Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Dollar Index’

Is Apparent Strength in Stock Market Masking Deeper problems below the Surface?

Mounting pessimism comes at a time when US equities are looking healthy, at least on the surface. This apparent strength of the stock market may just be masking deeper problems brewing under the surface. The fact that we had many volatility cycles since 1983, and are now at all-time lows in volatility, indicates that we may be very close to the turning point.

Dollar's Long-term Downtrend will have Positive Impact on Gold Prices

The charts for the dollar index continue to look grim. On the 8-month chart we can see it dropping away beneath a parabolic downtrend that is accelerating to the downside. If this parabolic downtrend continues to force the dollar lower it should have a positive impact on the gold price, although it hasn’t thus far. Further significant weakness in the dollar should of course be bullish for gold and silver.

Bull Market Incubating in the Precious Metals Sector

Should we see the usual seasonal dip in the precious metals sector during this month and possibly into July, it won’t alter the Big Picture set out here, and it should be seized upon as a buying opportunity, although what we are seeing in the US dollar now suggests that the seasonal dip in gold and silver may just not happen this year.

Gold and Silver Prices Steadily Following an Upward Trajectory

Amidst the most, gold and silver bullish fundamental environment imaginable – on the political, economic, social, monetary, and supply/demand fronts – even the Cartel’s best efforts to delay the inevitable re-emergence of the only real money the world has ever known are failing in the historically rigged financial markets. If you have not already purchased, it may already be too late.

Gold Prices Just 1% Shy of Ripping Higher - All Upside Indicators Intact

We have both of the strongest indicators of rising precious metal prices intact. Silver has already broken out and trades above its 200-day moving average and long-term resistance levels, and gold is about 1% away from cracking its own price wall of $1,300. The coming weeks (or even months) could be exactly what you’ve been preparing for.

Gold Prices Likely to Stay Elevated on Safe Haven Demand

According to the Bloomberg Intelligence team, the Fed could be “one and done” in 2017 when it comes to rate hikes. Gold’s top forecaster for the last quarter, Intesa Sanpaola SpA, says that the metal’s price could hit $1,350 by year end, citing faster inflation and geopolitical tensions. “Gold will likely stay elevated given safe haven demand,” Barnabas Gan, economist at OCBC, said.

The Reasons For Owning Gold Bullion Are As Strong As Ever

Given its recent surge, is gold still a “buy?” With the Fed in a tricky situation regarding interest rates—and ambiguity likely to continue to surround the political arena—we may be in for a wild ride in 2017. Given the uncertain outlook and improving fundamentals for gold, now is a great time to add the yellow metal to your portfolio.

Did Gold Prices Really Fall Over Trump’s Speech?

If Trump pursues a weak dollar policy, it has clear inflationary consequences, which is good for gold prices & euro. If Trump pursues a strong dollar policy, it will almost certainly lead to a Chinese maxi-devaluation & to an emerging-market dollar-denominated debt crisis. That could be a short-run head wind for gold prices, but as crisis conditions take hold, gold will benefit from a flight to safety.

Reasons why Gold Prices are Rising & the Dollar is Falling

Shortly after the election, the dollar index spiked as gold prices began a quick decline; however, recently the trend has reversed. The factors shown here for upward movement in gold prices suggest more people are beginning to feel less optimistic about the future, given the current political climate and rightful mistrust of institutions like the Federal Reserve.

Is Gold still a Buy? - 5 Reasons You Should Increase Allocation to Gold

Gold is up almost 8% since the beginning of the year & the outlook for 2017 is bright. Net bets on higher future prices have almost doubled since January. Assets held by gold ETFs are up 34% from their Dec lows. Given its recent surge, is gold still a “buy?” Here are 5 compelling Reasons. Given the uncertain outlook & improving fundamentals for gold, now is a great time to add gold to your portfolio.

What Are Gold Prices and Bond Yields Telling Us?

A positive relationship between gold and the dollar has reemerged over the last few trading sessions & needs to be watched carefully. That is doubly true right now, while bonds are rising and bond yields are falling. If bonds continue to rise with gold and the dollar, it would indicate that investors are becoming more risk-averse and seeking so-called “safety assets.”

Rising Gold and Silver Prices Indicate a Wall Street Correction

The recent upsurge in gold and silver does point to a possible correction on Wall Street. Share prices have been hitting new all-time highs repeatedly in recent times without any further fundamental support. With US stock indices near record high levels, we are hesitant to turn bearish yet & its impossible to predict the timing of the upcoming crash. But the stage looks set, so be prepared.

Gold Investment Amid Fears of Govt. Crackdown & Weakening Prices

Domestic gold prices are expected to remain range bound with a weaker bias in the next quarter because the dollar is strengthening against the Indian rupee. Local gold demand has come down drastically after demonetisation. Gold sales from wholesalers to retail jewellers have come down by around 90%. The situation is expected to remain like this till 31 December.

Gold Prices Bounce from Key Support - Bull Market Intact

Gold could see a better tone this week assuming that the dollar takes a bit of a breather from its upward advance and if U.S. equity markets pause after several weeks of heady gains. Despite on a short-term sell signal, the gold sector remains firmly on a long-term buy signal. Long-term signals can last for months and years and are more suitable for investors holding for long term.

Inflation to Send Silver Prices Soaring - Silver Outlook Going Forward

Silver is one of the best things to have if you expect inflation in the long term; silver prices increase when inflation rises. In fact, if you look from a historical perspective, for every one-percent increase in inflation, silver prices rise by two percent. If inflation is higher in 2017 and inflation expectations continue to increase, don’t be shocked to see silver prices surging very quickly.

Gold Prices In Oversold Territory - US Dollar in Overbought; Need We Say More?

When gold prices broke through $1,200 yesterday, it triggered a mass of automated selling and that has pushed the market into extremely oversold territory. If gold prices can hold $1,170 then I think we could see the market bounce back. Another positive for gold prices is the US dollar, which is in extremely overbought territory and due for a correction.

Run to Gold as the Inflation Beast Rattles Its Cage

Portfolio-destroying inflation is around the corner because of reckless government spending and unsustainable debt, so stock up the bomb shelter and buy gold. The latest data suggests that the inflation beast is stirring from its long slumber, which means that the classic inflation hedge of gold is on the verge of a sustained rally.

What You can Expect from Gold and Silver going ahead

Gold and silver tanked in the aftermath of the US presidential election, as investors grew optimistic about Donald Trump’s plan to lower corporate taxes & boost infrastructure spending. That sent copper prices to their best weekly performance on record. Higher demand for base metals could drag silver prices higher over the long term, later to be followed by a massive rally in gold on high inflation.

Brace for Inflation - The Next Big Trigger for Gold Prices

Based on the 10-year TIPS market, inflation expectations recently hit 1.75%, the highest level since the summer of 2015. To the extent that rates are being driven by changing perceptions of inflation & not real rates, higher interest rates may not be an impediment for gold. Gold is potentially the more leveraged play under a scenario where inflation expectations rise faster than nominal rates.

Is Now The Right Time To Short The US Dollar?

The dollar rally has been led in hopes of the Fed tightening rates in December of 2016. The uncertainty over the election is certainly weighing on the dollar. The stock markets are at a critical juncture, as is the dollar and gold. There is some anticipation that the markets have built in a Hillary victory and that a Trump victory is going to roil the markets.

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