Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Fed Rate Hike’

Rate Hike Largely Priced into Gold and Silver - What about Rationality in Sell-off?

Could the FED finally raise rates before 2016 draws to a close? That sounds plausible in theory, but there are a number of factors that do not support a rate hike in the near term. But even if they do hike rates, this move is already largely priced into gold and silver. We should question the rationality of this sell off. After all, the gold price often moves higher along with interest rates.

Gold Futures Traders Breath Easy as Dovish Fed Powers the Next Major Rally

Gold futures surged after the Fed again chickened out on raising its benchmark interest rate. Gold futures speculators’ fear of Fed rate hikes has been a major drag on gold. Rate-hike risks just plummeted in the coming months, since the Fed can’t risk acting heading into the critical US presidential election. Gold’s next major upleg is likely just unleashed by the Fed.

Why And How The US Fed Will Drive Gold Higher

After raising rates in Dec, the US Fed back-flipped on its aggressive interest rate policy earlier in the year. The US stock market nosedived by about 10% and Chinese debt issues worried investors. Gold & gold stocks went through the roof! Despite the stock market recently hitting all-time highs, the Fed kept delaying increasing rates. This ‘wait and see’ policy is causing a lot of uncertainty.

Who Will Decide the Fate of Gold ETFs? The Fed or Donald Trump

Citigroup sees gold prices touching $1,400 levels ‘not seen since early 2013’, while the metal will likely slide to the $1,250 level if Clinton makes it to the White House. Citigroup believes that Trump’s protectionist ideas on external trade and immigration, if realized, suggest a US recession sooner rather than later. Investors to keep a watch on gold ETFs like GLD.

The Federal Reserve Came, Saw, Did Nothing – Catching On The Fed Game?

This has become modus operandi for the Federal Reserve over the last two years. As each FOMC meeting approaches, speculation about a possible rate hike ramps up and then the Janet Yellen does…nothing. The one exception was last December, and that turned out to be a complete disaster. Interestingly, the mainstream is starting to catch on to the game.

A Stock Market Correction Has Only Been Postponed, Not Avoided

Markets are relieved that the Fed won’t hike rates in March. But, the markets are never satisfied. Getting stock market expectations aligned with the intended FOMC policy path will not be pretty. Expect higher volatility and stock market drawdowns in April and May as markets reprice. A further stock market correction has been postponed, but not avoided.

Will a March Fed Rate Hike lead to Crashing Market Expectations?

Will a Fed rate hike in March lead to a train wreck by crashing into market expectations? It depends on whether Janet Yellen can signal the markets that her Cannonball Express is not stopping. Casey Jones died frantically pulling the train’s whistle. Janet Yellen needs to start blowing the Fed’s whistle and warning markets now — before it’s too late.

Comex Registered Gold Hits New Low - Now 293 Oz Of Paper Gold Per Physical Oz

Many vaults continue to see either outright withdrawals of Registered Gold or comparable adjustments. How much longer can this exponential surge in the dilution ratio continue? We don’t know, although with less than 5 tons of registered gold left in the Comex vault system, we hope that the mystery of what is really going on at the Comex will finally be unveiled.

Peak Debt & The Need For A Reliable Store of Value: GOLD

Most investors seem unconcerned about the unsustainable levels of global debt and the inflationary potential of the trillions of dollars created by the major central banks especially the U.S Federal Reserve. I expect to see gold and silver demand increase dramatically in the coming years as more prudent investors see the truth and look for a reliable store of value.

The Worst Part Is Central Bankers Know Exactly What They Are Doing

Perhaps the most dangerous lie circulating today is that central banks are chaotic operations run by intellectual idiots – the Central Bankers, who have no clue what they are doing. This is nonsense. While the ideological cultism of elitism & globalism is ignorant & monstrous at its core, these people function rather successfully through highly organized collusion.

No Fed Rate Hike In September - Goldman Sachs

The market’s initial reaction signals rising expectations of a September rate hike but, as Goldman’s Jan Hatzius explains, with a number of business surveys in hand, our preliminary read on the August Current Activity Indicator is +2.8%, in line with the July figure. So they continue to expect the FOMC to keep policy rates unchanged at the September 16-17 meeting.

Why a Fed Rate Hike Could Be a Blessing for Gold Prices

I think the timing of a rate hike has been overhanging the gold market for well over a year. Relieving that issue could actually prompt a short covering rally. It would be kind of a sell-the-news event where the shorts figure that the trade is over and this is a good time to begin covering, more and more head for the door, and we have the rally underway.

Global Markets to Fed: No Rate Hike, Strong Dollar Is Killing Us

There are many reasons for global markets to melt down, but one that doesn’t get enough attention is the strong dollar. The USD has already strengthened by 20%. The damage delivered by the rising dollar has been severe; a move higher from here might prove fatal to emerging markets and faltering U.S. corporate profits.

Is The Oil Price Crash A Result Of Excess Supply Or Plunging Demand?

One of the most vocal discussions in the past year has been whether the collapse, subsequent rebound, and recent relapse in the oil price due to surging supply as Saudi Arabia pumps out month after month of record production to bankrupt as many shale companies before its reserves are depleted, or tumbling demand as a result of a global economic slowdown.

Gold Proving Amazingly Resilient Despite Howling Headwinds

Gold has had a rough time, facing selling pressure from record futures shorting. The resulting new secular lows have greatly exacerbated the already-extreme bearish psychology long plaguing gold. But considering the howling headwinds gold has suffered in recent years, it has actually proved amazingly resilient, indicating strong latent demand due to accelerate as sentiment shifts.

NIRP Officially Arrives In The US As JPM Starts Charging Fees On Deposits

NIRP is now officially in the US, which means that one after another US commercial banks will join what has already become a NIRP free-for-all across most of continental Europe where NIRP now reigns supreme & where trillions in government bonds yield negative rates. JPM is preparing to charge large institutional customers for deposits.

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