Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Gold Futures’

How Will the Election Outcome Impact Gold and Silver?

The looming national bankruptcy coincides with this year’s extraordinarily divisive election. As the trust and prestige of our Federal government fades, the potential for social unrest and even wrenching change in governance and policy is on the rise. If crisis is coming in the next presidential term, the people holding physical gold / silver will almost certainly be glad they did.

Gold Bull Market Intact Regardless of Short Term Price Gyrations

Gold remains the asset Wall Street loves to hate. Currently the fundamental drivers of gold are mixed, which makes a sideways move the most likely prospect, barring new developments. We remain convinced that the monetary experiments of recent years will end quite badly, and that the long term case for gold remains intact regardless of short term price gyrations.

Gold Prices will Rise Once the Rate-Hike Obsessed Sellers are Out of the Way

After a rip-roaring first half, gold prices are plunging as we enter the home stretch of 2016. Gold futures are sitting near breakeven as we begin the new trading week. But when it comes to gold’s longer-term prospects, all is not lost. Even mainstream analysts are preparing for a bounce in gold prices once the highly-anticipated December rate hike is out of the way.

Gold And Silver Traders Rejoice - Manipulation Lawsuit Against Banks To Proceed

A US Federal Court has found that a lawsuit – the first of its kind – has merit and will now proceed to rule on the following claims versus HSBC and Bank of Nova Scotia. And so the discovery process begins, which will expose just how much market manipulation takes place in the silver (initially as there is a parallel lawsuit taking place with regard to gold) market by major banks.

Plunge in Gold and Silver may soon be Reversed with Multi-fold Vengeance

Gold and silver might have further to fall in the near term, but market bulls expect the retreat to offer investors who missed the first-half 2016 precious metals’ rally a strong buying opportunity. There are many undeniable and solid reasons to support this view. Here are the major factors that will ensure that investments in gold and silver remain attractive.

Silver and Gold Prices Supported by Weak Dollar - Rally Stalls Abruptly

A continuation of the defensive dollar tone over the past 24 hours, coupled with downward pressure on bond yields, has continued to provide underlying support to silver and gold prices. Analysts warn that continued upside for gold futures may be limited now that a Dec rate hike is firmly in play. According to Fed Fund futures, traders are pricing in a nearly 60% chance of liftoff by year-end.

Outlook for Gold and Silver Prices in a Crucial Central Banks' Influenced Week

There is a very high degree of uncertainty over market developments in the week ahead, but a fresh surge in volatility is guaranteed. The decisions by the Bank of Japan, followed later by Federal Reserve will have a big short-term impact & an important influence on market direction for the remainder of 2016. Gold and silver prices settled lower last week. Here is the outlook for this crucial week.

Gold Prices Based on Historically Low Real Interest Rates - A Small Hike Won't Hurt It

Gold prices are up 26% so far in 2016 & heading into the fall the greater risk remains to the upside due to the tremendous amount of money sloshing through the system. The potential Fed rate hike this September will not hurt gold prices because gold prices are a function of historically low real interest rates. Also helping gold, is the dislocation in the currency markets, especially post-Brexit.

Money Managers Cut Silver Positions - Will Silver Prices Continue to Outperform in Q3?

In line with our expectations, silver has been the star performer of the metals so far, enjoying a spectacular rally of 21.5% in the second quarter after a gain of 11.3% in the first. Silver also outperformed gold because the gold-silver ratio was historically too high. We expect outperformance in silver prices to continue in the third quarter thanks to a cautious Fed.

The Unique Factor that could Drive Gold & the Stock Market to New Highs

It’s not often we see a strong correlation between gold and the stock market, as the historical data tends to suggest indifference, but the recipe is there for both to soar to new heights. An increase in the spot price of gold will have an immediately positive impact on the margins of both Royal Gold and Silver Wheaton, and as such could push the valuations of both companies substantially higher.

The Worst Gold Bear is now the Most Convinced Bull

Less than one year ago, Dutch bank ABN AMRO has put itself on the map by being more bearish on gold than Goldman Sachs. ABN Amro has now released an update report & is now expecting the gold price to end 2017 at $1450/oz. That’s a 75% increase in target price. The downward spiral of the gold price has been broken, and the only way seems to be up.

Silver and Gold Look Poised to Test Fresh Highs After Short Breather

Silver futures regained their footing to renew a charge to a fresh, nearly two-year settlement high, and gold tipped higher as surging U.S. stocks looked to pause their ascent. There are still numerous reasons for investors to choose gold and silver as a safe haven. The preponderance to ease further, now being pursued by a host of central banks, will likely provide an element of support.

Silver Prices on Fire - Can hit $25 an ounce by the End of 2016

Silver has outshined its sister metal since the U.K.’s decision to leave the European Union sparked turmoil in global equities markets, and the rally could lift the white metal to a three-year high. Silver prices are set to surpass some analysts’ $22 predictions from earlier this year & talk of $25, $27, & even $32 have emerged. Those levels would take prices to their highest since at least 2013.

The Greatest One Day Global Stock Market Loss In World History

Worldwide markets haemorrhaged more than $2 trillion in paper wealth on Friday, according to data from S&P Global, the worst on record. For context, that figure eclipsed the whipsaw trading sessions of the 2008 financial crisis. This could be the tipping point that turns the existing global slowdown of 2016 into a global recession. Friday may turn out to be just the tip of the iceberg.

Gold Price Reversal Could Trigger Speculative Washout

Large speculators have been stocking up on gold futures at a record pace & the gold miners are selling all the forward production they can lock in above $1,220. This could lead to quite the washout as speculators are forced to take losses under $1,280. Commercial trader position is at just over half its record. There really aren’t any speculators left to buy & so odds favor the shorts.

Money Managers Long Gold Positions Near August 2011's Record High

Having fallen to a net short position as The Fed tried to convince the world it was on a path to normalization, money managers have piled into gold futures at a record pace. The last time gold “net longs” were this high was August 2011, from where prices tumbled despite a near doubling of The Fed’s balance sheet. There’s still a lot of fear out there, but will gold bugs now be sitting ducks?

Bull Market in Gold Driven by Massive Gold Investment Buying

After shunning prudent portfolio diversification with gold for years, investors are finally starting to reestablish those essential positions. And since their collective gold holdings were so incredibly low heading into 2016, reflecting hyper-bearish sentiment, the gold investment buying has only begun. It will likely take years to complete, driving gold’s new bull higher on balance the entire time.

American Gold Eagle - Gold Coin Sales Soar Over 200%

Gold futures ended May with the biggest monthly decline since November but physical gold demand saw a significant increase from last year. Sales data compiled by the U.S. Mint shows that a total of 95,000 ounces of gold were sold in May, up more than 206% from 31,000 ounces sold in May 2015. Looking at the physical markets you can see signs of long-term strength.

People Rushing into Gold as Large Denomination Notes May Soon Be Killed

This talk about large-denomination bills is really gaining momentum, and I think that’s at least half responsible for the run up in gold prices over the last couple of months. Think about it—in a world without cash, gold (and silver) becomes the currency of anonymity. This also speaks to the need to hold gold in physical form, not in “paper” form.

Is Deutsche Bank’s Gold Manipulation The Main Scam Or Just A Side-Show?

Is this gaming of the London precious metals fix the same thing as or related to the main manipulation of the gold price, which is the practice of central banks “lending” their gold to big commercial banks, which then sell that gold on the open market to depress the price? These seem to be two different frauds and need to be exposed completely.

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