Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Consumption’

What A Cashless Society Would Look Like

Those who generate real wealth & employment need support, not penalties on how they choose to go about their business. A cash ban does not address any substantive issues. What is needed is a sensible economic proposal & political courage to implement a Cashless Society, which so far seems to be lacking.

How GDP Metrics Distort Our View of the Economy

GDP purports to measure economic activity while largely divorcing itself from quality, profitability, depth, breadth, improvement, advancement & rationalization of goods & services provided. Why does GDP poorly reflect economic size & vitality? Its largely due to 3 fallacious concepts embedded within GDP measurements.

Interest Rates Have Nowhere To Go But Up?

Currently, there are few economic tailwinds prevalent that could sustain a move higher in interest rates. The reason is the higher interest reduces the flow of capital within the economy. For an economy that remains dependent on the generosity of Central Bankers, rising rates are not the outcome that “stock market bulls” want.

Central Banks Create Deflation, Not Inflation

The Federal Reserve and other central banks desperately want inflation, even though it destroys the purchasing power of paychecks and savings, for one reason:in a system based on phantom collateral supporting ever-increasing mountains of debt, the Prime Directive of central banks is to make it ever easier to service yesterday’s debt.

Why Isn’t Monetary Pumping Helping the Economy?

Printing presses set in motion an exchange of nothing for something. Note that a monetary pumping sets a platform for various non-productive or bubble activities — instead of wealth being used to fund the expansion of a wealth generating infrastructure, the monetary pumping channels wealth toward wealth squandering activities.

Alternative Measures Suggest Weaker Economy

In an economy where activity is beginning to surge, the prices of commodities also pick up, as demand for these increases. Rising economic activity leads to demand for credit & so interest rates also increase. But this is hardly the case, which increases risk of disappointment in months ahead which could be negative for markets.

What Needs to Happen Before We See a Big Recovery in Economy?

Will real economy mend before excessive financial risk-taking kills the patient? What needs to happen before we get a robust recovery: 1) Households need to borrow at the pace we normally see in economic expansions. 2) Household income needs to grow strongly – More of the second & less of first.

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