Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘China’

Gold Buying by China in a Very Aggressive Motion Right Now

China has gone from being the price taker to the price maker. China wants its currency to be as prominent as the euro, yen & the dollar for global trade. As in the SDR, when you go and borrow the only thing they’ll take for collateral is gold, so the Chinese have been on a very aggressive program of buying gold every month, and we’re seeing that in motion.

China Yuan Gold Fix Is Part Of A Planned Shift From The US Dollar

By trading physical gold in renminbi, China is slowly chipping away at the dominance of US dollars. Gold, silver, and petroleum are the three US dollar based commodities that China wants most control of, according to Bocom strategist Hao Hong but “gold in particular is one of the commodities that China is hoarding very hard.”

Will US Dollar Collapse Over Another Debt Ceiling Fight?

The US federal government is about to hit the debt ceiling, which stands above $18.0 trillion, and Congressional Republicans refuse to raise it. The last debt ceiling fight led to a downgrading of U.S. debt. Another blow to the credibility of the U.S. government could be devastating. Could a US dollar collapse be around the corner?

Which Commodities Are Most Levered To A Chinese Crash

A key drawback of this larger and more integrated role in commodity production is that lower commodity prices are now far less stimulative for China than they would have been several years ago. Yet, lower prices in commodities, other than copper, are likely to reinforce weakness in some of the key Chinese heavy industries centered on commodity production.

After a Collapse in Commodity Prices, What Next?

It is true that commodity prices may remain under pressure for a long time to come. But for companies in the resources space from E&P firms to miners, commodity prices don’t matter – margins do. If costs of extraction come down and commodity prices do as well, a company can still earn a substantial profit.

China Stands Ready to Re-Inflate Bubble: Michael Kosowan

Will China, the “engine” of the world’s great economic machine, come chugging to a halt? Not likely. In the weeks ahead, China is likely to experiment with cutting interest rates and further devaluing its currency in order to stabilize the stock market. They may shuttle the bad debt off to warehouse-like institutions while they re-inflate their markets.

Is China Quietly Targeting A 20% Yuan Devaluation?

Some Chinese agencies involved in economic affairs are assuming a much weaker yuan both over the near- and medium-term. Those projections, which suggest a depreciation of over 8% by Dec. 31 & about 20% by end of 2016, were adopted after the currency was devalued this month & compare with analysts’ forecasts for the yuan to reach 6.5 to the dollar by the end of this year.

China Destroys the “August is a Quiet Month Myth”

After a long period of pegging the Chinese yuan to the US dollar at about 6.1-to-1, China devalued the yuan in a sneak attack on August 11, devalued again Wednesday & Thursday. The total devaluation is almost 5%, the biggest devaluation in over 20 years. Normal daily volatility in foreign exchange markets is measured in 5 decimal places. 0.05% is a choppy day. 5.0% is an earthquake.

12 Signs That The United States And China Are Moving Toward War

If the United States and China are supposed to be such “great friends”, why are both sides acting as if war is in our future? Thanks to events in the South China Sea and the blatant theft of the personal information of millions of U.S. government workers, tensions between the United States and China are the highest that they have been in decades.

China’s Pivotal Role For Gold And Silver: More Questions Than Answers

The inclusion of renminbi will not go into effect until Jan 2016, at the earliest. Will this be the often touted gold and silver reset that will cause prices to reach much higher levels? That remains to be seen. We believe there is no chance whatsoever that China will have its currency be gold-backed, that is convertible into gold.

China's True Gold Holdings To Remain A Secret After All

What we thought would be an imminent, critical and extremely overdue public announcement from China has again been indefinitely postponed. And so with the gold community eagerly expecting a confirmation from China that its gold holdings have doubled, tripled or more, China – and the IMF – suddenly get cold feet. Again.

How to Make a Quick 20% as Copper Rises from the Dead

Copper dropped below $2.50 in late January on heavy trading volume. Plunges like these come lightning-fast. But buyers quickly stepped in. We’re seeing the beginning stages of a potentially powerful comeback copper rally. You could easily net double-digit gains in a matter of weeks if this former loser starts cranking up the heat.

China's Massive Debt Problem Is About Get Much Massiver

PBOC has announced that regulatory approval will no longer be required to issue ABS. Market players now expect ABS issuance to more than triple to 1 trillion yuan ($161 billion) this year. This means China’s massive debt burden is about to get massiv-er, as banks use ABS issuance as a pressure valve to free up lending capacity.

Why It Matters If the Dollar Is the Reserve Currency

The causes of threat to the US dollar as a reserve currency are the policies of the Fed itself. There is no conspiracy to attack the dollar by other countries. A loss of demand for holding the US dollar as a reserve currency would mean that trillions of dollars held overseas could flow back into the US, causing either inflation, recession, or both.

Why the U.S. is Letting China Accumulate Gold

The evidence is there. China is saying, in effect, “We’re not comfortable holding all these dollars unless we can have gold. But if we are transparent about the gold acquisition, the price will go up too quickly. So we need the western powers to keep the lid on the price and help us get the gold, until we reach a hedged position.”

China Cuts Interest Rates - 21 Central Bank Easings In 2015 Till Now

The decision to cut benchmark interest rates again has been widely expected by the market. There was also some speculation that the deposit rate ceiling would be increased. The cut to the benchmark lending rate is also smaller than the last cut in November (40 bps). This may make some observers view the move as cautious.

China’s Global Gold Supply "Game of Stones"

“Surrounding” global gold production is just one aspect of China’s grand strategy for achieving political and economic dominance in Central Asia and beyond. The progression of China’s Go game strategy enables it to buy increasing amounts of gold and silver & are positive factors supporting higher precious metals prices.

Why Gold Price Manipulation is Now a Global Effort

Here’s the problem: If you took the lid off and ended the gold price manipulation and let gold find its level, China would be left in the dust. It wouldn’t have enough gold relative to the other countries & because their economy’s growing faster & because the price of gold would be skyrocketing, they could never acquire it fast enough.

The Biggest Economic Story Going Into 2015 Is Not Oil, But Emerging Markets

Emerging markets today are half the world economy. Much of what happened in global credit markets, especially in emerging markets, was based on cheap, easily available dollars, which has ended. It used to be said that when the US economy sneezes the rest of the world catches a cold. Now it seems all we need is a hiccup in emerging markets.

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