Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Gold’

Gold Bull Market Intact Regardless of Short Term Price Gyrations

Gold remains the asset Wall Street loves to hate. Currently the fundamental drivers of gold are mixed, which makes a sideways move the most likely prospect, barring new developments. We remain convinced that the monetary experiments of recent years will end quite badly, and that the long term case for gold remains intact regardless of short term price gyrations.

Has Gold Deviated from Long-Term Upward Trajectory or Again a Bout of Paper Manipulation?

Much of the recent selling has come from large-scale speculators operating in futures markets. Meanwhile, physical demand from retail investors, most importantly, hedge funds & other large-scale institutional investors has remained firm. When Chinese investors return, their buying alone should be enough to stabilize & re-launch gold on its long-term upward trajectory.

Gold Investment - The Cornerstone of a Well-Constructed Portfolio

John Embry highlights the pressures that have brought fiat currency to the brink, U.S. debt liabilities to staggering heights, and gold back to the institutional investor’s crosshairs. A must for anyone seeking to fully understand the state of the global economy and its implications for gold and silver, and why gold remains a cornerstone of a well-constructed portfolio today.

Asset Bubbles Created by Central Banks Setup a Perfect Storm for Gold

Unless central banks are willing to initiate ultimate protocols, the inevitable result will be a bursting of all these asset bubbles and an explosion for gold that will make its $1940 high in 2011 look like pocket change. Gold will likely soar to a record within five years as asset bubbles burst in everything from bonds to credit and equities, forcing investors to find a haven.

Why The US Consumer Will Cause The Next Crisis

The market is materially mispricing the strength of the US consumer whose weakness will lead the US economy into a recession in Q117. The divergence is a result of the top 40% of earners who have accrued 84% of all new income and only 34% of new debt since 2013. This strength has driven headline sales figures and accounted for nearly all deleveraging since the financial crisis.

Gold Prices Soften While Fed Officials Hard-Sell Rate Hike Hopes

Gold prices corrected gently lower after testing trend line resistance set from early July. Near-term support is at 1333.62, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Fed officials may rekindle volatility via bits of guidance before the pre-FOMC meeting blackout period. Hawkish overtones may boost rate hike speculation, boosting the US Dollar and weighing on gold prices.

Gold Wins in 3 out of 4 Scenarios - None Bode Well for the Economy

If you think of gold, the only way gold loses is if normal business and private sector cycles come back. If that is the case, gold goes back 100 dollars per ounce. The other outcomes, deflation, stagflation, hyperinflation are good for gold. So gold wins in three out of four scenarios, but none of the three are particularly appealing. Here is why.

A Gold Standard & Debt Jubilee for an Honest Money Monetary System

A gold standard handcuffs corrupt governments, forcing them to operate somewhere near a balanced budget, at all times. It handcuffs criminal central banks, restraining the speed with which they steal-by-inflation to a near-zero rate. Only alternative to Debt Slavery: Debt Jubilee – the complete renunciation of all debts. We absolutely require a gold standard but cannot till we don’t have a debt jubilee.

Emerging Markets and Gold - Right Concoction for a Balanced Portfolio

We can look at emerging markets with strong domestic spending such as India, the Philippines, other parts of Southeast Asia & Latin America where their growth patterns are independent of what’s going on in China. And in this period where we’ve had massive government intervention in the fiat money markets, we have our ultimate portfolio insurance in gold.

Gold and Silver Bulls Stepping Back to Again Storm Ahead in a Shocking Move

Both gold and silver are in the process of making an eventual move that will shock and awe. Some of the biggest, most influential money manipulators in the world are shovelling fiat currency confetti into big positions in gold and silver. These guys are not buying gold for just a double or triple. They’re buying it because they know that the global fiat paper currency experiment is coming to an end.

Can The Price Of Gold Break Above This Key Level?

The post-2011 Down trendline looks to be the line to focus on at the moment in determining the direction of the price of gold & should serve as stiff resistance for the time being, absent a Simone Biles-like vault over the line. The good news is that the GLD has already twice tested the trendline, in early July and early August. These tests should have served to weaken the trendline somewhat.

Most Asset Classes at All-Time Highs. Gold Yet 50% Below - Get It Now

The US dollar is at a multi-decade high, and both US stocks and bonds are at all-time highs. It’s generally not the greatest investment strategy in the world to buy assets at their all-time highs. Unlike stocks and bonds, gold is NOWHERE NEAR its all-time high, at least in US dollar terms. In fact gold can still appreciate nearly 50% before it breaks its previous price record. So?

Why Own Bonds or Fiat With Negative Yield When You Can Buy Gold?

Either way (hike or no hike), there is no place for the gold bull to hide. It took gold approximately 7 months to advance $250 and overcome major resistance at $1,300/oz from a bottom of $1,050. A reasonable target could be $1,550/oz ($1,300 + $250) by March 2017 – 7 months from now. Silver could follow a similar pattern with a near-term target of $26/oz.

Gold Sparkles Most when Dark Clouds Loom over the Economy

After disappointing US economic growth data was released, gold jumped 1.2%. Weak data is good for gold because it decreases the chances of a rate hike soon. If US economy continues to struggle, the Fed could delay its next rate hike. If the dollar index breaks below 93, it could be a strong indication that a new downtrend in the dollar has started. And this could give a big boost to gold prices.


As of month-end today, gold is up over 27% from its Dec-15 lows. This a major milestone – any time gold has managed a move of at least 25% off a major low, it has continued higher every single time with incremental gains ranging from 21%-412%, with the average totalling 175%. If CHFUSD breaks out soon, expect it to occur alongside fresh gold highs.

Gold and Silver - Not Just Wealth Preservers, In all Likelihood also Life Preservers

The craziness of the world goes on, nonstop. Gold and silver are more than just a wealth preserver, they are, in all likelihood also life-preserving, for without them, there is no means of defending against the globalists & their drive for a cashless society. What else does one have without gold and silver? Paper holdings? What is the intrinsic value of any paper asset, except as transitory in perceived “value.”

Prices of Gold, Platinum, and Silver Communicate Valuable Insights

Would you rather hold gold / silver bars or paper bonds yielding “negative interest” issued by an insolvent government that promised to repay you (if at all) in devalued currency units? Ignore the daily and weekly price gyrations, forget the self-serving pronouncements from Goldman, do not trust the paper-pushers at the Fed, and look at the big trends in the gold and silver price charts.

Gold Warns of Impending Monetary System Collapse

The U.S. monetary system is the most debased it has ever been. Furthermore, the monetary system is at an all-time high stress-point & also at the worst possible time relative to other key conditions. The Dow is near all-time highs & is about to crash. This is the first time that point 4 on the Gold / Monetary Base chart will basically coincide with a Dow top/crash. This warning should not be ignored.

Finally - The Silver Bull Storms in an Unstoppable Rally

From mid-February gold started to outshine its less lustrous cousin. Silver prices didn’t jump to new highs until mid-April. After another sharp pullback in May, silver is back in action. This time, it’s even sprinting ahead of gold. Silver’s breaking out & not looking back, and this is one of the cleanest breakouts on the market right now. Ride the next wave of the rally. $20 silver is in sight.

Is There A Better Insurance Against Global Risk Than Gold? I Doubt It!

Negative rates kill the incentive to save & without savings, there will be no investments or growth in the economy. But the biggest disaster is hitting the pension sector. When risks are major, it is critical to protect yourself against them. It is not a coincidence that some of the most successful investors in the world are recommending physical gold as insurance against these risks.

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