Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Bear Market’

Gold Equity Market Bull will be as Ferocious as the Bear from 2012 to 2015

Over the past 45 years there have been 7 bull cycles & 7 bear cycles with varying duration & gains. No bear market was as horrific as the one just experienced from Oct 2012 until mid-Dec 2015. Does that mean that the new gold market we are currently in will last longer and provide opportunity for even stronger gains than those experienced in previous bull cycles? Only time will tell.

Why Own Bonds or Fiat With Negative Yield When You Can Buy Gold?

Either way (hike or no hike), there is no place for the gold bull to hide. It took gold approximately 7 months to advance $250 and overcome major resistance at $1,300/oz from a bottom of $1,050. A reasonable target could be $1,550/oz ($1,300 + $250) by March 2017 – 7 months from now. Silver could follow a similar pattern with a near-term target of $26/oz.

At Record Valuations - The Market is Now Too Big To Fail

When large concentration of total asset value is dependent on the market, it becomes necessary to maintain the market at all costs. The market has become too systemically important to allow it to fail. And that means policymakers have changed the function of the market. Today, the market is being used as a (false) portrayal of the underlying economy.

Gold and Silver Ignore Correction Calls - Precious Metals

Gold and silver are in a new bull market. While it is very difficult to buy into a market that has already gained substantially, history argues that the larger risk is staying out of that market especially if it only recently made a major bottom. The epic “forever” bear market of 2011-2015 lingers in the minds of many and that is why it is so difficult to believe the recent strength can continue.

Stop The Panic Selling In Gold Mining Stocks

Why did gold mining shares crash at the end of 2015? Fear. The selling in gold mining stocks was driven by pure emotion — in other words, panic selling. People watched gold prices tumble, panicked and unloaded their shares of mining stocks out of fear rather than due to any logic or reason. The bear market in gold mining stocks took these companies to ridiculous levels.

The New Bull Market in Gold is Right on Track

Gold is very strong in real terms and has been for weeks. Gold’s recovery is now on par with past recoveries and the metal has taken out key resistance at $1180/oz. Unless Gold somehow loses its gains and closes February below $1180/oz then there is no reason to doubt a major trend change and new bull market.

Is The Rally Beginning, Or Is That It For Gold Prices?

Following the sharp fall back in gold prices to near US$1,200 an ounce, Bloomberg’s headline said ‘Gold coming back down to earth’. Gee, sounds scary. Is that it for gold then? Is the bear market about to resume? My personal view: As long as the price doesn’t fall back below US$1,160, gold looks good for another move higher, which would put an end to the bear market.

One-Fifth Of All Worldwide Stock Market Wealth Is Already Gone

As bad as things are in the U.S. right now, the truth is that we still have a long way to go to catch up with the rest of the planet. Around the world, many major stock market indexes are already down more than 30 or 40 percent. Overall, the MSCI All-Country World Index is now down 20 percent, which officially puts us in bear market territory.

A Disturbing Warning From UBS: Buy Gold As A 30% Bear Market Is Coming

The bear market started with the energy complex but it is a trend, which is filtering through into other commodity themes, as well as Emerging Markets, Asia and at the end of the day into the Western world. In 2016, we see gold profiting as a safe haven and as of 2017, gold could profit from the US dollar moving in a major top and starting a bear market.

Why the Bear of 2015 Is Different from the Bear of 2008

It’s tempting to see similarities in last week’s global stock market mini-crash and the monumental meltdown that almost took down the Global Financial System in 2008-2009. The dizzying drop invites comparison to the last Bear Market that took the S&P 500 from 1,565 in October 2007 to 667 on March 9, 2009. Here are a few of the differences.

8 Financial Experts Are Warning Of An Imminent Great Financial Crisis

An increasing number of respected financial experts are now warning that we are right on the verge of another great economic crisis. Of course that doesn’t mean that it will happen. Experts have been wrong before. But without a doubt, red flags are popping up all over the place and things are lining up in textbook fashion for a new financial crisis.

Blame the Fed for the Commodities Slump

Crash on the commodities highway: So far, the Fed’s cheap credit has exaggerated and prolonged the bear market in oil. The price per barrel of US crude oil is down 53% over the last 12 months. Today, the price of coal is down 70% from four years ago. Dr Copper, too, says it’s going to be a rough second half of the year for the global economy.

Is The Selling Of Paper Gold And Silver Finally Ending?

What if gold and silver naturally act as Giffen Goods (goods that people buy more as its price increases) in the latter stages of a global debt bubble? Intuitively, this makes sense. Rising gold and silver prices should naturally reflect increasing risk to the financial system— especially counterparty risk since gold and silver bullion are the only financial assets which have none.

Why Millions of People Might Have to Sell Their Gold and Silver

People buy gold and silver for protection during uncertain times. Both have held their value for thousands of years through wars, depressions & financial crises. When stock markets crash or paper money fails, gold and silver are a reliable store of wealth. So with Greece’s default rocking world markets & Chinese stocks crashing the most in 20 years, why are gold and silver struggling?

Gold Price Doesn't Move, Despite Global Financial Turmoil

For the first time ever a developed country has defaulted on an IMF loan, the future of the euro is at stake & demand for physical gold in Europe is strong. The stock market of the world’s second largest economy declined by nearly 30 % in less than three weeks, but the gold price doesn’t move. Surely, the last thing authorities need at this moment is gold on the move.

The Worst Time In History To Be Invested In Stock Markets

While the Fed has been successful at intentionally promoting yield-seeking speculation since 2009, a century of evidence demonstrates that current valuation extremes also imply a stock market collapse that is now baked in the cake, and that Federal Reserve policy has much less ability to prevent than investors seem to believe.

The Gold Market Is “Bifurcating” – Why Is It Good For You

In the midst of a broad bear market, some companies begin to move higher. In today’s gold market, I believe we have already begun to see this process, called ‘bifurcation.’ Some of the most promising companies, with the most talented teams & well-conceived projects, have already begun to catch higher bids.

Gold Surviving the Last Few Months of the Bear Market

Buying at the bottom of a bear market is when millionaires and billionaires are made. Sometime in the next several months we are going to get that once-in-a-lifetime opportunity. In order to seize it you need to avoid the drawdown and emotional damage from the final move down into gold’s bear market bottom.

The World Will Panic Into Gold And The Price Will Go Parabolic

When a monetary system finally fails, there will be a flight to the only money that’s left in the system and that will be gold. That will be the hour in which the next great surge in the gold price occurs. You can’t predict the exact moment, but you can certainly have a pretty confident view of the direction (parabolic).

A final purge to $700? What Gold Bulls' surrender might look like

At this point in a bear market, attention turns toward anticipating what “capitulation” might look like – that phase when remaining loyalists surrender hope and liquidate in disgust. While there are inklings that gold has fallen far from favor among traders, if a comprehensive capitulation is to finish this move it hasn’t nearly happened yet.

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