Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Gold Demand’

Gold Futures Speculators Missed the Boat - What Happens When They Begin Buying?

Distracted by extreme Trumphoria market distortions, futures speculators have totally missed this gold boat. They won’t stay on the sidelines for long though as gold keeps powering higher. They will rush to get properly positioned for more gold upside. All that coming buying will feed on itself and really accelerate gold’s new upleg, catapulting gold prices much higher.

LME Hands Gold Banks License to Print Money

Since the US government has essentially declared it wants exchanges to be the depositories for risk instead of Banks, the Banks are going to start buying exchanges. The banks are creating a new vehicle to capture lost business, this one is in Gold. And its goal is to get in the middle of every Gold deal being bought in the East.

Gold Investment is now Insurance for Long-Term Protection against Inflation

Inflation just got another jolt, rising as much as 2.5% YoY in Jan. Significant increases in inflation will ultimately increase the price of gold. Investment in gold now is insurance for long-term protection. Major stock indices continued to hit fresh all-time highs & it’s important to temper the exuberance with a little prudence, making gold’s investment case even more attractive.

Gold Preparing for a Healthy Rally into Higher Territory

Hedge funds and institutional speculators have been calling the tune for gold, trading the recent range, buying on dips, selling on rallies, and gradually adding to their physical holdings – a behavioral pattern we expect will continue within a rising trading range – at least until a price above the $1300 an ounce level is well established.

Investment Secret of the Century: Incremental Returns by Investing in Gold and Silver

For investors who hold physical gold and silver, 2017 should be a very interesting year. And for the ones who don’t, $1,200 gold and silver at $17 is an absolute bargain compared to what we will see in the next few years. But the most important reason for holding physical gold and silver is not the potential capital appreciation but as a hedge against a bankrupt financial system.

India's Gold Bullion Demand Hit by Demonetisation - A Temporary Phenomenon

Gold bullion demand from India’s huge jewelry sector is set to recover from last year’s plunge according to dealers & retailers, as consumers make delayed purchases & the industry adapts following November’s shock demonetisation. The World Gold Council believes, this is a temporary phenomenon. The market is picking up & things are starting to normalize.

Gold Trapped Between $1220 - $1180; India's Gold Demand Key

The up-move in gold, has been gradual as investors brace this week’s slew of important US macro releases. This week’s FOMC meeting, and the keenly watched US monthly jobs report, would be looked upon for fresh clues over the central bank’s near-term monetary policy outlook and eventually determine the next leg of directional move for the non-yielding yellow metal.

Gold ETF Investors Skeptical Of Gold Prices Despite Rally

The price of gold is up 6.1% year-to-date, making it one of the outperforming assets in the first three weeks of the year. Unlike last year, it’s not ETF investors that are driving gold prices higher in 2017. In the year-to-date period ending Jan. 18, the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) & iShares Gold Trust (IAU) the two largest physically backed gold ETFs have had combined net outflows of $440 million.

Safe Haven Gold Sentiment Reaches Five Year High

Gold investing sentiment among Western private investors came into 2017 with the strongest end of year reading for five years. Demand for the precious metal – which is generally seen as a safe haven investment in times of economic and market uncertainty – also set a four year record by weight in 2016, which confirmed the upturn in sentiment as prices rose across the year.

Gold Bulls to Take Comfort in the Long Term

Expectations of higher interest rates, an appreciating dollar & record-high equity prices held gold prices down. But the longer-term outlook is another story! Contrary to the disappointing experience of 2016, the price of gold is likely to zoom much higher in the years ahead, perhaps doubling or even tripling from recent lows by the end of president-elect Trump’s four-year term.

Factors That Practically Guarantee Gold Prices to Rise in 2017

It probably comes as little shock that the leading catalyst for physical gold in 2017 is likely to come down to what the Federal Reserve does with interest rates. The Fed will hold a lot of weight on the movement of gold prices in 2017. Another major catalyst is going to be the Donald Trump presidency. But the final catalyst for gold prices is a real wildcard in 2017: India.

This Indicator Suggests Silver Prices Could Soar 1,000%

Silver is selling at severe discount. Here’s what investors need to know: the price of silver has an interesting relationship with the S&P 500. The correlation between silver prices & S&P 500 currently stands at -0.90 again. I question whether the price of silver could see another move to the upside, just like it did in 1976 and 1992. It would mean prices going to over $160.00 an ounce of silver.

Will China & India's Falling Demand Impact Gold Prices? Can Central Bank Gold Demand Help?

The demand for gold has been weak in India & China. The cash crunch in India contributed to the falling demand. In an attempt to constrain the outflows of the Chinese yuan, China has curbed the import of gold. US federal debt is growing at a fast rate. When major central banks increase debt as a percentage of GDP, their gold holdings often rise – a positive for demand & gold prices.

Gold Prices Preparing for 'The Next Big Leap Higher'

Where could gold be heading? Fundamentals and the macro picture strongly indicate that gold is in a long consolidation phase and coiling for the next big leg higher. The fact that the markets are currently fully pricing a Fed hike next week while also expecting a relatively hawkish tone, makes it a very good long entry point. Let’s see if the shiny metal can finally fly.

Higher Debt Will Accelerate Central Bank Gold Demand

The U.S. government is currently saddled with $19.9 trillion in public debt. The US dollar accounts for about 64 percent of central banks’ foreign exchange reserves. With the potential for higher U.S. budget deficits and debt risking dollar strength, central banks around the globe could be motivated to increase their gold holdings, says Credit Suisse.

Gold Investment Amid Fears of Govt. Crackdown & Weakening Prices

Domestic gold prices are expected to remain range bound with a weaker bias in the next quarter because the dollar is strengthening against the Indian rupee. Local gold demand has come down drastically after demonetisation. Gold sales from wholesalers to retail jewellers have come down by around 90%. The situation is expected to remain like this till 31 December.

Why Some Major Financial Firms See Gold Prices at $1,440 to $1,550 Soon

A factor in my positive outlook for gold prices is the growing national debt, now almost $20 trillion dollars, has to be dealt with. It is at about 75% of the gross domestic product, a ratio not seen since 1950, after the budget exploded as a result of World War II. If the federal deficit for next year grows substantially, look for 2017 to be a very good year for gold prices.

Gold Buying Frenzy in India - The Price Means Nothing, Security is All

Gold jumped to $1,339 as speculation of a Trump win built. But then, Trump buying was met by Modi selling, which finally overtook Trump buying. What killed the gold rally? Those who are wiser are acquiring gold at bargain prices, at good prices and at high prices. The price means nothing. But it does require some wisdom to understand this.

A More Robust Understanding of the Price of Gold & Gold Valuation

A combination of a top-down and bottom-up approach is required to develop a more robust understanding and valuation of gold. Certain inputs put together, this recommended framework allows investors to use current variables and easily available economic forecasts to form a consistent, self-contained and intuitive view on the price of gold.

Time for Patiently Using Corrections & Patterns to Build Gold Positions

The correction is providing an opportunity to enter stocks that we thought got away. The question is precisely when to make those moves. If historic patterns around W-shaped corrections & reactions of gold to rate hikes persist, we could be looking at a strong start to 2017. This fall may be the time for patience & using patterns to position your portfolio for gold’s next leg up.

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