Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Gold Price’

Despite High Global Uncertainty, U.S. Citizens Remain Under Invested in Gold

Gold remains extremely under-owned by investors despite having a solid track record as a currency of last resort in times of uncertainty, and despite the current global environment being arguably more uncertain than any point since the second world war. Gold ETFs as a percentage of all ETF assets are now closer to 2%, despite an increasing risk of inflation and therefore negative real rates.

Inflation in 15 Minutes & Solution to Debt Crisis - Raise the Dollar Price of Gold

A massive inflation in 15 minutes: the time it takes to vote on the new policy. Don’t think this is possible? It’s happened in the U.S. twice in the past 80 years. Raising the dollar price of gold is the quickest way to cause inflation. If the markets don’t do it, the government can. It works every time. Gold can be used to work around a debt ceiling crisis if an agreement isn’t reached in the months ahead.

Unwise to be Short on Gold or Silver as Dollar & Stock Market Crash Loom Large

Gold is already up by almost 15% so far in 2017, fueled by the falling dollar. A weak dollar, coupled with a technical breakout, should continue to push gold prices higher, possibly toward $1,600. A major international banking crisis is inevitable & likely to occur fairly soon. A stock market crash is likely to push many banks to that point of failure. So it would be very unwise to be short gold or silver now.

Why Investing in Gold is more Attractive after Prices Break above $1300

Gold is showing decent strength going into the end of summer breaking above strong psychological and technical level of $1300 per ounce which can finally confirm the beginning of long-term bull market. There is no lack of fundamentals supporting the move upwards. Here are the 13 most important drivers of the coming long term precious metals bull cycle.

Is a US Dollar Rally Imminent or will Gold and Silver Continue Rising?

The past three weeks have seen a sharp increase in Commercial long liquidation coupled with accelerated shorting but the aggregate number of shorts is still well below the level seen at major tops in the summer of 2016 and with gold approaching U.S.$1,400 per ounce. The risk in this assumption that the U.S. Dollar index ($USD) is about to stage a reversal to the upside, forcing the algo’s to sell gold.

Gold Prices may be Slow to Rise, but the Direction seems Completely Certain

Gold is challenging the $1300 level for the third time this year. If it breaks upwards out of this consolidation phase convincingly, it could be an important event, signalling a dollar that will continue to weaken. The factors driving the dollar lower are several & disparate. Here is a summary of these trends & explains why the consequence appear certain to drive gold, priced in dollars, much higher.

Fundamental Change - Gold Scrap Slump will Tighten the Gold Market Supply

Normally, when the gold price increases, individuals take advantage by selling old jewelry or scrap into the market. This trend changed in 2017 as global gold scrap supply declined 20% to 563 mt, even as the gold price increased. This suggests that the market is now holding onto its gold rather than sell it into the market… even at higher prices. This is a very POSITIVE indicator for future gold prices.

Momentum in Gold Stocks Building for an Exceptionally Strong Season

Gold stocks exhibit strong seasonality as their price action mirrors that of their primary driver, gold. And since gold stocks have so seriously lagged gold in 2017, their upside potential in this year’s autumn rally is exceptional. That’s already begun in July, proving sentiment is starting to shift away from excessive bearishness. Momentum is building for a far-better-than-average strong season.

Why Cryptocurrencies Can Never Replace Physical Gold

Gold is rare enough to be a true store of value. There’s no danger of it becoming ubiquitous, even if a dozen super-high-grade deposits were discovered tomorrow. If ever the lights go out, due to an electromagnetic pulse, either as an act of war or through a strong solar flare, Bitcoin will vanish instantly. Physical gold, on the other hand, will still be there and ready to use as needed.

Are You Ready for the Storm about to Hit the Gold Market?

September has been the best month for gold over the past 41 years. Coincidentally (or not), September is also the worst month for the S&P 500. As June comes to a close, we’re near the end of the seasonal weakness for gold—soon to enter its historical prime time from August to October. Investors can use these trends to make strategic purchases when the gold market is the weakest.

How, What & Why India needs to do to Improvise it's Gold Market

The gold market in India is in a mess. Smuggling continues big time. Seizure of smuggled-in-gold barely accounts for 3% of volumes each year. Almost 90% of the gold in the markets is adulterated. So, can the situation be remedied? Yes, if there is political will, and the willingness to take a fresh look at gold markets. Here are the things that the government should do. Immediately.

For How Long will Gold and Silver Continue to be "Rigged Markets"?

The discussion surrounding the likelihood of gold and silver being “rigged markets” has been rendered moot by way of the countless flash crashes – More recently, the one in silver on Friday July 7. Had that flash crash occurred in stocks, they would have cancelled the trades. In the silver market, the damage done by the intervention was successful in destroying morale. How long will this continue?

Upside Turn in Stocks & Slam-down in Gold and Silver - Both may be FAKE

The recent inflection from skepticism to optimism could be the first step toward the stock market euphoria that we typically see at the end of bull markets & has been absent so far. People have been convinced that everything is wonderful right now & that stocks are going to go up forever. I don’t buy this. It wouldn’t be a total shock to me if stock markets are down 25% & gold is up 50% by October.

Gold and Silver OR Stocks - Choose Between High Risk or High Reward

While the gold price has a bit more cushion than silver, we can plainly see that both gold and silver are much closer to a bottom than the Dow Jones Index. The HIGH RISK, LOW REWARD easily goes to the Dow Jones and S&P 500 Index. While retail gold and silver sales have fallen significantly, as well as their sentiment, the fundamentals point to a LOW RISK & HIGH REWARD… if we are patient.

A Bearish Tilt to the Gold and Silver Market - A Great Risk-Reward Setup

Gold is about to see the 50 DMA above the 100 DMA above the 200 DMA. This golden cross setup is seemingly timed to catch people off-guard given the poor sentiment we see now, yet will trigger buy signals for technical traders & algos. And if you think the stock market won’t be allowed to drop because it’s never allowed to drop, ask yourself WHO has not been allowing it to drop for the last 8 years?

Central Bank Asset Purchases Inflate Stock & Real Estate, but Cap Gold and Silver Prices

The Central banks bought a staggering $1.5 trillion in assets in the first five months of the year to keep the economy from imploding. This massive increase in Central bank asset purchases is a last ditch effort to prop up the market & cap the gold price. They will likely have to increase their level of buying even more. As it goes exponential… then we know the END IS NEAR.

This Signal Predicts a Major Bull Market Move in Gold Prices

Gold prices broke a nearly six year-long downward sloping trend line that goes back to its all-time high of $1921 in August of 2011. A breach of this trend line is likely significant; historically, breaking above a five year long downward sloping trend line has signaled major bull market moves in gold prices (30% or more) including 2001, 1993 and 1985.

Why is Gold Up, is Wrong Question. Ask, Why isn't Gold higher, Around $1550?

Why is Gold Up is the wrong question. We should be asking: Why isn’t Gold higher? The answer to that question will likely come when the Fed decides to hike or not hike next week. And how Gold reacts. If you believe like us that what the Fed does is mattering less and less, than a hike will be a dip to buy. Gold is becoming focused more on the longer term problems enveloping us domestically & globally.

Investors Should Prepare for Flight to Gold - Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank published a special report on the global gold sector, stating “investors should prepare for a flight to gold” in the uncertain global climate. It also emphasizes the importance of looking for the gold stocks that offer better value, growth or leverage. Concerns over terrorism, probes into Trump’s links to Russia and doubts that the Fed will raise rates in June may drive investors to gold.

Evidence on Gold Price Manipulation is very Clear - Time to Buy is NOW

The big western banks have a monopoly on gold prices even if they do not have a monopoly on physical gold. But that could be about to change. Russia and China are not only building up physical reserves and exploring for more, they are building trading systems that allow for price discovery and leveraged trading in gold. Soon, the physical gold market will regain the upper hand as a price maker.

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