Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Gold Price’

Here's why 2017 should make Investors Confident about Gold and Silver?

Any sign that the Fed is going to keep interest rates behind the inflation curve is positive for gold and silver. At the moment, a number of top analysts have several interest rates rises depressing the outlook for gold and silver. But this may either not happen, or inflation could prove more rapid than expected & have the same effect. Here are the fundamentals that should make investors feel confident.

Time to Face Reality and Invest in Gold Now

Many of the reasons behind the cheery outlook are unsound and may not come to fruition. For Trump, a loss of faith in the ability to make good on his promises would have an adverse impact on business, consumer confidence & the markets. The reasoning behind gold’s decline rests on a shaky assumptions. If things don’t go as planned, it could create uncertainty & that will benefit gold.

Gold Price Outlook 2017: Analysts Call for Price Increase

Over the last five years, the gold price has more or less been stuck in a bear market. Moving into 2017, the gold price is expected to move much higher. One key indicator is the moving average of convergence/divergence, which is also known as MACD, and on a weekly basis the MACD and RSIR are indicating that the next move for gold will be up.

Gold Investment Demand to rise on Inflation & Pent-up Selling in Red-Hot Stocks & US Dollar

Stock investors owning essentially-zero gold exposure, have vast room to buy again when the wildly-overvalued stock markets inevitably roll over. Gold investment demand was triggered in 2016 by post-Fed-rate-hike stock selling delayed until January for tax reasons. Incentives to hold until January are far greater this year than most, since 2017 may see lower tax rates thanks to Trump.

Gold Treads Danger Zone - Yet Why Do Some Feel Optimistic?

The presence of considerable global economic, political, market risks and considering that the longer end of the yield curve and the sky-high USD have already tightened conditions, the Fed is likely to deliver a dovish hike later in December. This could mean the dollar & rates along the curve may slide lower & prompt technical traders to send gold back into $1,200-plus territory.

Gold and Silver Backed Insurance in Times of Turmoil

Investors buy physical gold and silver because it is a store of value – a way to protect your wealth from the relentless devaluation of fiat currencies – and a safe haven in times of turmoil. Buying gold numismatics is not the way to do this and buying gold numismatics that aren’t…well that’s being taken advantage of, to put it politely.

The Fed will not raise rates for the fun of it. The Fed wants to keep inflation under control, but what the organization really wants is negative real rates. That’s where inflation is higher than nominal rates. It does the Fed no good to raise rates unless inflation is going up even faster. Yet that’s exactly when gold does its job of preserving wealth.

The gold market is starting to look extremely oversold, so what does this mean for gold focused investor? For those with a more aggressive investment philosophy, a stomach for buying dips at support levels and a strong conviction that gold is going higher in the long term, the next few weeks may offer up a good buying opportunity.

Choking Inflation is last thing the Fed wants now - Good for Gold

The Fed will not raise rates for the fun of it. The Fed wants to keep inflation under control, but what the organization really wants is negative real rates. That’s where inflation is higher than nominal rates. It does the Fed no good to raise rates unless inflation is going up even faster. Yet that’s exactly when gold does its job of preserving wealth.

Gold offers Insurance, but Silver Additionally offers Better Profit Opportunities

Hike or no hike, there is no place for the gold and silver bulls to hide. Silver is slower to move than gold, but it has more room to move and this delivers better profits. The similarity in the patterns on the gold and silver charts means the silver price follow the behaviour of the gold price. The best trade is to watch gold and execute the trade on the same price move in silver.

Can You Guess the US Election Winner? It's Obviously - Gold

Investors are on edge…and we can’t blame them. The S&P 500 has fallen nine straight days. Safe-haven demand maybe set to rise as the US election is now just days away. Unlike past elections this one appears to grown more uncertain and fraught the closer it gets. There’s one certain winner of next week’s presidential election, according to HSBC: Investors in Gold.

A More Robust Understanding of the Price of Gold & Gold Valuation

A combination of a top-down and bottom-up approach is required to develop a more robust understanding and valuation of gold. Certain inputs put together, this recommended framework allows investors to use current variables and easily available economic forecasts to form a consistent, self-contained and intuitive view on the price of gold.

Is Now the Best Entry Point for Gold Investors?

Gold was hammered down while Chinese markets were closed in the prior week, triggering a technical buy signal and possibly the best entry point in over a year to add to positions. Is now the best entry point for gold investors? Yes. Faster U.S. inflation and low interest rates will support gold. Gold always performs best when nobody thinks you should own it.

Time for Patiently Using Corrections & Patterns to Build Gold Positions

The correction is providing an opportunity to enter stocks that we thought got away. The question is precisely when to make those moves. If historic patterns around W-shaped corrections & reactions of gold to rate hikes persist, we could be looking at a strong start to 2017. This fall may be the time for patience & using patterns to position your portfolio for gold’s next leg up.

Gold Bull Market Intact Regardless of Short Term Price Gyrations

Gold remains the asset Wall Street loves to hate. Currently the fundamental drivers of gold are mixed, which makes a sideways move the most likely prospect, barring new developments. We remain convinced that the monetary experiments of recent years will end quite badly, and that the long term case for gold remains intact regardless of short term price gyrations.

Rate Hike Largely Priced into Gold and Silver - What about Rationality in Sell-off?

Could the FED finally raise rates before 2016 draws to a close? That sounds plausible in theory, but there are a number of factors that do not support a rate hike in the near term. But even if they do hike rates, this move is already largely priced into gold and silver. We should question the rationality of this sell off. After all, the gold price often moves higher along with interest rates.

Sellers of Physical Gold Did Not Help Crash Gold Prices - Then Who Did?

The total volume of the crash in excess of 1,000 tonnes of paper gold contracts, dumped on the market in a matter of hours, makes it pretty clear that something ‘fishy’ was going on. So the main question remains, who sold? Clearly, the futures market crash was NOT caused by sellers of physical gold. But China & Russia will love & use the buying opportunity.

The Stability Regarding Purchasing Power of Gold is Unprecedented

An often-perceived analysis in the gold community is that gold is the constant in our global economy. While there is no exact constant in economics, the stability of gold’s purchasing power is unprecedented. Not only on a gold standard the metal shows it’s constant nature, but also off the gold standard gold’s purchasing power is remarkably constant, albeit more volatile in the short term.

Gold Price And The Interest Rate Disconnection

We are entering a new phase in gold price action where expectations of Fed interest-rate policy becomes less important & other gold price drivers come to the fore. I believe the Fed will have little room to raise interest rates by anything more than a token increase. What’s more likely, the US & global economic news will continue to disappoint & this could be enough to support a rising gold price.

Why And How The US Fed Will Drive Gold Higher

After raising rates in Dec, the US Fed back-flipped on its aggressive interest rate policy earlier in the year. The US stock market nosedived by about 10% and Chinese debt issues worried investors. Gold & gold stocks went through the roof! Despite the stock market recently hitting all-time highs, the Fed kept delaying increasing rates. This ‘wait and see’ policy is causing a lot of uncertainty.

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