Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Gold Prices’

Are You Still Worried if Gold is in a Real Bull Market or Not? Let Me Show You

Gold and silver appear to be in the early innings of a cyclical bull market and the analogs suggest there is plenty of room to run to the upside. For those of you who missed the last bull market in its early stages, here is your second chance. It is 2002 all over again. Are you going to be the early bird who catches the worm, or wait till it is too late? Let me explain what this means to you as an investor.

Unwise to be Short on Gold or Silver as Dollar & Stock Market Crash Loom Large

Gold is already up by almost 15% so far in 2017, fueled by the falling dollar. A weak dollar, coupled with a technical breakout, should continue to push gold prices higher, possibly toward $1,600. A major international banking crisis is inevitable & likely to occur fairly soon. A stock market crash is likely to push many banks to that point of failure. So it would be very unwise to be short gold or silver now.

Silver Stocks - The Biggest Beneficiaries of Rally in Gold Prices

While rising gold prices should be good news for gold stocks, it may be even better news for silver stocks. Most silver stocks have diversified their production portfolios in recent years as a result of spot silver’s volatility & that led many to reduce their exposure to silver & increase their exposure to gold. Also at 75-to-1 right now, the ratio suggests that silver may have a chance to outperform gold.

With Gold Prices Poised to Rally Higher, Upside Potential in Gold Stocks is Huge

Despite their big gains since early 2016, the gold stocks remain very low and their young bull is still little in secular context. So it’s not too late to get deployed. With gold prices likely to rally far higher as these lofty stock markets roll over, gold stocks’ upside potential is huge. As gold is bid higher on weaker stocks, gold stocks will soar.

Buy the Dips - A Major Gold Bull Market Expected to begin in Earnest

Price and volume action in gold in recent weeks has been very bullish indeed. Gold charts suggest that the dollar is destined for a serious breakdown. Even if the dollar does bounce up a bit, gold would pull back, but not by much, to provide what will be probably turn out to be the last chance to accumulate the sector at favorable prices before the expected major bull market begins in earnest.

The Incredible Value of Investing in Gold in a Minefield of Overvalued Assets

After hitting a low around $1,200 in July, the price of gold has since advanced by more than 10% or $140 to $1,340. A confluence of factors has been pushing the price of gold higher over the past few weeks and I believe it is headed for $1,500 by the close of 2017. While a near-term pullback on profit-taking makes sense, I expect it to be short and shallow, before resuming the northbound rise.

Has the Safe Haven status of Gold been eroded by Cryptocurrencies or Central Banks?

Having waited patiently for the “any-minute-now” moment, gold investors are taking comfort from the recent rise in price in response to geopolitical tensions. Yet the responsiveness of gold, appears weaker than expected from historically based models. Gold’s status as a haven has been eroded by the influence of unconventional monetary policy & the growth of markets for cryptocurrencies.

Stocks at Tipping Point, Bearish Signals Are Multiplying for Equity Markets

The ratio of outstanding puts to calls on the S&P 500 has risen to levels last seen in the late-2015 market sell-off. Nervous Equity investors are willing to pay more for protection against losses than gains. So-called equity implied volatility skews are above the 10-year average. Investors have increasingly pushed into perceived haven assets in the second half of 2017.

Gold Breaks Out - With Ratio still in High 70's, Can a Massive Rally in Silver be far Behind?

Gold has broken out of its summer doldrums & silver is benefiting as well. Gold is still trading at a high price historically relative to silver. If silver can now start showing leadership, that would be bullish for the entire precious metals complex. The gold:silver ratio currently stands at about 75:1. A rapid move to the low 30s or even further to the downside could be in store for those who buy silver now.

Gold Outperforms Stocks - And This Bull Market in Gold and Silver is Just Beginning

The great news is that this nascent bull market in gold and silver, or more accurately second upleg of the larger bull market that started in about 2001 is set to dwarf the 2001—2011 upleg. Despite Dow Jones records that have kept all eyes focused on the meteoric rise of the the S&P 500, gold has actually outpaced stocks in 2017. And now even the mainstream is starting to sit up and take notice.

Gold Prices may be Slow to Rise, but the Direction seems Completely Certain

Gold is challenging the $1300 level for the third time this year. If it breaks upwards out of this consolidation phase convincingly, it could be an important event, signalling a dollar that will continue to weaken. The factors driving the dollar lower are several & disparate. Here is a summary of these trends & explains why the consequence appear certain to drive gold, priced in dollars, much higher.

Gold and Silver Prices in Consolidation mode before another Bout of Rising Higher

Gold has broken strong resistance & bullish pressures are on despite ongoing consolidation. Expected to show continued consolidation before another leg higher. At this time of heightened geopolitical risk, we strongly believe gold could turn out to be an underowned and well-priced insurance policy. Moreover, gold has the potential to perform very well in periods of stock market weakness.

Fireworks in the Gold Market could start pretty soon

On Friday, we saw the match lit for the gold market. Traders pushed the price of gold above the key $1,300 mark, adding the spark needed to set off the next big trend. I’m expecting the price of gold to start moving higher this week, and to continue to move higher throughout the year. Now that gold looks to be breaking out above $1,300 my short-term profit target is a quick move to $1,500.

With Fundamentals in Place, a Breakout & Compelling Technicals - Watch Gold Take-Off

We think the breakout in gold is here, the fundamentals are in place, and the technicals are compelling. The technical situation, in the dollar, flips off to the technical situation with the gold extremely well right here. If you get above $1,300 here, then you’ve got $1,377, and beyond that, this is a new gigantic structure type of bull market going on where gold will be going to new all-time highs.

Gold Prices Poised for an Upside Explosion after Paper Gold Bear Raids Failed

Gold seems poised to resume its march to $1,300 after the paper gold bear raids of late June. Fundamentals are stronger than ever for gold prices. A weak dollar is the Fed’s only chance for more inflation. And that means a higher dollar price for gold. Geopolitical risks are piling up from North Korea, to Syria, to the South China Sea. Get ready for an explosion to the upside in gold prices.

Gold Prices have Beaten the Stock Market so far this Century

The price of gold has outperformed the S&P 500 Index so far this century, returning 86 percent more than the market if we index both asset classes at 100 on December 31, 1999. Over the past 17 years, the S&P 500 has undergone two major contractions, both of them resulting in a loss of around 40 percent. Gold, meanwhile, has held its value well, boosting its appeal as a portfolio diversifier.

Potential Catalysts Forming a Great Scenario for Gold Prices

The continuous printing of money, a weak dollar and negative real interest rates – all make a great scenario for gold prices. Another potential catalyst for higher gold prices may be the theater surrounding the hiking of the debt ceiling in Washington. We’re also in the seasonal pattern for gold prices where it’s usually from here up to the Chinese New Year, a succession of higher highs.

Gold Prices to soon test Overhead Resistance for a Massive Breakout Beyond

Gold’s current trading range remains between $1,150 and $1,350. In the next 6-12 months, gold prices will be testing that overhead resistance around $1,350 area. If the resistance breaks, then gold prices could see a quick move up. That might well be enough to attract speculative money back into gold that has been absent since 2011-12.

Are You a Real Contrarian Investor or Just a Fashion Contrarian?

Contrarian investing is based on taking a position that is opposite to that of the masses. Very few of today’s contrarians are true contrarians; Most fall into the category of fashion contrarians. Investing based on psychology amounts to not only taking a position against the masses but also against the fashion contrarians. Once sentiment has reached boiling point, one should go into cash.

Alarming Rise in Global Debt Levels to wake up Gold from Slumber

The medium- to long-term investment case for gold, I believe, looks even brighter. Many unsettling risks loom on the horizon—not least of which is a record amount of global debt—that could potentially spell trouble for the investor who hasn’t adequately prepared with some allocation in a “safe haven. Paying down this debt will not be easy. Another crisis could be in the works.

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