Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Bureau of Labor Statistics’

Latest Jobs Data Confirms This Is The Worst Expansion in 30 Years

To get a better sense of the jobs situation in context, though, we need to look beyond the headline data & delve more deeply into what the BLS is reporting. When we take discouraged workers & involuntary part timers into account, we’re still experiencing some of the highest unemployment numbers in 20 years. And this is taking changes in the overall labor force size into account.

What's the Real Unemployment Rate in the U.S.?

The unemployment rate of 5.6% reflects nearly full employment, as 3% to 4% of the work force is in the process of quitting/being laid off & finding another job. By my reckoning, roughly 60% of the civilian work force is fully employed & 40% are marginally employed or unemployed. What qualifies as a job? Should we count someone who earns $1,000 a year as employed?

Data Driven or Driven Data: Economy

While there are a many types of economic data releases, 2 reports have risen above the rest in importance: Quarterly GDP estimates issued by BEA & monthly jobs report issued by BLS & both have been recently coming up roses. Almost all the other significant data, have been ignored or, when that proves impossible, rationalized away.

The Ongoing Rot in the Economy

However hard the Central Planners try, they will soon realize that no amount of money printing can cleanse the rot of the US economy. Here we investigate the U.S. consumer & show that for a large portion of the population, things are not anywhere close to being better, in fact they are worse than before the recession.

If This Continues, You May Need Armed Guards On Food Trucks

There are now 49 million Americans dealing with food insecurity & this will only get worse as food prices go even higher. It is now not too hard to imagine desperate people holding up food trucks & robbing grocery stores in order to feed themselves and their families. We may see soon armed guards on food trucks, if this continues.

"Robust Evidence" Confirms Fed Leaks Data Ahead Of Rate Announcements

A new research paper has found “robust evidence” that some traders have been getting early news of U.S. Federal Reserve rate announcements and then trading on it during the Fed’s media lockup. This was not just HFT front-running but actual ‘information’ leakage… from whom we wonder?

Real Unemployment Rate: In 20% Of American Families, EVERYONE Is Unemployed

According to shocking new numbers that were just released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, 20% of American families do not have a single person that is working. So when someone (especially the Fed) tries to tell you that the unemployment rate in the United States is about 7%, you should just laugh.

Look At These 17 Facts Before You Believe The US Economy Is Just Fine

No, the economy is most definitely not “recovering”. Despite what you may hear from the politicians and from the mainstream media, the truth is that the U.S. economy is in far worse shape than it was prior to the last recession. This current bubble of false stability will soon burst, and then the real pain will begin.

Study Gold and Silver’s Past For a Glimpse of Where We Head in the Future

Next time gold and silver take a price dip & bankers react by telling you to sell, or a politician announces the strength of “recovering economy”, trust your history. We can learn a lot about the future of gold & silver by taking a step back in time to re-visit the bankers’ propaganda campaigns in 2006.

Is Inflation Understated? - The Way The Politicians Wanted It

By a continuing process of inflation, governments can confiscate, secretly and unobserved, an important part of the wealth of their citizens. By this method they not only confiscate, but they confiscate arbitrarily – While the process impoverishes many, it actually enriches some.

It's Not Too Late To Change Our Future, But Eventually It Will Be

The long term implications of these secular shifts are crucially important to the future of everything from investing, to living and the future of our economy. It is not too late to change our future, but it eventually will be if we do not begin to make changes soon.

Employment Data Faked For Political Gain

Despite the many possibilities that surround the impact of falsifying the data for political purposes, the reality is that real employment relative to the working age population still remains near historically low levels.

Surprise, Surprise … The Dreaded Taper Is Postponed Again

With Tuesday’s release of Sept payrolls report, various banks have now decided to alter the taper time line they previously envisaged as well – We believe that the pace of ‘QE’ will actually be increased rather then lowered at some point in the future.

American Households On Foodstamps Rise To New Record High

In June, the number of households receiving foodstamps rose to 23.117 million, an increase of 45.9k in one month, and also a new record high – Putting it all into perspective, there are more Americans on foodstamps than the entire population of Spain.

The Only Chart Of Employment That Matters

The problem is that stronger economic growth is needed to drive employers to increase levels of full-time employment but it is full-time employment that leads to stronger economic growth. How do you solve that puzzle?

Don’t Get Burned By This Fed Taper Lie

San Francisco Fed President, John Williams- “If data continues to progress as seen, then I do agree that we should Taper our purchases later this year.”
The only problem? I’m convinced the data isn’t going to cooperate. Here’s why…

Is The U.S. Unemployment About To Spike Higher?

As per the latest weekly Gallup Survey, Unemployment has surged from its April lows of 7.3% to 8.9%, which certainly doesn’t bode well for continued increases in the upcoming BLS employment reports

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