Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Gold Miners’

A Buy Position in Gold - Heads I Win, Tails I don’t Lose

Markets have now priced in a 100% chance of a Fed rate hike in December. Gold is just waiting for confirmation from the Fed in a few weeks. We have a “Heads I win, tails I don’t lose” situation. If you take a long position in gold today & the Fed raises rates, nothing happens to the price because the rate hike is already priced in. But if the Fed does not raise rates, gold prices will spike suddenly & dramatically.

The Big Question now is - Where does Gold go from Here?

Gold has held its own despite higher interest rates and threats of more. That tells me we’re seeing a flight to quality, meaning people are losing confidence in central banks all over the world. They realize the banks are out of bullets. So gold has been moving up in what I would consider a challenging environment of higher rates. The question now is, where does gold go from here?

Gold is a Misunderstood Metal - Don't make the Mistake of Ignoring it

Gold was once a common form of payment around the developed world, but after World War II it’s influence began to wane. In 1971, when the US finally put an end to the gold standard, the role of gold changed for good. But that doesn’t mean gold is just an antiquated relic or a bad investment; you need to understand its place in the world & your portfolio. Here are five myths about gold debunked.

Gold and Silver Bounce Up On Short Covering, Is Safe-Haven Demand or Speculation Driving It

Gold and silver prices ended the day higher, on short covering. There were some significant geopolitical events occurring over the weekend. While the world stock markets have so far mostly shrugged them off as nothing major, the gold and silver markets did get some safe-haven buying support. There was more evidence of a turn in silver than gold last Friday. What is driving the bounce-up?

With Gold Prices Poised to Rally Higher, Upside Potential in Gold Stocks is Huge

Despite their big gains since early 2016, the gold stocks remain very low and their young bull is still little in secular context. So it’s not too late to get deployed. With gold prices likely to rally far higher as these lofty stock markets roll over, gold stocks’ upside potential is huge. As gold is bid higher on weaker stocks, gold stocks will soar.

Will Gold Investors get more Bullish in 2017 or will the Bears Take Control?

Gold prices have climbed by around 8% year to date, close to what they gained for all of last year & could rally further, potentially to as high as $1,500 – A 20% rise from its current level of roughly $1,250. Yesterday, gold futures slipped & broke numerous technical levels, but as it bounces back off support, the question is will the bounce continue? It also seems that investors will not abandon gold.

Can't Afford to Miss Buying Physical Gold Now, Soon Most Won't Really Afford It

The conditions that are favorable for gold, will prove fatal for overvalued stocks that are looking for a trigger to tumble. Remember, diversification is crucial to any investment strategy. As a fraught 2017 unfolds, consider re-balancing your portfolio to accommodate the likely economic, business and market volatility ahead. You can hedge your bets, with physical gold.

Gold Prices To Move Higher Even If & When The Fed Hikes Rates

It’s very interesting to see gold prices going up despite a challenging environment of higher rates & a manipulated paper market. That tells me that there’s more to the story, that there’s more going on behind the scenes that’s driving the gold price higher. I’m very impressed with the present gold action & here’s why I expect gold prices to really take off going forward.

Gold Futures Speculators Missed the Boat - What Happens When They Begin Buying?

Distracted by extreme Trumphoria market distortions, futures speculators have totally missed this gold boat. They won’t stay on the sidelines for long though as gold keeps powering higher. They will rush to get properly positioned for more gold upside. All that coming buying will feed on itself and really accelerate gold’s new upleg, catapulting gold prices much higher.

The 6 Mind-Blowing Gold Market Statistics

The gold market is both amazingly large and stunningly small, depending on how you look at it. On one hand, there’s a tremendous amount of value packed into the shiny metal. But the reason it packs so much value per ounce is that there’s precious little of it in the world. That scarcity could continue to drive up the value of gold as more people stake their claim in the precious metal.

A Correction-Grade Stock-Market Selloff & Investors will Rush Back to Gold Buying

Gold has managed to rally sharply in recent weeks without any capital inflows from American stock investors. They not only weren’t buying GLD shares, they continued to aggressively sell them as evidenced by a couple big GLD-holdings draw days so far in January. The situation implies the investment gold buying hasn’t even started yet & that means big gold buying is still coming.

Optimistic Or Pessimistic - Bullish Case for Gold is Clear to All

Throughout 2017, gold should be supported by even deeper negative real rates, which could fall to their lowest level in two years as inflation outpaces nominal interest rate increases. Gold has tended to rise when real rates (what you get when you subtract inflation from the federal funds rate) fell into negative territory. Being optimistic helps you to see the opportunities that others might not.

Gold Prices In Oversold Territory - US Dollar in Overbought; Need We Say More?

When gold prices broke through $1,200 yesterday, it triggered a mass of automated selling and that has pushed the market into extremely oversold territory. If gold prices can hold $1,170 then I think we could see the market bounce back. Another positive for gold prices is the US dollar, which is in extremely overbought territory and due for a correction.

Run to Gold as the Inflation Beast Rattles Its Cage

Portfolio-destroying inflation is around the corner because of reckless government spending and unsustainable debt, so stock up the bomb shelter and buy gold. The latest data suggests that the inflation beast is stirring from its long slumber, which means that the classic inflation hedge of gold is on the verge of a sustained rally.

Trump’s Agenda will fuel Bigger Deficits, Debt & Inflation: Super-Bullish for Gold

No matter how awesome Trump’s pro-growth economic policies ultimately prove, these Fed-levitated stock markets near bubble valuations still face an overdue bear. And Trump’s big-spending agenda is going to fuel bigger deficits, bigger debt, and inflation for years to come. That’s super-bullish for gold since it tends to move counter to stocks.

Gold may Spring a Surprise on Rising Uncertainty & a Slowing Global Economy

Over the long term, people have realised the benefit of portfolio diversification. Holdings in gold-backed ETFs were 2,051 metric tons by Oct. 14, the highest level since June 2013. In the latest gold and silver COT report, paper players made big strides in bringing the market back into balance & setting the stage for an eventual rebound. The gold market may surprise us again.

Short Gold and Silver at your own Risk - Rather Buy the Dip

We are entering a seasonally strong period of time for gold and silver. My stance is to take a look at an even bigger picture which shows that silver may be finding investment demand at this seasonally bullish time of year. Wedding season is also a good time to own gold as is the month of September (a month I don’t like to short precious metals) which begins today.

Gold and Silver: The Precious Metals Sector and the Federal Reserve

There has been no major correction in the gold and silver market all this year, which is inflated after months of rallying, and we will look at some evidence here that the correction may have considerably further to go, in points terms if not in time terms. If the dollar rallies, gold could get whacked, but would be expected to be followed by a reversal & thus present a MAJOR buying opportunity.

Does the Current Gold Price Justify the Big Gains in Gold Stocks?

Despite the 25% decline in the gold price since 2013 to $1,050, profit margins only fell by 12% as the industry responded by cutting costs and restructuring their operations. With gold now trading at $1,350 per ounce and AISC holding steady, net profit margins for the industry have increased from $220 to over $500 per ounce – an increase of 127% in just 7 months.

Peak Gold Production and the Implications for Gold Prices

The global gold output has been contracting since 2013. There are just not that many new mines being found and developed, and this is “very positive” for the gold price going forward. Thomson Reuters too is of the view that global mine supply is set to begin a multiyear downtrend in 2016. Demand for gold, on the other hand, should remain strong, helping to support prices even more.

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