Commodity Trade Mantra
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Posts Tagged ‘Gold Seasonality’

Gold Stocks Entering Seasonally-Strongest Period - All Primary Drivers are Bullish

Gold stocks exhibit strong seasonality because their price action mirrors that of their dominant primary driver, gold. This seasonality is fueled by well-known income-cycle and cultural drivers of outsized gold demand from around the world. And this coming winter rally looks exceptionally bullish because the seasonal tailwinds won’t be overpowered by bearish sentiment, technicals, or fundamentals.

The Strongest Months for Gold are Aug, Sep, Nov and Jan

Buying gold in early August has been a good trade for most of the last 34 years and especially in the last nine years, averaging a gain of nearly 13% in just six months after the summer low. Gold’s recent weakness could continue in the coming months. Therefore, short term speculation should be avoided in favor of long term investment diversification.

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