Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘American Energy’

Could an Energy Bust Trigger QE4?

The bright spot for US over past few years has been the surge in energy production, called the “American Energy Revolution”. I believe oil headed higher because the Fed was printing money. Why is it that oil started falling when the mass of analysts came to believe the Fed would finally tighten? So oil now needs QE4 for higher prices again.

Why a Strong Dollar is the Mortal Enemy of Gold and Oil

The strong dollar pushed bullion prices down 6% in Sept, historically gold’s strongest month. This move is unusual also because gold has had a monthly standard deviation of ±5.5% based on the last 10 years’ worth of data. Oil’s slump is a little more complicated to explain. In a way, American shale oil has become a victim of its own success.

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