Dollar To Push Gold Prices Higher

The peaking of US real yields and the downward pressure building on the US dollar are positives for gold prices. Meanwhile, we expect global jewellery demand & investor demand to pick up in line with the overall improvement in the global economy and in gold demand centres in particular. It would be the first time in five years that demand will be higher than supply.

Read America's Credit Card Statement (No Password Required)

You might not be aware of it, but America’s credit card–our national debt–comes with its own disclosure statement. You know those disclosures on your credit card statements? That it will take 27 years to pay off your balance if you only make the minimum payment each month, and so on? What will replace the current system after it self-destructs? That’s the question.

Why is India's Gold Demand, the Best Hope for Gold Prices

The main boost to gold prices in 2017 may well come from India, formerly the world’s top consumer of the precious metal. Indian gold demand was pummeled in 2016, but there are positive signs that India is recovering, with gold imports jumping to 50 tonnes in February, up more than 82 percent from the same month in 2016, according to data provided by GFMS.

Why is the Gold Market Sanguine about Rising US Interest Rates?

Why is the gold market being sanguine about rising U.S. interest rates? Rising U.S. inflation and a peak in U.S. dollar strength may mean that the traditional impact of a U.S. monetary tightening cycle may be less than usual. What the gold market is currently signalling is that while U.S. interest rate rises are still a bit of a headwind, they may not be enough to offset some compelling tailwinds.

Physical Gold Demand is Collapsing - Nothing Could be Further Away From The Truth

The idea that retail bullion sales represents global demand for physical gold and silver & that the demand for physical gold is collapsing is seeded in either ignorance or mal-intent. Nothing could be further from the truth. Retail demand at the margin has no affect on price other than maybe the price premiums in the coin market based on mint supply and retail demand.

Any Global Event could send Gold Prices Soaring, Add a fall in Mine Supply to the Woes

The gold mining industry remains challenged by the legacy of fewer discoveries & most of those discoveries are of lower ore grades. Tight economics, quirky legal & regulatory environments in many countries hamper gold production. Add it all up & you have a recipe for falling production. Geopolitical tensions & uncertainty are rising around the world. Any global event could send gold prices soaring.

Mega Investors Loading up on Gold - Are They Cornering the Gold Market?

China has become a debt crisis waiting to happen. Central banks in Europe have deployed negative interest rates that rapidly erode value. And in the United States wealth has been borrowed from future economic growth to feed bubbles in stocks and real estate. That’s why billionaires are rapidly rushing into their old standby, gold. It’s the only asset that can be trusted right now.

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