Commodity Trade Mantra

Posts Tagged ‘Goldman Sachs’

The Worst Gold Bear is now the Most Convinced Bull

Less than one year ago, Dutch bank ABN AMRO has put itself on the map by being more bearish on gold than Goldman Sachs. ABN Amro has now released an update report & is now expecting the gold price to end 2017 at $1450/oz. That’s a 75% increase in target price. The downward spiral of the gold price has been broken, and the only way seems to be up.

Oil Prices can Spike on $1 Trillion In Spending Cuts

An oil supply deficit may be hard to fathom given two years of surplus and rock bottom oil prices, but with the financials of so many oil companies badly damaged, upstream investment could come up short in the not-too-distant future, even if oil prices continue to rise this year. The small increase in the US oil rig count over the past few weeks is not nearly enough to reverse the decline.

Explosive Move In Silver Prices Will Dwarf It's Move In The Late 1970’s

The precious metals sector has sprung back to life after a 5-year period of an unabated manipulated price-thrashing of gold and silver. Despite Goldman Sach’s incessant plea for $800 gold, the yellow metal jumped from $1050 in mid-December to just over $1300 by the end of April. A 24% rise in 4 1/2 months. In the same period of time, silver ran up nearly 31%.

Why Goldman Is Suddenly Warning About A "Large Drop" In The Market

After recent bearish conversions by the JPM, BofA, Citi & UBS, the only bank that steadfastly held a bullish view on stocks during the recent market squeeze higher was Goldman Sachs. Not any more. With 80% of fund managers underperforming, the probability of irrational capital allocations increases & as a result there is a reasonably high probability of a large drop in the S&P500.

Who’s Right About Gold? Goldman or Almost Everyone Else

Gold is headed lower, says Goldman Sachs analyst Jeff Currie, who believes that the risk off environment which contributed to gold’s outperformance at the beginning of this year is less likely to repeat in the near future. This view differs starkly from others like Stanley Druckenmiller, Paul Singer, Jim Rickards & many others who think gold could go a lot higher. What do you think?

JPMorgan Corners LME Aluminum Market, Leading To Strange "Price Anomalies"

For some months now there have been large holdings of aluminum warrants, which are a claim to metal stored in warehouses approved by the LME. Currently there is a dominant position holding 50-79% of warrants. “JPMorgan have been doing this on-and-off for a long time. The backwardation (or premium) doesn’t accurately reflect oversupply,” a Reuters source at a commodity trading firm said.

Ugly-Stepchild To Beauty Queen - Gold ETF Holdings Surge To 18-Month Highs

Gold has “seen some exceptional flows after quite a few years of being the ugly redheaded stepchild, but it’s not moved into sort of beauty-queen territory,” notes one commodity strategist as hedge fund net-long positions are the highest since Feb 2015 and gold holdings in ETPs has soared to 18 month highs. Gold is now heading for a third straight monthly gain.

Crude Oil At $20 Is Now A Distinct Possibility As Chinese Demand Wanes

Importantly for crude oil is the fact that China’s worsening economic situation could cut into the country’s crude oil demand. As the world’s principle driver of crude oil demand suddenly starts slowing to more pedestrian levels of growth, the oil markets are very much feeling the effect. As Goldman Sachs predicted, crude oil prices might indeed fall to $20s per barrel.

Comex A Zombie Market: Hedge Funds Record Short Paper Gold

You may ask yourself, how do you kill a zombie? As a market for the trading of physical gold and silver, the Comex is already dead. At some point, the entities who have stuck around to try their hand in the rigged paper game will either go broke or simply fade away. At that point, the bullion banks will be left to play only with themselves.

Current Oil Price Rally Will Fizzle Out Say Analysts

All three of the energy bodies (IEA, U.S. EIA and OPEC) see the oil glut persisting into 2016, potentially taking another year for oil markets to balance out. And while all of them have some differences on where oil prices are heading in 2016, all of them seem to agree that there won’t be large price gains in the near-term.

The Worst Part Is Central Bankers Know Exactly What They Are Doing

Perhaps the most dangerous lie circulating today is that central banks are chaotic operations run by intellectual idiots – the Central Bankers, who have no clue what they are doing. This is nonsense. While the ideological cultism of elitism & globalism is ignorant & monstrous at its core, these people function rather successfully through highly organized collusion.

Government Shutdown & Debt Limit Questions Answered

A federal shutdown due to a funding lapse looks no less likely than it did two weeks ago. The Senate is expected to begin voting later this week on a funding extension, but the House looks unlikely to act until shortly before the September 30 deadline. Here are some attempts to answer the main questions surrounding the shutdown, debt limit & ramifications.

This Is What Will Help Oil Prices To Stabilize

Oil Inventories will remain high in some parts of the world and will be drawn down in others. But overall, rising global oil demand and shrinking U.S. oil production (and other areas as well) will begin to eat away at inventory. It just requires some patience. There will be some foreshadowing in oil prices here.

A Sept Rate Hike Is Not Even Close: Goldman's 7 Reasons Why Yellen Will Delay... Again

On one hand, every economist, virtual portfolio manager, Yahoo Finance Twitter expert & TV talking head is certain that a September rate hike is inevitable. On the other hand, the bank that runs the NY Fed, Goldman Sachs is doubling down on its call that the Fed will not hike in September. So here is Goldman’s Jan Hatzius with seven reasons why Yellen will delay. Again.

No Fed Rate Hike In September - Goldman Sachs

The market’s initial reaction signals rising expectations of a September rate hike but, as Goldman’s Jan Hatzius explains, with a number of business surveys in hand, our preliminary read on the August Current Activity Indicator is +2.8%, in line with the July figure. So they continue to expect the FOMC to keep policy rates unchanged at the September 16-17 meeting.

The Worldwide Credit Boom Is Over, Now Comes A Tidal Wave Of Global Deflation

The world’s central bank cartel has ensured that there will be thousands of such filings in the years ahead because since the mid-1990s, central banks have engulfed the global economy in an unsustainable credit boom, while utterly disabling & falsifying the financial system that is supposed to price assets honestly, allocate capital efficiently & keep risk & greed in check.

Truth That Experts Aren’t Telling You About Oil Prices

It’s too bad so many investors fall for the guessing game. And you can count on the big banks to supply the bait. I’m not a fan of the guessing game. If you want to make money in the markets you have to react, not guess. Let’s make money reacting to what the oil charts are showing us right now about oil prices.

Forget The Noise: Oil Prices Won’t Crash Again

The big story in oil prices was the rig count on the way down. The big story on the way up will be inventory. Look for WTI crude oil to make a move towards and maybe into the $70’s as clarity strikes the market. Look too for more walls of worry but remember to consider the source.

Market Fundamentals Make Oil Price Increase Unlikely

Fundamentals haven’t changed much & the world is still oversupplied with oil. There are no obvious signs that this trend will reverse in the near future. The worst case scenario, according to the investment bank Goldman Sachs, is that oil prices will drop to as low as $45 per barrel in the next three months.

Goldman Sachs Warns “Too Much Debt” Threatens World Economy

Andrew Wilson, Goldman Sachs Asset Management’s chief executive in Europe said, “There is too much debt and this represents a risk to economies. Consequently, there is a clear need to generate growth to work that debt off but, as demographics change, new ways of thinking at a policy level are required to do this.”

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