Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Gold Jewelry’

Momentum in Gold Stocks Building for an Exceptionally Strong Season

Gold stocks exhibit strong seasonality as their price action mirrors that of their primary driver, gold. And since gold stocks have so seriously lagged gold in 2017, their upside potential in this year’s autumn rally is exceptional. That’s already begun in July, proving sentiment is starting to shift away from excessive bearishness. Momentum is building for a far-better-than-average strong season.

Gold Demand in India is Bound to Rise - Here Is Why

One of the major drivers for demand is the growing middle class & the popularity of gold jewelry during wedding seasons. Acceptability of gold in banking and financial transactions is also on the rise. Also, 60% of gold jewelry demand comes from weddings. We have 10 million weddings every year on average. And more than 60% of India’s people are below the age of 25.

Are You Ready for the Storm about to Hit the Gold Market?

September has been the best month for gold over the past 41 years. Coincidentally (or not), September is also the worst month for the S&P 500. As June comes to a close, we’re near the end of the seasonal weakness for gold—soon to enter its historical prime time from August to October. Investors can use these trends to make strategic purchases when the gold market is the weakest.

Beware of the Central Bankers' Malice - Trust Only Gold

It seems very clear that policy makers in the U.S. and Europe, at least, are going to try to withdraw financial stimulus and sell the need for doing so to their respective consumer bases. So there’s a conspiracy to increase in consumption & economic activity that will allow policy makers to begin to withdraw stimulus. Gold is a hedge against their failing in the process.

Can Indians Stop Tradition of Hoarding & Gifting Gold? Gold Target after Cash Ban

The latest moves in India are designed to force the gold trade onto the banking system in partnership with the central government to better track and tax the industry. The cashless agenda of control laid bare. There shall be no economic activity outside of State control. Cartels that play nice will be rewarded with more market share. Can Indians give up their tradition of storing & gifting gold?

Here's what Investors in the Gold Mining Sector can look Forward to

In contrast to more volatile stock market investments, gold has always been valued as a solid and dependable means to protect wealth. There are plenty of reasons to be optimistic about the gold mining industry for both the short term and long term. Herein, we have discussed what investors in the gold mining sector can look forward to in the coming months and years.

Americans Pawn Gold To Go Further Into Debt: US Gold Scrap Market Drying Up

It is quite unfortunate that Americans have pawned off their best asset only to go further into debt. U.S. gold scrap supply in 2016 (58.7 metric tons) is nearly two and a half times less than it was in 2010 (143 metric tons). Americans pawned off a great deal more gold in 2010 when the price was lower at $1,225 compared to $1,267 in 2016. Which means, the U.S. gold scrap supply market is drying up.

Paper Gold Trading Market Continues To Depress Physical Gold Prices

The total amount of paper gold trading done in 2016 equaled 243,000 metric tons. This is 233 times the amount of paper gold traded for each ounce of physical gold purchased. Also 76 times higher than the 103 million oz of world gold mine supply. What would happen to the physical gold prices if traders purchased physical gold instead of the millions of contracts traded on the exchanges.

Gold Bugs on Watch for Buy Signal & How Gold Prices React to Fed's Rate Hike

Despite gold being under pressure leading up to the next rate hike, Bank of America still sees prices rallying by around $200 by the end of the year. UBS and Goldman Sachs are also seeing opportunity for higher gold prices. Though sentiment conditions in the gold market have improved markedly & we are a lot closer to a contrarian gold buy signal than we were a couple of weeks ago, we’re not there yet.

Factors That Practically Guarantee Gold Prices to Rise in 2017

It probably comes as little shock that the leading catalyst for physical gold in 2017 is likely to come down to what the Federal Reserve does with interest rates. The Fed will hold a lot of weight on the movement of gold prices in 2017. Another major catalyst is going to be the Donald Trump presidency. But the final catalyst for gold prices is a real wildcard in 2017: India.

Gold Jewelry Buying Expected to be Exceptionally Strong

Plentiful monsoon rains in India tend to drive up demand for gold & gold jewelry among rural, income-flush farmers, who make up a third of the country’s consumption of the yellow metal. Gold jewelry sales in India are expected to surge as much as 60% over last year, during this year’s festival season thanks to the fortuitously timed sharp drop in gold prices.

Recycled Gold has met 60% of Indian Gold Demand on High Gold Prices

India has traditionally been one of the largest gold markets on the planet, second only to China. But, the high gold prices are threatening India’s status as a leading importer of gold. So much recycled gold has come into the system in the past few months that it has met 45% to 60% of the local gold demand. However, demand for gold in the US has risen 27% this year.

Gold Prices Poised to Leap as Love Trade Overtakes Fear Trade

India has pulled ahead of China. The economic output of India’s top 5 cities is expected to reach the size of 5 middle-income countries today. Mumbai’s massive $245 billion economy, could soon exceed the entire country of Malaysia. This presents a huge opportunity for the Love Trade to expand even more, as rising incomes & economic momentum have been a tailwind for gold demand.

Surge in Smuggled Gold Hits Indian Gold Refiners, Gold Jewelers & Banks

Smuggled gold could account for over a third of demand this year in India – the world’s second-biggest buyer of gold – potentially costing the government over $1 billion in lost revenue. Gold refiners have less than a 1% margin. If smugglers offer 4 or 5% discounts, they have no choice but to close operations. All 32 refineries in the country have stopped buying dore until market conditions normalize.

Gold Buying in India Set to Get a Boost from Strong Monsoons

Gold is more popular among lower income families, many of whom depend on monsoon rains to nourish their crops. About a third of Indian gold demand comes from rural farmers, who have traditionally converted a percentage of all crop revenue into the precious metal to be held as insurance and sold in times of dire need. Most reports so far this year indicate surplus rainfall.

What Will Catapult Silver Demand & Price Much Higher Than Gold

While global gold scrap represents 26% of total gold demand, only 13% of total silver demand was recycled last year. Thus, 87% of total world silver demand did not come from recycled silver supply. Investors need to understand that the majority of silver will never come back on the market until we see insanely high prices. There still won’t be enough to meet the silver demand.

Negative Yields On Global Government Debt Drives Gold Demand

It’s unprecedented that a third of all global government debt has negative yields. Which drives gold demand. Effectively what we’re seeing is people’s pensions being decimated because the policymakers have had very few if any alternatives left. It is in this environment that gold will help satisfy need. It’s more about protection of wealth rather than creation. That’s where gold plays.

SWOT Analysis - Where are Gold Prices Headed?

Gold prices are headed for the biggest weekly slump since November. But investors are still pouring cash into Gold ETFs & the assets continue to increase, with holdings currently near a two-year high. Gold miners have embraced hedging which could signify that miners don’t believe the high gold prices can last. Yet, JPMorgan Chase believes investors are better off betting on gold.

U.S. Gold Production Finally Hit Hard Due To Low Price

The lower price of gold has finally taken its toll on U.S. gold production. Domestic gold mine supply fell considerably in May compared to the same period last year. This is a significant amount as the United States is the fourth largest gold producer in the world. If current trends continue, U.S. gold production will fall below 200 mt in 2015.

The Push-Pull Dynamic in Gold and Silver

When it comes to gold and silver, mining supply drives price, and price drives pretty much everything else. Although gold is the dominant player in the gold-silver ecosystem, silver supplies still exert some influence on gold. End use of gold is much more price sensitive than the end use of silver, especially in jewelry.

follow us

markets snapshot


Market Quotes are powered by Investing.com

live commodity prices


Commodities are powered by Investing.com India

our latest tweets

follow us on facebook