Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘ECB’

Global Capital Markets Are A Tale of Two Crises

A crack-up was always just a matter of time. Is this the time? Both have the potential to ignite a global systemic meltdown. Are China and Greece the snowflakes that start the avalanche? Probably not. The system is fragile and these crises are urgent. But they are also amenable to government responses ranging from plain vanilla bailouts to more extreme bail-ins.

The Euro Crisis: Solvency of the ECB is at Stake

How the Greek crisis is a euro crisis: ECB itself now needs refinancing as losses that ECB faces from Greece alone are about €189.3bn – twice its equity capital & reserves of €98.5bn. Given the likely collapse of the Greek banking system & default on its debt, collateral held by ECB are more or less worthless. Upsetting of the Greek applecart risks destabilising the euro itself.

Bail-Ins Coming – EU Gives 11 Countries 2 Months To Adopt Rules

This bail-in legislation which is being driven by the BIS through the Bank of England, ECB, Federal Reserve and Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) appears designed to protect banks by allowing them to confiscate deposits to prop them up rather than the noble stated objective – “to shield taxpayers”.

Will They Confiscate Money From Bank Accounts In Greece - Like Cyprus?

ECB is up to its eyeballs swimming in unpayable Greek debt that it holds & has only 2 alternatives. It can push the €112 billion of Greek debt it holds to the national central banks of the Eurozone & on to the backs of the taxpayers in those countries. Or confiscate depositor money in Greece, like it did in Cyprus.

ECB - European Central Bank is Getting Tougher on Greek Banks

ECB now wants to impose further control for Greek banks looking to secure emergency loans. It makes you wonder if they’re interested in keeping Greece in the European Union at all. The ECB’s move to limit the amount of money Greek banks can access will only increase the chances of Greece falling further under Putin’s spell.

At The End Of The Road - Greece Prepares For Default, FT Reports

A default would almost certainly lead to the suspension of emergency ECB liquidity assistance for the Greek financial sector, the closure of Greek banks, capital controls & wider economic instability. Unfortunately for Greece, the default threat has been used, abused & denied so many times, nobody cares, or believes it will be used.

ECB Will Cut Rates To Minus 3%: JP Morgan

ECB is now close to running out of ammunition. Contrary to its initial design, the OMT programme could no longer be seen as unlimited. Draghi is already playing down Q€’s potential, noting that QE alone will not be sufficient to reignite eurozone growth. It seems the only option for the ECB would be to plunge further into NIRP-dom.

Are Central Banks Creating Deflation?

The unintended consequences of continuing to delve deeper into the new paranormal are making the game ever more dangerous as we now have central banks accidentally creating deflation while simultaneously embedding enormous amounts of risk in fixed income markets by sapping every last vestige of liquidity.

European Debt Crisis

A revolt against previously-agreed austerity packages by any of these other states would have untold ramifications not only for the future of the Eurozone, but the euro itself. In the wake of this episode, the status of the euro as money is likely to be increasingly questioned, not just in the foreign exchanges, but by its users as well.

Greece Says ‘No’ To Fake Bail-Outs – Jeff Nielsen

With a sane (and apparently honest/legitimate) government achieving election in Greece; the past six years of European “bail-out” fraud is about to be fully exposed. Indeed, the recent history of Greece, alone, is little more than a road-map of fraud, conclusively illustrated by a concise summation of events.

TODAY Greece Decides: Europe... Or Russia

At precisely the same time as the FinMin is in Brussels discussing the fate of Greece in the Eurozone, the new Greek foreign minister will be in the Kremlin, getting instant updates from Brussels and perhaps discussing the fate of Greece in the Eurasian Economic Union. Put in the simplest of terms, today Greece will decide: Europe, or Russia.

Greek FinMin Warns "Euro Will Collapse If Greece Exits", Says Italy Is Next

Greece is now betting everything that Europe will not allow it to exit & hoping the existential terror that would be heaped on Eurozone as forecast in 2012, will still take place & Europe will concede that spending a few more billion on Greece’s bridge program is worth to avoid what could potentially spiral into an out of control collapse.

How to Position Your Portfolio to Win in the Currency Wars - GOLD

After recent QE announcement by ECB, euro-to-yen swap rate has gone back to where it was & yen is even stronger! Precisely what Germany wants because it’s biggest competition in machine tools, robotics & automation is Japan. This is currency wars. Currency wars are not genteel, friends-and-family squabbles. This could get ugly.

More Euro Tragedy & Its Consequences For Gold

Gold price is an early warning of future monetary & currency troubles & it is now becoming apparent how they may transpire. The ECB move is likely to have important ramifications well beyond Europe & together with parallel actions by the BoJ, can now be expected to increase demand for physical gold in the advanced economies once more.

When A Soaring Dollar "Reflects Loss Of Investor Confidence And Is Potentially Devastating"

A strong dollar has a Jekyll and Hyde personality – a ‘good dollar’ that reflects economic & monetary policy divergence & whose rally is orderly and limited. A ‘bad dollar’ which de-couples from monetary policy & reflects instead a loss of investor in the face of higher volatility. That dollar rises faster, much further & is potentially devastating.

How a Default by Greece May Sill Unravel the EU

Greece is actually in the driver’s seat. Historical evidence shows that once a country reaches such a situation it is likely to default within the next 2 years. Quotation: “If you owe the bank thousands, then you have a problem. If you owe the bank millions, then the bank has a problem.” In the current situation, it is the EU that has a problem.

QE Warfare Pushing World Financial System out of Control

William White, a former chief economist to the Bank for International Settlements said QE is a disguised form of competitive devaluation. “There is a significant risk that this is going to end badly. Central banks have been put in an invidious position, compelled to respond to a deep economic disorder that is beyond their power.”

Is Market Sentiment Shifting to Gold?

When you look at the world economy, there’s no shortage of worries. Most market strategists do not view gold as a currency but only as a commodity. The rule: dollar up, gold down. But on viewing gold as a currency compared to many other currencies, including euro, ruble, yen & rupee, it has been a good place to be in over the last year.

ECB: 4 QE Scenarios & Why Waking From QE Dream May Be Worst Possible Outcome

Credit Suisse believes that these are four potential scenarios for ECB sovereign bond purchases (QE). It will be truly ironic if the one event that terminally crushes the Eurozone will be the implementation of the one ECB act that everyone, and certainly tenured economists and other quasi-pundits, have been hoping for since 2012.

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