Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Bullish for Gold’

Can You Guess the US Election Winner? It's Obviously - Gold

Investors are on edge…and we can’t blame them. The S&P 500 has fallen nine straight days. Safe-haven demand maybe set to rise as the US election is now just days away. Unlike past elections this one appears to grown more uncertain and fraught the closer it gets. There’s one certain winner of next week’s presidential election, according to HSBC: Investors in Gold.

Is Gold and Silver Bull Market Intact or will US Dollar Strength Crush it?

Conventional wisdom would tell us with the US$ index nearing a major breakout, gold and silver would be vulnerable to further losses. Ultimately, as long as Gold and silver’s fundamental driver – declining or negative real interest rates remain in place, then the fledgling bull market will remain on track. With inflation poised to rise, real rates are likely to decline further in 2017.

Comex A Zombie Market: Hedge Funds Record Short Paper Gold

You may ask yourself, how do you kill a zombie? As a market for the trading of physical gold and silver, the Comex is already dead. At some point, the entities who have stuck around to try their hand in the rigged paper game will either go broke or simply fade away. At that point, the bullion banks will be left to play only with themselves.

Rate Hike Or No - The Fed Will Not Kill Gold

The Fed either raises rates by 25 basis points in December, or it doesn’t. Both scenarios are actually bullish for gold. Doing nothing is good for gold for obvious reasons. But if they actually do hike, the gold market has already discounted the rate increase, likely factoring in substantially more than 25 basis points.

Gold Price Correlation With Federal Funds Rates Since 1971

Everyone assumes higher interest rates will devastate zero-yielding gold, leaving it far less attractive. This premise led investors to avoid gold like the plague, and speculators to short sell it at wild record extremes. But provocatively, history proves gold price thrives in Fed-rate-hike cycles. Higher rates are actually bullish for gold.

Will There Be a New Gold Rush?

Even though the amount of dollars is going up, eventually debt will be wrung out of the system. This causes deflation, which is very bullish for gold. In deflation, both creditors and debtors are in dire straits. They’re facing enormous pressure. People tend to turn towards stores of value like gold.

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