Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Gold Bulls’

Despite Incredible Purchasing-Power Protection, Why Doesn't Gold Get The Respect It Deserves?

The empirical data suggest a modest gold allocation provides tangible portfolio diversification benefits in any investment climate. Given the unprecedented monetary, financial & asset-valuation risks now confronting investors, gold’s potent benefit of purchasing-power protection, which essentially accrues for free & portfolio-insurance value has rarely been more compelling. So what is it about gold’s performance that is so difficult to embrace?

Smart Money to soon Buy Gold out of a Combination of Greed & Fear

We advise investors to buy gold and silver out of a combination of greed and fear. But, the fear factor is relatively low for the new generation that is buying gold . And the real thing is — let’s make money here. One of the main drivers behind this positive shift for gold is the rallying stock market since 2010. Smart money sees that & says the stock market rally has to end & it will probably end badly.

Gold Bullish on a Long Term Basis - Gold Bulls need to be Patient

The world is awash in too much debt, be it household, corporate or government. Gross global debt is at $152 trillion, an all-time high 225% of world GDP. At some point, central banks will be forced to engineer higher inflation rates to lessen the burden of all this debt. Realizing this, investors can be expected to embrace gold as the ultimate safe haven. Gold bulls should prepare to be patient.

The Logical And Fast Approaching Major Catalyst For Gold

History shows that bear markets in stocks have sprung major bull markets in Gold and gold stocks. The conditions for such are in place once again and only the timing is uncertain. It is quite logical from both a historical & fundamental perspective. Gold and gold stocks may be struggling now & it could continue, but they are perfectly setup for a massive move higher once the stock market peaks.

Here's What Gold Can Tell You About Crude Oil Prices

The WTI crude oil to gold ratio is one of the oldest indicators in the market. Currently, the ratio, which bottomed at about 21 at the end of 2016, has risen to just over 26 & has now clearly broken the trend line, that peaked in early 2016 at just above 45. So 45 barrels per ounce reflects very cheap oil or very expensive gold while 21 reflects very expensive oil or very cheap gold.

Gold Prices Pullback, But Gold Bulls Have Nothing to Worry About

Gold prices have fallen from a $1,260 peak to just under $1,200 as rate-hike expectations have grown. Despite this, we think that gold prices have been relatively resilient as the dollar failed to rally substantially as a result of the behaviour in US real yields. In the short term, those who are long gold might not have to suffer too much more downside.

Investors Shift Back into Gold as Trump’s Honeymoon Period Ends

Following the Nov election, outflows from gold ETFs & other products accelerated. But now, just two weeks into Trump’s term as president, the gold bulls are banging the drum, with several large hedge fund managers taking a contrarian bet on the precious metal. Following Trump’s comment that it was “too strong”, the U.S. dollar declined, helping gold prices rise.

Gold Bulls to Take Comfort in the Long Term

Expectations of higher interest rates, an appreciating dollar & record-high equity prices held gold prices down. But the longer-term outlook is another story! Contrary to the disappointing experience of 2016, the price of gold is likely to zoom much higher in the years ahead, perhaps doubling or even tripling from recent lows by the end of president-elect Trump’s four-year term.

Gold Price Outlook Hostage to Uncertain Trump & India

Things didn’t quite pan out the way gold bulls would have hoped, and now they face a new year where the price of the precious metal is likely to be hostage to developments that are inherently unpredictable. The two main risks for the gold outlook for 2017 are what actually happens in the presidency of Donald Trump & how the demonetization of India plays out.

Renewed Buying in Gold Futures & GLD Shares Fuelling Gold's Next Upleg

With gold futures speculators’ collective bets no longer excessively bullish and holding back gold, that paves the way for major investment buying to resume. Meanwhile American stock investors have resumed heavy buying of GLD shares again, fueling this ETF’s big early-quarter holdings build equalling Q1’16’s massive jump that ignited gold’s young new bull.

Gold Prices Based on Historically Low Real Interest Rates - A Small Hike Won't Hurt It

Gold prices are up 26% so far in 2016 & heading into the fall the greater risk remains to the upside due to the tremendous amount of money sloshing through the system. The potential Fed rate hike this September will not hurt gold prices because gold prices are a function of historically low real interest rates. Also helping gold, is the dislocation in the currency markets, especially post-Brexit.

Gold Bullion Flows Reverse Back into the West - What does it Mean?

U.S. has become a significant gold importer. Gold is flowing from vaults in London, Switzerland & even Dubai to the U.S. In May, U.S. imported over 50 times the monthly average amount of gold. Investor demand was the largest component of gold demand for Q1 and Q2 – the first time this has ever happened. This means that more U.S. investors are diversifying their assets into gold.

Are Gold and Silver still Trending up or Vulnerable to some Profit-Taking Yet?

Before you rush to buy into gold-backed ETFs, it’s wise to note that there are signs of profit-taking in gold. Gold and silver tend to move together. Investors monitor the gold-to-silver ratio to assess how expensive or cheap silver is, relative to gold, currently seen at around 70 – near the upper end of the range between 45 and 80. This tells us that silver is still cheap compared to gold.

Gold Prices At Strongest Resistance Area - Will It Breakout Or Fail?

Gold price’s historic chart has three distinct phases: a strong uptrend followed by a consolidation and a strong downtrend. The ultimate test is taking place right now: Gold can break out of its downtrend. But will it do so? That is the million dollar question, and it will have huge consequences for metal investors, but also for markets in general.

Investors Return Big Time to Gold Miners Stocks - A Long-Abandoned Sector

Given the extraordinary market events of the first quarter of 2016, it’s an exceedingly important one to understand what’s going on with the gold miners fundamentally. Strong Q1’16 results prove their big gains are fundamentally justified. Investors wanting to multiply their wealth as this young new bull matures should take advantage of any weakness in this volatile sector to deploy capital.

Why Investors See Higher Gold Prices In 2016 - Here Are Six Reasons

Precious metals remain the 2016 commodity leaders, with silver posting a huge 25% gain & gold prices showing a 21% rise. The year is off to a good start for gold investors. But, the party may have just begun. A bevy of economic, monetary, currency and technical factors continue to develop in gold’s favor, which argue for the potential for higher gold prices in 2016.

Central Banks are Buying Gold and Hedging Against their Own Policies

It is not surprising that central banks were adding to their gold reserves in 2015, but it is interesting that central banks have been on an unprecedented spree of creating money out of thin air. So while many investors were not enthusiastic about gold, central bankers saw a need. It seems that central bankers who are buying gold are hedging against their own policies.

The Gold-to-Silver Ratio: A Truly Generational Opportunity

Despite my ongoing belief that we are now in a corrective phase for the precious metals, I think that owning silver versus owning gold is a high-probability trade that could be the 2016 Trade of the Year. I am going to put on a trade this week that effectively favors silver over gold and is a high-risk method of shorting the Gold-to-Silver Ratio.

Gold and Silver Ignore Correction Calls - Precious Metals

Gold and silver are in a new bull market. While it is very difficult to buy into a market that has already gained substantially, history argues that the larger risk is staying out of that market especially if it only recently made a major bottom. The epic “forever” bear market of 2011-2015 lingers in the minds of many and that is why it is so difficult to believe the recent strength can continue.

The Gold Bull Market Is Back... But Will It Last?

The gold bull is back. After trending downward for more than four years, gold prices have broken out to the upside with a gain of more than 20% off their December lows. Gold bulls can sometimes disappoint, and sometimes they keep running and running until they go parabolic. Is the path now clear for gold prices to march on toward new all-time highs?

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