Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Debt Crisis’

How Will the Election Outcome Impact Gold and Silver?

The looming national bankruptcy coincides with this year’s extraordinarily divisive election. As the trust and prestige of our Federal government fades, the potential for social unrest and even wrenching change in governance and policy is on the rise. If crisis is coming in the next presidential term, the people holding physical gold / silver will almost certainly be glad they did.

The Economics of a Stock Market Crash

To mainstream financial commentators, blame for a crash is always placed on remote factors, such as China’s financial crisis, and has little to do with events closer to home. Analysis of this sort is selective and badly misplaced. The purpose of this article is to provide an overview of the economic background to today’s markets as well as the likely consequences.

Asset Price Inflation Enters Its Dangerous Late Phase

A progression of the asset price inflation disease into its final stage (general speculative bust and recession) would mean the end of monetary inflation and also inflation in goods and services markets. What could bring about this transition? Most plausibly it will be a splintering of rose-colored spectacles worn by investors. What could cause the splinter? Read here.

Gold Price Weaker on Greek Bailout Despite Strong Physical Demand

Once again, investors remain perplexed about the price action of gold, especially after Greece defaulted on its debt owed to the IMF & imposed bank closures & capital controls amid its debt crisis. But, it is unlikely that the price of gold will remain suppressed for too long as global demand for gold remains strong despite the recent price dip in U.S. dollar terms.

Goldman Sachs Warns “Too Much Debt” Threatens World Economy

Andrew Wilson, Goldman Sachs Asset Management’s chief executive in Europe said, “There is too much debt and this represents a risk to economies. Consequently, there is a clear need to generate growth to work that debt off but, as demographics change, new ways of thinking at a policy level are required to do this.”

The Debt To GDP Ratio For The Entire World: 286%

Seven years after the bursting of a global credit bubble resulted in the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression, debt continues to grow. In fact, rather than reducing indebtedness, or deleveraging, all major economies today have higher levels of borrowing relative to GDP than they did in 2007.

$76 Trillion Global Bond Bubble About To Explode - Even Experts Are Scared

The global bond bubble has ballooned to over $76 trillion & interest rates have never been lower in modern history. There is literally nowhere for the bond market to go except for the other direction, and when this bull market turns into a bear it will create chaos and financial devastation all over the planet.

12 Reasons Why Ritholtz & Many Experts Are Mistaken On Gold

There is an incredible lack of understanding of the function of gold, its importance as a diversification & a safe haven asset. They have no knowledge of the role gold plays in macro-economics, geopolitics, monetarily & also that gold has protected people throughout history from financial & economic crashes & currency devaluations.

Netherlands, Germany Have Euro Disaster Plan - Possible Return to Guilder and Mark

A Euro without Holland and especially Germany is currently inconceivable. It is interesting to note that it is these two countries, Germany and Netherlands, whose citizens have also been at the forefront of the gold repatriation movement currently sweeping across Europe – France’s second largest party entered the fray this week.

Gold Wars - Swiss Gold Shenanigans Intensify Prior To November 30 Vote

SNB establishment parties suggested that passing the Gold Initiative would be a ‘fatal’ for Switzerland and would be positive only for speculators. The ‘yes’ side warned that there is a real risk of another debt crisis, a global currency crisis and that gold reserves would protect the Swiss franc and the Swiss economy.

Governments Need Inflation, Economies Don't

The only thing that inflation can do is to help governments spend & remain viable. It’s a drug they can’t do without. Economies do just fine with low inflation. The idea that governments can hold inflation to just 2% per annum is preposterous. Once it breaches that level, governments will be powerless to contain it. Endgame will be hyperinflation.

Deflation In Europe Is Just Beginning... And How To Trade It

Disinflation is just about to turn into outright Deflation in Europe. The ECB is active but most likely already late in the game, behind the curve, and unable to prevent deflation from kicking in. There are important consequences for rates and spreads in Europe, together with the level of the EUR itself.

Why The Bubble Of False Prosperity In US Economy May Be About To Burst

There is no way that this bubble of false prosperity in US economy was going to last forever. It was just based on a pyramid of debt & false promises. The global financial system is in far worse condition than it was just prior to the financial crisis of 2008. Here are 14 reasons why the bubble of false prosperity may be about to burst.

Inflation Is Coming, What to Do? - Turn To Gold Now

History clearly shows there is a direct link between inflation and gold demand. When inflation jumps, or even when inflation expectations rise, investors turn to gold in greater numbers. And when gold demand rises, so do gold prices—you can guess what happens to gold stocks.

The World Needs China’s Leadership - Is China is ready for the Role?

For over 2 decades China has abided by “keep a low profile” strategy in foreign affairs. But now China is ready to take on a leadership role in international affairs, & the world will benefit from it. Not all would agree that China is ready for the role & several misconceptions should be addressed.

The Problem With Credit Booms Is That They Are Followed by Busts

Research on private sector credit booms over the last 20 years show that whenever credit to the private sector expanded by 30% or more within a 10-year period, a banking crisis & recession resulted without any exception. Credit booms always end badly & last longer than rational minds expect.

Stock Markets: Dow Hits New Record Amid Deepening World Slump

Throughout the world, stocks are surging. Dow Jones Industrial Average stock index, doubled since 2009, broke 16,000 for the first time Monday before falling back slightly to a new record close of 15,976 – Real economy in most of the world, yet remains mired in slump and mass unemployment.

The Adverse Effects Of Monetary Stimulation

The problem for central banks is that the alternative to maintaining an increasing pace of monetary growth is to risk triggering a widespread debt crisis involving both over-indebted governments and also over-extended businesses and home-owners.

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