Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘European Central Bank’

Deutsche Bank Colapse - Was Why Germans Were Told To Prepare For A Crisis

There is a very real possibility that Deutsche Bank is going down. Angela Merkel has stated that Deutsche Bank will not be getting a bailout from the European Central Bank. Could Germany be considering a bail-in instead of a bail out? Are millions of Germans about to see their cash stolen by the government to prop up Deutsche bank? Is this what’s ahead for the people of Germany?

Gold Investment Necessitated by Failed Monetary Policies

Many analysts are interpreting weak Japanese Government Bond demand as a signal that investors are starting to lose confidence in the effectiveness of unconventional monetary policies, following increasingly desperate bids by the world’s central banks to reflate the global economy. In this environment, we believe investors are using gold to hedge portfolio risk as they add more stocks.

Gold and Silver Rally to be Fuelled by More Monetary Easing

July has not been kind to either market, with gold falling 4% lower from the month’s high, while its silver lost 9%. Easing is back on the table in the UK, while the ECB and Japan are also likely to be more dovish. From a technical point of view, both markets seemed to be primed for a sharp rebound, with silver in a descending triangle and gold in a symmetrical triangle.

Could $1,900 Price of Gold Be a Reality in Wake of Brexit

The price of gold soared in the wake of the Brexit vote, going as high as $1,350 on Friday before settling back slightly. But there are indications that a lot more factors than just short-term, knee-jerk safe-haven buying are pushing the price of gold up. That means this may be more than a reactionary spike in the market. We’re going to see a whole lot more upside in the days ahead.

Negative Interest Rates Positively Driving Gold Demand

Gold returns in periods of low rates are historically twice as high as their long-run average. Portfolio analysis suggests that gold allocations in a low rate environment should be more than twice their long term average. We believe that, over the long run, negative interest rates may result in structurally higher demand for gold from central banks and investors alike.

Why Gold Investors Should Love Central Banks

The ECB’s announcement last week is not a good test because it announced additional monetary stimulus as well as lower interest rates. Is gold going up because of negative interest rates, or because of monetary inflation? It is probably a combination of both, but it is hard to know which is the dominating factor. At least it is a bright spot for gold investors, if nothing else.

Paper Money Versus The Gold Standard

Many critics of the gold standard consider this a rigid and inflexible “rule” about how the monetary system and the quantity of money in the society is to be determined and constrained. Yet, the advocates of the gold standard have long argued that this relative inflexibility is essential to discipline governments within the confines of a “hard budget.”

Global Economic Fears Cast Long Dark Shadow On Oil Price Rebound

The global economic unease may begin to reach American shores. Although an economic slowdown is no doubt a negative for oil prices, the news could provide enough justification for the Fed to hold off on raising interest rates. A delay in a rate hike could likely push up WTI and Brent.

The Doomed Currency - Euro Is Not Dead

Based on the turmoil created by the European Debt Crisis, the continuing problems in Greece & other overly indebted southern tier European economies, many investors may have come to assume that Euro boosters will be forced to ultimately throw in the towel & call off the entire experiment, thereby leaving the Dollar completely unchallenged as the champion currency.

Eurozone Wants to Force Common Fiscal Control, Eurobonds - Jim Rickards

Greece now has to run its government according to German dictates. Greece has already outsourced its monetary policy to the ECB & now it’s sort of outsourced its fiscal policy to the German finance ministry. So you’re on a path to unified fiscal policy & ultimately the Eurobonds – bonds backed by full strength & credit of not just any one country but the entire Eurozone.

Greece Just Lost Control Of Its Banks - Why Deposit Haircuts Are Imminent

One of the preconditions imposed on Greece for a deal is that it signs into law European rules that would put eurozone authorities at ECB & Brussels in charge of identifying & closing or breaking up sick banks. There will be absolutely nothing Greece can do to avoid it as on Wednesday, the government will vote to hand over its sovereignty to Europe for absolutely nothing in return.

Why Is EU Forcing European Nations To Adopt Bail-In Legislation?

The European Union says that any nation within the EU that does not enact bail-in legislation within the next two months will face legal action. Is there a reason for this & thus also the hard deadline? Are they anticipating that something really bad will happen in September or thereafter? Why such a rush?

ECB - European Central Bank is Getting Tougher on Greek Banks

ECB now wants to impose further control for Greek banks looking to secure emergency loans. It makes you wonder if they’re interested in keeping Greece in the European Union at all. The ECB’s move to limit the amount of money Greek banks can access will only increase the chances of Greece falling further under Putin’s spell.

At The End Of The Road - Greece Prepares For Default, FT Reports

A default would almost certainly lead to the suspension of emergency ECB liquidity assistance for the Greek financial sector, the closure of Greek banks, capital controls & wider economic instability. Unfortunately for Greece, the default threat has been used, abused & denied so many times, nobody cares, or believes it will be used.

The End of the Debt Cycle

Tokyo’s debts have grown so large that 43% of tax receipts are required just to service its debt, to say nothing of the amounts needed for current and future deficits. Try living on 57% of what you earn (the rest goes to pay your creditors) while still spending more than your income. You can imagine how far you’d get if you tried this at home.

Greece Says ‘No’ To Fake Bail-Outs – Jeff Nielsen

With a sane (and apparently honest/legitimate) government achieving election in Greece; the past six years of European “bail-out” fraud is about to be fully exposed. Indeed, the recent history of Greece, alone, is little more than a road-map of fraud, conclusively illustrated by a concise summation of events.

Rising Gold Prices Warning Sign Of Future Monetary And Currency Turmoil

Since its recent lows in Nov 2014, gold has risen by up to 13% against USD, 30% against euro, 18% against pound & 32% against the yen. Rising gold price is an early warning of future monetary & currency turmoil, as major central banks continue to print enormous amounts of money, an increase in the demand for physical gold can be expected.

More Euro Tragedy & Its Consequences For Gold

Gold price is an early warning of future monetary & currency troubles & it is now becoming apparent how they may transpire. The ECB move is likely to have important ramifications well beyond Europe & together with parallel actions by the BoJ, can now be expected to increase demand for physical gold in the advanced economies once more.

There’s More to the Gold Rally Than European Market Fears

You’ve probably read that gold’s breakout is resultant of what’s currently happening in Europe, but there’s much more to the story. If the dollar or any other fiat currency were universally acceptable at all times, central banks would see no need to hold any gold. The fact that they do indicates that such currencies are not a universal substitute.

Central Bankers Understand That Monetary Stimulus Is Not The Answer Only After Quitting

What is it about central bankers who wait to tell the truth only after they have quit their post? First it was the Fed’s Alan Greenspan. Now BoE’s former head, Mervyn King after having the biggest monetary stimulus & yet not solved the problem, says, “The idea that monetary stimulus after six years … is the answer doesn’t seem (right) to me.”

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