Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Gold Bullion’

Gold Prices & it's Relationship with the Expansion of Fiat Money

Not only is Fiat Money Quantity, continuing to grow above its long-term trend, but it appears to be accelerating. The inflationary implications are obvious. Gold is already under-priced to a substantial degree. Further expansion of FMQ will eventually lead to a complete reassessment of the price relationship between fiat dollars and physical gold, to gold’s benefit and the dollar’s detriment.

Gold Jewelry Buying Expected to be Exceptionally Strong

Plentiful monsoon rains in India tend to drive up demand for gold & gold jewelry among rural, income-flush farmers, who make up a third of the country’s consumption of the yellow metal. Gold jewelry sales in India are expected to surge as much as 60% over last year, during this year’s festival season thanks to the fortuitously timed sharp drop in gold prices.

Weekly Outlook for Silver Prices - Volatility in Gold Prices on the Rise

At present, the bias in silver prices is to the upside, as new buying appeared to be behind last week’s advance in prices, as open interest increased nearly 6% through Thursday. In addition, the U.S. economic calendar for the week is full. The possibility of victory for Trump & a second US interest rate hike could cause increased volatility in gold & could rise as high as $1,425.

Will The Price of Silver Take a Breather Before Another Rally Kicks Off?

The price of silver has emerged as the perfect compensation for those whom the market inflicted losses last year. The price of silver appears set for a correction, which suggests the overbuying activity that took place in June could witness several cash outs in the coming weeks. But the overall direction of commodity prices suggests that this could just be a breather before another rally kicks off.

30 Years of Data Says Gold Prices Will Rise If the Fed Hikes Rates

Fed rate hikes have, on average, seen much stronger gold gains than a cut, and more frequently, too. Seen against the last 30 years of data, gold is anticipating a major shock from Wednesday’s announcement. If the bond and futures markets prove right instead, and the Fed delays again, the turnaround in gold bullion could be swift.

Gold Bullion Flows Reverse Back into the West - What does it Mean?

U.S. has become a significant gold importer. Gold is flowing from vaults in London, Switzerland & even Dubai to the U.S. In May, U.S. imported over 50 times the monthly average amount of gold. Investor demand was the largest component of gold demand for Q1 and Q2 – the first time this has ever happened. This means that more U.S. investors are diversifying their assets into gold.

Supplies of Physical Gold are Tight - A Super Spike in Gold Prices is Coming

The key to seeing a gold-buying panic in advance is to follow the flows of physical gold. Once the price of physical gold starts to move up on basic supply & demand, there are increases in paper gold prices. As soon as demand begins to overwhelm supply, then it’s “game on” for significantly higher physical gold prices followed by the toppling of the inverted pyramid of paper gold contracts.

Who Will Decide the Fate of Gold ETFs? The Fed or Donald Trump

Citigroup sees gold prices touching $1,400 levels ‘not seen since early 2013’, while the metal will likely slide to the $1,250 level if Clinton makes it to the White House. Citigroup believes that Trump’s protectionist ideas on external trade and immigration, if realized, suggest a US recession sooner rather than later. Investors to keep a watch on gold ETFs like GLD.

Surge in Smuggled Gold Hits Indian Gold Refiners, Gold Jewelers & Banks

Smuggled gold could account for over a third of demand this year in India – the world’s second-biggest buyer of gold – potentially costing the government over $1 billion in lost revenue. Gold refiners have less than a 1% margin. If smugglers offer 4 or 5% discounts, they have no choice but to close operations. All 32 refineries in the country have stopped buying dore until market conditions normalize.

Gold Price Driven by Massive Speculation in Paper Gold

Speculation in paper gold is both an effect of the gold price and an important short-term driver of the gold price. It is therefore fair to say that although changes in GLD’s gold inventory don’t cause anything, they often reflect changes in speculative sentiment that at least on a short-term basis do have a significant influence on the gold price.

Most Asset Classes at All-Time Highs. Gold Yet 50% Below - Get It Now

The US dollar is at a multi-decade high, and both US stocks and bonds are at all-time highs. It’s generally not the greatest investment strategy in the world to buy assets at their all-time highs. Unlike stocks and bonds, gold is NOWHERE NEAR its all-time high, at least in US dollar terms. In fact gold can still appreciate nearly 50% before it breaks its previous price record. So?

Now It's The Japanese Savers That Are Flooding Into Gold Bullion

Individual investors drove a 60% jump in sales of gold in June from May at Tanaka Holdings, the operator of Japan’s largest bullion retailer. Why the surge into gold? The yen’s appreciation in spite of the adoption of the negative-rate policy has kindled skepticism about the policy’s benefits. It’s also led to investors seeking to protect their assets in case Abenomics fails.

Gold Prices will easily Triple on a Collapse in the Monetary System

What could possible make gold prices go from roughly $1,350 an ounce now to triple in value at US$4,200? The inability of central banks to wind down their balance sheets and the continued effort to stimulate the economy by, admittedly, unconventional means will end our current currency system. We will then return to some sort of gold standard, thus sending it soaring.

This Time Central Banks Will Need A Bailout: Make Sure You Buy Gold

In the late ‘90s, Wall Street bailed out a hedge fund. In 2008, the Federal Reserve bailed out Wall Street. But in 2018, it’s the central banks that will need a bailout. And what will happen to the dollar when the Fed loses international credibility? I worked hard for my money & I want to preserve it. I don’t want to see it wiped out. Gold will preserve my wealth & that’s why I have it.

Bull Market in Gold Driven by Massive Gold Investment Buying

After shunning prudent portfolio diversification with gold for years, investors are finally starting to reestablish those essential positions. And since their collective gold holdings were so incredibly low heading into 2016, reflecting hyper-bearish sentiment, the gold investment buying has only begun. It will likely take years to complete, driving gold’s new bull higher on balance the entire time.

Some Game-Changers for Gold Prices on a Long-Term Outlook

Don’t for a second believe these are the only factors making a strong case for higher gold prices ahead. There are many more that suggest the same. Looking at all that’s happening around the world, $5,000 gold prices seems like a real possibility. I don’t expect the gold price to hit $5,000 right away. It will take time – Nevertheless, gold bears beware!

Higher Gold Prices can Produce the Inflation the Elites Seek

There are three ways out of debt. One is default, which is not a good option. One is growth, but it’s not happening. The third way is inflation. The government has to have inflation. If it doesn’t, there’s going to be a crack-up in the national debt. But we’re not getting inflation from monetary policy. There’s another option & that’s to bid up the price of gold.

Physical Gold Flows East as Manipulated Futures Markets Lose Credibility

Gold and silver futures markets are on the verge of losing all credibility. Registered inventories of physical metal have plummeted & number of paper claims on each available ounce has multiplied. China & Russia foresee the day when physical gold will be difficult to obtain, command a higher price & they will be in the position of setting terms in the coming new Asia-centric monetary & economic order.

What is the Driving Force behind the Rally in Gold Prices

Gold prices have seen a sharp rally in recent months. Who’s benefiting and why? As central banks around the world allow their currencies to devalue, gold suddenly looks a lot attractive. Gold also becomes a high-yield investment when compared to negative interest rates. The third factor driving gold is the US dollar, which appears to be running out of gas after a long rally.

In Search for Money that's Good as Gold - What Better than Gold Itself?

Excess debt exerts strong deflationary pressures, and major central banks are now fighting those pressures with such measures as negative interest rates. If inflation wins, as the Fed wishes it to, the dollar may cheapen dramatically & the gold price will shoot up. Wayward monetary policies bring about a search for money that is good as gold. What better than gold itself?

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