Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Copper’

Copper Breakout has Profound Implications for Precious & Base Metals

Over the past couple of days copper has broken strongly higher & the implications of this development are profound for the base and Precious Metals sectors. This is a sign that a major bull market is about to begin across the entire metals sector, which as you know is what we are looking for in gold and silver. Silver in particular is gruesomely undervalued & has huge upside potential from here.

Copper - True Economy Indicator & a Better Inflation Hedge than Gold

When it comes to inflation, which can erode the value of portfolios that don’t keep pace with rising consumer prices, anyone who bought gold as a hedge over the past 25 years missed out on a much better deal — copper. While data show that broad commodity indexes provided the best bang for the buck during periods of rising costs in the US, Copper – “the metal with a Ph.D. in economics” stands out.

Rate Hikes Help Industrial Metals Rise Fastest - Silver, Copper & Zinc to Benefit Most

There aren’t many constants in the world of investing, and certainly not many things that rise in value like clockwork. In times of rate hikes, industrial metals rise fastest, and in today’s world, the type of metals in highest demand by China are going to rise the most. Silver is one metal that’s poised to move up & Zinc is trading for less than half of what it did in 1980.

Gold Prices Just 1% Shy of Ripping Higher - All Upside Indicators Intact

We have both of the strongest indicators of rising precious metal prices intact. Silver has already broken out and trades above its 200-day moving average and long-term resistance levels, and gold is about 1% away from cracking its own price wall of $1,300. The coming weeks (or even months) could be exactly what you’ve been preparing for.

The Correlation between US Dollar & Commodities is now Broken

Commodity prices have traded in a strong inverse relationship with the US dollar over the past decade or so, but this relationship broke down in late 2016 and the breakdown looks here to stay. Commodities generated strong returns in the Q4 of 2016 with the Goldman Sachs Commodity Index moving 9% higher despite a stronger dollar which gained about 7% against major currencies.

Fundamental & Technical Views in The Commodity Markets

Let’s take a look at some key commodity components to see what’s going on right now & how it might be helpful. Historically, we tend to see strong moves in commodities with converse movements in the US Dollar. If you have a good scent on where Commodities are headed & that is confirmed with US Dollar moving in opposite directions, you have found a good theme that could trade & ride for a while.

Copper Flashing the Hottest Chart on the Market Right Now

Copper has endured a painful downtrend for six years. Copper has exploded out of its long-term downtrend after building a solid base last year. It’s time to get ready for some huge gains. We saw the rumblings of a potential breakout back in October. Fast forward to this year & copper is ditching its downtrend for gains. Hop on the next leg of the base metals rally while you can.

Gold to Steam Ahead on Uncertainty, Despite a Strong Dollar

Despite the strength of the dollar, gold is on an upward trajectory as investors look for a safe haven in an increasingly uncertain world. We think that the gold market is targeting $1,250/oz to the upside so long as we stay above $1,220/oz support. One of the factors driving investors towards gold – uncertainty over the outcome of the upcoming French presidential elections.

Future Physical Silver Supply More Vulnerable Than Other Metals...Even Gold

Once the oil industry disintegrates under the weight of falling prices as costs continue to rise, the decline of base metal & gold production will impact silver the greatest. Not only will silver reserves plummet to a greater degree versus other metal reserves, so will its annual production rate. These 2 factors will make future supply of silver more vulnerable than most other metals… even gold.

Solar Demand 'Key' in 2017 for Silver Prices

Analysts GFMS – a division of Thomson Reuters, say that the solar energy sector bought 11% more silver last year than 2015, the only major use to grow on their latest estimates for the Washington-based Silver Institute of miners, refiners, retailers & industrial users. But research into substitution continues & “you’re [now] seeing some investment in replacing silver with copper.

Optimistic Or Pessimistic - Bullish Case for Gold is Clear to All

Throughout 2017, gold should be supported by even deeper negative real rates, which could fall to their lowest level in two years as inflation outpaces nominal interest rate increases. Gold has tended to rise when real rates (what you get when you subtract inflation from the federal funds rate) fell into negative territory. Being optimistic helps you to see the opportunities that others might not.

Silver Prices in Uptrend or is More Correction Yet to Come?

The Daily trend has flipped higher but the intermediate term trend for silver is yet lower. Hedge funds remain bullish on silver. As long as this recent upside momentum remains intact, this should pose no problem, but as we have seen time & again, any hesitation to move higher, any loss of upside momentum, and this fickle crowd will have to be watched for further long liquidation.

Silver and Gold Look Poised to Test Fresh Highs After Short Breather

Silver futures regained their footing to renew a charge to a fresh, nearly two-year settlement high, and gold tipped higher as surging U.S. stocks looked to pause their ascent. There are still numerous reasons for investors to choose gold and silver as a safe haven. The preponderance to ease further, now being pursued by a host of central banks, will likely provide an element of support.

Silver Market - Most Suppressed Market Of All To Witness A Historic Shortage

Based on several factors, it is eminently possible that we are on the cusp of ignition, of the biggest bull market in financial market history; which in my view, will be focused on “anti-fiat monies” like gold and silver. But nowhere is shortage more likely to occur than in the most suppressed market of all, Silver, where inevitably, the breakout above $50/oz, will commence a new phase in history.

Is The Commodity Market Trend Really Your Friend?

The commodity supercyle might be toast—but that doesn’t mean we won’t experience some wild bear market rallies. Today, you could jump on one of the great opportunities for a lightning fast hit-and-run raid on the commodities market. Commodities have found a patch of blue sky. I don’t know how long it’ll stay open, so let’s bask in the sunshine while we can.

Gold: Not Just Another Commodity, A Safe-Haven in Times of Uncertainty

Mainstream media pundits, economists, and journalists alike love to lump gold in with other commodities. They put it in the same category as oil, copper, wheat, natural gas, and other things that come out of the ground. Gold historically attracts capital flows in ways that these other commodities do not. Gold is a superior safe-haven asset to own in times of financial duress and uncertainty.

For Commodities Forecast: Follow This Sneaky Indicator

The purchasing managers’ index (PMI) forecasts future manufacturing conditions and activity by assessing forward-looking factors. When a PMI “cross-above” occurs—that is, when the monthly reading crosses above the three-month moving average—it has historically signalled a possible uptrend in crude oil, copper and other commodities.

Gold Prices Nearing a Secular Support

The long term chart of gold shows that we are very close to secular support, which goes back several decades. Old resistance becomes support, so the 1980 and 2008 peaks will be acting a strong support. Moreover, support coincides with the psychological level of 1,000 USD. In sum, we believe the downside is limited. We have reached huge support areas in 3 leading assets.

Get Ready for Commodity Liftoff: Global Manufacturing Just Made a HUGE Move!

We believe the real commodity liftoff should occur when the U.S., Europe, China & global PMIs all score above a 50.0, with the one-month readings above the three-month trends. Of those regions, China is the only one whose reading still trails below the 50.0 level. It’s crucial that China’s PMI move above 50.0, as the Asian giant is the top driver of global commodities demand.

Have Commodities Reached an Inflection Point?

Most commodities, including crude oil, metals and grains, are priced in U.S. dollars. They therefore share an inverse relationship. When the dollar weakens, prices tend to rise. And when it strengthens, prices fall, among other past ramifications. We might very well have reached an inflection point for commodities, which opens up investment opportunities.

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