Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Global Currency Wars’

Currency Manipulation by the United States Is Alive and Well

Although further currency manipulation is far from ideal, the US is in no place to criticize Japan for it. Historically, the US has been the world’s leading cheerleader for currency manipulation. If the United States government wants to continue dishing out anti-currency manipulation rhetoric, it best explain why it’s had its own hands in the foreign exchange market.

The Key to Understanding China's Devaluation Against the Dollar

By decoupling from the dollar now, China is sending a message that it may be prepared to let it fall later. This means that when the dollar starts to fall in earnest, China may not be there to catch it. This will also mean that the biggest foreign buyer of Treasury bonds will likely be unwilling to provide help when the U.S. needs China’s help the most.

After The Chinese Currency Devaluation, Who's Next?

On a broader level, the currency devaluation signals PBOC’s eagerness to join the global currency wars. With the competitive currency devaluation by various central banks gaining momentum but global trade slowing, the latest CNY devaluation could be seen as likely to force other central banks to consider similar measures before long.

China Loses Battle Over Yuan - The Real Global Currency War Begins

Now that China is openly exporting deflation & is eager to risk massive capital outflows, the global currency war just entered its final phase, one where the global race to the bottom is every central bank’s stated goal. We give Yellen a few months before the US too is back to ZIRP, maybe NIRP and certainly monetizing even more things that are not nailed down.

Gold Soars After Chinese Currency Devaluation

Over one billion Chinese will soon be scrambling into gold to preserve their purchasing power after the PBOC’s dramatic devaluation announcement. Any day now the PBOC will update its revised foreign reserve and gold holdings. And so the next big leg up in gold will take place when it is revealed that the PBOC had only exposed a portion of its “new” total gold inventory.

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