Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Fibonacci Retracement’

Gold Prices Lose Steam After Post-FOMC Rally, May Turn Lower

Gold prices struggled to find follow-through after posting the largest daily gain in two weeks following the FOMC rate decision. Initial elation at the flattening of the central bank’s projected rate hike path in the immediate aftermath of the policy announcement may be giving way to the realization that Chair Yellen seemed to all but promise a rate hike in December.

Look at the Long-Term Gold Chart for the Trend in Gold Futures

From the 2011 high, a downside correction emerged in gold prices. According to traditional Fibonacci theory, the 2011-2015 pullback did not harm primary uptrend in gold prices. That means the gold tide remains bullish. Pullbacks in the tide are waves that could be used as buying opportunities. If gold takes a short-term hit, this could offer a “wave” within the tide.

Gold Prices Soften While Fed Officials Hard-Sell Rate Hike Hopes

Gold prices corrected gently lower after testing trend line resistance set from early July. Near-term support is at 1333.62, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Fed officials may rekindle volatility via bits of guidance before the pre-FOMC meeting blackout period. Hawkish overtones may boost rate hike speculation, boosting the US Dollar and weighing on gold prices.

Silver Prices Expected to Slide Further - But Won't Stay There for Long

Silver could be setting up for another near-term slip prior to resuming its long-term bullish trend as this week progresses. In the absence of any significant shortcomings in the US data, silver prices should have some substantial downside potential in the coming weeks. The long-term bias remains bullish so don’t expect to see the metal stray far below the 17.849 mark.

Is Silver Likely To Decline More From Here?

On Friday, the breakdown below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level was confirmed as silver closed below this level for the third consecutive trading day – This week, we didn’t see any improvement. Instead, silver declined once again, confirming the bearish outlook.

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