Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Gold Market’

All Signs Point to Higher Gold Prices in the Months Ahead

Is the latest rally in gold prices for real? There’s an important distinction between the 2011-2015 price action and what’s going on now. The rally in gold prices that began on December 15, 2016 looks like the one that will finally break the bear pattern of lower highs and lower lows, and turn it into the bullish pattern of higher highs and higher lows, having posted a “golden cross” last week.

Evidence on Gold Price Manipulation is very Clear - Time to Buy is NOW

The big western banks have a monopoly on gold prices even if they do not have a monopoly on physical gold. But that could be about to change. Russia and China are not only building up physical reserves and exploring for more, they are building trading systems that allow for price discovery and leveraged trading in gold. Soon, the physical gold market will regain the upper hand as a price maker.

When will Equities and Gold Begin to Change Places?

In our view, Bullard has signaled the approaching demise of the Trump inflation trade. The equity markets have not yet got the memo. In the midst of a manic bubble, all news is still good news. The prop under the run up in stocks and the narrative behind the correction in gold are fading. We think equities and gold will soon begin to change places.

Silver is the Buy of the Century - Even Better Than an Explosive Gold Rally

I think silver is the buy of the century! Do you want to turbo-charge your gold profits this year? I’m serious! Do you really want to make the most of what’s going to be an explosive rally in gold? If yes, then I have two pieces of advice for you. 1)Buy silver, not gold. 2) And own some off the beaten path junior minors. — Silver Is the Currency of the Educated.

Paper Gold Price is not the Real Price of Gold

The paper gold market sets the gold price – the paper price that the false gold market trades at. That has very little to do with the price of gold which is what the physical market would trade at if there was not a manipulated paper market. But buyers & sellers are not concerned about the real price of gold. Because they have no intention of owning the physical since they don’t understand its function.

While U.S. Stupidly Hikes Gold Exports, The East Voraciously Grabs More

Total U.S. gold exports JAN-FEB 2017 surged to 101 metric tons (mt), compared to 56.5 mt last year. This, despite total U.S. gold mine supply plus gold imports for JAN-FEB 2017 equaled only 80 mt, suffering a 21 mt gold supply deficit. And where did the majority of U.S. gold exports head to? You got it….. Hong Kong-China & India.

What is the Gold Market Really Looking Forward to these Days?

Despite all the uncertainty, rising war tensions, Brexit & the possibility of the French following suit, that would have usually been enough to send the gold price skyward, the gold market seems to shrug off these developments, keeping its eyes focused on the tenor of U.S. monetary policy, particularly the prospect for interest rates.

A Government Shutdown Could Change The Picture For Gold

Near-term catalysts for a push lower in gold prices includes higher US interest rates, among a few others. But, if the US fails to reach a settlement on a government shutdown, gold could take flight and stocks might find gravity. The initial deadline is this Friday, and Goldman estimates only a one in four chance of a government shutdown occurring.

Rising Gold Prices & Gold Demand in India - A Major Cause for Optimism

India’s citizens are reportedly turning to gold as a safe haven amid doubts about paper money. It’s actually unusual to see India’s demand growing when gold prices are going up. The fact that prices and demand are rising in tandem could signal an important and positive shift in fundamentals — watch for April import figures in a few weeks to see if the trend continues.

Analysis - The Macroeconomic Drivers of the Gold Price

There are essentially two types of gold price drivers worth discussing: measurable ones and those that cannot be measured. Most of the “measurable” macroeconomic fundamentals that are considered important drivers of the gold price are either mixed/neutral or bearish at the moment. However, there are good reasons to believe that several of them will turn gold-bullish.

Paper Gold Trading Market Continues To Depress Physical Gold Prices

The total amount of paper gold trading done in 2016 equaled 243,000 metric tons. This is 233 times the amount of paper gold traded for each ounce of physical gold purchased. Also 76 times higher than the 103 million oz of world gold mine supply. What would happen to the physical gold prices if traders purchased physical gold instead of the millions of contracts traded on the exchanges.

The Fake Paper Markets & the Real Gold and Silver

Just like the artificial paper markets in New York and London that are used to keep the price of gold and silver from rising, the western stock markets are prevented from falling by a web synthetic derivative securities and fraudulent financial reporting applications. Never before in history have stock market valuations been more disconnected from the underlying fundamental economic reality.

Falling Mine Supply will Trigger Panicked Gold Buying & Higher Gold Prices

Once the price of physical gold starts to move up on basic supply and demand fundamentals & imbalances in the paper gold market, the stage is set for corresponding increases in paper gold prices. As more & more paper gold holders turn from the paper market to obtain physical gold, which is already in short supply in the physical market, we’ll see the beginning of a price super-spike.

Why is the Gold Market Sanguine about Rising US Interest Rates?

Why is the gold market being sanguine about rising U.S. interest rates? Rising U.S. inflation and a peak in U.S. dollar strength may mean that the traditional impact of a U.S. monetary tightening cycle may be less than usual. What the gold market is currently signalling is that while U.S. interest rate rises are still a bit of a headwind, they may not be enough to offset some compelling tailwinds.

Mega Investors Loading up on Gold - Are They Cornering the Gold Market?

China has become a debt crisis waiting to happen. Central banks in Europe have deployed negative interest rates that rapidly erode value. And in the United States wealth has been borrowed from future economic growth to feed bubbles in stocks and real estate. That’s why billionaires are rapidly rushing into their old standby, gold. It’s the only asset that can be trusted right now.

Gold and Silver Manipulation: The Largest, Most Destructive Financial Crime in History

The gold and silver futures market has been an organized crime scene ever since 1980. The current fake prices are roughly $1,300.00 & $130.00/ oz beneath their 1980 inflation adjusted highs, respectively. This is extraordinary given the radical deterioration of monetary, financial, economic & geopolitical conditions since 1980. Prices should be far above the 1980’s, not far below them.

Gold Bugs on Watch for Buy Signal & How Gold Prices React to Fed's Rate Hike

Despite gold being under pressure leading up to the next rate hike, Bank of America still sees prices rallying by around $200 by the end of the year. UBS and Goldman Sachs are also seeing opportunity for higher gold prices. Though sentiment conditions in the gold market have improved markedly & we are a lot closer to a contrarian gold buy signal than we were a couple of weeks ago, we’re not there yet.

Gold Prices Pullback, But Gold Bulls Have Nothing to Worry About

Gold prices have fallen from a $1,260 peak to just under $1,200 as rate-hike expectations have grown. Despite this, we think that gold prices have been relatively resilient as the dollar failed to rally substantially as a result of the behaviour in US real yields. In the short term, those who are long gold might not have to suffer too much more downside.

High Probability of a Huge Gold Price Rally - Sooner than You Expect

Early March is the traditional seasonal lull in gold, right before the spring rally. But this year, it’s an entirely different ball game. Amid the ‘Trumphoria’ stock market surge we saw a radical shrugging off of gold while everyone was paying attention to fantastically over-valued stock markets. Now that rally has ended, we’re staring down a massive gold-buying spree that should take off in mid-March.

Factors Converging Together to Drive Gold Prices 15% Higher

Although markets are expecting the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates three times this year, starting as early as March, there are three factors converging together to create the perfect storm for the gold market. The key for gold prices will be the fact that real rates are expected to remain low because of higher inflation.

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