Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Gold’

Silver - The Kryptonite to the Banking and Financial System

Why is silver the kryptonite to the banking and financial system? Gold, while the market has been proven to be rigged as well, has at least been able to climb higher than in 1980. The current global “price” of gold does not reflect it’s true value, however, it is still higher than 37 years ago. Silver is 66% cheaper than it was in 1980. Why is that? How can that be?

High Uncertainty Makes This Completely Certain: High Gold Prices

Gold prices tend to fare well when there is a lot of uncertainty around. In today’s environment where you have got a lot of uncertainty, taking a bit of money off the table and putting it into something that will protect you, seems to make sense. Gold is a safe haven asset and in times of trouble it does tend to deliver the kind of insurance qualities that people look to it for.

US Dollar Headed Significantly Lower with Lower Highs & Lower Lows

Lower highs and lower lows mean one thing — a downtrend. That’s what the US dollar is in now. This downtrend is happening despite anticipated rate hikes. So maybe ask yourself, what if the Fed doesn’t hike rates? What will the US dollar do then? We’ve had some good news on consumer confidence and manufacturing. But that’s the icing on a pretty disappointing economic cake.

Secure Wealth with Gold as Brexit moves from a Concept to a Reality

The Brexit process may now be irreversible, but the actual terms of the withdrawal & of any trade agreements that follow are not yet known. They will determine the impact on stocks in the U.K. & elsewhere. There is one market that could benefit as negotiations get underway & that is gold. The focus will also turn from Brexit to a potential Frexit with upcoming French elections in April.

Why is the Gold Market Sanguine about Rising US Interest Rates?

Why is the gold market being sanguine about rising U.S. interest rates? Rising U.S. inflation and a peak in U.S. dollar strength may mean that the traditional impact of a U.S. monetary tightening cycle may be less than usual. What the gold market is currently signalling is that while U.S. interest rate rises are still a bit of a headwind, they may not be enough to offset some compelling tailwinds.

Mega Investors Loading up on Gold - Are They Cornering the Gold Market?

China has become a debt crisis waiting to happen. Central banks in Europe have deployed negative interest rates that rapidly erode value. And in the United States wealth has been borrowed from future economic growth to feed bubbles in stocks and real estate. That’s why billionaires are rapidly rushing into their old standby, gold. It’s the only asset that can be trusted right now.

Rate Hike Priced-in, Gold Prices to Rise as Fed Clings to Status Quo Later

One of the most important factors that will continue to impact post-election investor behavior will be the Fed’s rate hike trajectory in 2017. While the March rate hike has most likely been priced into the current weak gold prices, further rate hikes, to a large extent, depend on US economic data and the Trump administration’s policies. Gold prices will rise on the Fed’s clinging to the Status Quo.

While the World Binges on US Dollar, Gold Awaits the Purge

The best thing to do is continue carrying a piece of your assets in Gold and Silver to hedge when (not if) the USD falls. Gold will be easily north of $2,000 soon after the world is done converting its currency risk into USD. Then they will be left holding the bag as our Fed pulls the plug. and then you will be buying dips at $1800 and selling rallies at $2500.

The Correlation between US Dollar & Commodities is now Broken

Commodity prices have traded in a strong inverse relationship with the US dollar over the past decade or so, but this relationship broke down in late 2016 and the breakdown looks here to stay. Commodities generated strong returns in the Q4 of 2016 with the Goldman Sachs Commodity Index moving 9% higher despite a stronger dollar which gained about 7% against major currencies.

Did Gold Prices Really Fall Over Trump’s Speech?

If Trump pursues a weak dollar policy, it has clear inflationary consequences, which is good for gold prices & euro. If Trump pursues a strong dollar policy, it will almost certainly lead to a Chinese maxi-devaluation & to an emerging-market dollar-denominated debt crisis. That could be a short-run head wind for gold prices, but as crisis conditions take hold, gold will benefit from a flight to safety.

Replace US Dollar With Gold As Global Currency & Make America Great Again: Trump

Mr. President: “No such thing as a global currency?” The dollar is the global currency. Want prosperity? Heed Chairman Greenspan and do not just view but restore “gold as the primary global currency.” President Trump: replace the dollar with gold as the global currency to make America great again. We have the gold.

Trump’s Stock Market Report Card Says - Buy Gold

Judging by the huge post-election rally we’ve witnessed, it’s no surprise the Trump administration is patting itself on the back. But if early morning market action is any indication, the streak ends today. It’s safe to say investors are feeling giddy as the stock market blasts into uncharted territory. As the stock rally loses steam to finish the trading week, gold looks stronger than ever.

Fundamental & Technical Views in The Commodity Markets

Let’s take a look at some key commodity components to see what’s going on right now & how it might be helpful. Historically, we tend to see strong moves in commodities with converse movements in the US Dollar. If you have a good scent on where Commodities are headed & that is confirmed with US Dollar moving in opposite directions, you have found a good theme that could trade & ride for a while.

A Gold Standard would've Prevented U.S. from this Extreme Indebtedness

Even Greenspan admits this is the case with debt: “We would never have reached this position of extreme indebtedness were we on the gold standard, because the gold standard is a way of ensuring that fiscal policy never gets out of line.” Certainly, debt loads have taken off since Nixon closed the gold window in 1971, breaking the last link with gold.

British Assets play second Fiddle to Gold on Geopolitical Fears

The British bank’s investor sentiment index climbed to 6.1% in Feb, its highest level since April 2016, as UK investors continued to ride the sentiment wave. However, of all the assets, gold proved the most popular, rising 5.59% between Jan & Feb to a 46.37% approval rating. This is further evidence that “investor optimism is tempered by the need to shield against persistent geopolitical uncertainty.

Copper Flashing the Hottest Chart on the Market Right Now

Copper has endured a painful downtrend for six years. Copper has exploded out of its long-term downtrend after building a solid base last year. It’s time to get ready for some huge gains. We saw the rumblings of a potential breakout back in October. Fast forward to this year & copper is ditching its downtrend for gains. Hop on the next leg of the base metals rally while you can.

5 Timeless Reasons Why Gold Is the Best Form of Money

The proper definition of money is as something that functions as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Government fiat currencies can, and currently do, function as money. But they are far from ideal. Aristotle defined five reasons why gold is money in the 4th century BCE. Those five reasons are as valid today as they were then. Here are the reasons why gold is the best money.

Gold to Steam Ahead on Uncertainty, Despite a Strong Dollar

Despite the strength of the dollar, gold is on an upward trajectory as investors look for a safe haven in an increasingly uncertain world. We think that the gold market is targeting $1,250/oz to the upside so long as we stay above $1,220/oz support. One of the factors driving investors towards gold – uncertainty over the outcome of the upcoming French presidential elections.

Rising Gold and Silver Prices Indicate a Wall Street Correction

The recent upsurge in gold and silver does point to a possible correction on Wall Street. Share prices have been hitting new all-time highs repeatedly in recent times without any further fundamental support. With US stock indices near record high levels, we are hesitant to turn bearish yet & its impossible to predict the timing of the upcoming crash. But the stage looks set, so be prepared.

With Gold and Gold Stocks Rallying - Is It Too Late to Buy Now?

People thinking about investing in gold and silver today are asking themselves the same questions I was asking myself in 2006. “Is it too late?” My answer is no. I understand that it’s hard to put money into stocks that have risen sharply in recent months. But that’s got more to do with how oversold they were than what is likely to happen next.

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