Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Dollars’

Silver Price Dives while Gold Price is Motionless - What Gives?

Silver is in a different world. It has a long way farther to fall, before it catches down to the fundamentals. As speculators reduce their positions, the silver price falls a bit. The gold to silver ratio rose significantly this week. The gold market may not be screaming “buy” yet—today is not that day—but it’s no longer screaming “danger”.

Why One Analyst Believes Gold Prices Could Hit $3,000 an Ounce

We are likely entering a new gold bull market since the previous one concluded in September 2011. Since 1970, we’ve seen five gold bull markets, each one lasting an average 63 months and returning an average 385%, according to the WGC. Dr. Diego Parrilla stated that “a perfect storm for gold is brewing” & predicts gold could rise to $3,000 within the next three years.

Gold Prices Are Soaring Right Now - Here's What's Next

The World Gold Council said it’s largest customers, China, India & Russia will be adding to their stockpiles of physical gold & that the global stock market turmoil would be enough to keep gold demand strong this year. Well, I would say that’s all fine and good, but the main currency that gold is concerned about is the dollar.

Warren Buffett hates Gold. Why do you like it?

Maybe Mr. Buffett doesn’t need “monetary” insurance like gold because he owns so many other productive assets. He owns the brick factory, the railroad, even a candy company & all those cash-spinning insurance companies. How about you? Warren Buffett can do what he wants. But unless you’re hyper-wealthy like him, you need “insurance” in the form of gold. You just never know.

The Bull Market in Stocks May Have Ended Already

With the Fed now running out of ammo, we MAY no longer be in a bull market. Instead, we MAY be entering a bear market. If so, you can forget about a recovery in four months. Instead, it may take four years… or 40 years… to reclaim the bull market high set this past May. Corrections in a bull market are one thing. Bear markets are something very different.

The Dollar Will Not Be Overthrown in October

Blogs, newsletters, and inboxes are cluttered with dire warnings about an event in October 2015. That will supposedly overthrow the dollar as the global reserve currency and cause a catastrophic meltdown of the international financial system. In fact, nothing of the kind is about to happen. There are important and significant events happening behind the scenes.

The Facts About Gold and Gold Speculations

Excessive debt is deflationary. Central banks can’t tolerate deflation so inflation is their game. They will print more & more. Global debt (official), not counting unfunded liabilities, exceeds $200 Trillion. It will increase but probably will not be paid. More debt means more currency in circulation, currencies are devalued, and gold becomes more expensive.

Warren Buffett And The Chinese Are Loading Up On Hard Assets

I would say look at China buying gold, look at Warren Buffett buying hard assets in energy and that will give some guidance. The two other ones, powerful, biggest, best and foreign investors in the world are getting out of paper money into hard assets. They’ve created a hedge where they win both ways.

Gold is (Once Again) Money

What China and Russia have in common is they are both protecting themselves against dollar & oil price manipulation by converting their export sales into gold. They are using gold to hedge dollar exposures in Treasury securities & oil respectively. While investors may have missed this development, other central banks have not.

The Market is Simply not Expecting Renminbi Devaluation to Happen

The Chinese seem to have changed the focus of their monetary policy from one that targets the exchange rate to one that targets domestic money supply growth. This shift will only serve to increase the divergence between the Fed and PBOC monetary policies and put more downward pressure on the renminbi.

Why the U.S. is Letting China Accumulate Gold

The evidence is there. China is saying, in effect, “We’re not comfortable holding all these dollars unless we can have gold. But if we are transparent about the gold acquisition, the price will go up too quickly. So we need the western powers to keep the lid on the price and help us get the gold, until we reach a hedged position.”

Gold: The Good, Bad, and Truly Ugly

Dollars, Euros, Yen, and other unbacked fiat currencies have been printed to excess for decades. A vulnerable and dangerous financial system that is increasingly leveraged is a bubble in search of a pin. Accidents happen! Protect yourself and insure your assets with gold and silver – The real money for 5,000 years.

A Surge in M&As Proves that Gold Is Back

Gold mining majors and midtiers have cut exploration budgets and now rely on the juniors to provide their replacement reserves and resources. That’s why M&A has increased. This tells me the junior miners are really set for a takeoff. Expect a new record gold price within 18 months. Here are some metal equities poised to take off in 2015.

Silver and Gold Truth Versus Fiat Money Lies

What do loss of confidence, loss of faith in financial systems & pervasive lies have to do with gold and silver? They far more truthful money that central banks can’t print or create from thin air. The truths we have been told about fiat money are lies. Don’t believe the lies that unbacked debt based paper currencies will survive (they never do).

Is Market Sentiment Shifting to Gold?

When you look at the world economy, there’s no shortage of worries. Most market strategists do not view gold as a currency but only as a commodity. The rule: dollar up, gold down. But on viewing gold as a currency compared to many other currencies, including euro, ruble, yen & rupee, it has been a good place to be in over the last year.

Russia Buys Most Gold In Six Months, Continues Selling US Treasuries

The rumors of Russia selling its gold reserves, it is now clear, were greatly exaggerated as not only did Putin not sell, Russian gold reserves rose by their largest amount in six months in December to just over $46 billion. On the other hand, there is another trend that continues for the Russians – that of reducing their exposure to US Treasury debt.

Why Gold Price Manipulation is Now a Global Effort

Here’s the problem: If you took the lid off and ended the gold price manipulation and let gold find its level, China would be left in the dust. It wouldn’t have enough gold relative to the other countries & because their economy’s growing faster & because the price of gold would be skyrocketing, they could never acquire it fast enough.

The Federal Reserve and the Price of Oil

Domestic oil producers have a source for financing: the Fed. If you want to deploy the oil weapon, make sure you have a central bank that can intervene at will, in whatever size is necessary, to reduce the impact on your own economy, while maximizing the financial pain inflicted on the targets of the oil weapon.

The Oil Pricing Mystery Has Been Solved

Plan for oil prices to stay lower for longer than you think. As with most busts, there has to be a washout phase filled with bankruptcies & lots of angst. We’re not there yet. Oil stocks are way down – But I expect we’ll see a significant oil company or two go under. The bust will take some time to play out — not weeks or months, but probably years.

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