Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Futures Markets’

The New Gold and Silver Forecasts - Alternative Scenarios

The prospect of Fed rate hikes will weigh on gold and silver prices. As soon as Fed rate hikes for 2016 and 2017 are fully priced in, we expect gold and silver prices to rally again because of higher demand from investors. But if Trump becomes President and/or if investor sentiment deteriorates sharply, this would result in sharply higher gold and silver prices sooner.

How Gold and Silver or Other Commodity Prices Are Set

The price of everything in the world has a price discovery process, which is just a fancy way of saying how prices get set. But what used to set prices and is still thought by most to continue to set commodity prices, no longer sets price over the intermediate time frame. The process has been completely upended & there has been a price setting revolution in some important world commodities.

Here's What Makes Precious Metals Short Sellers Nervous

It’s certainly an interesting (and so far this year, fruitful) time to be owning physical precious metals. Leveraged futures traders risk being wiped out if markets don’t go their way. Holders of physical metal can sleep well at night regardless of what happens on the COMEX. Is this the paper shorts’ last stand? Time will tell.

The Rally in Commodity Prices has Surprised Many - Will it Continue?

The recent rally in commodity prices has surprised many market participants and has greatly supported the stock market’s rebound. It has also made bulls out of a number of former stock market bears, as one of its side effects was to cause an improvement in market internals. But will the rally actually continue? As always, there are arguments – for & against.

Silver Is The Most Manipulated Market In History

The anti-gold / silver propaganda is reaching epic levels again. It also happens to coincide with another multiple-day run on the gold in GLD and a record-breaking run up in the paper/gold ratio on the Comex. When history looks back on this period, one of the biggest official frauds will be the Fed’s empty threat of raising interest rates to help keep a lid on the precious metals.

Gold and Silver Price Increasingly Detached from Reality

The ounces of gold and silver printed on futures contracts dwarf the actual number in exchange vaults. High frequency trading and concentration in derivatives positions makes the connection between the paper price and the physical supply and demand even more tenuous. The link between the spot price and physical demand is thin at best.

There can be no Clearer Proof of Manipulation in COMEX Silver

There can be no clearer proof of manipulation in COMEX silver than was documented in the COT Report as on May 19, 2015. In just one reporting week, more managed money contracts were bought & more commercial contracts were sold in COMEX silver and gold futures than ever in over 30 year history of the COT report.

Bullish And Bearish Forces Affecting The Price Of Gold

The price of gold has gone nowhere in the last two years and has created a 2-year basing pattern. A trendless market indicates a battle between bullish and bearish forces. We hold an alternate view (rather than inverse) on the relationship between interest rates & gold as rising rates are likely to mark a new economic cycle.

3 Important Gold Charts - Bullion Goes East To Russia and China

The charts are very illuminating and provide great insight into how gold has shifted between non public sources and public sources over the last 10-12 years. Mobilisation of gold at its peak was somewhere between 90 million and 100 million ounces (2800 tonnes – 3100 tonnes). The question is where did all this gold come from?

Keep Watching Fed’s Fiat “Dollar” Closely For Clues On Gold And Silver

There may be opportunities developing in the futures markets for gold and silver, at least for as long as the exchanges remain viable, and that, too, will change. A key to watch more closely is the fiat “dollar.” It seems to be weakening, and that is the unyielding intent from China & Russia among others.

Volcker Rule Impacts Gold And Silver Proprietary Trading By Major Banks

It’s well known that gold and silver prices have been manipulated by large banks who specialize in high frequency trading – If regulators strike the right balance in imposing the Volcker Rule that limits bank proprietary trading, Gold And Silver markets could see greater transparency.

A Technical Perspective On Silver

When will silver rise to higher values? It has taken longer than most thought, and it will continue to take longer than most believe, but there is one thing for sure, the price of silver will retest the old high, and then proceed to exceed it, by at least a double.

Gold Will Continue to Flow from West to East

Though motivated by low gold prices since June, the appetite for Gold in the Eastern countries is a cultural norm and even at a higher price, Gold bullion will continue to flow from West to East

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