Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Dollar Index’

Will Silver Prices take off like a Rocket while Gold Prices Languish?

Why are junk bonds and equities not dropping commensurately? It’s crystal clear that if rates are truly moving up, then all assets will be repriced lower. So for the moment, the prices of the metals— silver more than gold—are driven by this Narrative.It would be strange to see the price of silver take off like a rocket while the price of gold languishes, moribund.

Outlook for Gold and Silver Prices in a Crucial Central Banks' Influenced Week

There is a very high degree of uncertainty over market developments in the week ahead, but a fresh surge in volatility is guaranteed. The decisions by the Bank of Japan, followed later by Federal Reserve will have a big short-term impact & an important influence on market direction for the remainder of 2016. Gold and silver prices settled lower last week. Here is the outlook for this crucial week.

August Watchout! Stocks Will Slump While Silver Will Soar

Historically, August has been a rough month for stock investors. The fall in the dollar will reflect in the rise of silver. I believe that silver is on the cusp of a rally. The silver bulls have seen a stupendous run from the lows of around $13.73 during the start of the year to the highs of $21.2 in early July 2016. However, I believe that the bull run in silver will continue after a small consolidation.

Gold Sparkles Most when Dark Clouds Loom over the Economy

After disappointing US economic growth data was released, gold jumped 1.2%. Weak data is good for gold because it decreases the chances of a rate hike soon. If US economy continues to struggle, the Fed could delay its next rate hike. If the dollar index breaks below 93, it could be a strong indication that a new downtrend in the dollar has started. And this could give a big boost to gold prices.

Silver and Gold Look Poised to Test Fresh Highs After Short Breather

Silver futures regained their footing to renew a charge to a fresh, nearly two-year settlement high, and gold tipped higher as surging U.S. stocks looked to pause their ascent. There are still numerous reasons for investors to choose gold and silver as a safe haven. The preponderance to ease further, now being pursued by a host of central banks, will likely provide an element of support.

Deflation Scares Central Bankers - Can Gold Be Their Biggest Ally?

Every Central Banker dreads deflation. They’re doing everything they can to generate a 2% annual rate of inflation, but can’t get it. Well, the last thing you want to see is the gold price going down. If prices continue to drop, they fall to a point where they start to impact jobs. Drilling rigs & mines shut down. So in-fact, they want gold and silver prices, copper & oil prices to go higher.

Nothing Can Stop The Runaway Bull Market In Gold - Not Even The Fed

The next Federal Reserve rate hike is on hold… for now. The last time the Fed raised rates was from 2004 to 2006. Rates went from 1% all the way to 5.25%. If gold was truly affected by the Fed raising interest rates, then it would have had a devastating effect on the gold price… right? But in-fact gold prices went up. Gold doesn’t care about the Fed, especially when gold is in a bull market.

Will Fed Kill The Dollar To Save Markets - Or Sacrifice Markets To Save Dollar?

A strong dollar makes exported US military hardware too expensive for foreign purchases & a weak dollar can cause a lack of confidence in the dollar & can cause inflation because the US relies heavily on imports. If an interest rate hike causes the equity markets to crash, demand for US Treasuries will spike, thus furthering the Fed’s objectives of keeping demand high for US Treasury bonds.

Unsustainable Debt will Melt most Paper Assets - Buy Physical Gold and Silver

Inflation since the early 1980’s was forced into the broader markets rather than into energy and commodities. Which means, most Americans have this false sense of WEALTH, when in all reality, they are completely broke. When the markets really CRACK in a big way, investors will flock into gold and silver, just like they are doing today on a lousy jobs report.

Why Investors See Higher Gold Prices In 2016 - Here Are Six Reasons

Precious metals remain the 2016 commodity leaders, with silver posting a huge 25% gain & gold prices showing a 21% rise. The year is off to a good start for gold investors. But, the party may have just begun. A bevy of economic, monetary, currency and technical factors continue to develop in gold’s favor, which argue for the potential for higher gold prices in 2016.

Gold and Silver Can Protect You from the Coming Bank Account Tax

Deutsche Bank thinks central bankers should go directly after people’s savings accounts. In other words, it’s lobbying for a wealth tax—or “bank account tax”—that would be a more radical version of negative rates. A bank account tax would promote more reckless borrowing and spending than we’re seeing already. When people realize it, they’ll pile into gold and silver.

Here's How The Dollar Breakdown Could Propel Gold Prices To New Highs

The US dollar has not only fuelled the gold rally, it’s also slammed the U.S. Dollar Index back toward early 2015 levels. If the dollar slips below its 2015 lows, it runs the risk of a much bigger drawdown. And that’s exactly what may be seen soon. A weekly close at these levels will leave the Dollar Index with one foot in the grave. Naturally, this is bullish for gold prices.

No One Believes in Gold. Here's Why It Will Keep Rising

While gold and miners continue to consolidate, we’re beginning to see new trading setups emerge on the long side. The rise in gold prices won’t be picture-perfect. Expect wild swings and plenty of shakeouts. Comeback moves are never clean or easy. But they are powerful—and they can put a lot of money in your pocket in a very short amount of time.

We’re Near a Major Turning Point in the Currency Wars

In the currency wars, it looks like a recent quiet period is over and war is entering a new major battle. The US dollar went from an all-time low in August 2011 to a 10-year high in mid-2015. But the strong dollar finally caught up with the US economy, which has been slowing down precipitously. There are critical turning points where a long-term directional trend is set to reverse.

Inflation Expectations, Fears, are Rising and Markets are Responding

When I ask if inflation is about to make a comeback, what I’m really wondering is if the value of the dollar is about to fall. I prefer these measures not because they are more accurate – although I think they generally are – but because they are more timely. Prices will follow the value of the dollar eventually but the impact on investments is much quicker.

Gold And The US Dollar Are Reaching A Critical Point

The gold x USDX index has been confined to the middle equilibrium since mid-2013. Once again, we are at a possible breakout point. If we are to see a significant move in gold, we need to see a move towards the upper equilibrium. If the US dollar were to remain strong during such a move, this would suggest a gold price approaching $1400. The next eight weeks or so should tell the tale.

Shanghai vs Comex: Opposite Moves In Silver Inventories

COMEX silver inventories peaked in the beginning of July at 184.5 million oz (Moz) and then continued to decline, reaching a low of 159.9 Moz presently. Shanghai Futures Exchange silver inventories bottomed on August 18th at 233 metric tons (mt), then continued to grow over the past three months to the present 528 mt.

Gold And Silver At Make Or Break Level, Dollar Breaks Out Big Time!

Gold is testing right now its August lows. This is a critical price level, gold bulls would like to see this price level hold, otherwise a washout (capitulation-alike) decline could be in the cards. As for silver, it is holding up slightly better. Both gold and silver are trading at a make or break level. Do not underestimate the importance of these price levels.

Currency Wars Become Much Nastier During Recession Times

All central banks have printed trillions of dollars in their respective currencies under various QE programs. They are at the point where they simply cannot print trillions more without risking the collapse of confidence in their currencies. How will central banks stop the recession when they’ve used up their dry powder fighting the currency wars?

An Insight into the Future Price of Gold

Real interest rates are one of the best predictors of the nominal dollar price of gold. When real interest rates are low (or negative), that gives gold a boost. When real interest rates are high, that puts downward pressure on gold. This easily understandable correlation is much stronger than other correlations such as the stock market or economic growth.

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