Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Gold’

Here's why I believe Gold Prices won’t just get Slammed Big-Time Again

All signs point to higher gold prices in the months ahead. I look for a powerful surge toward $1,400 by the end of this year based on Fed ease, geopolitical tensions and a weaker dollar. The gold rally that began on Dec. 15, 2016, looks like one that will finally break the bear pattern of lower highs and lower lows and turn it into the bullish pattern of higher highs and higher lows.

Do You Think Gold And Silver Prices Are Manipulated? Aren't Your Lives Too?

Almost everybody complains or laments how both gold and silver are being manipulated, and they are, going back at least to the 1920’s and 1930’s and not just recently. Curiously, very few are even aware, let alone consciously complaining, about how manipulated their lives and those of everyone around them have been and continues to be.

Gold Prepares Ground for a Prolonged Period of Upside Movements

Gold has been gaining ground over the past week, with the price rising from a crucial area of support. The long-term picture portrays a market that could be on the cusp of a prolonged period of upside, given the continued uptrend that has been in place since the market bottomed out in December. There is a good chance we are seeing the beginning of the next leg higher for gold.

Cryptocurrencies will Never Replace Gold for a Number of Good Reasons

Would the gold price be higher today if massive amounts of money weren’t flowing into bitcoin? Both assets, after all, are sometimes favored as safe havens. They’re decentralized and accepted all over the world, 24 hours a day. Transactions are anonymous. Supply is limited. But I don’t think for a second that cryptocurrencies will ever replace gold, for a number of good reasons. Here’s why.

Gold and Silver In an Age of Negative Interest Rates & Madness of Managed Markets

Gold is a must-have portfolio asset amid the aggressive debt levels & monetary debasement that have so unhinged the market. Silver, in addition to its prestige status, also has innumerable industrial applications. Is it not rather odd that stocks are not allowed to correct despite several headwinds, but gold and silver have never followed through once in the past 4 years even after technical breakouts?

In the Near Future, Gold is Certainly going to get very, very Overpriced

Everybody should have coins, physical coins, as an insurance policy, as an emergency, if nothing else. You hope you never need them. Before this is over, gold is going to turn into perhaps a bubble. It’s certainly going to get very, very, very overpriced. From gold prices moving about $1,300 currently, perhaps we may see $13,000 per oz gold in the not distant future.

Gold and Silver Test Key Support Zones on Dollar Bounce

Gold and silver currently find themselves in the red for the month of Sept. But the dollar could very easily weaken again. If buyers manage to defend their ground around $1,276 in gold & $16.80 in silver & they go on to rise back, then the bullish trend would re-establish. Also a correction in US stock markets, tighter monetary conditions & raised geopolitical risks could boost the appetite for gold and silver.

No Arguments - Every Investor Should Own Physical Gold

The main arguments mainstream economists make against gold are simply nonsense. I believe the primary way every investor should play the rise in gold is to own the physical metal directly. At least 10% of your investment portfolio should be devoted to physical gold — bars, coins and the like. But you can also up the risk to potentially profit from gold too.

The Stealth Bull Market in Gold Can Generate Triple-Digit Gains

Today, gold is on the verge of outperforming stocks for the first time in six years. The last time we saw a similar losing streak end was the early 2000s… And that happened before a massive bull market started in gold. Since bottoming last December, gold prices have moved consistently higher. This could be a major turning point for gold. We could see dramatically higher gold prices soon.

World's Biggest Hedge Fund Manager: Bitcoin Is A Bubble, Gold Is Money

There are two things that are required for a currency. The first thing is that you can transact in it, it’s a medium of exchange. The second thing is it’s a store of value. Bitcoin today…you can’t spend it very easily. Unlike gold, let’s say, which reflects the value of money, its more stable than the value of money, bitcoin is a highly speculative market. – Ray Dalio.

While Gold builds Momentum after Breakout, Silver Indicates End of Bear Market

The long-term outlook for gold couldn’t be better with it looking destined to break out from a giant 4-year long base pattern to enter a bull market that promises to dwarf the last one. Since silver is in the late stages of forming the Right Shoulder of its H&S bottom it is at a good point to accumulate, although this is likely to be the last chance to buy silver anywhere near to its bottom.

Will Yuan Priced Crude Oil Futures Backed by Gold be Appealing to Oil Exporters?

China is preparing to launch a crude oil futures contract denominated in Yuan. Backing the yuan-priced futures with gold would be appealing to oil exporters, especially to those who would rather avoid US dollars in trade. It is a mechanism which is likely to appeal to oil producers who prefer to avoid using dollars & are yet not ready to accept being paid in yuan for oil sales to China.

Has the Safe Haven status of Gold been eroded by Cryptocurrencies or Central Banks?

Having waited patiently for the “any-minute-now” moment, gold investors are taking comfort from the recent rise in price in response to geopolitical tensions. Yet the responsiveness of gold, appears weaker than expected from historically based models. Gold’s status as a haven has been eroded by the influence of unconventional monetary policy & the growth of markets for cryptocurrencies.

Is a US Dollar Rally Imminent or will Gold and Silver Continue Rising?

The past three weeks have seen a sharp increase in Commercial long liquidation coupled with accelerated shorting but the aggregate number of shorts is still well below the level seen at major tops in the summer of 2016 and with gold approaching U.S.$1,400 per ounce. The risk in this assumption that the U.S. Dollar index ($USD) is about to stage a reversal to the upside, forcing the algo’s to sell gold.

Gold Breaks Out - With Ratio still in High 70's, Can a Massive Rally in Silver be far Behind?

Gold has broken out of its summer doldrums & silver is benefiting as well. Gold is still trading at a high price historically relative to silver. If silver can now start showing leadership, that would be bullish for the entire precious metals complex. The gold:silver ratio currently stands at about 75:1. A rapid move to the low 30s or even further to the downside could be in store for those who buy silver now.

Fed Minutes on Inflation, Debt Limit, Balance Sheet & the Effect on Gold

If the Fed minutes indicate that more Fed policymakers see the weak inflation as long-lasting, it could reduce the chances of an anticipated hike, thus the USD would drop. On the other hand, the corrective move in the US Dollar would gather pace if the policymakers blame low inflation on transitory factors. The Fed minutes due today would shed light on the future movements in gold.

What are You going to put Greater Faith in Now - Stocks or Gold?

The world currently seems to believe more in companies and all the enterprise that comes with them than it does in gold. Have we reached a turning point here, with the S&P 500 at two times the price of an ounce of gold? That’s a question we all need to think about. What are you going to put greater faith in from current levels given the current state of the world – stocks or gold?

Dollar nowhere near Bottoming out, Gold nowhere near Topping out

Despite two rate hikes & impending balance sheet reduction, the 10-year yield has moved 15% lower since early March while USD has been weakening, both contrary to many forecasts. While USD has been falling, Gold has rallied over $200 since December 2015 to its current mark at 1,276.70. Now there are many potential catalysts to move make the 20%+ seen in Gold look small.

When Gold And Silver Prices begin to Reflect Reality, Prices will no longer be in Control

Debt around the world is in the trillions & has never been higher in history. Financial Armageddon is waiting in the wings. At some point, it will be unable to be controlled & financial disaster will prevail around the world. At that point, the price of gold will no longer be in control, and it will become subservient to the value of both gold and silver. But, when will prices begin to reflect reality?

Alarming Rise in Global Debt Levels to wake up Gold from Slumber

The medium- to long-term investment case for gold, I believe, looks even brighter. Many unsettling risks loom on the horizon—not least of which is a record amount of global debt—that could potentially spell trouble for the investor who hasn’t adequately prepared with some allocation in a “safe haven. Paying down this debt will not be easy. Another crisis could be in the works.

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