Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Equity Markets’

What's keeping a lid on Gold Prices? Seems just a Play to Distract Investors

You will see higher gold prices next year on the back of low interest rates, no matter who the new Federal Reserve Chair is. A global debt crisis is building and that will be a long-term factor for gold prices. Sentiment, which has driven equity markets to record highs, could change very quickly and investors will soon be happy to have gold in their portfolio as an insurance policy.

Stocks at Tipping Point, Bearish Signals Are Multiplying for Equity Markets

The ratio of outstanding puts to calls on the S&P 500 has risen to levels last seen in the late-2015 market sell-off. Nervous Equity investors are willing to pay more for protection against losses than gains. So-called equity implied volatility skews are above the 10-year average. Investors have increasingly pushed into perceived haven assets in the second half of 2017.

Any Further Decline in Gold and Silver Prices - A Blessing for Your Final Buying

When precious metals prices are pushed down to even more absurd prices there will likely be no supply. This was true for the silver market during the Crash of ’08, it will likely be true with the gold and silver market during the Crash of ‘17 (if it happens). The way for you to “prepare” for the short term decline in gold and silver prices (and the rally which lies ahead) is to do your final buying now.

Rate Hike Priced-in, Gold Prices to Rise as Fed Clings to Status Quo Later

One of the most important factors that will continue to impact post-election investor behavior will be the Fed’s rate hike trajectory in 2017. While the March rate hike has most likely been priced into the current weak gold prices, further rate hikes, to a large extent, depend on US economic data and the Trump administration’s policies. Gold prices will rise on the Fed’s clinging to the Status Quo.

U.S. Favors Debt over Equity, Speculation over Investment, Buy Gold while You can

While the animal spirits may have taken over the equity markets and have ignored the gold market, we should recall that there is a reason why Keynes called them animal and not human spirits. Americans have ransomed the US economy because their policies have favored debt over equity and speculation over productive investment, placing gold in a more envious position.

Gold and Silver Markets have Entered a New Phase

Even the most optimistic Trump supporters should be planning for a bumpy ride on the way to reform. The bull run in the S&P 500 has lasted almost 8 years. Do Trump’s plans for economic revitalization mean the run can persist for years longer? For those not supremely confident in Trump’s ability to shepherd the tax cuts & a big infrastructure program through congress, gold and silver is the better bet.

Gold, Investor Optimism & Price Inflation Outlook for 2017

The effect of price inflation is not, as commonly supposed, to drive up prices. Instead, it drives down the purchasing power of expanding government-issued currency. Awareness that money is losing purchasing power only dawns on the public late in the price inflation process. Gold is therefore a far better measure of currencies’ loss of purchasing power than government inflation measures.

Gold and Silver Market – Surviving A Collapse?

The acquisition of gold and silver over the essential commodities of life is a failed strategy & plays into the hands of the elitists who intend to buy them back at huge discounts when the markets collapse & people become desperate for the commodities they really need just to stay alive. Hope & pray for the best but prepare for the worst in response to what history teaches us.

Gold Price Outlook Hostage to Uncertain Trump & India

Things didn’t quite pan out the way gold bulls would have hoped, and now they face a new year where the price of the precious metal is likely to be hostage to developments that are inherently unpredictable. The two main risks for the gold outlook for 2017 are what actually happens in the presidency of Donald Trump & how the demonetization of India plays out.

Gold Prices Bounce from Key Support - Bull Market Intact

Gold could see a better tone this week assuming that the dollar takes a bit of a breather from its upward advance and if U.S. equity markets pause after several weeks of heady gains. Despite on a short-term sell signal, the gold sector remains firmly on a long-term buy signal. Long-term signals can last for months and years and are more suitable for investors holding for long term.

When the Bond-fire has finally run its course, Gold and Silver will Emerge Victorious

Today’s rising interest rates & trillion-dollar losses in global bond markets are prelude to what is to come,- Rising inflation with higher interest rates ending in the bursting of global government bond bubble & long awaited breakout in gold. The battle between capital & free markets is almost over; & when the bondfire has finally run its course, gold and silver will be victors.

August Watchout! Stocks Will Slump While Silver Will Soar

Historically, August has been a rough month for stock investors. The fall in the dollar will reflect in the rise of silver. I believe that silver is on the cusp of a rally. The silver bulls have seen a stupendous run from the lows of around $13.73 during the start of the year to the highs of $21.2 in early July 2016. However, I believe that the bull run in silver will continue after a small consolidation.

Bear Stearns 2.0? UK's Largest Property Fund Halts Redemptions

While equity markets have rebounded exuberantly post-Brexit, suggesting all is well, British property-related assets have tumbled. Standard Life has been forced to stop retail investors selling out for at least 28 days after rapid cash outflows were sparked by fears over falling real estate values. The fund will need to sell real estate to raise cash before any money can be redeemed.

The Greatest One Day Global Stock Market Loss In World History

Worldwide markets haemorrhaged more than $2 trillion in paper wealth on Friday, according to data from S&P Global, the worst on record. For context, that figure eclipsed the whipsaw trading sessions of the 2008 financial crisis. This could be the tipping point that turns the existing global slowdown of 2016 into a global recession. Friday may turn out to be just the tip of the iceberg.

Will Fed Kill The Dollar To Save Markets - Or Sacrifice Markets To Save Dollar?

A strong dollar makes exported US military hardware too expensive for foreign purchases & a weak dollar can cause a lack of confidence in the dollar & can cause inflation because the US relies heavily on imports. If an interest rate hike causes the equity markets to crash, demand for US Treasuries will spike, thus furthering the Fed’s objectives of keeping demand high for US Treasury bonds.

Pension Fund Deficits Stand at Record Levels - Can Gold Ameliorate the Situation?

The result is pension fund deficits today stand at record levels, even after a doubling of equity markets over the last five years. Goodness knows how bad it must be for pension funds in countries where negative interest rates have been imposed. This article lays out the problem & its scale, so far as it is known, & notes that a pension fund that has a holding in gold is a very rare animal.

Gold - Technical Picture Looks Increasingly Supportive Of A Sustainable Bull Market

By this time next year, gold prices could be challenging or even surpassing the yellow metal’s all-time high of $1,924 an ounce reached in September 2011. The technical picture looks increasingly supportive with buyers ready to accumulate both physical metal and paper proxies just under the market – suggesting that we are now in sustainable bull-market territory.

Slow Economic Growth? Look to Gold, Treasuries as Safe Haven Investments

Gold, treasuries & other bonds tend to be so-called haven investments, where investors often park cash until equities recover. Gold futures have jumped as money managers flee equities. The rate on 10-year Treasury bonds has declined by almost a fourth as people rush to invest in the low-yield, low-risk investment. Dumping money into both is a trend that’s expected to continue.

Got Gold And Ready For The Next Bear Market?

Given the run-up in equity prices in recent years, we wouldn’t be surprised if the looming bear market, if it indeed becomes one, will last at least as long as historic bear markets. Are we already in a bear market in stocks? In this context, we study past bear markets to see whether gold may serve as a valuable diversifier for what’s ahead. Got gold?

Equity Markets and the Credit Contraction

Macroeconomic policy is centred on ensuring that bank credit grows continually, so since the Lehman crisis any tendency for bank credit to contract has been offset by central banks creating money. The bald fact that equity markets have now lost upside momentum and appear to be at risk of a self-feeding collapse will be viewed by central bankers with increasing alarm.

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