Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Gold Trading’

Gold Price And The Interest Rate Disconnection

We are entering a new phase in gold price action where expectations of Fed interest-rate policy becomes less important & other gold price drivers come to the fore. I believe the Fed will have little room to raise interest rates by anything more than a token increase. What’s more likely, the US & global economic news will continue to disappoint & this could be enough to support a rising gold price.

Unwinding of Excessive Gold Futures Longs - One of the Best Buying Opportunities

Gold sees major interim tops in bulls and bears alike whenever speculators’ long positions surge up to relatively-high levels. While these elite traders don’t control gold’s long-term trends driven by fundamentals, their collective trading can sure bully gold over the short term. The unwinding of speculators’ excessive gold futures longs offers some of the best mid-bull buying opportunities.

Silver and Gold Look Poised to Test Fresh Highs After Short Breather

Silver futures regained their footing to renew a charge to a fresh, nearly two-year settlement high, and gold tipped higher as surging U.S. stocks looked to pause their ascent. There are still numerous reasons for investors to choose gold and silver as a safe haven. The preponderance to ease further, now being pursued by a host of central banks, will likely provide an element of support.

Physical Gold Flows East as Manipulated Futures Markets Lose Credibility

Gold and silver futures markets are on the verge of losing all credibility. Registered inventories of physical metal have plummeted & number of paper claims on each available ounce has multiplied. China & Russia foresee the day when physical gold will be difficult to obtain, command a higher price & they will be in the position of setting terms in the coming new Asia-centric monetary & economic order.

While America Debates the $20 Bill, China Moves Closer to Gold

By trading physical gold in renminbi, China is slowly chipping away at the dominance of US dollars….The gold reserve on the China balance sheet has almost doubled since 2009. By holding gold, and moving away from a US-dollar centric system, we actually require less US dollars. Of course the true measure of China’s gold holdings is still a closely guarded secret.

Is a Bull Market Quietly Gathering Strength in Gold?

Is the resumption of the bull market in gold, that so many have patiently awaited for years quietly, gathering strength under our noses? Expect a $50 gold rally to around $1280. I am somewhat open to the possibility that gold will blast off, once above $1280 without looking back, leaving in the dust all who were hoping to accumulate bullion & mining shares on weakness.

Silver Seen Beating Gold as Ratio Rises to Near Historical Peaks

People have been looking to gold for a safe haven, and that is what you will expect at this stage. But pretty soon they’ll start looking at the relative-value trades, and that’s when you’ll see silver perform. When the ratio peaked at almost 80 in August, silver rallied 14 percent in the following two months. Gold added about 5 percent in the period.

About 38% Of All The COMEX Gold In Hong Kong Left The Warehouses Yesterday

Very little gold bullion actually changes hands or goes anywhere in the Comex US. But Hong Kong is typically seeing large inflows and outflows of gold. Because that is how the precious metals market has been manifesting in Asia since about 2007: not with endless chains of paper just changing hands in a grand game of liar’s poker, but with the physical exchange of bullion.

3 Reasons to Be Bullish on Silver Prices in 2016?

There are a number of factors that will contribute to the resurgence in silver prices: China’s addition to the LMBA silver benchmark-setting process & the slowly improving U.S. economy. Silver is used as a hedge against economic uncertainty, for jewelry & has numerous industrial uses. Silver prices are bullish. But even at current levels, they still don’t accurately reflect its versatility.

Did China Reveal a Fraction of its Gold Holdings? - The Case Of China’s Missing Gold

Having large gold reserves are not required to be in the SDR. China had to wait until its stock market was crashing to present the “systemic stability” bazooka: Gold. Because in revealing a surge in its gold holdings, the PBOC is hoping to finally provide that final missing link that will boost investor sentiment, and get people buying stocks all over again.

Gold, Silver Flash Crash Following $2.7 Billion Notional Dump

Just before 9:30pm Eastern time or right as China opened for trading, gold (as well as platinum, silver, and virtually all precious metals) flashed crashed when “someone” sold $2.7 billion notional in gold, resulting in a 4.2% or about $50 to just over $1,086/oz, the lowest level since March 2010. Once again an intentional HFT-induced slam with one purpose: force the sell stops.

China One Step Closer to Becoming World’s Gold Hub

China, the world’s largest gold producer & buyer, feels its market weight should entitle it to be a price setter for gold bullion. The benchmark London ‘gold fix’, is under scrutiny because of long-running allegations of price manipulation. The New Chinese gold price benchmark may be launched before the end of the year.

Pro - Gold Governments and Central Banks

Many gold bugs argue that governments & central banks are generally biased against gold. Certain countries, with India as the most notable example, have adopted hostile gold policies. Here, I will however show that the tide has turned with many central banks not only accumulating gold but understanding the importance of gold.

Gold Prices Will Hit Record On Surging Asian Demand, ANZ Says

Under our central case, gold prices are likely to rise gradually, eventually breaking through the USD2,000/oz level within the next decade. Rising incomes in Asia will increase gold demand as people purchase more jewelry and continue to channel savings into gold for cultural reasons, according to the ANZ report.

Commodity Trading Giant Exits Physical Gold On Lack Of Physical With Documented Origin

Gunvor was one of the few large commodity firms that handles precious metals. Why Gunvor chose to discontinue its gold trading? As per Bloomberg, “executives decided to abandon the gold trading business partly because of difficulties in finding steady supplies of gold where the origin could be well documented, one of the people said.”

7 Questions Gold Bears Must Answer

A glance at any gold price chart reveals the severity of the bear mauling it has endured over the last 3 years. In addition, a correction-defying Wall Street stock market & the never-ending rain of disdain for gold from the mainstream & it may seem that there’s no reason to buy gold. If we’re in a bear market, then I have a few questions.

China Aims For Official Gold Reserves At 8500 Tonnes

Sun Zhaoxue: Currently, there are more and more people recognizing that the ‘gold is useless’ story contains too many lies. Gold now suffers from a ‘smokescreen’ designed by the US, which stores 74% of global official gold reserves, to put down other currencies and maintain the US Dollar hegemony.

The Secret Reason the SNB Opposes the Swiss Gold Referendum

One of the 3 objectives of the gold initiative is to have all Swiss gold stored in Switzerland. Swiss central bankers maintain it’s imperative to maintain foreign gold storage at major gold trading centers that can be quickly traded in event of a financial crisis. The ‘yes’ campaign counters that its safer to have it’s gold stored in Switzerland.

China Moves To Dominate Gold Market With Physical Exchange

The encouraging factor about the SGE and the SGE international platform is that there is a lot of physical gold flowing through the Exchange. Therefore, price discovery is not just based on an inverted pyramid of mostly unallocated gold as in London or mostly cash-traded futures paper gold as in New York.

China Holds “Gold Congress” - In China, Gold Is Money

The 3 day China Gold Congress showcases China’s gold industry. Co-sponsored by World Gold Council & China Gold Association, it is China’s biggest gold industry event of the year, drawing in participants from across Chinese & international gold sectors including central banks, mining companies, bullion banks & refiners.

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