Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Donald Trump’

Did Gold Prices Really Fall Over Trump’s Speech?

If Trump pursues a weak dollar policy, it has clear inflationary consequences, which is good for gold prices & euro. If Trump pursues a strong dollar policy, it will almost certainly lead to a Chinese maxi-devaluation & to an emerging-market dollar-denominated debt crisis. That could be a short-run head wind for gold prices, but as crisis conditions take hold, gold will benefit from a flight to safety.

What Are Gold Prices and Bond Yields Telling Us?

A positive relationship between gold and the dollar has reemerged over the last few trading sessions & needs to be watched carefully. That is doubly true right now, while bonds are rising and bond yields are falling. If bonds continue to rise with gold and the dollar, it would indicate that investors are becoming more risk-averse and seeking so-called “safety assets.”

Gold Price Movements Indicate Levels of Fear & Uncertainty in Global Markets

At the top of the list of what the stock market hates is uncertainty, while gold typically rises when there is fear and uncertainty in stock markets. The price of gold (see above chart) has been rising & its volume spiking. Our advice would be to keep an eye on the gold market to measure just how much fear and uncertainty there is in global markets about our new President.

Why Uncertain Times in the US & UK Have Made Precious Metals Surge

Hard Brexit talks by Theresa May & recent actions by Donald Trump in the US may have had a significant impact on precious metal prices. The events on both sides of the Atlantic have seen investments in things that are not tied to stocks or currencies like precious metals & even Bitcoin surge, and these are going to be watched very closely by anyone concerned with the markets in the coming weeks.

Investors Shift Back into Gold as Trump’s Honeymoon Period Ends

Following the Nov election, outflows from gold ETFs & other products accelerated. But now, just two weeks into Trump’s term as president, the gold bulls are banging the drum, with several large hedge fund managers taking a contrarian bet on the precious metal. Following Trump’s comment that it was “too strong”, the U.S. dollar declined, helping gold prices rise.

2017 Creating Conditions for Gold to have it's Best Year in a Generation

Clearly, gold had a poor end to 2016 and fell by over 10% in the last two months of the year. However, it looks set to not only reverse this fall, but to also make high gains during the course of the year. The risks facing the world economy are significant and inflation looks set to rise, both of which create the conditions for gold to have its best year in a generation.

Factors That Practically Guarantee Gold Prices to Rise in 2017

It probably comes as little shock that the leading catalyst for physical gold in 2017 is likely to come down to what the Federal Reserve does with interest rates. The Fed will hold a lot of weight on the movement of gold prices in 2017. Another major catalyst is going to be the Donald Trump presidency. But the final catalyst for gold prices is a real wildcard in 2017: India.

Silver Prices will Trump Gold Prices in 2017

Trump’s plan is both inflationary and an injection into the industrial component of the economy, which are both aspects of where silver derives its luster. It’s not to say that this sort of rhetoric isn’t going to benefit gold as well, especially on the economic uncertainty front, but there are multiple upward forces in play to benefit silver.

Gold Price Outlook 2017: Analysts Call for Price Increase

Over the last five years, the gold price has more or less been stuck in a bear market. Moving into 2017, the gold price is expected to move much higher. One key indicator is the moving average of convergence/divergence, which is also known as MACD, and on a weekly basis the MACD and RSIR are indicating that the next move for gold will be up.

Gold Prices Bounce from Key Support - Bull Market Intact

Gold could see a better tone this week assuming that the dollar takes a bit of a breather from its upward advance and if U.S. equity markets pause after several weeks of heady gains. Despite on a short-term sell signal, the gold sector remains firmly on a long-term buy signal. Long-term signals can last for months and years and are more suitable for investors holding for long term.

When the Bond-fire has finally run its course, Gold and Silver will Emerge Victorious

Today’s rising interest rates & trillion-dollar losses in global bond markets are prelude to what is to come,- Rising inflation with higher interest rates ending in the bursting of global government bond bubble & long awaited breakout in gold. The battle between capital & free markets is almost over; & when the bondfire has finally run its course, gold and silver will be victors.

Trump’s Agenda will fuel Bigger Deficits, Debt & Inflation: Super-Bullish for Gold

No matter how awesome Trump’s pro-growth economic policies ultimately prove, these Fed-levitated stock markets near bubble valuations still face an overdue bear. And Trump’s big-spending agenda is going to fuel bigger deficits, bigger debt, and inflation for years to come. That’s super-bullish for gold since it tends to move counter to stocks.

More Surprises ahead with Implications for Gold Price Volatility

What many Western investors fail to realise is that investment demand for gold knows no borders. It will be the growth in physical demand for gold from India & China that drives gold prices to unheard of heights over the coming years. Political & social developments, growth in middle classes with investible incomes in these countries will be more important than who’s occupying the White House.

With a Trump Win, Gold Prices Could Soar Sharply to $1750 or even $2000

Citigroup has advised investors to sell stocks & bonds – And buy gold – BEFORE the election, if Donald Trump starts rising in the polls. Their reasoning is that if Donald Trump begins to lead in the polls, gold prices could move up sharply before the election, since markets tend to price-in any expected outcome. ABN Amro Sees $1,850 Gold Prices Following a Trump Win.

Weekly Outlook for Silver Prices - Volatility in Gold Prices on the Rise

At present, the bias in silver prices is to the upside, as new buying appeared to be behind last week’s advance in prices, as open interest increased nearly 6% through Thursday. In addition, the U.S. economic calendar for the week is full. The possibility of victory for Trump & a second US interest rate hike could cause increased volatility in gold & could rise as high as $1,425.

How will the US Elections Affect Equities and Gold?

The experience of losing money is common in investing. But where is the certitude of loss even before your check clears? That’s the situation with sovereign debt right now. Gold is money and money is sterile. It does not pay dividends or earn income. I don’t suggest that it is the only thing that people should have their money in. But to me, gold is a very timely way to invest in monetary disorder.

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