Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Black Gold’

OIL - The Untold History of Black Gold & How it began the Political Strategies of the West

The political strategy of the U.S. had to adapt to provide for the needs & wants of the American population. The ‘70s marked the turning point when the U.S. shifted from being an oil exporter to the world’s largest oil importer. The oil crisis of 1973 was the game changer that transformed the international political & financial system into the current system of petrodollars & oil wars.

Oil - The Black Gold Loses Glitter

If oil stays low, it may turn out that entire U.S. oil boom was just one of many Federal Reserve inflated bubbles. If it pops, the job losses & debt defaults that would ensue could have a far greater impact on the economy & the credit markets than ever before. Ultimately then, QE 4 may need to be much larger than QE1, 2 & 3 combined!

Why a Strong Dollar is the Mortal Enemy of Gold and Oil

The strong dollar pushed bullion prices down 6% in Sept, historically gold’s strongest month. This move is unusual also because gold has had a monthly standard deviation of ±5.5% based on the last 10 years’ worth of data. Oil’s slump is a little more complicated to explain. In a way, American shale oil has become a victim of its own success.

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