Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Dollar Index’

Gold and Silver Bounce Up On Short Covering, Is Safe-Haven Demand or Speculation Driving It

Gold and silver prices ended the day higher, on short covering. There were some significant geopolitical events occurring over the weekend. While the world stock markets have so far mostly shrugged them off as nothing major, the gold and silver markets did get some safe-haven buying support. There was more evidence of a turn in silver than gold last Friday. What is driving the bounce-up?

Pay Greater Attention to Gold - Here comes a Perfect Storm for Higher Gold Prices

If the peak gold hypothesis is proven true, then gold prices could likely soon reach record highs. Here’s everything you need to know, and how you can take advantage of this historic event in the gold market. Only one thing can happen when supply/production fall while demand rises: Gold prices go through the roof. And that’s exactly what will happen when ‘peak gold’ finally arrives.

Brace for a Rally in Silver Prices – The Market’s Stepchild will Outperform All

Not only is silver undervalued relative to gold but also to increasingly over valued stocks, bonds & property markets. Since the beginning of 2017, silver prices have disappointed many investors. However, things are starting to look up & industry observers believe it will outperform gold this quarter & into 2018. In-fact, the more the silver prices get suppressed, the more volatile its breakout will be.

Gold Buying Opportunity on Price Weakness in the Golden Week

The main contributor to the pullback in Gold prices is likely the fact that markets in China will be closed this week in observance of Golden Week. Given that the country is the world’s largest gold market, the metal has in the past depreciated leading up to the week-long celebration. I believe this could be a good buying opportunity. The US Dollar Index break out also seems to fade out soon.

The GOLD Investment Thesis rests on the Gross Over-Issuance of DEBT

Every measure of domestic & global debt is significantly worse today than at its financial-crisis peak. Our gold investment thesis rests on the gross over-issuance of paper claims (debt) against comparatively modest levels of productive output (GDP). The US dollar’s extended decline & gold’s breakout signal growing market skepticism that the era of central bank stimulus is coming to a close.

While Gold builds Momentum after Breakout, Silver Indicates End of Bear Market

The long-term outlook for gold couldn’t be better with it looking destined to break out from a giant 4-year long base pattern to enter a bull market that promises to dwarf the last one. Since silver is in the late stages of forming the Right Shoulder of its H&S bottom it is at a good point to accumulate, although this is likely to be the last chance to buy silver anywhere near to its bottom.

Unwise to be Short on Gold or Silver as Dollar & Stock Market Crash Loom Large

Gold is already up by almost 15% so far in 2017, fueled by the falling dollar. A weak dollar, coupled with a technical breakout, should continue to push gold prices higher, possibly toward $1,600. A major international banking crisis is inevitable & likely to occur fairly soon. A stock market crash is likely to push many banks to that point of failure. So it would be very unwise to be short gold or silver now.

Buy the Dips - A Major Gold Bull Market Expected to begin in Earnest

Price and volume action in gold in recent weeks has been very bullish indeed. Gold charts suggest that the dollar is destined for a serious breakdown. Even if the dollar does bounce up a bit, gold would pull back, but not by much, to provide what will be probably turn out to be the last chance to accumulate the sector at favorable prices before the expected major bull market begins in earnest.

Is a US Dollar Rally Imminent or will Gold and Silver Continue Rising?

The past three weeks have seen a sharp increase in Commercial long liquidation coupled with accelerated shorting but the aggregate number of shorts is still well below the level seen at major tops in the summer of 2016 and with gold approaching U.S.$1,400 per ounce. The risk in this assumption that the U.S. Dollar index ($USD) is about to stage a reversal to the upside, forcing the algo’s to sell gold.

Is Apparent Strength in Stock Market Masking Deeper problems below the Surface?

Mounting pessimism comes at a time when US equities are looking healthy, at least on the surface. This apparent strength of the stock market may just be masking deeper problems brewing under the surface. The fact that we had many volatility cycles since 1983, and are now at all-time lows in volatility, indicates that we may be very close to the turning point.

Dollar's Long-term Downtrend will have Positive Impact on Gold Prices

The charts for the dollar index continue to look grim. On the 8-month chart we can see it dropping away beneath a parabolic downtrend that is accelerating to the downside. If this parabolic downtrend continues to force the dollar lower it should have a positive impact on the gold price, although it hasn’t thus far. Further significant weakness in the dollar should of course be bullish for gold and silver.

Bull Market Incubating in the Precious Metals Sector

Should we see the usual seasonal dip in the precious metals sector during this month and possibly into July, it won’t alter the Big Picture set out here, and it should be seized upon as a buying opportunity, although what we are seeing in the US dollar now suggests that the seasonal dip in gold and silver may just not happen this year.

Gold and Silver Prices Steadily Following an Upward Trajectory

Amidst the most, gold and silver bullish fundamental environment imaginable – on the political, economic, social, monetary, and supply/demand fronts – even the Cartel’s best efforts to delay the inevitable re-emergence of the only real money the world has ever known are failing in the historically rigged financial markets. If you have not already purchased, it may already be too late.

Gold Prices Just 1% Shy of Ripping Higher - All Upside Indicators Intact

We have both of the strongest indicators of rising precious metal prices intact. Silver has already broken out and trades above its 200-day moving average and long-term resistance levels, and gold is about 1% away from cracking its own price wall of $1,300. The coming weeks (or even months) could be exactly what you’ve been preparing for.

Gold Prices Likely to Stay Elevated on Safe Haven Demand

According to the Bloomberg Intelligence team, the Fed could be “one and done” in 2017 when it comes to rate hikes. Gold’s top forecaster for the last quarter, Intesa Sanpaola SpA, says that the metal’s price could hit $1,350 by year end, citing faster inflation and geopolitical tensions. “Gold will likely stay elevated given safe haven demand,” Barnabas Gan, economist at OCBC, said.

The Reasons For Owning Gold Bullion Are As Strong As Ever

Given its recent surge, is gold still a “buy?” With the Fed in a tricky situation regarding interest rates—and ambiguity likely to continue to surround the political arena—we may be in for a wild ride in 2017. Given the uncertain outlook and improving fundamentals for gold, now is a great time to add the yellow metal to your portfolio.

Did Gold Prices Really Fall Over Trump’s Speech?

If Trump pursues a weak dollar policy, it has clear inflationary consequences, which is good for gold prices & euro. If Trump pursues a strong dollar policy, it will almost certainly lead to a Chinese maxi-devaluation & to an emerging-market dollar-denominated debt crisis. That could be a short-run head wind for gold prices, but as crisis conditions take hold, gold will benefit from a flight to safety.

Reasons why Gold Prices are Rising & the Dollar is Falling

Shortly after the election, the dollar index spiked as gold prices began a quick decline; however, recently the trend has reversed. The factors shown here for upward movement in gold prices suggest more people are beginning to feel less optimistic about the future, given the current political climate and rightful mistrust of institutions like the Federal Reserve.

Is Gold still a Buy? - 5 Reasons You Should Increase Allocation to Gold

Gold is up almost 8% since the beginning of the year & the outlook for 2017 is bright. Net bets on higher future prices have almost doubled since January. Assets held by gold ETFs are up 34% from their Dec lows. Given its recent surge, is gold still a “buy?” Here are 5 compelling Reasons. Given the uncertain outlook & improving fundamentals for gold, now is a great time to add gold to your portfolio.

What Are Gold Prices and Bond Yields Telling Us?

A positive relationship between gold and the dollar has reemerged over the last few trading sessions & needs to be watched carefully. That is doubly true right now, while bonds are rising and bond yields are falling. If bonds continue to rise with gold and the dollar, it would indicate that investors are becoming more risk-averse and seeking so-called “safety assets.”

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