Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Consumer Price Index’

Copper - True Economy Indicator & a Better Inflation Hedge than Gold

When it comes to inflation, which can erode the value of portfolios that don’t keep pace with rising consumer prices, anyone who bought gold as a hedge over the past 25 years missed out on a much better deal — copper. While data show that broad commodity indexes provided the best bang for the buck during periods of rising costs in the US, Copper – “the metal with a Ph.D. in economics” stands out.

Negative Real Rates to Drive Gold Prices Higher Despite Fed Hikes

With arguably the two biggest drivers of the gold price trending in the yellow metal’s favor, gold prices are likely to go higher. Although the dollar could rise if Washington implements some structural reform, real rates aren’t headed higher anytime soon based on the Fed’s actions. If past is prologue, as inflation rises over the coming months, gold will do very well.

Reasons why Gold Prices are Rising & the Dollar is Falling

Shortly after the election, the dollar index spiked as gold prices began a quick decline; however, recently the trend has reversed. The factors shown here for upward movement in gold prices suggest more people are beginning to feel less optimistic about the future, given the current political climate and rightful mistrust of institutions like the Federal Reserve.

Gold and Silver Markets have Entered a New Phase

Even the most optimistic Trump supporters should be planning for a bumpy ride on the way to reform. The bull run in the S&P 500 has lasted almost 8 years. Do Trump’s plans for economic revitalization mean the run can persist for years longer? For those not supremely confident in Trump’s ability to shepherd the tax cuts & a big infrastructure program through congress, gold and silver is the better bet.

Gold Fundamentals Strengthen With Inflation Running Hot

With negative real interest rates in place and the gold stocks trading well above their rising 400-day moving averages while showing relative strength against Gold, it is quite clear the gold stocks are in the early stages of a new bull market. The technical setup is potentially in place for the sector to make an explosive move higher over the next 9 to 18 months.

Don't Ignore What Surging Inflation Indicates: Go Buy Some Gold

Changes in headline inflation measures suggest a gentle firming in prices. However, underneath the surface there is evidence that inflation may continue to rise past the steady 2% nirvana that central banks prefer. Finally, should inflation expectations rise faster than nominal rates, gold is likely to continue to merit a place in most portfolios.

Silver Prices to Soar 75% on Inflation? It’s Possible

Investors must pay attention to inflation to see where silver could go next. You see, silver prices have a very strong relationship with inflation. As inflation increases, silver prices move higher as well, in multiples. In the United States, inflation—and inflation expectations—are moving up very quickly. Silver miners could be the best place to be when silver prices soar.

Will Downward Trend in Gold and Silver Continue? A Look at Inflation is All You Need to Know

Despite this temporary setback, the long-term outlook is still looking positive for gold and silver. Financial turmoil is always a driving factor for additional bullion investments. Trump’s victory sent copper prices soaring more than $1,000, its best weekly performance since 1979. As a byproduct of base metal extraction, silver to rise on increased infrastructure spending & gold on inflation.

Time for Patiently Using Corrections & Patterns to Build Gold Positions

The correction is providing an opportunity to enter stocks that we thought got away. The question is precisely when to make those moves. If historic patterns around W-shaped corrections & reactions of gold to rate hikes persist, we could be looking at a strong start to 2017. This fall may be the time for patience & using patterns to position your portfolio for gold’s next leg up.

The Stability Regarding Purchasing Power of Gold is Unprecedented

An often-perceived analysis in the gold community is that gold is the constant in our global economy. While there is no exact constant in economics, the stability of gold’s purchasing power is unprecedented. Not only on a gold standard the metal shows it’s constant nature, but also off the gold standard gold’s purchasing power is remarkably constant, albeit more volatile in the short term.

Can the Price of Silver (the Year's Top Performer) Continue to Rally?

With the price of silver up nearly 40% year-to-date, investors are wondering whether it can continue. Experts say it may have more room to run, particularly as global interest rates continue to stay negative. It wouldn’t be inconceivable to see a silver supply shortage if there was heightened demand, & in that case, a silver to gold ratio of 20 to 1 (or lesser) is not an impossibility.

Believe it or Not - It’s Way Too Early to Take Profits in Gold and Silver

If another asset appears better positioned to deliver capital preservation or if the risks to capital fade, it will be time to sell some of your physical gold and silver. For now, the risks are extreme, and most other options look awful. Here are a few signs which would signal it is time to lighten up on gold and silver. Simply hold on tightly to your precious metals till then.

Why One Analyst Believes Gold Prices Could Hit $3,000 an Ounce

We are likely entering a new gold bull market since the previous one concluded in September 2011. Since 1970, we’ve seen five gold bull markets, each one lasting an average 63 months and returning an average 385%, according to the WGC. Dr. Diego Parrilla stated that “a perfect storm for gold is brewing” & predicts gold could rise to $3,000 within the next three years.

Why the Fall in Oil Prices is a Problem for Everyone

The increase of oil prices during the ‘70s caused inflation and recession in Europe & the US while oil producers were building a trade surplus & currency reserves. On the other end, in the late ‘80s & all of the ‘90s, the collapse of commodity prices contributed to a long period of economic growth in industrialized countries & caused serious problems for some oil producers.

Inflation - The Fed's Nightmare Scenario Is Becoming Reality

Higher inflation is not a dream come true. It is the Fed’s worst possible nightmare. It will expose the error of their 8-year stimulus experiment & the Fed’s impotence in restoring health to an economy that it has turned into a walking zombie addicted to cheap money. If inflation catches fire now, with growth close to zero, the Fed will be completely incapable of controlling it.

Negative Interest Rates Make Gold And Silver More Important Than Ever

You should soon expect to start paying interest for the “privilege” of lending your savings to a bank! Central planners will soon move from zero interest rate policy to the launch of negative interest rates. Look for investor demand to rise dramatically in the coming years in spite of the bias against gold and silver from Wall Street.

I Sure Am Glad (To Just Hear) There's No Inflation

Cost of things: Consumer price index is up 38%, college costs are only up by about 100%, State & local government taxes are up 75% & urban-area rents are up 56% – all since 2000. Despite all these widely known examples of rampant inflation, every month we’re told – Inflation is near-zero. The Fed is terribly worried that this deflation will wipe out humanity without a healthy dose of inflation.

What's Next For Oil And Gold: Thoughts From Eric Sprott, Rick Rule & Marc Faber

Weak economies around the world offer weak demand for commodities and for capital. The effect is to keep interest rates extremely low and to push commodity prices down. We can therefore view the oil price as a symptom of poor global economic growth, which is a long-term problem & not just as a consequence of a slight oversupply.

Central Banks Have Failed Because They Can't Push Wages Higher

Lowering interest rates to zero and issuing unlimited free money for financiers to generate asset bubbles has had a negative effect on wages and household income. This is not accidental or bad luck – Central bank money-printing cannot possibly have any positive impact on wages. “Bad” inflation is prices rising while wages stagnate.

Why the Dollar’s Reserve Currency Status is America’s “Achilles Heel”

Without the belief of the U.S. dollar as an acceptable world reserve currency, the U.S. is a bankrupt nation. The reserve currency is that country’s Achilles heel, and the stock and bond markets are not prepared for the consequences of the U.S. dollar, that’s backed by nothing other than faith, no longer being a reserve currency.

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