Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Gold Miners’

Gold Prices In Oversold Territory - US Dollar in Overbought; Need We Say More?

When gold prices broke through $1,200 yesterday, it triggered a mass of automated selling and that has pushed the market into extremely oversold territory. If gold prices can hold $1,170 then I think we could see the market bounce back. Another positive for gold prices is the US dollar, which is in extremely overbought territory and due for a correction.

Run to Gold as the Inflation Beast Rattles Its Cage

Portfolio-destroying inflation is around the corner because of reckless government spending and unsustainable debt, so stock up the bomb shelter and buy gold. The latest data suggests that the inflation beast is stirring from its long slumber, which means that the classic inflation hedge of gold is on the verge of a sustained rally.

Trump’s Agenda will fuel Bigger Deficits, Debt & Inflation: Super-Bullish for Gold

No matter how awesome Trump’s pro-growth economic policies ultimately prove, these Fed-levitated stock markets near bubble valuations still face an overdue bear. And Trump’s big-spending agenda is going to fuel bigger deficits, bigger debt, and inflation for years to come. That’s super-bullish for gold since it tends to move counter to stocks.

Gold may Spring a Surprise on Rising Uncertainty & a Slowing Global Economy

Over the long term, people have realised the benefit of portfolio diversification. Holdings in gold-backed ETFs were 2,051 metric tons by Oct. 14, the highest level since June 2013. In the latest gold and silver COT report, paper players made big strides in bringing the market back into balance & setting the stage for an eventual rebound. The gold market may surprise us again.

Short Gold and Silver at your own Risk - Rather Buy the Dip

We are entering a seasonally strong period of time for gold and silver. My stance is to take a look at an even bigger picture which shows that silver may be finding investment demand at this seasonally bullish time of year. Wedding season is also a good time to own gold as is the month of September (a month I don’t like to short precious metals) which begins today.

Gold and Silver: The Precious Metals Sector and the Federal Reserve

There has been no major correction in the gold and silver market all this year, which is inflated after months of rallying, and we will look at some evidence here that the correction may have considerably further to go, in points terms if not in time terms. If the dollar rallies, gold could get whacked, but would be expected to be followed by a reversal & thus present a MAJOR buying opportunity.

Does the Current Gold Price Justify the Big Gains in Gold Stocks?

Despite the 25% decline in the gold price since 2013 to $1,050, profit margins only fell by 12% as the industry responded by cutting costs and restructuring their operations. With gold now trading at $1,350 per ounce and AISC holding steady, net profit margins for the industry have increased from $220 to over $500 per ounce – an increase of 127% in just 7 months.

Peak Gold Production and the Implications for Gold Prices

The global gold output has been contracting since 2013. There are just not that many new mines being found and developed, and this is “very positive” for the gold price going forward. Thomson Reuters too is of the view that global mine supply is set to begin a multiyear downtrend in 2016. Demand for gold, on the other hand, should remain strong, helping to support prices even more.

Buying Gold will be the Correct Move in this Price Correction

Gold has arrived at an important target on its 10-year arithmetic chart – a trendline target, which is a good point for it to react back, which is made more likely by the latest extreme COT & sentiment readings. Such readings usually, but not always occur at a top or ahead of a reaction or period of consolidation. Should it succeed in breaking above this trendline, the $1.550 level may soon be seen.

Gold Prices At Strongest Resistance Area - Will It Breakout Or Fail?

Gold price’s historic chart has three distinct phases: a strong uptrend followed by a consolidation and a strong downtrend. The ultimate test is taking place right now: Gold can break out of its downtrend. But will it do so? That is the million dollar question, and it will have huge consequences for metal investors, but also for markets in general.

Every Single Move This Year Seems Silver And Gold Friendly - Especially Silver

“It’s very difficult to be bearish on silver and gold — especially silver, which has drawn particular interest from investors this year. With so much pricing momentum, and so many geopolitical and market factors blowing in its sails, there’s no reason to think silver won’t continue to post gains through the end of the year.” Events close-by could easily push the price of silver above $30.

Gold Demand Remains Stable During Sector Weakness

Gold demand peaked in the middle of 2010 & went sideways for a few years before succumbing to the bear market. That lack of strong demand in 2011 while Gold surged, was a warning sign. The amount of Gold in GLD can be a sort of an indicator for the sector. While Gold & gold shares are correcting now, the real time data coming from GLD suggests Gold demand is & should remain firm.

Gold is in a Major Bull Market: Simple. Nothing Else Matters

If gold, currently at $1,320 an ounce, can meander around here for a while, that would be constructive. It might even need to fall a bit – perhaps as low as the $1,250s or $1,260s. Such action, if it occurs, could actually be positive in the grander scheme of things. Gold prices could just also keep on pushing higher. It’s a bull market & that’s what bull markets do sometimes, particularly golden ones.

The Rally in Gold Prices is Just Getting Started

It’s been a stellar six months for gold investors. The yellow metal has surged 28% year-to-date, its best first half of the year since 1974. And now there are signs that the rally is just getting started. About $10 trillion worth of global government debt now carry historically low or negative yields are contributing to gold’s attractiveness right now & pushing it up on a new bull run.

Gold Prices will easily Triple on a Collapse in the Monetary System

What could possible make gold prices go from roughly $1,350 an ounce now to triple in value at US$4,200? The inability of central banks to wind down their balance sheets and the continued effort to stimulate the economy by, admittedly, unconventional means will end our current currency system. We will then return to some sort of gold standard, thus sending it soaring.

Gold Price Reversal Could Trigger Speculative Washout

Large speculators have been stocking up on gold futures at a record pace & the gold miners are selling all the forward production they can lock in above $1,220. This could lead to quite the washout as speculators are forced to take losses under $1,280. Commercial trader position is at just over half its record. There really aren’t any speculators left to buy & so odds favor the shorts.

Has Gold Already Priced-In a Fed Interest Rate Hike?

Gold already started correcting following the Fed’s fear-provoking announcement that it might raise rates in mid-June. The announcement lifted the US dollar 0.8% & sent gold down 2%, but the change is still within trend. Is there more downside ahead? Likely yes. Gold is seasonally weak in June. The lead-up to June 15 might be more significant than the event itself.

Did You "Miss the Boat" on Gold? Now Buy the Dip

You may be wondering if you “missed the boat” on gold out of fear of more bearishness. After all, the price of gold is already up 15% this year. It’s at its highest level in 15 months. During the 2000–2003 bull market, the average gold stock rose 602%. The best stocks returned 1,000% or more. So, if you’ve been wanting to buy gold & gold stocks; It’s not too late. Buy the dip.

Get in on the Ground Floor of a New Bull Market in Gold

After a long, downward slide, gold prices have finally begun to climb higher. Right now is the perfect time to get back into gold and silver investments. And we have four recommendations to get you in on the ground floor. But does the price upswing of the past few months mean that we’re in for a new, longer-term era of strength in gold? Yes. Here’s why.

Investors Return Big Time to Gold Miners Stocks - A Long-Abandoned Sector

Given the extraordinary market events of the first quarter of 2016, it’s an exceedingly important one to understand what’s going on with the gold miners fundamentally. Strong Q1’16 results prove their big gains are fundamentally justified. Investors wanting to multiply their wealth as this young new bull matures should take advantage of any weakness in this volatile sector to deploy capital.

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