Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Copper Prices’

Copper Breakout has Profound Implications for Precious & Base Metals

Over the past couple of days copper has broken strongly higher & the implications of this development are profound for the base and Precious Metals sectors. This is a sign that a major bull market is about to begin across the entire metals sector, which as you know is what we are looking for in gold and silver. Silver in particular is gruesomely undervalued & has huge upside potential from here.

Copper - True Economy Indicator & a Better Inflation Hedge than Gold

When it comes to inflation, which can erode the value of portfolios that don’t keep pace with rising consumer prices, anyone who bought gold as a hedge over the past 25 years missed out on a much better deal — copper. While data show that broad commodity indexes provided the best bang for the buck during periods of rising costs in the US, Copper – “the metal with a Ph.D. in economics” stands out.

Silver Supply Deficit Rises on Stunning Decline in Production -The Impact on Prices

Writing on what is taking place as it pertains to world silver supply isn’t to forecast what the change will do to the price of silver in 2017, but rather how the declining trend will impact the silver price going forward. My focus is not to state that the silver price will be determined upon a single year’s worth of rising silver investment demand, rather to show that the world is waking up to the SILVER STORY.

Will Silver Prices Continue Outpacing Gold Prices In 2017?

Precious metals are off to the races in the first six weeks of 2017, as returns in both gold and silver are beating the S&P 500. The current technical chart pattern for silver prices is stronger than gold. The silver market is trading above its 50-day & 100-day moving averages, which are bullish signals for trend following traders. Why are silver prices outperforming gold? Here are some solid reasons.

Copper Flashing the Hottest Chart on the Market Right Now

Copper has endured a painful downtrend for six years. Copper has exploded out of its long-term downtrend after building a solid base last year. It’s time to get ready for some huge gains. We saw the rumblings of a potential breakout back in October. Fast forward to this year & copper is ditching its downtrend for gains. Hop on the next leg of the base metals rally while you can.

Citi and Goldman are Highly Bullish on Copper

With workers at the world’s largest mine, Escondida, set to begin a strike, and with a new Grasberg export permit yet to be granted after the prior permit expired almost a month ago (January 11), downside risks to supply appear increasingly likely to materialise and translate into copper production losses. With exchange copper stocks already very low, physical tightness could lead to price spikes.

Is This The Final Week For The World's Largest Copper Mine?

The standoff between workers and owners of the world’s largest copper mine: BHP Billiton’s Escondida operation in Chile, came to a head last Friday. A resolution seems unlikely, given how far apart workers & management appear to be on labor demands – we could see Escondida shut down completely, very soon. That would almost certainly give a lift to copper prices.

Metals Zoom On Projected Massive Infrastructure Spending - How Long Before Silver Takes-Off?

Metals are surging due to projected industrial expansion. To argue that a massive infrastructure spending program will be beneficial for lead, zinc & copper prices, but immaterial for silver prices, is as ridiculous as claiming that overvalued stock prices can continue to surge amidst the “gigantic pink elephant” that is surging global interest rates and plunging worldwide currencies.

What You can Expect from Gold and Silver going ahead

Gold and silver tanked in the aftermath of the US presidential election, as investors grew optimistic about Donald Trump’s plan to lower corporate taxes & boost infrastructure spending. That sent copper prices to their best weekly performance on record. Higher demand for base metals could drag silver prices higher over the long term, later to be followed by a massive rally in gold on high inflation.

Will Downward Trend in Gold and Silver Continue? A Look at Inflation is All You Need to Know

Despite this temporary setback, the long-term outlook is still looking positive for gold and silver. Financial turmoil is always a driving factor for additional bullion investments. Trump’s victory sent copper prices soaring more than $1,000, its best weekly performance since 1979. As a byproduct of base metal extraction, silver to rise on increased infrastructure spending & gold on inflation.

Are Copper Prices and China Set to Rally?

In marked contrast to gold, copper looks to be set up for a sizable rally here. On its 1-year chart we can see that after its significant drop, it is down on an important support level that is certainly capable of generating a rally, despite its still bearishly aligned moving averages. Chances of copper rallying soon are greatly magnified by its latest COTs, which show that Commercials are now heavily long.

Deflation Scares Central Bankers - Can Gold Be Their Biggest Ally?

Every Central Banker dreads deflation. They’re doing everything they can to generate a 2% annual rate of inflation, but can’t get it. Well, the last thing you want to see is the gold price going down. If prices continue to drop, they fall to a point where they start to impact jobs. Drilling rigs & mines shut down. So in-fact, they want gold and silver prices, copper & oil prices to go higher.

Upcoming Labor Negotiations Might Boost Platinum, Copper Prices

The world’s #1 producing nations for platinum and copper are facing a common problem this week. And latest developments suggest this issue could be a potentially explosive one. The challenge is labor negotiations in the mining sector. Watch for the reaction of the unions to these offers, and for any signs of brewing unrest that could impact production in both of these critical countries.

For Copper Prices - It's Been a Bad Few Years

Copper prices have been falling for five years. By last year the situation had deteriorated enough to prompt a slew mine cutbacks, totaling several hundred thousand tonnes & the market is now expected to fall into deficit in this year. Copper prices have fallen so far that little downside remains. Positioning in the best copper equities today will pay off down the road.

Gold Deposits Worth $2-$3B That Can Be Bought Now For $15Mn

Think about a company that has a very, very large gold deposit. This company 5 years ago would have had (while only owning half the deposit) a $2 billion market cap with one of the biggest copper-gold porphyry deposits in the world. Now it owns the entire deposit and has about an $80 million market cap for the whole deposit. You get twice as much for about 4% of the price.

7 Reasons Why Oil Could Fall Even Lower Before Christmas

While OPEC has been reticent and reluctant to defend its oil production levels this year, Russia has been unabashedly boosting exports after six years of declines. As refinery improvements have caused less domestic crude oil demand, this has opened up a window of opportunity for the country to export more.

Copper Price Forecast 2016: Producers Under Pressure

With copper at $2, roughly 20 percent of the world’s production is not economic on a C1-cash-cost basis. Producers have been able to hang on thus far, but if low prices persist, there could be further production curtailments and mine shutdowns down the road. Hopefully that will be a catalyst that will help prices move higher.

Is a $13 or $15 Handle, The Next Level for Silver?

The fundamental price of gold is about $150 over the market price, in other words, at about a 12.2% discount. Silver is trading below its fundamental price also, but only at a 4.2% discount. If it were to go to its full fundamental value, and assuming that doesn’t change, it would be up near $15. If it follows gold, at a discount of 12.2%, silver prices would be down near $13.

Copper Prices Decline To Levels Below Cost of Production

There are various estimates for what the Marginal Cost of getting Copper out of the ground is before supply is taken offline completely. But it is reasonable to assume that Copper is currently being priced well below the long term Production Cost of Processing the Industrial Metal. The $2 Copper could well be setting up for an ample short covering rally before 2015 ends.

The Undeniable Truths about Gold and Silver

The reasons to own gold and silver are getting more compelling than ever. What really gets the goat of gold and silver investors is that, despite very good fundamental reasons to own the metals, somehow those fundamentals never show up in the price. The price action in recent years is enough to make gold and silver bulls question reality.

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