Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Comex Gold Futures’

Time For Gold To Really Shine! Should You Dare Catch The Falling Knife?

The bullish case for gold does not just rest on the direction of the dollar. Gold is also an, “investment in monetary policy failure,” or at least a hedge against it. Technicals & sentiment have again aligned to create a terrific opportunity to take advantage of what could be early stages of a major shift in long-term trend of outperformance by financial assets over real assets.

Look at the Long-Term Gold Chart for the Trend in Gold Futures

From the 2011 high, a downside correction emerged in gold prices. According to traditional Fibonacci theory, the 2011-2015 pullback did not harm primary uptrend in gold prices. That means the gold tide remains bullish. Pullbacks in the tide are waves that could be used as buying opportunities. If gold takes a short-term hit, this could offer a “wave” within the tide.

Supplies of Physical Gold are Tight - A Super Spike in Gold Prices is Coming

The key to seeing a gold-buying panic in advance is to follow the flows of physical gold. Once the price of physical gold starts to move up on basic supply & demand, there are increases in paper gold prices. As soon as demand begins to overwhelm supply, then it’s “game on” for significantly higher physical gold prices followed by the toppling of the inverted pyramid of paper gold contracts.

You Can't Keep Gold Prices Down With Just A Strong Jobs Report

Some holders of gold took advantage of a small window to sell on Friday, worried that the 287,000 new jobs added in the U.S. would send the greenback to new highs against other major currencies. But as traders digested the headline, it became clear that the jobs report wasn’t that strong. What’s astounding is that the S&P 500 rallied 1.3%, the dollar gained 0.7%, yet gold closed up 1.7%.

Why Investors See Higher Gold Prices In 2016 - Here Are Six Reasons

Precious metals remain the 2016 commodity leaders, with silver posting a huge 25% gain & gold prices showing a 21% rise. The year is off to a good start for gold investors. But, the party may have just begun. A bevy of economic, monetary, currency and technical factors continue to develop in gold’s favor, which argue for the potential for higher gold prices in 2016.

Investors Not Believing Economic Data, Still Prefer Gold

I think there is some disbelief in the recent slew of better-than-expected U.S. economic data, which could be supporting gold prices. Lower U.S. Treasury yields are increasing the attractiveness of gold and other precious metals as gold doesn’t pay a coupon or dividend. Investors have started to move back into gold. As a result, every slight weakening in prices is only temporary.

The COMEX vs. Private Gold and Silver Eagle Stocks

Investors need to realize that at some point, the highly leveraged Comex gold and silver paper trading exchange will no longer matter. Why, because future physical demand will totally overwhelm the paltry Comex Registered gold and silver inventories. This is not a question of “IF”, it’s only a question of “WHEN”.

Gold And Gold Stocks - A Meaningful Reversal?

Usually major turning points are first signalled by strength in gold stocks and only later confirmed by a rising gold price. However, given the strange correlation between gold stocks and base metal mining stocks which has developed in recent years, one should perhaps not be too fixated on the indexes, especially as there are large disparities within the sector.

This is not 2008 – At least not for Gold Prices

Both, low energy prices & higher real interest rates are already reflected in the current gold prices. As longer-dated oil prices cannot remain below industry costs indefinitely, nor real interest rates rise much higher given a data dependent FED, this creates an asymmetry to gold prices, regardless of broader market normalization – or capitulation.

The Gold And Silver Trend Forecast For 2016

Beneath all of the artificial influences and all of the leveraged paper, the gears of the physical market for gold and silver still turn. We can be sure prices will reflect actual supply and demand for physical gold and silver at some point, even if we do not know when. With that in mind, here is a look ahead to 2016.

Comex On The Edge? Paper Gold Dilution Hits A Record 124 Per Ounce Of Physical

The 43.5 million oz of paper gold open interest represents the total potential claims on gold if exercised, has to be observed in conjunction with the physical gold that backs such potential delivery requests. With record low 351,519 oz of registered gold imply that as of Friday’s close there was a whopping 123.8 ounces in potential paper gold claims to every ounces of physical gold.

Are Big Banks Using Derivatives To Manipulate Gold And Silver Prices?

Gold and silver futures markets are places where people speculate on price direction. The fact that bullion prices are determined in this paper, speculative market & not in real physical markets where people sell or acquire physical bullion, is the reason the bullion banks can manipulate the price of gold and silver, irrespective of the demand for the physical metals.

What Is Really Driving Gold?

Electronic trading should not be underestimated. Its driving markets more than ever before & the gold market is no exception. That is not to say we like it; its simply the way things are nowadays. COMEX helped fuel the gold rally, but it is doubtful whether it was the ‘driver’. The clearest driver has been inflation expectation.

The Gold Price Being Manipulated. So What?

Talk of gold price manipulation has become a notoriously heated topic amongst precious metals investors over the past several years. Deutsche Bank abandoning its seat on the London gold fix has added fuel to the fire. Here’s a detailed view of the leading conspiracy theories & how they impact my long-term investment outlook.

Even The CME Is Getting Tired Of Silver Manipulation

Everyone has seen the inexplicable bouts of furious selling in gold and silver, coming out of nowhere with no news or catalyst, which serve no rational price discovery but merely there to reprice the market higher or lower. Now CME is getting worried that manipulation is chasing regular retail traders away who are tired of being fleeced daily.

CME mulls Price fluctuation limits for Gold, Silver Futures

U.S. futures exchange CME Group Inc is considering the introduction of daily limits on price moves in gold and silver futures (the most-traded commodity contracts after crude oil and other energy products) in a bid to rein in wild volatility that has spooked investors in recent years.

Dave Kranzler reports on the latest Manipulation of the Gold Price

As soon as the Comex floor trading opened, market manipulators went to work on the gold price and nearly 4,000 contracts (over 10 tonnes of paper gold) were dropped instantaneously onto the floor in a nano-second. Obviously this is was intentional and determined selling of paper gold for the purposes of driving the price a lot lower.

The Stealth Rally: Gold Under The Radar

So far, 2014 has been a paradoxical year for gold. In spite of this overwhelming negative sentiment, gold is experiencing a stealth rally as one of the best performing assets of the year. Let’s look at some important metrics of the most under-valued sector in this market.

Gold Prices Rise To 4 Month High, But Will The Bull Run Continue?

I would be a bit cautious because we’ve seen swings in equity markets & turmoil in emerging markets subside & that’s not a strong backdrop for gold prices going forward. Without any meaningful shift in investor sentiment & given the positive macroeconomic outlook, gold’s rally may be temporary.

Naked Gold Shorts: The Hows and Whys of Gold Price Manipulation

The Gold Price Manipulation consists of the Fed using bullion banks as its agents to sell naked gold shorts in the New York Comex futures market. Short selling drives down the gold price, triggers stop-loss orders and margin calls, and scares participants out of the gold trusts.

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