Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Gold ETFs’

The Reasons For Owning Gold Bullion Are As Strong As Ever

Given its recent surge, is gold still a “buy?” With the Fed in a tricky situation regarding interest rates—and ambiguity likely to continue to surround the political arena—we may be in for a wild ride in 2017. Given the uncertain outlook and improving fundamentals for gold, now is a great time to add the yellow metal to your portfolio.

Gold Prices To Move Higher Even If & When The Fed Hikes Rates

It’s very interesting to see gold prices going up despite a challenging environment of higher rates & a manipulated paper market. That tells me that there’s more to the story, that there’s more going on behind the scenes that’s driving the gold price higher. I’m very impressed with the present gold action & here’s why I expect gold prices to really take off going forward.

Is Gold still a Buy? - 5 Reasons You Should Increase Allocation to Gold

Gold is up almost 8% since the beginning of the year & the outlook for 2017 is bright. Net bets on higher future prices have almost doubled since January. Assets held by gold ETFs are up 34% from their Dec lows. Given its recent surge, is gold still a “buy?” Here are 5 compelling Reasons. Given the uncertain outlook & improving fundamentals for gold, now is a great time to add gold to your portfolio.

The Next Market Correction Will Trigger Record Gold ETF Demand

Once the Great Hyped Trump Rally runs its course and the lousy fundamentals are allowed to kick in, the broader stock markets are going to experience one hell of a correction. And with that correction, we will experience another big surge in Retail Gold ETF demand. Even though Gold ETF demand is paper driven market, it is instrumental in pushing the gold price considerably higher.

Investors Shift Back into Gold as Trump’s Honeymoon Period Ends

Following the Nov election, outflows from gold ETFs & other products accelerated. But now, just two weeks into Trump’s term as president, the gold bulls are banging the drum, with several large hedge fund managers taking a contrarian bet on the precious metal. Following Trump’s comment that it was “too strong”, the U.S. dollar declined, helping gold prices rise.

Gold ETF Investors Skeptical Of Gold Prices Despite Rally

The price of gold is up 6.1% year-to-date, making it one of the outperforming assets in the first three weeks of the year. Unlike last year, it’s not ETF investors that are driving gold prices higher in 2017. In the year-to-date period ending Jan. 18, the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) & iShares Gold Trust (IAU) the two largest physically backed gold ETFs have had combined net outflows of $440 million.

A Correction-Grade Stock-Market Selloff & Investors will Rush Back to Gold Buying

Gold has managed to rally sharply in recent weeks without any capital inflows from American stock investors. They not only weren’t buying GLD shares, they continued to aggressively sell them as evidenced by a couple big GLD-holdings draw days so far in January. The situation implies the investment gold buying hasn’t even started yet & that means big gold buying is still coming.

Gold Investment Amid Fears of Govt. Crackdown & Weakening Prices

Domestic gold prices are expected to remain range bound with a weaker bias in the next quarter because the dollar is strengthening against the Indian rupee. Local gold demand has come down drastically after demonetisation. Gold sales from wholesalers to retail jewellers have come down by around 90%. The situation is expected to remain like this till 31 December.

India to Step up Measures to Control It's Gigantic Physical Gold Demand

India’s physical gold hoard is estimated to be 20,000 tonnes and at current market price, this works out to be a massive Rs 60 lakh crore – 4 times the total value of the withdrawn Rs 500 & Rs 1,000 notes. The government’s focus will be on a permanent reduction in domestic gold demand & not just on import of gold. Be ready for more restrictive measures in coming days.

Gold Jewelry Buying Expected to be Exceptionally Strong

Plentiful monsoon rains in India tend to drive up demand for gold & gold jewelry among rural, income-flush farmers, who make up a third of the country’s consumption of the yellow metal. Gold jewelry sales in India are expected to surge as much as 60% over last year, during this year’s festival season thanks to the fortuitously timed sharp drop in gold prices.

The Major Catalysts That Influence Gold Prices

Physical gold had its best quarterly gain in 30 years during the first quarter, and year-to-date, even with its recent swoon, physical gold is higher by roughly $200 an ounce. Gold has firmly reestablished itself as being in a bull market. The factors that move gold prices are largely unknown or overlooked. Let’s have a look at the seven most common factors that influence physical gold prices.

Gold Bull Market Intact Regardless of Short Term Price Gyrations

Gold remains the asset Wall Street loves to hate. Currently the fundamental drivers of gold are mixed, which makes a sideways move the most likely prospect, barring new developments. We remain convinced that the monetary experiments of recent years will end quite badly, and that the long term case for gold remains intact regardless of short term price gyrations.

Has Gold Deviated from Long-Term Upward Trajectory or Again a Bout of Paper Manipulation?

Much of the recent selling has come from large-scale speculators operating in futures markets. Meanwhile, physical demand from retail investors, most importantly, hedge funds & other large-scale institutional investors has remained firm. When Chinese investors return, their buying alone should be enough to stabilize & re-launch gold on its long-term upward trajectory.

Surging Silver Demand Ensures Higher Prices for Bullion & Mining Shares

In 2015, the global silver deficit — more silver demand than mine supply — was about 130 million ounces, made up by selling stockpiles & inventory. According to Société Générale, silver supply in 2016 is likely to decrease another 9%. As the magnitude of the problem sinks in, I expect that more of the big-money players will rush into silver. And it’ll make for a pricing tsunami.

The New Gold and Silver Forecasts - Alternative Scenarios

The prospect of Fed rate hikes will weigh on gold and silver prices. As soon as Fed rate hikes for 2016 and 2017 are fully priced in, we expect gold and silver prices to rally again because of higher demand from investors. But if Trump becomes President and/or if investor sentiment deteriorates sharply, this would result in sharply higher gold and silver prices sooner.

Supplies of Physical Gold are Tight - A Super Spike in Gold Prices is Coming

The key to seeing a gold-buying panic in advance is to follow the flows of physical gold. Once the price of physical gold starts to move up on basic supply & demand, there are increases in paper gold prices. As soon as demand begins to overwhelm supply, then it’s “game on” for significantly higher physical gold prices followed by the toppling of the inverted pyramid of paper gold contracts.

The Unique Factor that could Drive Gold & the Stock Market to New Highs

It’s not often we see a strong correlation between gold and the stock market, as the historical data tends to suggest indifference, but the recipe is there for both to soar to new heights. An increase in the spot price of gold will have an immediately positive impact on the margins of both Royal Gold and Silver Wheaton, and as such could push the valuations of both companies substantially higher.

Who Will Decide the Fate of Gold ETFs? The Fed or Donald Trump

Citigroup sees gold prices touching $1,400 levels ‘not seen since early 2013’, while the metal will likely slide to the $1,250 level if Clinton makes it to the White House. Citigroup believes that Trump’s protectionist ideas on external trade and immigration, if realized, suggest a US recession sooner rather than later. Investors to keep a watch on gold ETFs like GLD.

Due to Financial Cancer of Debt, Devastation is Our Future- Gold the Only Remedy

The fact that demand for gold is soaring says a great deal about investors’ combined frame of mind these days. People are scared. I fear devastation is in our future. If central bankers had succeeded in their efforts, we would have no need for negative rates. There is simply too much debt (financial cancer) in the system to save it. And buyers of gold know this.

Gold Price Driven by Massive Speculation in Paper Gold

Speculation in paper gold is both an effect of the gold price and an important short-term driver of the gold price. It is therefore fair to say that although changes in GLD’s gold inventory don’t cause anything, they often reflect changes in speculative sentiment that at least on a short-term basis do have a significant influence on the gold price.

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