Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Gold Investors’

Gold Bugs on Watch for Buy Signal & How Gold Prices React to Fed's Rate Hike

Despite gold being under pressure leading up to the next rate hike, Bank of America still sees prices rallying by around $200 by the end of the year. UBS and Goldman Sachs are also seeing opportunity for higher gold prices. Though sentiment conditions in the gold market have improved markedly & we are a lot closer to a contrarian gold buy signal than we were a couple of weeks ago, we’re not there yet.

Gold Prices to jump $200 by end of 2017: Bank of America

Gold may be under pressure in the run-up to the next Federal Reserve rate hike, but prices are expected to rally by around $200 by the end of the year, according to the corporate and investment banking division of Bank of America. While tighter monetary policy is not bullish, inflation and a range of uncertainties, including European elections and protectionism should support gold prices.

Massive Debt Pain in China Could Be a Blessing for Gold Investors

Although the economy grew by 6.7% in 2016, the debt is causing a host of problems in China. The main reason many Chinese are buying gold is to preserve wealth against the backdrop of massive fiscal stimulus & lax credit conditions. Never has a big economy piled up so much debt so quickly without serious repercussions. It could be wise to take a lesson from Chinese investors & buy physical gold.

Markets Nearing an End to the Glory Days - Better Buy Gold

Despite the ongoing strength in stocks — the resilience of investors’ appetite for risk — gold investors fear that the happy times are about to change. The S&P 500 has another 7% or so to rise, from current levels, until this bull market tops out. But if gold investors have a beat on what’s going on behind the scenes of this stock-market rally … then a stock-market correction is in order soon.

Gold and Silver Are Still Outperforming Stocks So Far in 2017

Gold and silver are still outperforming stocks so far in 2017, and over the last 15 years. Although HSBC expects a near-term correction, “the rally appears intact…and we expect gold to resume the upside after a pause.” Bottom line, long-term gold investors should hold through corrections, or buy more, not sell into a panic.

Gold Prices Rally Against Market Expectations. Will Bullish Run Continue?

Gold prices have started 2017 with a strong performance. This out performance so far has shocked the market as Gold prices had been under performing the market since Trump won the election in November. One question that gold investors are asking now is, will 2017 be as spectacular for the yellow metal as it was in 2016? The short and sweet answer is yes.

Time to Face Reality and Invest in Gold Now

Many of the reasons behind the cheery outlook are unsound and may not come to fruition. For Trump, a loss of faith in the ability to make good on his promises would have an adverse impact on business, consumer confidence & the markets. The reasoning behind gold’s decline rests on a shaky assumptions. If things don’t go as planned, it could create uncertainty & that will benefit gold.

The Fed will not raise rates for the fun of it. The Fed wants to keep inflation under control, but what the organization really wants is negative real rates. That’s where inflation is higher than nominal rates. It does the Fed no good to raise rates unless inflation is going up even faster. Yet that’s exactly when gold does its job of preserving wealth.

The gold market is starting to look extremely oversold, so what does this mean for gold focused investor? For those with a more aggressive investment philosophy, a stomach for buying dips at support levels and a strong conviction that gold is going higher in the long term, the next few weeks may offer up a good buying opportunity.

3 Aces that will Fuel the most Powerful Bull Market in Gold

3 Aces that make the case for a massive leap in the price of gold… Three pivotal factors—that you’d never hear about from the mainstream financial media—will coincide by the end of this year to provide a historic boon to gold prices. The bottom line is this “trifecta” of gold events is creating a once-in-a-lifetime setup for gold investors. One that will see the price of gold explode higher.

Is Now the Best Entry Point for Gold Investors?

Gold was hammered down while Chinese markets were closed in the prior week, triggering a technical buy signal and possibly the best entry point in over a year to add to positions. Is now the best entry point for gold investors? Yes. Faster U.S. inflation and low interest rates will support gold. Gold always performs best when nobody thinks you should own it.

The Major Catalysts That Influence Gold Prices

Physical gold had its best quarterly gain in 30 years during the first quarter, and year-to-date, even with its recent swoon, physical gold is higher by roughly $200 an ounce. Gold has firmly reestablished itself as being in a bull market. The factors that move gold prices are largely unknown or overlooked. Let’s have a look at the seven most common factors that influence physical gold prices.

Rate Hike Largely Priced into Gold and Silver - What about Rationality in Sell-off?

Could the FED finally raise rates before 2016 draws to a close? That sounds plausible in theory, but there are a number of factors that do not support a rate hike in the near term. But even if they do hike rates, this move is already largely priced into gold and silver. We should question the rationality of this sell off. After all, the gold price often moves higher along with interest rates.

Gold Remains a Mandatory Portfolio Asset

Can the US financial system endure normalization of interest rate structures? No. Gold will remain a productive portfolio-diversifying asset until the process of debt rationalization is allowed to proceed in the US. Given implications for declining intrinsic value of US financial assets, as well as ongoing Fed efforts to debase outstanding obligations, gold remains a mandatory portfolio asset.

Issues that drove Gold Prices to all-time highs in 2011 Have Only Worsened

In 2011 there was an entire narrative around the gold market, when gold was at $1,900 & it was partly about US markets. The narrative in 2011 was that U.S. Federal Government on-balance sheet liabilities, at $16 trillion & the off-balance sheet liabilities of $55 trillion were unsustainable. Today, they are estimated at $19 trillion & $90 trillion respectively. Worsened enough?

Are Gold and Silver still Trending up or Vulnerable to some Profit-Taking Yet?

Before you rush to buy into gold-backed ETFs, it’s wise to note that there are signs of profit-taking in gold. Gold and silver tend to move together. Investors monitor the gold-to-silver ratio to assess how expensive or cheap silver is, relative to gold, currently seen at around 70 – near the upper end of the range between 45 and 80. This tells us that silver is still cheap compared to gold.

The 7 Signs That the Gold Market Remains Resilient

It is possible that gold and silver prices continue slipping, especially with futures expiration close-by. But the mildness of the pullbacks witnessed so far in 2016 are a testament to just how resilient gold has been. Buyers are stepping up to buy the dips rather than panic out of their positions. There’s a strong conviction in gold investors for the first time in 5 years, that gold’s new bull cycle has just started.

Unwinding of Excessive Gold Futures Longs - One of the Best Buying Opportunities

Gold sees major interim tops in bulls and bears alike whenever speculators’ long positions surge up to relatively-high levels. While these elite traders don’t control gold’s long-term trends driven by fundamentals, their collective trading can sure bully gold over the short term. The unwinding of speculators’ excessive gold futures longs offers some of the best mid-bull buying opportunities.

The Rally in Gold Prices is Just Getting Started

It’s been a stellar six months for gold investors. The yellow metal has surged 28% year-to-date, its best first half of the year since 1974. And now there are signs that the rally is just getting started. About $10 trillion worth of global government debt now carry historically low or negative yields are contributing to gold’s attractiveness right now & pushing it up on a new bull run.

Silver Takes the Gold Prize: Commodities Half Yearly Report 2016

Caused by worries of a summer interest rate hike and uptick in the U.S. dollar, gold and silver both stalled in May but have since rallied on the back of Brexit and with government bond yields in freefall. This has been highly constructive for gold and silver, as yields and precious metals tend to be inversely related. As for silver, some forecasters place it at between $25 and $32 an ounce by year’s end.

Divide Global Money Supply by Global Physical Gold = Correct Gold Price

It’s true that there’s a limited quantity of gold. But there’s always enough gold to support the financial system. It’s also important to set its price correctly and there can be a debate about the proper gold price. Just take the amount of money supply in the world, the amount of physical gold in the world, divide one by the other, and there’s the gold price. It’s not complicated mathematics.

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