Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Federal Reserve’

US Dollar & Geopolitical Uncertainty will Drive Gold Prices Higher

Potential US dollar weakness & geopolitical uncertainty could drive gold prices higher next year. The response to stagnant growth and higher debt levels could eventually lead to higher inflation, which will ultimately be positive for gold prices. It doesn’t really matter what the specific catalyst will be. Gold surely has the potential to move higher.

Rising Inflation & Sagging Confidence in Central Banks will Catapult Gold Prices Higher

Inflation may surprise to the upside. Consumer prices are set to rise as oil rebounds, while low or negative interest rates and bond buying by central banks have failed to boost economies. Interest rate hikes are incredibly positive for gold prices, because of the existence of the huge QE “money ball” that sits at the Fed & other central banks. Gold prices need another rate hike from Janet to move higher.

Plunge in Gold and Silver may soon be Reversed with Multi-fold Vengeance

Gold and silver might have further to fall in the near term, but market bulls expect the retreat to offer investors who missed the first-half 2016 precious metals’ rally a strong buying opportunity. There are many undeniable and solid reasons to support this view. Here are the major factors that will ensure that investments in gold and silver remain attractive.

Gold and Silver in the Eye of a Deceptively Manipulated Economic Hurricane

What the governments may do to make the future use of gold and silver in any form of transactions is up for grabs. More than likely, all control will be placed in the hands of those who rule, [they want your gold and silver, as well as your guns, and that message is the strongest reason for your having and holding them]. Those who have no gold and silver will suffer the worst.

With a Trump Win, Gold Prices Could Soar Sharply to $1750 or even $2000

Citigroup has advised investors to sell stocks & bonds – And buy gold – BEFORE the election, if Donald Trump starts rising in the polls. Their reasoning is that if Donald Trump begins to lead in the polls, gold prices could move up sharply before the election, since markets tend to price-in any expected outcome. ABN Amro Sees $1,850 Gold Prices Following a Trump Win.

Asset Bubbles Created by Central Banks Setup a Perfect Storm for Gold

Unless central banks are willing to initiate ultimate protocols, the inevitable result will be a bursting of all these asset bubbles and an explosion for gold that will make its $1940 high in 2011 look like pocket change. Gold will likely soar to a record within five years as asset bubbles burst in everything from bonds to credit and equities, forcing investors to find a haven.

Weekly Outlook for Silver Prices - Volatility in Gold Prices on the Rise

At present, the bias in silver prices is to the upside, as new buying appeared to be behind last week’s advance in prices, as open interest increased nearly 6% through Thursday. In addition, the U.S. economic calendar for the week is full. The possibility of victory for Trump & a second US interest rate hike could cause increased volatility in gold & could rise as high as $1,425.

The Fed’s Missed Window To Hike Rates & Failed Realizations

What is clear is the Federal Reserve should have chosen to increase rates long ago where such tightening of monetary policy would have been somewhat offset by the continued floods of interventions. The window to lift interest rates appears to have closed which could potentially be a policy nightmare. Eventually something has to give & it will likely not be the outcome the Fed hopes for.

Look at the Long-Term Gold Chart for the Trend in Gold Futures

From the 2011 high, a downside correction emerged in gold prices. According to traditional Fibonacci theory, the 2011-2015 pullback did not harm primary uptrend in gold prices. That means the gold tide remains bullish. Pullbacks in the tide are waves that could be used as buying opportunities. If gold takes a short-term hit, this could offer a “wave” within the tide.

Outlook for Gold and Silver Prices in a Crucial Central Banks' Influenced Week

There is a very high degree of uncertainty over market developments in the week ahead, but a fresh surge in volatility is guaranteed. The decisions by the Bank of Japan, followed later by Federal Reserve will have a big short-term impact & an important influence on market direction for the remainder of 2016. Gold and silver prices settled lower last week. Here is the outlook for this crucial week.

Gold Has No Reason To Fear The Fed's Potential Interest Rate Hike

A 25-basis-point move in September is not going to be disastrous for gold prices, which have risen almost 30% gains since the lows in December. I don’t think the gold market has anything to fear from U.S. monetary policy. Even if rates rise 1% this year, the important thing to remember is that real rates will still be negative and that is ultimately positive for gold.

If the Fed does What it Wants to, the Result will be the Opposite of What it Wants

The US economy is slowing perceptively. What should the Fed be doing? They might want to cut interest rates. Problem. Another tool in the arsenal – cheapen the US dollar. Again there is a problem. Whether that works & what is a good idea are separate issues. Certainly a rate hike would take the stock market down 20%. It’s going to be just the opposite of what the Fed wants.

Gold and Silver: The Precious Metals Sector and the Federal Reserve

There has been no major correction in the gold and silver market all this year, which is inflated after months of rallying, and we will look at some evidence here that the correction may have considerably further to go, in points terms if not in time terms. If the dollar rallies, gold could get whacked, but would be expected to be followed by a reversal & thus present a MAJOR buying opportunity.

Future(s) Outlook For Gold Prices in 2017 Seems Sparkling

Any weakness in gold prices is expected to be shallow and short-lived. A declining dollar, along with slowing global growth as the IMF lowers world growth rates — and the possibility of recession in some countries — will cause gold to appreciate through the next year. And this appreciation will continue until underlying challenges are resolved.

Gold Prices Setting Up For A Major Advance Ahead

A decisive break above $1,400 an ounce could be just around the corner & would signal the start of gold’s next major advance. Near term, gold prices will continue to be dependent on the flow of economic news as it affects expectations of Federal Reserve interest-rate policies. The U.S. & global economic news will continue to disappoint & this could be enough to support rising gold prices.

Buying Gold and Silver? Better a Year Too Soon Than a Day Too Late

If the elites are so focused on preserving their fiat Ponzi scheme & so intent on wrecking the gold and silver markets, you can be 100% assured that acquiring both, gold and silver or either is the smartest move one can make to escape the certainty of the Western world financial calamity that is destined to follow. Better a year too soon than a day too late. Stay vigilant in being prepared.

Why Own Bonds or Fiat With Negative Yield When You Can Buy Gold?

Either way (hike or no hike), there is no place for the gold bull to hide. It took gold approximately 7 months to advance $250 and overcome major resistance at $1,300/oz from a bottom of $1,050. A reasonable target could be $1,550/oz ($1,300 + $250) by March 2017 – 7 months from now. Silver could follow a similar pattern with a near-term target of $26/oz.

Gold Bullion Investors Versus The High Frequency Traders

Actual humans grow tired of the constant whipsaw around Fed policy expectations & some ask more fundamental questions. Like, do we have free markets when what matters most is government data & how the Federal Reserve might respond to it? That separates gold and silver bullion investors from high frequency trading algorithms which dominate trading in the futures markets.

Gold and Silver Correction: An Opportunity to Accumulate PMs Cheaper Arrives

There is no hurry to be long in the paper market while the tenor of the current correction becomes more defined. But the ongoing acquisition of physical gold and silver remains as a priority. For sure, there are no cogent reasons for selling anything previously acquired. Buy & hold is the anthem for PM stackers & that will not change likely for the next several years.

Gold Sparkles Most when Dark Clouds Loom over the Economy

After disappointing US economic growth data was released, gold jumped 1.2%. Weak data is good for gold because it decreases the chances of a rate hike soon. If US economy continues to struggle, the Fed could delay its next rate hike. If the dollar index breaks below 93, it could be a strong indication that a new downtrend in the dollar has started. And this could give a big boost to gold prices.

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