Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Gold Demand’

Rising Gold Prices & Gold Demand in India - A Major Cause for Optimism

India’s citizens are reportedly turning to gold as a safe haven amid doubts about paper money. It’s actually unusual to see India’s demand growing when gold prices are going up. The fact that prices and demand are rising in tandem could signal an important and positive shift in fundamentals — watch for April import figures in a few weeks to see if the trend continues.

Analysis - The Macroeconomic Drivers of the Gold Price

There are essentially two types of gold price drivers worth discussing: measurable ones and those that cannot be measured. Most of the “measurable” macroeconomic fundamentals that are considered important drivers of the gold price are either mixed/neutral or bearish at the moment. However, there are good reasons to believe that several of them will turn gold-bullish.

India's Obsession & President Trump to Boost Gold Demand

The return of physical gold demand in India after two successive droughts is a huge cushion for international gold prices and with the ongoing wedding season and the upcoming list of festivals, the prospect of a further rise in gold demand looks bright. Appreciation in the Indian rupee has come as a blessing in disguise for buyers who were postponing gold purchases.

Stronger Demand & Weaker US Dollar To Push Gold Prices Higher

The peaking of US real yields and the downward pressure building on the US dollar are positives for gold prices. Meanwhile, we expect global jewellery demand & investor demand to pick up in line with the overall improvement in the global economy and in gold demand centres in particular. It would be the first time in five years that demand will be higher than supply.

Why is India's Gold Demand, the Best Hope for Gold Prices

The main boost to gold prices in 2017 may well come from India, formerly the world’s top consumer of the precious metal. Indian gold demand was pummeled in 2016, but there are positive signs that India is recovering, with gold imports jumping to 50 tonnes in February, up more than 82 percent from the same month in 2016, according to data provided by GFMS.

Physical Gold Demand is Collapsing - Nothing Could be Further Away From The Truth

The idea that retail bullion sales represents global demand for physical gold and silver & that the demand for physical gold is collapsing is seeded in either ignorance or mal-intent. Nothing could be further from the truth. Retail demand at the margin has no affect on price other than maybe the price premiums in the coin market based on mint supply and retail demand.

Any Global Event could send Gold Prices Soaring, Add a fall in Mine Supply to the Woes

The gold mining industry remains challenged by the legacy of fewer discoveries & most of those discoveries are of lower ore grades. Tight economics, quirky legal & regulatory environments in many countries hamper gold production. Add it all up & you have a recipe for falling production. Geopolitical tensions & uncertainty are rising around the world. Any global event could send gold prices soaring.

Chinese Gold Holdings Estimated at a Whopping 19,500 metric tons

Because of the obscure nature of the Chinese gold market and the reluctance of Chinese officials to show their hand, nobody has been able to accurately calculate how much gold the Chinese have amassed since about 2000, when they began amassing it. Jansen came up with an estimate of total Chinese gold holdings: 19,500 metric tons, or 21,495 U.S. tons, at the end of January 2017.

Central Banks’ Attitude to Gold Allocation to Undergo a Massive Change

Demand for physical gold, to escape the alternative of counterparty risk on deposits with Eurozone banks, is bound to grow. One suspects that the Eurozone area will be the first to see widespread gold buying by high net worth individuals, trying to protect themselves from a systemic event that has become all but certain, and will even threaten the entire banking system.

Why Central Banks & IMF Were Forced To Rig The Gold Market

Looking at this new information, I had no idea of the amount of Fed, Central Bank and IMF gold market intervention until I put all the pieces together. While most of the folks in the precious metals community realize that the Fed and Central Banks have sold gold into the market to depress the price, this new evidence puts the gold market it in an entirely DIFFERENT LIGHT.

Gold Futures Speculators Missed the Boat - What Happens When They Begin Buying?

Distracted by extreme Trumphoria market distortions, futures speculators have totally missed this gold boat. They won’t stay on the sidelines for long though as gold keeps powering higher. They will rush to get properly positioned for more gold upside. All that coming buying will feed on itself and really accelerate gold’s new upleg, catapulting gold prices much higher.

LME Hands Gold Banks License to Print Money

Since the US government has essentially declared it wants exchanges to be the depositories for risk instead of Banks, the Banks are going to start buying exchanges. The banks are creating a new vehicle to capture lost business, this one is in Gold. And its goal is to get in the middle of every Gold deal being bought in the East.

Gold Investment is now Insurance for Long-Term Protection against Inflation

Inflation just got another jolt, rising as much as 2.5% YoY in Jan. Significant increases in inflation will ultimately increase the price of gold. Investment in gold now is insurance for long-term protection. Major stock indices continued to hit fresh all-time highs & it’s important to temper the exuberance with a little prudence, making gold’s investment case even more attractive.

Gold Preparing for a Healthy Rally into Higher Territory

Hedge funds and institutional speculators have been calling the tune for gold, trading the recent range, buying on dips, selling on rallies, and gradually adding to their physical holdings – a behavioral pattern we expect will continue within a rising trading range – at least until a price above the $1300 an ounce level is well established.

Investment Secret of the Century: Incremental Returns by Investing in Gold and Silver

For investors who hold physical gold and silver, 2017 should be a very interesting year. And for the ones who don’t, $1,200 gold and silver at $17 is an absolute bargain compared to what we will see in the next few years. But the most important reason for holding physical gold and silver is not the potential capital appreciation but as a hedge against a bankrupt financial system.

India's Gold Bullion Demand Hit by Demonetisation - A Temporary Phenomenon

Gold bullion demand from India’s huge jewelry sector is set to recover from last year’s plunge according to dealers & retailers, as consumers make delayed purchases & the industry adapts following November’s shock demonetisation. The World Gold Council believes, this is a temporary phenomenon. The market is picking up & things are starting to normalize.

Gold Trapped Between $1220 - $1180; India's Gold Demand Key

The up-move in gold, has been gradual as investors brace this week’s slew of important US macro releases. This week’s FOMC meeting, and the keenly watched US monthly jobs report, would be looked upon for fresh clues over the central bank’s near-term monetary policy outlook and eventually determine the next leg of directional move for the non-yielding yellow metal.

Gold ETF Investors Skeptical Of Gold Prices Despite Rally

The price of gold is up 6.1% year-to-date, making it one of the outperforming assets in the first three weeks of the year. Unlike last year, it’s not ETF investors that are driving gold prices higher in 2017. In the year-to-date period ending Jan. 18, the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) & iShares Gold Trust (IAU) the two largest physically backed gold ETFs have had combined net outflows of $440 million.

Safe Haven Gold Sentiment Reaches Five Year High

Gold investing sentiment among Western private investors came into 2017 with the strongest end of year reading for five years. Demand for the precious metal – which is generally seen as a safe haven investment in times of economic and market uncertainty – also set a four year record by weight in 2016, which confirmed the upturn in sentiment as prices rose across the year.

Gold Bulls to Take Comfort in the Long Term

Expectations of higher interest rates, an appreciating dollar & record-high equity prices held gold prices down. But the longer-term outlook is another story! Contrary to the disappointing experience of 2016, the price of gold is likely to zoom much higher in the years ahead, perhaps doubling or even tripling from recent lows by the end of president-elect Trump’s four-year term.

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