Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Gold Market’

Time For Gold To Really Shine! Should You Dare Catch The Falling Knife?

The bullish case for gold does not just rest on the direction of the dollar. Gold is also an, “investment in monetary policy failure,” or at least a hedge against it. Technicals & sentiment have again aligned to create a terrific opportunity to take advantage of what could be early stages of a major shift in long-term trend of outperformance by financial assets over real assets.

Recent Gold Market Moves Indicate a Wicked Gold Rally in the Making

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at the extremely low levels (in the low 20s) and is strongly hinting bottoms for gold and silver. The sentiment numbers are telling me that there is a wicked gold rally coming. On Monday, when I get a look at the COT report, I will know for sure. Keep your eyes open as we move toward year-end. The fireworks are going to be incendiary.

Indian Demonetization Denotes Severe Stress in the Global Gold Market

We believe that the primary objective of the Indian currency demonetization was to sharply reduce gold demand in the world’s most important retail market, India. It indicates to us that the bullion banking cabal is coming up against the wall, and that there is severe supply – demand stress in the global gold market that is rapidly becoming non-containable.

Gold Prices In Oversold Territory - US Dollar in Overbought; Need We Say More?

When gold prices broke through $1,200 yesterday, it triggered a mass of automated selling and that has pushed the market into extremely oversold territory. If gold prices can hold $1,170 then I think we could see the market bounce back. Another positive for gold prices is the US dollar, which is in extremely overbought territory and due for a correction.

The Fed will not raise rates for the fun of it. The Fed wants to keep inflation under control, but what the organization really wants is negative real rates. That’s where inflation is higher than nominal rates. It does the Fed no good to raise rates unless inflation is going up even faster. Yet that’s exactly when gold does its job of preserving wealth.

The gold market is starting to look extremely oversold, so what does this mean for gold focused investor? For those with a more aggressive investment philosophy, a stomach for buying dips at support levels and a strong conviction that gold is going higher in the long term, the next few weeks may offer up a good buying opportunity.

Will Downward Trend in Gold and Silver Continue? A Look at Inflation is All You Need to Know

Despite this temporary setback, the long-term outlook is still looking positive for gold and silver. Financial turmoil is always a driving factor for additional bullion investments. Trump’s victory sent copper prices soaring more than $1,000, its best weekly performance since 1979. As a byproduct of base metal extraction, silver to rise on increased infrastructure spending & gold on inflation.

3 Aces that will Fuel the most Powerful Bull Market in Gold

3 Aces that make the case for a massive leap in the price of gold… Three pivotal factors—that you’d never hear about from the mainstream financial media—will coincide by the end of this year to provide a historic boon to gold prices. The bottom line is this “trifecta” of gold events is creating a once-in-a-lifetime setup for gold investors. One that will see the price of gold explode higher.

Renewed Buying in Gold Futures & GLD Shares Fuelling Gold's Next Upleg

With gold futures speculators’ collective bets no longer excessively bullish and holding back gold, that paves the way for major investment buying to resume. Meanwhile American stock investors have resumed heavy buying of GLD shares again, fueling this ETF’s big early-quarter holdings build equalling Q1’16’s massive jump that ignited gold’s young new bull.

Fearful Capital Turns to Gold and Silver - the Ultimate Financial Insurance

One can easily foresee the financial and political turmoil looming large just ahead. And, there is lots of that coming our way. Now is the time to be proactive in case the situation escalates, which seems to be unavoidable. Gold and silver have been acquired for centuries as a form of wealth preservation, as a long-term store of value and as safe-haven assets in such times.

Not 1, But 50 Amazing Proofs - The Secular Bull Market in Gold Will Continue

Gold’s bull market started in the year 2001, and after 4 years of correction from 2011 to 2015, the secular bull market is still intact. As the world is experiencing the burden of debt & sub mortgage crisis, which has the made the market illiquid & the bearish sentiment for gold is on extreme low. Gold on rise can be termed as the biggest surprise of 2016. Need Proof? Here are 50 of them.

Gold Jewelry Buying Expected to be Exceptionally Strong

Plentiful monsoon rains in India tend to drive up demand for gold & gold jewelry among rural, income-flush farmers, who make up a third of the country’s consumption of the yellow metal. Gold jewelry sales in India are expected to surge as much as 60% over last year, during this year’s festival season thanks to the fortuitously timed sharp drop in gold prices.

Gold Bull Market Intact Regardless of Short Term Price Gyrations

Gold remains the asset Wall Street loves to hate. Currently the fundamental drivers of gold are mixed, which makes a sideways move the most likely prospect, barring new developments. We remain convinced that the monetary experiments of recent years will end quite badly, and that the long term case for gold remains intact regardless of short term price gyrations.

Price of Gold Could Rise a Lot Higher - In Fact Double

There’s a difference between the narrative, which is what you’re being told, versus the reality of the economic data. It’s in no one’s interest ahead of the election to say the U.S. economy is a mess. If the flood of bad economic data continues, the Fed will almost certainly print more money or cut interest rates. And that could easily send the price of gold through the roof.

Gold may Spring a Surprise on Rising Uncertainty & a Slowing Global Economy

Over the long term, people have realised the benefit of portfolio diversification. Holdings in gold-backed ETFs were 2,051 metric tons by Oct. 14, the highest level since June 2013. In the latest gold and silver COT report, paper players made big strides in bringing the market back into balance & setting the stage for an eventual rebound. The gold market may surprise us again.

Has Gold Deviated from Long-Term Upward Trajectory or Again a Bout of Paper Manipulation?

Much of the recent selling has come from large-scale speculators operating in futures markets. Meanwhile, physical demand from retail investors, most importantly, hedge funds & other large-scale institutional investors has remained firm. When Chinese investors return, their buying alone should be enough to stabilize & re-launch gold on its long-term upward trajectory.

With a Trump Win, Gold Prices Could Soar Sharply to $1750 or even $2000

Citigroup has advised investors to sell stocks & bonds – And buy gold – BEFORE the election, if Donald Trump starts rising in the polls. Their reasoning is that if Donald Trump begins to lead in the polls, gold prices could move up sharply before the election, since markets tend to price-in any expected outcome. ABN Amro Sees $1,850 Gold Prices Following a Trump Win.

Gold Price And The Interest Rate Disconnection

We are entering a new phase in gold price action where expectations of Fed interest-rate policy becomes less important & other gold price drivers come to the fore. I believe the Fed will have little room to raise interest rates by anything more than a token increase. What’s more likely, the US & global economic news will continue to disappoint & this could be enough to support a rising gold price.

Gold Has No Reason To Fear The Fed's Potential Interest Rate Hike

A 25-basis-point move in September is not going to be disastrous for gold prices, which have risen almost 30% gains since the lows in December. I don’t think the gold market has anything to fear from U.S. monetary policy. Even if rates rise 1% this year, the important thing to remember is that real rates will still be negative and that is ultimately positive for gold.

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