Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Economic Analysis’

Why ‘Stimulus’ Doesn’t Guarantee an Economic Recovery

The theory is that the additional spending will cause businesses to boost production to meet this demand. Producers will add jobs, triggering increases in consumer spending that will ripple through the economy and fuel a stronger overall recovery. Unfortunately, such government pump-priming hasn’t worked in the past & there’s no reason to believe it will work now.

Economic Illiteracy is Alive and Well

As an academic and economist, few things are as frustrating and mind-boggling as the fervor with which people embrace and display their economic illiteracy. It appears some, and an increasing number of them, consider it to be a quality or even a moral advantage to remain ignorant of basic economics.

"Off The Grid" Indicators Suggest US Economy Anything But On Solid Ground

In summary, this turn through our Off the Grid indicators show a U.S. economy that is still only gradually on the mend. Consumers are no longer as afraid of systemic failure of the banking system, hence the decline in gold and silver coin demand. At the same time, food insecurity is still an issue and food inflation is on the rise.

A New Fed Playbook for the New Normal

The Fed knows very well that the economy needs zero% rates to stay afloat. So while the market talks the talk on raising rates, the Fed will continue to walk the walk of zero percent interest rates. Since none of the Fed’s prior QE programs were followed by rate hikes but by more QE, why should this time be any different?

Which way is Inflation Blowing? Watch Commodities

Rapid growth of the money supply usually fuels higher rates of inflation. It’s the narrative about low inflation & weak Gold prices that enables the endless printing of money by central banks. Bubbles in the European and US bond & stock markets can be sustained in the stratosphere, only as long as inflation is “SAID” to be running near-zero.

The Ridiculousness of Economics?

Interestingly, while economic reasoning is laughed at and ridiculed, people tend to place great faith in applied fields such as medicine as though it were a real science. So perhaps if economics were more like medicine, it would earn the respect as a science (side-effects aside)?

The Long and the Short of Gold Investing

There are two types of gold investors: those trying to make money on short-term market timing and those looking for long-term asset preservation – Finishing 2013 down 28% seems to have sealed its fate in the eyes of the short-term speculators.

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