Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Gold Prices’

Silver is the Buy of the Century - Even Better Than an Explosive Gold Rally

I think silver is the buy of the century! Do you want to turbo-charge your gold profits this year? I’m serious! Do you really want to make the most of what’s going to be an explosive rally in gold? If yes, then I have two pieces of advice for you. 1)Buy silver, not gold. 2) And own some off the beaten path junior minors. — Silver Is the Currency of the Educated.

Historically the Best Assurance for Higher Gold Prices - Debt & Inflation

It is our opinion that the situation today best mirrors 1973, when gold prices gained 134% & gold miners rose 205%, rather than 2008. 1973 was spurred by overwhelming debt and inflation. It is no secret that the world’s governments will continue printing money to fund growth & to service debt. History is favoring a similar situation & gold will be the safe haven from inflation & uncertainty.

Gold and Silver is Always Least Attractive When Opportunity is Best

Raids in gold and silver prices often are executed rapidly and a rollercoaster pattern of up and down in prices often are manufactured over short-periods of time, as bankers design these raids to prevent people from seeing the forest from the trees. Now with significant dips, my warning is not against future dips in gold and silver prices, but rather not to miss opportunities that have now arisen.

Forced Selling Commences: Gold Prices to Soar on Inflation & Other Crises

It will get bloody as forced selling commences & panic selling will ensue before the epic rise begins. Even if interest rate hikes remain a headwind for gold, investors still need to remember that real rates, will remain low for a long time. This time when inflation starts to show up, & believe me, it will, they won’t be able to fight it by raising rates. I don’t think the Fed is going to get ahead of inflation.

The Self-Limiting Shorting Attacks in Gold Futures Nearing Exhaustion

Every single gold futures contract sold short, has to be closed by buying an offsetting long contract. Thus gold futures shorting attacks are self-limiting. Gold futures shorting attacks are designed to manipulate herd psychology to unleash cascading selling. While depressing over the short term, this selling is actually quite bullish.

What is the Gold Market Really Looking Forward to these Days?

Despite all the uncertainty, rising war tensions, Brexit & the possibility of the French following suit, that would have usually been enough to send the gold price skyward, the gold market seems to shrug off these developments, keeping its eyes focused on the tenor of U.S. monetary policy, particularly the prospect for interest rates.

High Uncertainty Makes This Completely Certain: High Gold Prices

Gold prices tend to fare well when there is a lot of uncertainty around. In today’s environment where you have got a lot of uncertainty, taking a bit of money off the table and putting it into something that will protect you, seems to make sense. Gold is a safe haven asset and in times of trouble it does tend to deliver the kind of insurance qualities that people look to it for.

Can't Afford to Miss Buying Physical Gold Now, Soon Most Won't Really Afford It

The conditions that are favorable for gold, will prove fatal for overvalued stocks that are looking for a trigger to tumble. Remember, diversification is crucial to any investment strategy. As a fraught 2017 unfolds, consider re-balancing your portfolio to accommodate the likely economic, business and market volatility ahead. You can hedge your bets, with physical gold.

A Government Shutdown Could Change The Picture For Gold

Near-term catalysts for a push lower in gold prices includes higher US interest rates, among a few others. But, if the US fails to reach a settlement on a government shutdown, gold could take flight and stocks might find gravity. The initial deadline is this Friday, and Goldman estimates only a one in four chance of a government shutdown occurring.

Gold Prices Could Hit $1,500 in 2017 Amid Imbalances & Weak Supply

Gold and silver are off to a good start in 2017. We’ve talked earlier about negative real rates supporting prices, and some other potential market movers that could drive demand for the yellow metal specifically. Here’s Frank Holmes on more in terms of potential catalysts that may drive things for the rest of the year & about the more upside in the precious metals.

Gold Prices Just 1% Shy of Ripping Higher - All Upside Indicators Intact

We have both of the strongest indicators of rising precious metal prices intact. Silver has already broken out and trades above its 200-day moving average and long-term resistance levels, and gold is about 1% away from cracking its own price wall of $1,300. The coming weeks (or even months) could be exactly what you’ve been preparing for.

Gold Prices Likely to Stay Elevated on Safe Haven Demand

According to the Bloomberg Intelligence team, the Fed could be “one and done” in 2017 when it comes to rate hikes. Gold’s top forecaster for the last quarter, Intesa Sanpaola SpA, says that the metal’s price could hit $1,350 by year end, citing faster inflation and geopolitical tensions. “Gold will likely stay elevated given safe haven demand,” Barnabas Gan, economist at OCBC, said.

Higher Gold Prices shift Sentiment back to Self-feeding Bullish Mode Again

The faster gold rallies, the more investors & speculators alike will want to buy it. While these lofty Trumphoria-distorted stock markets continue to retard gold investment demand, the big 200dma breakout is starting to overcome that. The nearing golden cross will further cement the shift back to bullish sentiment. This upleg in gold prices is set to accelerate considerably in the coming months!

Opportunities to Buy Gold Cheap Dwindling - Watch-Out for this Indicator

The trend seems to be reversing: gold is up over 20% since its December 2015 low of $1,050/oz. and over 10% since the beginning of 2017. That means opportunities to get gold “on the cheap” may be dwindling, as the most recent price hike to $1,275/oz. this week indicates. One technical indicator has proved extraordinarily reliable in forecasting larger trend changes. Here it is.

Gold Prices Can Test $2,000 in 18 months on Weak Dollar & Geo-political Tensions

Part of the bullish case for gold prices is an emerging distrust towards U.S. geopolitical behavior & accelerating physical gold purchasing in the rest of the world. While some may be discussing the dollar or equities’ impact on gold prices, the driving factor behind the metal’s price will become “the loss in trust of leadership and governments and financial markets.

Rising Gold Prices & Gold Demand in India - A Major Cause for Optimism

India’s citizens are reportedly turning to gold as a safe haven amid doubts about paper money. It’s actually unusual to see India’s demand growing when gold prices are going up. The fact that prices and demand are rising in tandem could signal an important and positive shift in fundamentals — watch for April import figures in a few weeks to see if the trend continues.

Analysis - The Macroeconomic Drivers of the Gold Price

There are essentially two types of gold price drivers worth discussing: measurable ones and those that cannot be measured. Most of the “measurable” macroeconomic fundamentals that are considered important drivers of the gold price are either mixed/neutral or bearish at the moment. However, there are good reasons to believe that several of them will turn gold-bullish.

Report on Currency Manipulation Expected to be Bullish for Gold Prices

The US Treasury report on currency manipulation was ordered by Donald Trump to address the issue of countries manipulating their currencies. The report is expected to have a strong impact on the currency markets. The most bullish outcome for gold prices would be if the report actually named a big country a currency manipulator, as it could trigger risk-off trading which would benefit bullion.

Definitely No Dearth of Catalysts for Gold & Gold ETFs

Friday’s rally in gold brought the ETFs close to their 200-day moving averages & year-to-date gains of just under 9%. Political risk is seen as a potential catalyst for gold & gold ETFs. Gold prices could move modestly higher with some help from emerging markets, namely China and India. However, the dollar has recently retreated in noticeable fashion, helping aid gold’s ascent along the way.

Negative Real Rates to Drive Gold Prices Higher Despite Fed Hikes

With arguably the two biggest drivers of the gold price trending in the yellow metal’s favor, gold prices are likely to go higher. Although the dollar could rise if Washington implements some structural reform, real rates aren’t headed higher anytime soon based on the Fed’s actions. If past is prologue, as inflation rises over the coming months, gold will do very well.

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