Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Gold Prices’

Gold Preparing for a Healthy Rally into Higher Territory

Hedge funds and institutional speculators have been calling the tune for gold, trading the recent range, buying on dips, selling on rallies, and gradually adding to their physical holdings – a behavioral pattern we expect will continue within a rising trading range – at least until a price above the $1300 an ounce level is well established.

Is Conventional Wisdom Right about Gold and Deflation?

Conventional wisdom says gold thrives under inflation and wilts under deflation. The case for gold under inflation is easy enough. Gold rises as the dollar falls. It’s the opposite under deflation. But is conventional wisdom right about gold and deflation? Is it time to consider a different metric — not the nominal gold price — but gold’s purchasing power relative to consumer prices?

Investment Secret of the Century: Incremental Returns by Investing in Gold and Silver

For investors who hold physical gold and silver, 2017 should be a very interesting year. And for the ones who don’t, $1,200 gold and silver at $17 is an absolute bargain compared to what we will see in the next few years. But the most important reason for holding physical gold and silver is not the potential capital appreciation but as a hedge against a bankrupt financial system.

Hyperinflation In The US — A Real Or Imagined Threat?

After seeing the latest string of events unfold right before our eyes, many are pondering whether we may see hyperinflation hit the US shores. When monetary supply goes unchecked, the price of basic goods goes up & the currency loses its value. Rather than ponder Trump’s latest executive orders or over the top pronouncements, let us first look at what hyperinflation is & how it works.

Is Trump Bad News for Gold? The Prospects for Gold under President Trump

Trump or not, the fundamental problems remain deep seeded in the US economy. “Draining the swamp” and “making America great again”, are easier said than done. This is why a serious investment into gold is for the long haul. Look beyond the short-term speculations & projections. Its clear that conditions will not be favorable either way & things appear increasingly dismal.

Traders to Stay Bullish on Gold - Inflation to Accelerate Faster than Fed will Hike Rates

Inflation is going to accelerate faster than the Fed is going to hike rates; that’s good for real assets. On top of it, we are looking for weak dollar on broad basis; that combination has a good tendency to boost gold prices. There’s a lot of uncertainty here. As for the Fed, in the current environment, they may normalize rates but it’s going to be slow moving.

What Are Gold Prices and Bond Yields Telling Us?

A positive relationship between gold and the dollar has reemerged over the last few trading sessions & needs to be watched carefully. That is doubly true right now, while bonds are rising and bond yields are falling. If bonds continue to rise with gold and the dollar, it would indicate that investors are becoming more risk-averse and seeking so-called “safety assets.”

Investors Shift Back into Gold as Trump’s Honeymoon Period Ends

Following the Nov election, outflows from gold ETFs & other products accelerated. But now, just two weeks into Trump’s term as president, the gold bulls are banging the drum, with several large hedge fund managers taking a contrarian bet on the precious metal. Following Trump’s comment that it was “too strong”, the U.S. dollar declined, helping gold prices rise.

Despite Short-Term Bearishness, Gold Prices Set For a Very Bullish 2017

Let’s review the gold charts beginning with the long term picture. Though bearish over the short term, there is no change to the longer term outlook.. I am very bullish on gold prices in 2017 and while the year has got off to a cracking start I believe we need to see a test of the recent low to lay a stronger foundation from which to launch even higher.

Gold Prices Target $1,500 - How to Get in on the Gold Rush

Traditionally, gold has been a so-called safe haven for investors worldwide. The intrinsic value of physical gold will remain even as stocks come & go. As market uncertainty sends gold prices rocketing higher, what are the best ways for investors to profit? With the potential for four more years of market tumult, here’s how savvy investors should take advantage of the coming gold rush.

Gold Trapped Between $1220 - $1180; India's Gold Demand Key

The up-move in gold, has been gradual as investors brace this week’s slew of important US macro releases. This week’s FOMC meeting, and the keenly watched US monthly jobs report, would be looked upon for fresh clues over the central bank’s near-term monetary policy outlook and eventually determine the next leg of directional move for the non-yielding yellow metal.

Gold Market Seems Ready to Breakout Higher

Gold bottomed on the 15th of Dec 2016, but the dollar continued to trend higher for several more days and Gold reacted in a positive way to this development. The dollar has been on a tear since Trump won, so Gold should have continued trending lower, but it did not. Gold has now given the first signal that it is getting ready to test the $1360 ranges with a possible overshoot to the $1380 ranges.

Don't Ignore What Surging Inflation Indicates: Go Buy Some Gold

Changes in headline inflation measures suggest a gentle firming in prices. However, underneath the surface there is evidence that inflation may continue to rise past the steady 2% nirvana that central banks prefer. Finally, should inflation expectations rise faster than nominal rates, gold is likely to continue to merit a place in most portfolios.

What Could Help Determine Where Gold Prices Are Headed This Year

As Gold prices near resistance it is important for it to show relative strength against the other asset classes and in particular Bonds and FC. A breakout in the Gold/Bonds ratio would signal that Gold would be less affected by weakness in Bonds (and rising yields). Meanwhile, continued strength for Gold/FC would signal that Gold prices would be less impacted by a rising US Dollar.

Gold Prices Rally Against Market Expectations. Will Bullish Run Continue?

Gold prices have started 2017 with a strong performance. This out performance so far has shocked the market as Gold prices had been under performing the market since Trump won the election in November. One question that gold investors are asking now is, will 2017 be as spectacular for the yellow metal as it was in 2016? The short and sweet answer is yes.

Large Bearish Bets - A Strong Contrarian Indicator & Bullish Omen for Gold Futures

Big spec gold futures buying is coming soon, which will help catapult gold sharply higher again. It is already starting with initial short covering, but will soon expand into far-larger long buying as gold continues powering higher. After selling their longs to such low levels, these influential traders will need to buy big for months on end to restore normal positions. That’s great news for gold!

Gold ETF Investors Skeptical Of Gold Prices Despite Rally

The price of gold is up 6.1% year-to-date, making it one of the outperforming assets in the first three weeks of the year. Unlike last year, it’s not ETF investors that are driving gold prices higher in 2017. In the year-to-date period ending Jan. 18, the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) & iShares Gold Trust (IAU) the two largest physically backed gold ETFs have had combined net outflows of $440 million.

Indian Gold Industry Hit on Both Fronts: Domestic Sales & Exports

After demonetisation, Indian gold buyers suddenly seem to have all gone into hibernation. The Indian gold industry, recovering with great difficulty from the shock of demonetisation, has been further attacked by a sudden hike in UAE’s gold import duty. UAE, which accounts for a third of India’s gold exports has increased duty on gold imports from 0.36% to 5%.

Declassified CIA Memos Reveal Probes Into Gold Market Manipulation

The CIA recently released a series of declassified 1970s memos relating to the gold market & the newly created SDR. Each of the declassified gold and SDR documents was marked “SECRET”. These memos give new insight how the CIA viewed the gold market, the perceived manipulation of gold & the potential for the SDR to become a gold substitute in the international monetary system.

A Correction-Grade Stock-Market Selloff & Investors will Rush Back to Gold Buying

Gold has managed to rally sharply in recent weeks without any capital inflows from American stock investors. They not only weren’t buying GLD shares, they continued to aggressively sell them as evidenced by a couple big GLD-holdings draw days so far in January. The situation implies the investment gold buying hasn’t even started yet & that means big gold buying is still coming.

follow us

markets snapshot


Market Quotes are powered by Investing.com

live commodity prices


Commodities are powered by Investing.com India

our latest tweets

follow us on facebook