Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Equity Markets’

Gold Prices Bounce from Key Support - Bull Market Intact

Gold could see a better tone this week assuming that the dollar takes a bit of a breather from its upward advance and if U.S. equity markets pause after several weeks of heady gains. Despite on a short-term sell signal, the gold sector remains firmly on a long-term buy signal. Long-term signals can last for months and years and are more suitable for investors holding for long term.

When the Bond-fire has finally run its course, Gold and Silver will Emerge Victorious

Today’s rising interest rates & trillion-dollar losses in global bond markets are prelude to what is to come,- Rising inflation with higher interest rates ending in the bursting of global government bond bubble & long awaited breakout in gold. The battle between capital & free markets is almost over; & when the bondfire has finally run its course, gold and silver will be victors.

August Watchout! Stocks Will Slump While Silver Will Soar

Historically, August has been a rough month for stock investors. The fall in the dollar will reflect in the rise of silver. I believe that silver is on the cusp of a rally. The silver bulls have seen a stupendous run from the lows of around $13.73 during the start of the year to the highs of $21.2 in early July 2016. However, I believe that the bull run in silver will continue after a small consolidation.

Bear Stearns 2.0? UK's Largest Property Fund Halts Redemptions

While equity markets have rebounded exuberantly post-Brexit, suggesting all is well, British property-related assets have tumbled. Standard Life has been forced to stop retail investors selling out for at least 28 days after rapid cash outflows were sparked by fears over falling real estate values. The fund will need to sell real estate to raise cash before any money can be redeemed.

The Greatest One Day Global Stock Market Loss In World History

Worldwide markets haemorrhaged more than $2 trillion in paper wealth on Friday, according to data from S&P Global, the worst on record. For context, that figure eclipsed the whipsaw trading sessions of the 2008 financial crisis. This could be the tipping point that turns the existing global slowdown of 2016 into a global recession. Friday may turn out to be just the tip of the iceberg.

Will Fed Kill The Dollar To Save Markets - Or Sacrifice Markets To Save Dollar?

A strong dollar makes exported US military hardware too expensive for foreign purchases & a weak dollar can cause a lack of confidence in the dollar & can cause inflation because the US relies heavily on imports. If an interest rate hike causes the equity markets to crash, demand for US Treasuries will spike, thus furthering the Fed’s objectives of keeping demand high for US Treasury bonds.

Pension Fund Deficits Stand at Record Levels - Can Gold Ameliorate the Situation?

The result is pension fund deficits today stand at record levels, even after a doubling of equity markets over the last five years. Goodness knows how bad it must be for pension funds in countries where negative interest rates have been imposed. This article lays out the problem & its scale, so far as it is known, & notes that a pension fund that has a holding in gold is a very rare animal.

Gold - Technical Picture Looks Increasingly Supportive Of A Sustainable Bull Market

By this time next year, gold prices could be challenging or even surpassing the yellow metal’s all-time high of $1,924 an ounce reached in September 2011. The technical picture looks increasingly supportive with buyers ready to accumulate both physical metal and paper proxies just under the market – suggesting that we are now in sustainable bull-market territory.

Slow Economic Growth? Look to Gold, Treasuries as Safe Haven Investments

Gold, treasuries & other bonds tend to be so-called haven investments, where investors often park cash until equities recover. Gold futures have jumped as money managers flee equities. The rate on 10-year Treasury bonds has declined by almost a fourth as people rush to invest in the low-yield, low-risk investment. Dumping money into both is a trend that’s expected to continue.

Got Gold And Ready For The Next Bear Market?

Given the run-up in equity prices in recent years, we wouldn’t be surprised if the looming bear market, if it indeed becomes one, will last at least as long as historic bear markets. Are we already in a bear market in stocks? In this context, we study past bear markets to see whether gold may serve as a valuable diversifier for what’s ahead. Got gold?

Equity Markets and the Credit Contraction

Macroeconomic policy is centred on ensuring that bank credit grows continually, so since the Lehman crisis any tendency for bank credit to contract has been offset by central banks creating money. The bald fact that equity markets have now lost upside momentum and appear to be at risk of a self-feeding collapse will be viewed by central bankers with increasing alarm.

The Economics of a Stock Market Crash

To mainstream financial commentators, blame for a crash is always placed on remote factors, such as China’s financial crisis, and has little to do with events closer to home. Analysis of this sort is selective and badly misplaced. The purpose of this article is to provide an overview of the economic background to today’s markets as well as the likely consequences.

Will A Possible Hike In Interest Rates Hit Energy Markets?

While both the equity rally and the commodity sell-off appear overdone, logic dictates that these trends could well continue in the face of an improving economy and rising interest rates. But at the risk of ignoring cognitive dissonance, financial markets also seem ripe for a counterintuitive move, as indicators reach extremes: commodities could rebound amid a correction in equities.

Nine Years on, People Forget How Nasty an Interest Rate Increase Can Be

If the Fed raises rates, I would expect for the US economy to come close to a recession, more deflation & probably some disruption in equity markets. If they don’t raise rates as the decision is data-dependent & it’s coming in weak – you might actually see stocks higher at the end of the year than they are now based on more free money.

Central Bank Credibility, The Equity Markets, And Gold

Coming out of the Great Recession, central bank credibility – their ability to “pull us out” of the Recession – was being severely questioned by investors. Thus, a good portion of investor money found its way into gold. That changed in 2011. Central bank credibility is at a peak, so gold is in the dumps.

Interview: CEO of Goldcorp - World's Largest Gold Miner, "Chuck Jeannes"

Goldcorp recently faced off against Yamana Gold & Agnico Eagle to take over Osisko. It looks like Yamana & Agnico Eagle have taken the prize with a larger bid. Are big miners changing their strategy to take over producing mining companies instead of raw deposits? Are they becoming purely mine operators instead of mine builders?

Peak Gold Is Here to Stay - Oliver Gross

The wave of zero-interest liquidity washing over the financial world could result in a short-term gold bottom of $1,000. I like to invest when there is blood in the streets & that is certainly happening with precious metal equities. Today, investors can buy gold and silver stocks at decade-low valuations & historically low bullion-to-equity valuations.

Alternative Measures Suggest Weaker Economy

In an economy where activity is beginning to surge, the prices of commodities also pick up, as demand for these increases. Rising economic activity leads to demand for credit & so interest rates also increase. But this is hardly the case, which increases risk of disappointment in months ahead which could be negative for markets.

It Can't Be A Bubble! Does One Actually Exist Or Not?

Ultimately the question is whether brisk money supply growth will be maintained and whether the economy’s real pool of funding is still large enough to allow for additional diversions of scarce resources into bubble activities. Most of the time, it’s the eventual slowdown of money supply growth that brings a bubble to its knees.

5 Reasons Why The Market Won't Crash Or Will

Can this bull market last, given the current economic & fundamental variables? While we can eventually recover from a market crash, we can not regain the time lost to save & grow our investments to fund our retirement. Its critical to understand what the ramifications to your long term investment & financial planning goals will be if you are wrong.

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