Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Gold Prices’

Gold ETF Investors Skeptical Of Gold Prices Despite Rally

The price of gold is up 6.1% year-to-date, making it one of the outperforming assets in the first three weeks of the year. Unlike last year, it’s not ETF investors that are driving gold prices higher in 2017. In the year-to-date period ending Jan. 18, the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) & iShares Gold Trust (IAU) the two largest physically backed gold ETFs have had combined net outflows of $440 million.

Indian Gold Industry Hit on Both Fronts: Domestic Sales & Exports

After demonetisation, Indian gold buyers suddenly seem to have all gone into hibernation. The Indian gold industry, recovering with great difficulty from the shock of demonetisation, has been further attacked by a sudden hike in UAE’s gold import duty. UAE, which accounts for a third of India’s gold exports has increased duty on gold imports from 0.36% to 5%.

Declassified CIA Memos Reveal Probes Into Gold Market Manipulation

The CIA recently released a series of declassified 1970s memos relating to the gold market & the newly created SDR. Each of the declassified gold and SDR documents was marked “SECRET”. These memos give new insight how the CIA viewed the gold market, the perceived manipulation of gold & the potential for the SDR to become a gold substitute in the international monetary system.

A Correction-Grade Stock-Market Selloff & Investors will Rush Back to Gold Buying

Gold has managed to rally sharply in recent weeks without any capital inflows from American stock investors. They not only weren’t buying GLD shares, they continued to aggressively sell them as evidenced by a couple big GLD-holdings draw days so far in January. The situation implies the investment gold buying hasn’t even started yet & that means big gold buying is still coming.

Gold Stocks Overcome Dismal Herd Sentiment on Strong Fundamentals

Gold stocks still have easy potential to at least double from here even at low prevailing gold prices. As the overbought stock markets & US dollar inevitably reverse lower this year, gold’s own bull will resume. Higher gold prices will greatly increase the profitability of gold mining & fuel a major new multi-year gold-stock bull. As always the early investors will earn fortunes.

Gold Is Cheap Insurance - No Matter What, Real Interest Rates Will Remain Negative

Either inflation or negative real rates would definitely be a plus for gold prices. If the economy really starts to show strong growth, the Fed will begin a series of rate hikes to put the brakes on inflation, but we anticipate them to be reactive. In either case, real interest rates will remain negative, or at best near zero in both scenarios. This makes a very strong case for holding gold at current prices.

Gold Price Rally Extremely Likely in the Next 100 Days

How high can rates stay ahead of inflation without stifling a recession? I don’t think they can go much higher, and I think that’s the inflection point. I think the next 100 days it’s going to be very important. One thing about Trump, he is taking speed as being a very important factor in how he’s looking at capital markets. So,I think we’ll have a better feel in the first 100 days.

Optimistic Or Pessimistic - Bullish Case for Gold is Clear to All

Throughout 2017, gold should be supported by even deeper negative real rates, which could fall to their lowest level in two years as inflation outpaces nominal interest rate increases. Gold has tended to rise when real rates (what you get when you subtract inflation from the federal funds rate) fell into negative territory. Being optimistic helps you to see the opportunities that others might not.

Gold Prices will soon Reflect the Damage Done (By / To) the US Dollar

As the reality of the ‘new’ Depression sets in, the failure of initial efforts by government will be seen more clearly. They will then step up their efforts. Damage to the US dollar would be reflected in the US dollar price of gold which could easily go from $700 to $7000 in months, maybe weeks. If you think that $7000 gold prices are right around the corner, better plan accordingly.

Time to Face Reality and Invest in Gold Now

Many of the reasons behind the cheery outlook are unsound and may not come to fruition. For Trump, a loss of faith in the ability to make good on his promises would have an adverse impact on business, consumer confidence & the markets. The reasoning behind gold’s decline rests on a shaky assumptions. If things don’t go as planned, it could create uncertainty & that will benefit gold.

Gold Bulls to Take Comfort in the Long Term

Expectations of higher interest rates, an appreciating dollar & record-high equity prices held gold prices down. But the longer-term outlook is another story! Contrary to the disappointing experience of 2016, the price of gold is likely to zoom much higher in the years ahead, perhaps doubling or even tripling from recent lows by the end of president-elect Trump’s four-year term.

Factors That Practically Guarantee Gold Prices to Rise in 2017

It probably comes as little shock that the leading catalyst for physical gold in 2017 is likely to come down to what the Federal Reserve does with interest rates. The Fed will hold a lot of weight on the movement of gold prices in 2017. Another major catalyst is going to be the Donald Trump presidency. But the final catalyst for gold prices is a real wildcard in 2017: India.

Gold Price Forecast: The Factors Influencing Gold Prices in 2017

Here are three things that are currently taking place that could have significant positive impacts on gold prices. They shouldn’t be ignored by investors, whatsoever. Every day that gold prices remain subdued, the precious metal becomes an even better opportunity. Keeping everything in mind, I am not ruling out $2,000/ounce gold prices in the next few years. It’s possible.

Silver Prices will Trump Gold Prices in 2017

Trump’s plan is both inflationary and an injection into the industrial component of the economy, which are both aspects of where silver derives its luster. It’s not to say that this sort of rhetoric isn’t going to benefit gold as well, especially on the economic uncertainty front, but there are multiple upward forces in play to benefit silver.

Gold And Silver – Do not Fall for the Globalists’ Lies

The globalists are corralling everyone into their digitalized banking system where no one will have any financial freedom. While they are in the process of destroying all physical “currencies,” [debt, disguised as money], the globalists have also been accumulating as much physical gold and silver as they can. “Do as we say, not as we do.” Sadly, people follow their dictates.

Gold Price Outlook 2017: Analysts Call for Price Increase

Over the last five years, the gold price has more or less been stuck in a bear market. Moving into 2017, the gold price is expected to move much higher. One key indicator is the moving average of convergence/divergence, which is also known as MACD, and on a weekly basis the MACD and RSIR are indicating that the next move for gold will be up.

Gold Investment Demand to rise on Inflation & Pent-up Selling in Red-Hot Stocks & US Dollar

Stock investors owning essentially-zero gold exposure, have vast room to buy again when the wildly-overvalued stock markets inevitably roll over. Gold investment demand was triggered in 2016 by post-Fed-rate-hike stock selling delayed until January for tax reasons. Incentives to hold until January are far greater this year than most, since 2017 may see lower tax rates thanks to Trump.

Will China & India's Falling Demand Impact Gold Prices? Can Central Bank Gold Demand Help?

The demand for gold has been weak in India & China. The cash crunch in India contributed to the falling demand. In an attempt to constrain the outflows of the Chinese yuan, China has curbed the import of gold. US federal debt is growing at a fast rate. When major central banks increase debt as a percentage of GDP, their gold holdings often rise – a positive for demand & gold prices.

With US Dollar so Strong, How come Gold Prices are yet so High?

Gold is about to have one of its worst quarters in nearly 35 years, but its price is still significantly higher than it should be right now & there does not seem to be any real reason why. Gold may have dropped by over 17% since its peak in the aftermath of Britain’s vote to leave the EU, but it is still significantly overvalued, and Macquarie can’t work out why.

Why Gold Prices Could Bottom "On or Close to", After Fed’s Rate Hike

The Fed rate hike could mark an intermediate bottom in gold prices. We could see a knee-jerk move lower on a Fed rate hike, followed by a sharp move higher marking a gold bottom on the CPI numbers. And in the background we have naturally rising interest rates, which, if they continue, will make servicing what is nearly a $20 trillion debt harder and harder.

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